Georgia
Georgia vs. Florida score prediction by expert football model
The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party gets underway this weekend as No. 2 Georgia faces off against SEC rival Florida on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert football model that projects scores and picks winners.
Georgia improved to 4-1 in SEC play two weeks ago in a signature victory at Texas that salvaged the team’s playoff hopes but there are tougher tests ahead before the selection committee sorts it all out.
Florida moved to 4-3 on the year with a 2-2 mark in conference games after knocking off rival Kentucky and is a respectable 34th nationally in passing output with 264 yards per game, averaging almost 31 points per game heading into the most brutal portion of any schedule in college football this season, playing 4 ranked opponents over the final 5 weeks of the year.
What do the analytical models suggest for when the Bulldogs and Gators renew their rivalry this weekend?
For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Georgia and Florida compare in this Week 10 college football rivalry game.
As expected, the models are favoring the Bulldogs over the Gators, but in a closely-fought game.
SP+ predicts that Georgia will defeat Florida by a projected score of 34 to 22 and will win the matchup by an expected margin of 12.5 points.
The model gives the Bulldogs a strong 78 percent chance of outright victory over the Gators.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 239-221-5 against the spread with a 51.9 win percentage after going 28-27-1 (50.9%) last weekend.
Georgia is a 14.5 point favorite against Florida, according to the updated lines posted at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel set the total at 51.5 points for the game (Over -110, Under -110).
And it lists the moneyline odds for Georgia at -630 and for Florida at +460 to win outright.
If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …
If you do, you’ll be in the minority of bettors, who expect the Bulldogs will dominate the Gators, according to the latest spread consensus picks for the game.
Georgia is getting 64 percent of bets to win the game and cover the big spread.
The other 36 percent of wagers project Florida will either win outright in an upset, or more likely, will keep the score to 2 touchdowns or fewer in a prospective loss.
Georgia has played some closer games this season, coming out 11.3 points ahead of its opponents this season when averaging out the scoring margins in wins and losses.
Florida has fared 2.2 points better than its opponents on average in 2024.
Those figures have grown closer over the last three games, however.
Georgia has been 14.3 points better than the competition over that span, and Florida has improved to being 11 points better than opponents over that time.
Georgia is averaging 30.5 points per game this season, compared to Florida at 28.5 points per game on average.
Defensively, the Bulldogs are surrendering 19.2 points per game and the Gators are allowing 26.3 points per game on average.
Most other analytical models also suggest the Bulldogs will take down the Gators this week.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Georgia came out ahead in the majority 79.9 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.
That leaves Florida as the presumptive winner in the remaining 20.1 percent of sims.
How does that translate into a margin of victory? The index forecasts that the Gators will take the points this week.
Georgia is projected to be 12.4 points better than Florida on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
Georgia is first among SEC teams with an 84.5 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.
That model projects the Bulldogs will win 10 games this season.
Florida could struggle getting to bowl eligibility, according to the index’s calculations entering this weekend.
The Gators are projected to win 5.7 games and have a 54.7 percent chance to become eligible for a bowl game.
When: Sat., Nov. 2
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network
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Georgia
What Georgia-based productions are up for Golden Globe awards?
ATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) – The Golden Gloves aired Sunday night, and Georgia’s status as a film and TV production hub is bearing fruit on the big stage.
The Peach State was represented on both the film and TV sides of the awards, through both native actors and productions filmed in Georgia.
Gabriel LaBelle was nominated for Best Performance in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy for his performance in Saturday Night, a film about the first ever episode of Saturday Night Live. The movie was shot in both Atlanta and Fayetteville. LaBelle lost to Sebastian Stan for his role in A Different Man.
Kathryn Hahn was nominated for Best Performance in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy for her performance in Agatha All Along. The Disney+ series was partially shot at Trilith Studios in Atlanta. Hahn lost to Jean Smart for her role in Hacks.
Actor Donald Glover, who grew in Stone Mountain, was nominated for Best Actor – Television Series Drama for his role in Mr. and Mrs. Smith. Glover lost to Hiroyuki Sanada for his role in Shōgun.
Copyright 2025 WANF. All rights reserved.
Georgia
Report: Georgia QB Jaden Rashada to enter transfer portal
Jaden Rashada’s college career will continue at another school.
The former Florida signee and Arizona State quarterback is entering the transfer portal, according to ESPN. Rashada spent the 2024 season at Georgia and did not play in a game.
Rashada was a four-star recruit and the No. 11 pro-style QB in the high school class of 2023. He initially committed to Miami, but flipped that verbal commitment to Florida. After signing with Florida, Rashada asked for his release from the Gators — more on that in a bit — and signed with Arizona State in February of 2023.
The California native appeared in three games for the Sun Devils in 2023 and transferred again at the end of the season. He ended up at Georgia with an apparent eye on competing for the starting job in 2025 and beyond with Carson Beck entrenched as the starter. Gunner Stockton served as the Bulldogs’ No. 2 QB in 2024 and started the team’s Sugar Bowl loss to Notre Dame on Jan. 2.
Not long after he transferred to Georgia in early 2024, Rashada filed a lawsuit against Florida coach Billy Napier and a booster over an NIL deal that never came together. Rashada said that he was promised a name, image and likeness deal north of $10 million as part of his commitment to Florida.
The lack of that NIL deal was the reason Rashada transferred from the Gators. He left after he didn’t receive his first payment and his recruitment to the school is now the subject of an NCAA investigation.
In three games with the Sun Devils a season ago, Rashada was 44-of-82 passing for 485 yards, four TDs and three interceptions. ASU was 3-9 a season ago before posting one of the biggest turnarounds in college football in 2024. Former Michigan State QB Sam Leavitt emerged as the starter as the Sun Devils won the Big 12 and made it to the College Football Playoff before losing 39-31 in double-overtime to Texas in the Peach Bowl on Jan. 1.
Georgia
Georgia hopes the scars of a difficult 2024 season make them better in 2025: ‘Remember this feeling’
NEW ORLEANS — The normally stoic Smael Mondon finally displayed some emotion. After four years, multiple injuries and pouring everything he could into the Georgia program, Mondon finally showed how he was feeling as he embraced Glenn Schumann in the locker room.
The ups and downs that followed a difficult 2024 season, not just for Mondon but many on the Georgia roster, culminated in a 23-10 defeat to Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff. Instead of cheers, there were tears for Georgia. Not just from a distraught Mondon, but the likes of Oscar Delp, Dylan Fairchild and others.
“Definitely not what you want in the end. That’s for certain,” sophomore linebacker CJ Allen told DawgNation after the game. “The things we’ve been through, the things this team’s been through, the stuff we overcame, we overcame a lot. I’m very super proud of this team. We overcame a lot. Just thinking about that, you know what I’m saying, to be proud of ourselves for that, the things we overcame this season.”
For the first time since the 2018 season, Georgia’s season ended with a loss. That ironically came in the Sugar Bowl, against Texas. The Longhorns were still in the Big 12 at that point time.
Players like Mondon and Chaz Chambliss had yet to sign with Georgia. Those seniors ended up becoming the winningest senior class in program history, going 53-5. They went 25-0 at home, winning two SEC championships and two national championships.
The Bulldogs were unable to get a third national title. Too many injuries. Too difficult a schedule. Not enough talent and not enough bounces of the football went their way this season.
Some may see this season as a failure. Those people obviously didn’t see the inside of the Georgia locker room following the loss to Notre Dame.
To see everything that this team went through and call them anything but successful would be insulting.
“Played the hardest schedule in the country. We’re SEC champions. Can’t take that away from us,” Delp said. “That’s just how it is. It’s going to be like that next year, too. It’s not like that one year. That’s how it’s going to be. Deal with it. We got to work in the offseason, get better, compete. A lot of crazy things happened this season. We can’t control anything. You got to do what you do.”
Georgia went on the road to Alabama, Texas and Ole Miss. It beat the Longhorns twice, as well as playoff participant Tennessee as well. It won an SEC championship with its starting quarterback exiting the game on the last play of the first half.
There were dismissals, arrests, suspensions and a number of self-inflicted incidents that kept this team from being one of the final four remaining. This team was far from perfect.
But in some ways, the beautiful mess that was the 2024 Georgia football season puts this team’s accomplishments in better perspective.
There was no Brock Bowers or Jalen Carter on this team. Sure there were talented players, such as Butkus Award winner Jalon Walker or two-time All-American Tate Ratledge, but there wasn’t a single player that elevated everyone else.
It was a band of brothers, coming together and fighting all the way to the end. Georgia had incredible comebacks against the likes of Texas and Georgia Tech. Even against Notre Dame when the Bulldogs gave up a 98-yard kickoff return to open the second half, they never rolled over. They continued to battle and were a redzone touchdown away from cutting the deficit to 6.
Georgia couldn’t make the plays when needed. But this team never stopped trying to make them.
“It’s going to teach us just to keep going,” freshman linebacker Chris Cole said.
Next year’s team is will look different. Given the rapid roster movements that occurs on college rosters now, many of the players in that locker room will play elsewhere. Some in the NFL, others at other schools.
The roster will flip, as the Bulldogs are likely to see double-digit players leave via the transfer portal and the NFL draft. Such is life when you’re as talented as Georgia was, even in what was admittedly a down season.
Still, it’s hard not to come away with how this Georgia team fought, all the way until the end.
“What they went through this year and what they played and how they played, the resiliency, the injuries that we’ve had, and to win an SEC championship — which I have so much respect for our conference,” Georgia coach Kirby Smart said. “To win some of the comeback games they won and never quit, even in this game, never quit, that’s the attitude you’ve got to have to get better as a football program.”
Smart has been honest about this team. It was not his most talented. The ninth-year head coach has said as much. There were moments of frustration this season, some were due to forces out of Georgia’s control.
He knows the Georgia program has to get better. Smart has shown he’s the coach capable of doing so, as the Georgia program seemed a lot farther away from championships than it did the last time it saw its season end with a loss in New Orleans.
And he knows that the scars formed during this season will help make future Georgia teams better.
“Remember the taste in your mouth, you never want that feeling again,” Allen said. “When you’re a winner, you hate losing more than you like winning. So just taking that into consideration with the offseason program and just knowing what we have to do and the feeling that we have now, not want to fight that again. So just working hard in the summer and spring and so on.”
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