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Kentucky Derby: Brown says 1 is certain, 2 others are maybes

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Kentucky Derby: Brown says 1 is certain, 2 others are maybes


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Carlos J. Calo / Eclipse Sportswire

Lexington, Ky.

This much is as certain as anything can be in horse racing. Emerging Market is headed to Kentucky Derby 2026. As for trainer Chad Brown’s other invitations, it’s complicated.

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“I’m hoping to make a decision once we get past this weekend,” Brown said Friday in a phone call from Florida to reporters at Keeneland. “I’m still talking to the respective owners and observing the horses and observing the prospective field for the Derby.”

Brown’s 3,000th win is delivered by Zulu Kingdom.

After he called Grade 2 Louisiana Derby winner Emerging Market “a definite,” Brown explained where he stands with Blue Grass (G1) runner-up Ottinho and seventh-place Wood Memorial (G2) finisher Iron Honor, both of whom have invitations awaiting RSVPs.

“I look at it two ways,” Brown said. “I don’t want to drag it on so that people that are behind these horses (in the qualifying standings) don’t have clarity if they’re going to get in. I’m not doing it for that. But at the same time, I don’t want to go back and change what I say publicly.”

Brown usually does not breeze his horses back until at least two weeks after a start. Ottinho and Iron Honor raced last Saturday. Entries for the Derby will be taken in two weeks on April 25. That puts the five-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer between a rock of patience and a hard place of urgency.

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“If I take them out of contention now, but then the Derby complexion changes a bit, or we change our mind with something based on how the horses are training, then I have to undo that and put them back in,” Brown said.

Ottinho, who is owned by Three Chimneys Farm, clinched his Derby berth last Saturday. Iron Honor, who belongs to St. Elias Stable, Bill Lawrence and Glassman Racing, moved off the top of the stand-by list Friday when Todd Pletcher-trained Class President was dropped out because of bone bruising.

“I’d almost rather make somebody wait to know that they’re getting in than take it away from them when I said I wasn’t running and now I am,” Brown said. “I think that’s a worse scenario of how to handle it professionally. I’m going to give myself a little time so, when I do say something, that’s final.”

Michael McCarthy-trained Stark Contrast, a turf specialist who finished second in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) on the Turfway Park synthetic course, is between Ottinho and Iron Honor on the invitation list. This week McCarthy all but ruled out the Kentucky Derby.

“He may win on Saturday (May 2), but I don’t think it will be in the Kentucky Derby,” McCarthy told “At the Races” host Steve Byk on Monday. “Obviously we’ve got the American Turf (G1) right out in front of us. He is an undefeated turf runner. … Being by Caravaggio out of a Quality Road mare, we just think something like the American Turf might be in his wheelhouse.

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Winless with his first nine Derby horses, Brown had this year’s early futures favorite before March 28. That was when undefeated Paladin, owned by a Coolmore-led partnership, suffered a condylar fracture in a workout at Payson Park in Florida. Brown said Friday that the two-time Grade 2-winning colt by Gun Runner is “excellent” after surgery, recovering at Ashford Stud in Versailles, Ky., and due to be shipped to Saratoga in July.

Emerging Market, who is owned by Klaravich Stables, is only 2-for-2 with his debut victory coming only two months ago at Tampa Bay Downs. If Kentucky weather cooperates, Brown said he hoped to ship the Candy Ride colt from Payson Park to Churchill Downs on or around next Sunday.

“That would give me time to work the horse a couple more times here and then head up,” he said. “He’s trained well at Payson Park all winter. We’ll just keep on this consistent surface that he’s been on and just make one surface change over at Churchill. There’s no sense in bringing him to Keeneland right now, and I’m not open to Churchill until around the 19th.”

Leonatus in 1883 is the only horse to have won the Kentucky Derby with only two previous starts in his past performance.



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Top knee doctor confident Jayden Quaintance’s injury not a long-term concern, but clean-up procedure possible

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Top knee doctor confident Jayden Quaintance’s injury not a long-term concern, but clean-up procedure possible


One of the nation’s top knee doctors shared a positive diagnosis with former Kentucky forward Jayden Quaintance going into the 2026 NBA Draft, revealing that his knee is not expected to be a long-term concern, KSR has learned.

That may include a second procedure to officially put the injury suffered in February 2025 behind him, however.

Dr. Riley Williams III — head team physician and orthopedic surgeon for the Brooklyn Nets and famous for performing surgery on Paul George’s gruesome open tibia-fibula fracture with USA Basketball in 2014 — gave a second opinion on Quaintance’s injured right knee that limited him to four games in Lexington and recommended a follow-up procedure that could keep him off the floor for six months. The 6-foot-11 prospect’s ACL remains fully intact and his knee can be maintained at its current state, but a clean-up is preferred for a permanent resolution.

Medical concerns led to his slide in final mock drafts — he was projected to go No. 27 overall to the Boston Celtics, according to ESPN — before ultimately landing with the San Antonio Spurs at No. 20. This procedure could lead to a delayed start to his rookie season, but the long-term reward of a healthy 15-year career in the NBA is the prize on the table. It kept teams in the lottery and late teens intrigued, despite rumors of a potential fall to the second round. Sources close to Quaintance felt San Antonio at No. 20 was a backstop for the talented forward going into draft night, an educated hunch that proved to be accurate.

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Quaintance worked out for the Dallas Mavericks (No. 9, No. 30), Milwaukee Bucks (No. 10), Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 12, No. 17), Chicago Bulls (No. 15), Toronto Raptors (No. 19), San Antonio Spurs (No. 20) and Boston Celtics (No. 27) ahead of the draft, but the Thunder and Spurs were the most aggressive throughout the predraft process, sources tell KSR. Once OKC snagged Michigan’s Aday Mara at No. 12 overall, it opened the door for a move to San Antonio for the former Wildcat.

There was disappointment in Quaintance’s absence on draft night after failing to receive a green room invite, but receiving confirmation of no long-term knee concern was the biggest priority — and that came after meeting with arguably the nation’s top knee doctor before the 2026 NBA Draft began in Brooklyn on Tuesday.

Quaintance was not the top-five pick he was expected to be going into his lone season at Kentucky, but he found himself in a perfect winning situation in San Antonio next to the future face of the NBA in Victor Wembanyama, even if that includes a short-term setback.

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Kentucky’s schematic changes on defense in 2026

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Kentucky’s schematic changes on defense in 2026


The Kentucky Wildcats are getting ready to start a new era of their football program. In his 13 seasons as head coach, we have all become accustomed to seeing Mark Stoops teams at Kentucky play a certain way. This has been both on defense and on offense, the Wildcats have had a similar blueprint of winning games and finding success. Now, both sides of the ball will look a lot different in terms of scheme, so we will start on the defensive side and what differences you will see in 2026 under new coach Will Stein.

Old: Conservative 3-4

Mark Stoops and defensive coordinator Brad White had a lot of success in their 3-4 defense with a conservative play style, but it had plenty of weaknesses as well. With a nose tackle head up on the center and two defensive lineman playing on the inside shoulder of each offensive tackle, the defense would create pressure but couldn’t consistently finish to make them sacks. This defense required a guy like Joshua Hines-Allen to win one-on-one blocks on the edge in a dominant fashion to thrive as a defense. Since 2020, Kentucky finished top five in total sacks in the SEC just once, in 2023; every other team finished ninth or less in the conference in team sacks.

This conservative 3-4 defense allowed Kentucky to stay in similar personnel throughout the game. The conservative nature had a bend-don’t-break philosophy of keeping everything in front and making tackles. Kentucky rarely switched things up and rolled the dice with blitzes or had pre and post snap coverage rotations on the back end. It was cover 3 and cover 4 heavy, while not disguising coverages and typically sending four pass rushers at the quarterback.

New: Aggressive 4-2-5

The new scheme under defensive coordinator Jay Bateman will be the entire opposite of the old regime. This scheme will be primarily out of an even front, and we have highlighted current players on the team that will benefit from a change in technique. Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace will switch to a traditional edge rusher lining up outside of the offensive tackle, whereas Tavion Gadson will move to a true three technique on the outside shoulder of the offensive guard and both of these players played in the same technique in the previous scheme. Both Humphrey-Grace and Gadson should have more production moving to techniques they more accurately fit.

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Kentucky’s defense will utilize five defensive backs for a majority of snaps, which is beneficial with most offenses living in 11 personnel with three wide receivers on the field. This scheme’s success in year one will heavily rely upon the experienced safety duo of Ty Bryant and Jordan Castell. Coach Bateman will have a lot more safety rotations in this scheme and switch up coverages a lot, disguising a particular coverage pre-snap before switching it post-snap. This defense will have a ton of eye candy to try and keep offenses off balance.

This aggressive scheme will not only roll the dice more on passing downs, playing more man coverage. However, it will also be more aggressive in terms of blitzing the quarterback or sending simulated pressures. Simulated pressures are shown as four defensive lineman rushing, but one will drop into coverage with a back seven player blitzing, still sending four at the quarterback while finding creative ways to do so. This amount of disguise and blitzing can create more havoc in the passing game, but it can also allow players to get out of position in the run game.

This schematic change will greatly benefit Kentucky against pass heavy teams, but it remains to be seen how that will be a benefit or a detriment to the run defense. In theory, this scheme should be able to create more havoc plays like sacks and tackles for loss, which can also provide more turnovers. Will Stein mentioned in a press conference, as an offensive minded coach, he wants to steal possessions on defense to get the ball back for his offense. This aggressive style is built towards a common theme of the new regime, which is they will try to win football games on offense rather than on defense.



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Four Northern Kentuckians named among Leadership Kentucky's 52-member Class of 2026

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Four Northern Kentuckians named among Leadership Kentucky's 52-member Class of 2026


Leadership Kentucky on Monday announced the members of the Leadership Kentucky Class of 2026, including four representing the Northern Kentucky region. Leadership Kentucky’s 2026 flagship program consists of seven, three-day sessions, where participants gather to gain insight on the Commonwealth of Kentucky, its challenges and opportunities. Throughout the sessions, class members meet with many of…



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