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Study Hall: Mizzou 101, Arkansas Pine Bluff 79

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Study Hall: Mizzou 101, Arkansas Pine Bluff 79


With game number one in the books, it’s not recommended to make any sweeping statements about the team you just watched. Missouri has almost an entirely new roster, a deeper rotation, and my biggest takeaway from last night was this team sure looks a lot like last year’s squad.

The offense was fast paced, they attempted a good amount of threes, but nothing crazy. They made their money at the rim as much as they did behind the arc. They raced out to an early lead, let the lead bleed down before closing the 1st half strong and opening up a solid double digit lead. Then in the second half they separated getting up by as many as 32 before a few ugly rotations let the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions get the lead down to something more respectable. This game was almost like a replay of quite a few non-con games from last season.

There are some positives to take away, though we didn’t get to see either John Tonje or Connor Vanover. Tonje is likely still dealing with some kind of lower body preseason injury, and Vanover is serving a three game suspension by the NCAA for playing in the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament. PIT is a pre-NBA Draft tournament a lot of players participate in.

Without Vanover and Tonje, the lineup skewed a bit younger than Dennis Gates expected. But there were plenty of lineups, and plenty of the guys we’re already familiar with. So very different, and still yet very familiar.

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  • Missouri really plays like Missouri: BCI win? Check. Wildly efficient offense? Check. Leaky defense? Check.
  • Fouls, there were a lot of them: Mizzou gave up a 54% free throw rate to UAPB, which is basically like watching a Texas A&M game. Just so many free throws.
  • Rebounding was better: Winning the rebounding battle is an improvement, the raw numbers don’t look as good, but UAPB missed a lot of shots.

I don’t want to extract too much from game one here, so we’re going to keep a lot of this fairly brief. But you really can see from one season to the next how consistent the approach is regardless of the pieces.

Your Trifecta: Sean East II, Tamar Bates, Nick Honor

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On the season: Sean East 3, Tamar Bates 2, Nick Honor 1

I’ve added plus-minus for entertainment purposes only. Matt Harris tracks lineups, and that can give you a better idea at where which players thrive with their efficiency. But Sean East was feeling himself, and East in his bag is a fun player to watch. His foul rate was ridiculous, fouling out in just 22 minutes, but 7 of 8 from the floor, just one turnover, making threes… I could get used to that more often.

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The clear star of the night though was Tamar Bates. The player we fell in love with when he was coming out of high school was on full display last night. He attacked the rim in the open floor, was active defensively, and was comfortable stepping out and shooting over the top. This version of Bates is one where you can begin to believe in a guy who can breakout and be a pro.

You have to really like what you got from Caleb Grill, despite his only shooting 1 of 6 from outside. If you read our offseason and preseason coverage, you’d know that Grill tends to be a bit hot and cold from deep. He was cold last night. But what he brings even on those cold shooting nights is a level of toughness and grit. A steal and a dunk, skying over others for a rebound, physical defense… you get all that and then sometimes he shoots so well he can carry the offense.

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Rock M Nation is very much a place where we stan Nick Honor. Very early on after his commitment to Missouri last year we were in his corner as the likely starting point guard and the player who Gates would use a focal point for his offense. With that said, I didn’t think Honor played his best game. And while I’m ok with him increasing his usage a bit, 26.2% seems high. I’m not sure if Nick Honor will lead the team in shots taken by the end of the season, but his 14 attempts led the team last night. He also missed a few bunnies around the rim. So even with a significant usage bump and some missed easy layups, Honor still hitting 124 for his efficiency is a nice touch.

Quick hitters:

  • Jesus Carrelero Martin showed he’s an adept passer, and playing out of the high post in this offense is a good fit for him.
  • If this is what Gates can count on from Aidan Shaw this year he’s going to play a lot.
  • It was good to see minutes from all three freshmen and you can see why each player is intriguing.
  • It seems like Gates had some of his rotation in reverse as he was late to move in Bates, and Kaleb Brown was in first for Carralero Martin. Once Tonje and Vanover are back it will be interesting to see how those rotations wind up.

This was merely a tuneup. A game for experimentation. The real test is coming up on Friday. Memphis is good, and they dispatched of Jackson State by 17 in their opener. What we saw last night looked similar to the team last year. They’re a bit more athletic, but also missing two key pieces. Many figured Tonje and Vanover would be starters, whether they start or not they’ll definitely be counted on the play a bunch.

It’s also just really, really good to have basketball back on.


True Shooting Percentage (TS%): Quite simply, this calculates a player’s shooting percentage while taking into account 2FG%, 3FG%, and FT%. The formula is Total Points / 2 * (FGA + (0.475+FTA)). The 0.475 is a Free Throw modifier. KenPomeroy and other College Basketball sites typically use 0.475, while the NBA typically uses 0.44. That’s basically what TS% is. A measure of scoring efficiency based on the number of points scored over the number of possessions in which they attempted to score, more here.

Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%): This is similar to TS%, but takes 3-point shooting more into account. The formula is FGM + (0.5 * 3PM) / FGA

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So think of TS% as scoring efficiency, and eFG% as shooting efficiency, more here.

Expected Offensive Rebounds: Measured based upon the average rebounds a college basketball team gets on both the defensive and offensive end. This takes the overall number of missed shots (or shots available to be rebounded) and divides them by the number of offensive rebounds and compares them with the statistical average.

AdjGS: A take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual’s “score” for a given game. The “adjustment” in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game’s points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

%Min: This is easy, it’s the percentage of minutes a player played which were available to them. That would be 40 minutes, or 45 if the game goes to overtime.

Usage%: This “estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor” (via sports-reference.com/cbb). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team’s offensive outcome.

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Offensive Rating (ORtg): Similar to Adjusted game score, but this looks at how many points per possession a player would score if they were averaged over 100 possessions. This combined with Usage Rate gives you a sense of impact on the floor.

IndPoss: This is approximates how many possessions an individual is responsible for within the teams calculated possessions.

ShotRate%: This is the percentage of teams shots a player takes while on the floor.

AstRate%: Attempts to estimate the number of assists a player has on teammates made field goals when he is on the floor. The formula is basically AST / (((MinutesPlayed / (Team MP / 5)) * Team FGM) – FGM).

TORate%: Attempts to estimate the number of turnovers a player commits in their individual possessions. The formula is simple: TO / IndPoss

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Floor%: Via sports-reference.com/cbb: Floor % answers the question, “When a Player uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?”. The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

In attempting to update Study Hall, I’m moving away from Touches/Possession and moving into the Rates a little more. This is a little experimental so if there’s something you’d like to see let me know and I’ll see if there’s an easy visual way to present it.



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Arkansas

Calipari Wants Razorbacks Fans to Pull Back on Expectations

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Calipari Wants Razorbacks Fans to Pull Back on Expectations


FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. – According to John Calipari, kings think differently. And while Razorbacks fans are anxious to be anointed kings of the basketball world once again, their head coach wants them to cool it down just a bit.

As part of his end of summer workouts press conference Monday, Calipari told the story of Arnold Palmer being asked by a king what he would like as a gift, to which the legendary golfer requested a simple golf club. He waited a few weeks and was disappointed to see a nothing more than a thank you letter had arrive instead of the bejeweled driver he had imagined.

“So he opens the letter, and the letter thanks him,” Calipari said. “So he’s kind of disappointed, and he puts it back in the envelope, and there’s another piece of paper in there, and he takes out the piece of paper, and it’s a deed to a golf club.”

When he took the job and began skirting around the state, much like when Palmer met the king, Calipari had a decent idea of what he was getting into. It was a presence that was hard to ignore.

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“I feel the excitement, like, I feel it,” Calipari said. “I feel it in the building. I feel it on the campus. I feel it around the state. I see it. I feel it.”

However, much like Palmer, he hadn’t fully processed how Razorbacks fans think. Much of the state was around for when Arkansas was a king in college basketball in the ’80s and ’90s when Final Fours were plentiful, as were trips to the national title game.

“I was told a couple weeks ago that we sold out season tickets,” Calipari said regarding a schedule that isn’t even complete yet. “People, it’s July. The building seats 20,000. Season tickets gone.”

Considering the slate was clean of coaches, players and even games when he arrived just a few months ago, Calipari is hoping for a nice golf club at best under the circumstances. Meanwhile, Arkansas fans envision domination the likes of which hasn’t been seen in Fayetteville since Nolan Richardson, although Eric Musselman certainly tried.

“What I say to you and all of our fans, I’m as excited as you are, but let’s be patient,” Calipari said. “I’ve already told you, we haven’t played.”

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But that’s just not how Arkansas fans are thinking right now. Calipari acknowledges as much.

“First of all, they say, ‘How’s how’s it going?’” Calipari said. “I said, ‘It’s great. We haven’t lost a game yet.’ Everybody’s excited, but be patient because how we do this, it is a process. No staff, no team and no schedule three months ago.”

However, while he’s trying to get Arkansas fans to think a little smaller, behind the scenes, he’s working on getting his newly assembled team to think more like their crazed fans. On the practice courts, the bar is being asked to go much higher.

“Kings think different than we think,” Calipari said. “And I’ve got to get these kids to understand I want you to think big and dream big, but you must work bigger. But, your dreams for yourself and your teams have to be big as you dream bigger. Think bigger.”

HOGS FEED:

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• Calipari unveils surprises in exhibition slate, updates schedule progress

• Cauley-Stein explains why it’s John Calipari, not Kentucky blue that brought top recruits

• Analysis of Pittman era recruiting shows why dip in wins, offers hope for near future

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Hall of Famer, Arkansas track official Mike Armstrong earns rare Olympics trip | Whole Hog Sports

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Hall of Famer, Arkansas track official Mike Armstrong earns rare Olympics trip | Whole Hog Sports


FAYETTEVILLE — Mike Armstrong estimated he’s been an official at close to 1,000 track and field meets over the last 35 years.

That includes low-key season openers at the University of Arkansas to NCAA and United States Championships around the country and international competitions around the world.

But this week will be different.

For the first time in Armstrong’s Hall of Fame officiating career, he’ll work at the Olympics.

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Armstrong, 65, is officiating several events in Paris, starting with the decathlon on Friday.

It’s the high mark of Armstrong’s second career as a track and field official. His primary job is being director of the Christ on Campus ministry at Arkansas since 1982.

“Officiating at the Olympics was the one thing I hadn’t done,” said Armstrong, who lives in Springdale. “You hope to be selected, but there are lots of quality people around the world to fill these spots, so you feel fortunate when your name appears on the list of those assigned to this meet.”

There are about 200 officials working track and field events at the Olympics, but Armstrong is one of 12 referees — and the only American.

It’s unusual for officials from overseas to work meets in Europe — just as most of the officials at the 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles will be Americans — but Armstrong’s experience and accomplishments merit his presence in Paris.

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Armstrong is 1 of 60 officials rated at a gold level by World Athletics through its certification process involving a thorough series of testing evaluations. He’s the chairman of the Officials Committee for USA Track and Field.

“Because of Mike’s knowledge and leadership, he’s one of the top 10 officials in the world,” said Lance Harter, coach of Arkansas’ women’s track and field team from 1990-2023. “He’s a pretty big deal and respected by everyone worldwide.”

Armstrong has worked at the last two World Outdoor Championships in Eugene, Ore., in 2022 and Budapest, Hungary, in 2023 as well as the World Indoor Championships in Portland, Ore., in 2016. He began officiating at NCAA meets in 2000 and has worked every United States Olympic Trials since 2004 along with numerous SEC Championships and U.S. Championships.

Including competitions such as the Pan American Games, World Under-20 and World Masters Championships, Armstrong has traveled to 18 countries.

“Mike’s been all over the world to officiate at these meets and he brings that experience back to Arkansas to benefit us with the volume of home meets we have every year,” said Chris Bucknam, the Razorbacks’ men’s track and field coach since 2008. “I really don’t know what we’d do without him.

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“We’re all replaceable, I guess, but he’s just done a phenomenal job for so many years.”

Armstrong said he’ll follow the same principles as an official at the Olympics that have always guided him.

“The main thing you want to do is make sure things are safe and fair and the athletes have the chance to perform to the best of their abilities,” he said. “Follow the same process and protocols and don’t get carried away with the pomp and the circumstance that surround it.”

Armstrong was inducted into the Arkansas Track and Field Hall of Fame in 2015 and the USA Track and Field National Officials Committee Hall of Fame in 2021. He was named the 2023 recipient of the Robert Giegengack Award, named in honor of the former Yale coach and presented annually to a person who excels in contributing to the excellence and high standards of the sport of track and field.

“There’s no greater honor than to be recognized by your peers,” Armstrong said. “I’ve been blessed.”

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Harter said Armstrong has the perfect temperament to be a meet referee, especially when coaches complain or file protests.

“Mike is just rock solid,” Harter said. “He never gets flustered or overly emotional. He’s very even-keeled and his approach when talking to coaches is to say, ‘OK, this is the protocol, this is the rule we’re following.’ All the coaches know he’s always going to be fair.

“I’ve also had coaches ask me, ‘What does Mike do for a living?’ And when I say, ‘He’s a minister,’ that seems to carry some clout. This is a man who knows how to treat everyone with respect and kindness.”

Bucknam said that when he coached at Northern Iowa and came to meets at Arkansas, it became clear Armstrong was totally neutral.

“There’s never been any home cooking for Arkansas with Mike in charge,” Bucknam said. “A coach might get contentious every once in a while. But Mike knows all the rules, and when he makes a decision, it’s impossible to argue with him because everything he does is based on the facts.”

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Kevin Trainor, Arkansas’ senior associate director for public relations, was a freshman at the UA in 1990 when he first met Armstrong. They became close enough friends that Armstrong officiated at Trainor’s wedding when he married his wife, Ruth.

“Mike is a great minister, but watching him take on the challenge as a track and field official and seeing how much he’s grown has been special,” Trainor said. “He’s very humble and likes to work behind the scenes, and he knows track and field inside and out.

“There are so many different rules — whether it’s NCAA rules or international rules — and he knows all of them. He’s a noted expert, and he’s training the next generation of track and field officials.”

Armstrong, who earned a bachelor’s degree at Ozark Christian College in Joplin, Mo., and a master’s degree in counseling at Arkansas, said he began officiating at meets hosted by the Razorbacks in 1989 at the invitation of a friend and insurance agent, Whit Hensman.

“Whit was a track official and he asked if I wanted to come help,” Armstrong said. “So I worked at a meet, and really enjoyed being around the athletes and the officials.

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“It helped that the Razorbacks had an outstanding program so there were always a lot of great meets with great athletes coming through.”

Armstrong said he couldn’t have been an official for so many years — and traveled extensively — without the support of his wife, Gina. They have two daughters and five grandchildren.

“Mike and Gina are a great team,” Bucknam said. “She’s at all the track meets helping as well.”

Trainor said Armstrong being the only American referee for track and field in Paris speaks to his elite status.

“It might be harder to make the Olympic officiating team if you’re not from the country hosting than it is to make your country’s Olympic team,” Trainor said. “But Mike has earned that distinction, and we know he’ll represent the United States with great class and dignity just as he has represented Arkansas for all these years.”

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Razorbacks Have Overcome Doomsday Predictions in History

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Razorbacks Have Overcome Doomsday Predictions in History


FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Considering Arkansas has never won an SEC title in their 32 seasons in the league, expectations are not exactly for a championship. Especially in a season filled with this many questions.

There have been times those have yielded big results. You can go back to Danny Ford managing to win the SEC West in 1995 and Houston Nutt backing into the championship game in 2002 because Alabama was on probation. Those years ended with a thud in Atlanta in the SEC Championship game.

It was the same thing in 2006 when it looked like the Razorbacks could actually go beyond anybody’s dreams and have a shot at the first legitimate national championshp in school history. (Sorry, but you don’t get to change the rules because you don’t like the final outcome in 1964.) A couple of key injuries de-railed things at the end that year in losses to LSU and Florida in the SEC Championship game.

There were an awful lot of questions with those teams at this point before the season started. You can throw 1998 in there, too. Nobody was expecting that team to be a fumble away from playing for a championship in Nutt’s first season.

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You could go back even farther. My buddy Jim Harris and I were the only media people in the state of Arkansas in 1977 that thought before the season that team would end up in the Orange Bowl against Oklahoma. And could win it.

The natural tendency to predict seasons involves looking at last year’s record, see how many starters are coming back and who they play at home on the schedule. The facts are what happened last year really doesn’t matter in a new year and last week’s game has nothing to do with the current one.

Razorbacks coach Sam Pittman has more questions than he has answers right now. He won’t get many of the answers in fall camp. You never do because there have been a ton of practice All-Americans that couldn’t play against SEC teams.

We’ll hear from Pittman on Tuesday and the strength coach, basically re-capping the summer workouts. He’ll also deliver a state of the program, but watch him not make any bold predictions because he’s told us before he doesn’t really know anything until they start playing league games.

Sorry, fans, but your hopes aren’t facts. This team has some really good players. Maybe even a few that are star-level. The problem is to compete for championships you need about 44 of those guys because injuries will happen. Or goofy officials’ calls, which leads to all these conspiracy theories of SEC trying to keep the Hogs down. We’ll hear about depth all season.

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We have no idea what the answers will be this year. That’s why they play the games. There have been times little was expected of the Razorbacks and they exceeded that bar, too, but Chad Morris isn’t around anymore.

This time may roll into Stillwater, Okla., on the second week of the season and kick Oklahoma State sideways. That will re-energize a fan base that has become terribly bored with the course of football. Most of the discussion I’ve heard throughout the summer has been about basketball and John Calipari.

So you understand what I’m talking about it’s not getting to 6 or 7 wins. That’s just being a little better than anyone expects. To really make a drastic turnaround it’s got to be at least 8 regular-season wins and hope you don’t waste it with a lackluster bowl game effort (those have happened, too).

Good for you if that improvement is what you’re looking to see. It is better than the last couple of years, but everybody will have their own context.

People talk about these paths they see to a certain number of wins. Some are realistic, others are based on counting on something happening without any evidence to support that. Aside from all that, just excuse me for taking it week by week.

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There are too many questions we don’t even know about right now. Let’s at least find out if a new kicker can get it consistently between the uprights.

HOGS FEED:

• Razorbacks close summer with Hog Wild Hangout over weekend

• Mateos adds in-state prospect to 2026 class

• Hogs make huge splash with another 2025 commitment

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