AUSTIN, Texas — With just 70 days to go until the Texas primary election date, major races across the state are ramping up with competitive poll numbers.
Recent polling shows races within just single digits for the high-profile Senate nomination races in both parties. The primary is scheduled for Tuesday, March 3.
The Democratic field, made up of U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett and Texas State Rep. James Talarico, is proving to be a close race after a shakeup earlier this month.
Polling from the Barbara Jordan Public Policy and Survey Center at Texas Southern University shows Crockett leading with 51% and Talarico with 43% among likely Democratic primary voters.
On the other side of the aisle, Republican incumbent Sen. John Cornyn’s race against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is proving to be a three-way race, with U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt gaining traction in recent polls.
A Dec. 4 poll by J.L. Partners shows Paxton leading with 29%, just a few points ahead of Cornyn and Hunt at 24%. Still, 23% of likely Republican primary voters surveyed were undecided.
“I think we’re clearly in a three-way race now for the Republican Senate,” said Mark P. Jones, political science professor at Rice University.
The other big races that are an uphill battle for lesser-known democrats. The latest polling from the Barbara Jordan Center focused in on the Democratic races for governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general.
The polling shows Texas State Rep. Gina Hinojosa is leading the Democratic field for the gubernatorial race with 41%. Her biggest challenger, however, is voters who are still unsure—making up 42% of those polled.
Jones explained the lack of name recognition in much of the Democratic state primary races.
“Whoever the Democratic nominee is for U.S. Senate can count on tens of millions of dollars coming in from outside of the state to support their candidacy. That simply isn’t going to happen for, say, someone like Gina Hinojosa running for governor, or Vikki Goodwin running for lieutenant governor,” he said.
43% of voters surveyed said they don’t know enough about Hinojosa. 81% said they don’t know enough about Goodwin.
“Even the best known candidates generally are only known by about a third of Democratic primary voters,” Jones said.
That presents a major challenge, with just 70 days and counting until the March primary.
If in any of these races, a candidate does not reach the 50 percent threshold, a runoff primary election will happen at the end of May.