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Kentucky Derby prep guide for Florida Derby & Arkansas Derby

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Kentucky Derby prep guide for Florida Derby & Arkansas Derby


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Illustration by Candice Curtis / Eclipse Sportswire / Coady Media

The road to Kentucky Derby 2025 draws even closer to Churchill Downs Saturday with two of the most productive preps for finding Derby winners: the Florida Derby and the Arkansas Derby. These million-dollar races have combined to produce 31 Kentucky Derby winners since 1953.

After these races, the Kentucky Derby starting gate will be more than half full according to math and history. 

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The first of these premiere preps is the 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park. Ten 3-year-old colts have been entered for the chance at 100-50-25-15-10 qualifying points and the $1 million purse. Post time for the Florida Derby is scheduled for 6:42 p.m. EDT.

The 8-5 morning line favorite is Sovereignty, the Fountain of Youth (G2) winner trained by Bill Mott. The Into Mischief colt unveiled a powerful closing move in his juvenile season that he proved still has a dangerous kick in his first start as a 3-year-old. Jockey Manny Franco replaces his regular rider, Junior Alvarado, after he suffered a shoulder injury last week. 

Bob Baffert ships Madaket Road to Gulfstream for a rare Florida appearance on the Derby trail. Madaket Road was last seen finishing behind Coal Battle in the Rebel (G2) and opts for this spot instead of the Arkansas Derby for the son of Quality Road. Original rider Tyler Gaffalione also suffered an injury this week, so Mike Smith will also ship in to take the last-minute ride. 

Brad Cox sends Holy Bull (G2) runner-up Tappan Street back into the fray after skipping the Fountain of Youth. He got a wide trip in the Holy Bull, which was only his second lifetime start, but closed well enough to show his talent. 

Disruptor steps up into stakes company and stretches out in distance in his third career start for Todd Pletcher. The $1.5 million Gun Runner colt ran away from the field in his last start at Gulfstream, a seven-furlong maiden special weight.

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Get to know all of the Florida Derby contenders with Matt Shifman, who also provides odds and tips. 

TV coverage of both the Florida Derby and Arkansas Derby will be on CNBC and streaming on Peacock beginning at 6 p.m. EDT. FS2 will broadcast the Arkansas Derby and Oaklawn undercard stakes as part of America’s Day at the Races beginning at 4 p.m. EDT. Finally, FanDuel TV will have all of the stakes action from Gulfstream and Oaklawn as part of its daily racing coverage.


Free Stakes PPs • Gulfstream entries • Track trends  

Here are the top lifetime speed figures for the Florida Derby entrants.

No. Horse Beyer* TFUS* Brisnet HRN
  1 Neoequos 91 116 101 117
  2 Cool Intentions 77   98   96 110
  3 Smoken Boy 68   92   75   90
  4 Disruptor 92 115   94 117
  5 Indecisiveness 79 102   84 105
  6 Jimmy’s Dailys 85 106   89 110
  7 Enterdadragon 76 104   91 111
  8 Madaket Road 90 115   96 116
  9 Tappan Street 87 116   99 118
10 Sovereignty 95 113   99 117

*Beyer and TimeformUS speed figures are presented courtesy of Daily Racing Form.

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Pace makes the race

Florida Derby pace projector
TimeformUS projects a swift, pressured pace in the Florida Derby, contested by Neoequos from the rail, Disruptor and Madaket Road. Madaket Road will be blinkers-off for this race, but he will still be forwardly-placed from his outside-ish post. Jimmy’s Dailys has run best when quick out of the gate so he, too will make for the lead.

Tucking in behind the pacesetters will be Cool Intentions and Tappan Street, whose rider Luis Saez will most likely follow Madaket Road into an outside pressing spot. Smoken Boy and Indecisivness will take up mid-pack spots early. Sovereignty and Enterdadragon will settle in at the back of the pack, ready to unfurl closing moves. Madaket Road can best take advantage of the speed-friendly Gulfstream Park surface as he has experience on the notoriously fast Santa Anita strip. Tappan Street can improve on his Holy Bull performance and is fresh off a 56-day layoff. Sovereignty will be closing best and just has to pick off the tiring leaders.

HRN tips & best bets

HRN‘s Ed DeRosa thinks the favorite Sovereignty is tough, but he is taking a risk and keying a long shot in the Florida Derby.

“Enterdadragon might look short on class, but his numbers are comparable with others behind Sovereignty,” Ed said. “His lone dirt start was a one-turn mile at Gulfstream, where he rushed up after an awkward start. I’ll gamble on this one.”

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Disruptor is one of three horses Todd Pletcher hopes will make it to the Kentucky Derby, though time is running out for one of his 3-year-olds to make the case for a rose run. 

Mike Shutty, the creator of Horse Racing Nation’s Super Screener, has identified a top win and top value play with a morning line of 5-1.

“Luis Saez will secure the best position in this race with Tappan Street sitting just 2 lengths off the pace in the early going and then just a length back turning for home, getting the first jump on Sovereignty as he gets by all the pace leaders,” he said.

Get his take on Sovereignty, Madaket Road, and the Florida Derby undercard stakes in the Super Screener. It’s just $97 for weekly analysis and it includes the entire Triple Crown.

In this week’s Ron Flatter Racing Pod, David Levitch, the Paddock Prince, focuses on the Kentucky Derby preps as well as some tips for the Kentucky Oaks qualifiers this week. Also on the podcast is a heartfelt tribute to the late San Diego Union-Tribune columnist Bryce Miller. 

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Head-to-Head handicapping panelists Laurie Ross and Ashley Tamulonis agree on three horses, but that’s where their opinions split for their final picks

Brian Zipse and Matt Shifman recap Sierra Leone’s upset defeat in the New Orleans Classic as well as give their plays for the Florida Derby and Arkansas Derby.

No. Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last start Morn. line
  1 Horse Silk Neoequos Neoequos

Neolithic
7.04

Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.

Edgard J. Zayas

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3rd, 2025 Fountain of Youth G2

10-1

Last race

3rd, 2025 Fountain of Youth G2

  2 Horse Silk Cool Intentions Cool Intentions

Authentic
5.87

Jorge Delgado

Javier J. Castellano

5th, 2025 Mucho Macho Man LS

20-1

Last race

5th, 2025 Mucho Macho Man LS

  3 Horse Silk Smoken Boy Smoken Boy

Catholic Boy
0.00

Cheryl Winebaugh

6th, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

30-1

Last race

6th, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

  4 Horse Silk Disruptor Disruptor

Gun Runner
5.92

Todd A. Pletcher

Irad Ortiz, Jr.

1st, GP MSW (3/1/25-R6)

  4-1

Last race

1st, GP MSW (3/1/25-R6)

  5 Horse Silk Indecisiveness Indecisiveness

Decisive Moment
5.45

Ruben Sierra

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Jorge Ruiz

3rd, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

30-1

Last race

3rd, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

  6 Horse Silk Jimmy's Dailys Jimmy’s Dailys

Vekoma
5.34

Brian A. Lynch

Joel Rosario

2nd, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

12-1

Last race

2nd, GP Alw OC (2/27/25-R8)

  7 Horse Silk Enterdadragon Enterdadragon

Outwork
5.12

Jose Francisco D’Angelo

Dylan Davis

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2nd, 2025 Colonel Liam LS

30-1

Last race

2nd, 2025 Colonel Liam LS

  8 Horse Silk Madaket Road Madaket Road

Quality Road
6.42

Bob Baffert

Mike E. Smith

2nd, 2025 Rebel G2

  7-2

Last race

2nd, 2025 Rebel G2

  9 Horse Silk Tappan Street Tappan Street

Into Mischief
6.39

Brad H. Cox

Luis Saez

2nd, 2025 Holy Bull G3

  5-1

Last race

2nd, 2025 Holy Bull G3

10 Horse Silk Sovereignty Sovereignty

Into Mischief
7.36

William I. Mott

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Manuel Franco

1st, 2025 Fountain of Youth G2

  8-5

Last race

1st, 2025 Fountain of Youth G2

The Grade 1, 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby (G1) is the richest race run at Oaklawn, with a $1.5 million purse. It offers 100-50-25-15-10 qualifying points to the top five finishers. This year’s race has drawn nine 3-year-old colts, including Rebel (G2) winner Coal Battle. Post time for the Arkansas Derby is scheduled for 7:48 p.m. EDT.

The buzz horse and morning-line favorite at 7-2 in the Arkansas Derby is Bob Baffert’s Cornucopian, a son of Into Mischief who steps up big time in his second career start. Cornucopian sizzled in his maiden victory at Oaklawn on Rebel day going six furlongs. This Prospect Watch standout is a half-sibling to Grade 1 winner Guarana and was a $1.1 million Keeneland yearling purchase.

7-5 second choice Coal Battle comes into this off a four-race, all-stakes win streak. He ran down Madaket Road in the Rebel to clinch his spot in the Kentucky Derby, so a win is not required here but will be highly anticipated for the Lonnie Briley trainee. 

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Four other horses from the Rebel Stakes return here, including Southwest winner Speed King and Sandman, who looks for a win after hitting the board in each of his last two stakes starts.

Matt Shifman has full-field stats and analysis for the Arkansas Derby

Here are the top speed figures for the Arkansas Derby entrants.

No. Horse Beyer* TFUS* Brisnet HRN
1 Brereton’s Baytown 72   96   88 101
2 First Division 82   97   85 106
3 Publisher 92 110   93 112
4 Bestfriend Rocket 82   94   85 106
5 Speed King 93 120   92 113
6 Sandman 92 114   95 119
7 Monet’s Magic 84 109   90 106
8 Coal Battle 91 114   98 118
9 Cornucopian 101 120 100 128

*Beyer and TimeformUS speed figures are presented courtesy of Daily Racing Form.


Pace makes the race

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Arkansas Derby pace projector

The Arkansas Derby projects to have an average pace according to TimeformUS, with Cornucopian comfortably in front. Speed King also should be fast early, but just not quite enough to catch the Baffert horse. Coal Battle and Bestfriend Rocket look to press just behind the speed. Publisher, who has yet to win a race in six starts, gets blinkers for this race. Look for him to be more forwardly-placed early, possibly even pressing with Coal Battle. Brereton’s Baytown and Monet’s Magic will settle in mid-pack. First Division and Sandman will trail the field.

Several colts will be ready to unleash a late run here, but Cornucopian will have the advantage as speed of the speed. With John Velazquez in the saddle, any pressure from Speed King will be neutralized before a pace meltdown can develop.

HRN handicappers’ best bets

Laurie Ross and Ashley Tamulonis decide whether Coal Battle can pass Cornucopian in the Arkansas Derby.

Chip Gerhke doesn’t buy the hype on Cornucopian for in his 3-year-old division rankings.

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Ed DeRosa thinks Bob Baffert holds all the cards in the Arkansas Derby, but will they be a straight flush?

No. Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last start Morn. line
1 Horse Silk Brereton's Baytown Brereton’s Baytown

Upstart
0.00

Paul McEntee

Marshall Mendez

8th, 2025 Rebel G2

30-1

Last race

8th, 2025 Rebel G2

2 Horse Silk First Division First Division

Omaha Beach
0.00

Kenneth G. McPeek

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Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.

2nd, OP Alw OC (3/2/25-R9)

20-1

Last race

2nd, OP Alw OC (3/2/25-R9)

3 Horse Silk Publisher Publisher

American Pharoah
5.34

Steven M. Asmussen

Flavien Prat

4th, 2025 Rebel G2

  6-1

Last race

4th, 2025 Rebel G2

4 Horse Silk Bestfriend Rocket Bestfriend Rocket

Curlin
0.00

D. Wayne Lukas

Nik Juarez

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1st, OP Alw OC (3/2/25-R9)

20-1

Last race

1st, OP AlwOC (3/2/25-R9)

5 Horse Silk Speed King Speed King

Volatile
6.48

Ron Moquett

Rafael Bejarano

10th, 2025 Rebel G2

15-1

Last race

10th, 2025 Rebel G2

6 Horse Silk Sandman Sandman

Tapit
6.63

Mark E. Casse

Jose L. Ortiz

3rd, 2025 Rebel G2

  3-1

Last race

3rd, 2025 Rebel G2

7 Horse Silk Monet's Magic Monet’s Magic

Good Magic
5.84

Ben Colebrook

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Luan Machado

5th, 2025 Southwest G3

20-1

Last race

5th, 2025 Southwest G3

8 Horse Silk Coal Battle Coal Battle

Coal Front
7.21

Lonnie Briley

Juan P. Vargas

1st, 2025 Rebel G2

  7-2

Last race

1st, 2025 Rebel G2

9 Horse Silk Cornucopian Cornucopian

Into Mischief
4.80

Bob Baffert

John R. Velazquez

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1st, OP MSW (2/23/25-R5)

  7-5

Last race

1st, OP MSW (2/23/25-R5)



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Alabama holds Arkansas women’s basketball to season scoring low in rout | Arkansas Democrat Gazette

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Alabama holds Arkansas women’s basketball to season scoring low in rout | Arkansas Democrat Gazette


Alabama held the Arkansas women’s basketball team to its lowest scoring output of the season and ran away with a 77-48 victory Sunday afternoon at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Ala.

The Razorbacks (11-6, 0-2 SEC) had a 10-game road winning streak in the series dating to 2008 snapped. It was the first win for the Crimson Tide at home against Arkansas since a 75-73 victory on Jan. 15, 2006.

Alabama never trailed and led by as many as 32 in the wire-to-wire win.

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“I think we could have been more gritty today,” Arkansas coach Kelsi Musick said. “I felt like that’s one thing that we’ve kind of adjusted with our culture so far this season is just playing harder. Today we had some lapses where we weren’t getting any of the 50-50 balls, and that’s got to change.”

The Crimson Tide (15-1, 1-1) found success on both ends of the court, but it was their defense and effort that set the game’s tone.

Arkansas was held to 18 of 57 (32%) shooting from the field, including 5 of 23 (22%) from 3-point range. Alabama owned the boards and outrebounded the Razorbacks 48-37 with 16 coming on the offensive glass.

“Initially I didn’t think we were being as aggressive, especially in the first half,” Musick said. “We gave up 10 of those [offensive rebounds] in the first half, and I think that’s what allowed us to get into such a deficit. We needed to be more physical, and then we had to go initiate that contact to go get the basketball.”

While the Razorbacks were struggling to generate any offense, Alabama was sizzling from beyond the arc. The Crimson Tide knocked down 13 attempts from 3-point range and shot 41% from downtown.

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    Alabama guard Ta’Mia Scott shoots a 3-pointer, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026, during a 77-48 victory over Arkansas at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (Photo courtesy Alabama Athletics)
 
 

Seven different Alabama players made at least one 3-pointer, led by Ta’Mia Scott’s 4 of 6 shooting from range. Scott was the game’s leading scorer with 16 points.

Many of the Tide’s looks were uncontested and were created by solid ball movement and screening actions. Alabama was patient with its possessions and recorded 18 assists as a result.

“First of all, we’ve got to tag that roller quicker so our post player can get back in and our guard can get back out to the 3-point line. And we’ve got to make sure that we’re sprinting. I think there [were] a few times when we could have given a little bit more max effort.”

Alabama seized control of the game in first quarter when it scored 10 unanswered over a 2-minute, 1-second stretch to turn a 15-14 advantage into a 25-14 lead entering the second quarter. During the key run, Waiata Jennings knocked down a pair of 3-pointers for the Tide.

Prior to the momentum-shifting sequence, the Razorbacks were 3 of 6 (50%) from 3-point range. But for the game’s remainder Arkansas was ice cold from deep, finishing 5 of 23 (22%) from outside. The 14 points were the most the Razorbacks scored in any quarter.

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“I didn’t think we shared it, and we didn’t really attack the rim as hard as we needed to on multiple occasions,” Musick said. “We’ve got to get paint touches. We have to knock down threes. That’s just a given. You can’t have a game where we only make five 3s.”

Alabama stretched its lead to 44-24 by halftime, in large part due to establishing itself down low to help balance its scoring. Going into the break, the Tide had scored 21 points from 3-pointers and 18 points in the paint.

Essence Cody was a force around the basket for Alabama, as the Razorbacks struggled to keep her from getting to her spots at the rim. Cody scored 15 points on 5 of 10 shooting, and was strong defensively altering Arkansas’ looks inside.

“She’s a really great 5,” Musick said. “She’s one of the better post players in the league, by far. We just have to make sure that we are making contact early. I think there were a few times whenever we were not tagging that roller early, we let them get too planted deep in the paint, and we weren’t recovering quick enough. You’ve got to get physical early. I think we got physical late, and that was part of the problem.”

The Razorbacks were cleaner than the previous two games when they averaged 25.5 turnovers in losses to Arkansas State and Vanderbilt. But though they committed only 14 against the Tide, they didn’t make their possessions count due to instances of poor shot selection coupled with many misses on open looks.

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“I thought we settled in the first half for some mid-range when we could have got to the rim a little bit more, or we could have pitched it for more wide-open 3s,” Musick said on the Razorback Sports Network postgame radio show. “I thought we settled a little bit…. We did a much better job of turnovers. That was a focus. That’s one positive, is that we didn’t turn it over against the press. We actually took care of the basketball, but we just didn’t shoot it very well when we got the open looks.”

Arkansas got no closer than 17 points in the second half and trailed by as large as 67-35 with 35 seconds left in the third quarter. The Razorbacks went deep in their bench for most of the final 20 minutes, as Musick opted to keep most of her usual rotation on the bench.

“I thought [Danika Galea] came in and did a really good job for us,” Musick said. “I think we have three post players that are very different, that we can kind of bring in and mix up. I thought Jada [Bates] came in and did a really good job. I think we’ve got to as a whole get better defensively, but she really did a lot of good things of getting to the rim and getting to the free-throw line.”

Taleyah Jones and Bonnie Deas led the Razorbacks in scoring with 9 points apiece, followed by Harmonie Ware with 8.

Player of the Game: Alabama G Ta’Mia Scott

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Scott set the tone for Alabama’s strong shooting game, as she knocked down both 3-pointers she took in the first quarter. 

It was a new season high in scoring for the Middle Tennessee State transfer, whose 16 points came on an efficient 6 of 10 (60%) shooting from the field.

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Arkansas is scheduled to host No. 3 South Carolina (15-1, 2-0) at 6:30 p.m. Thursday.

The Gamecocks routed Alabama 83-57 in their SEC opener Thursday, then won at Florida 74-63 on Sunday.

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Entering Sunday, South Carolina was No. 2 in the NCAA’s NET Rankings. It will be a Quadrant 1 game for the Razorbacks.

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Arkansas prison fight to overshadow elections and legislative session in 2026

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Arkansas prison fight to overshadow elections and legislative session in 2026


Building a maximum-security, 3,000-bed prison was supposed to be a crowning achievement for Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders as she touts her bonafides as a law-and-order Republican. Debate over the project is instead casting a shadow on this year’s primary elections and legislative session, with a special election this week in the Senate district where […]



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Acuff scores 29 points to lead No. 18 Arkansas to a 86-75 win over No. 19 Tennessee

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Acuff scores 29 points to lead No. 18 Arkansas to a 86-75 win over No. 19 Tennessee


FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Freshman Darius Acuff Jr. scored a career-high 29 points, including a key 3-pointer with just over two minutes left in the second half, to help No. 18 Arkansas to an 86-75 win over No. 19 Tennessee in the Southeastern Conference opener for both teams on Saturday.

Arkansas (11-3) used a 18-5 run over a 6-minute, 37-second span midway through the second half to turn a five-point deficit into an eight-point lead with 5:40 left. Tennessee shot just 2 for 10 from the field during Arkansas’ run, missing eight shots in a row before finally scoring.

The Volunteers (10-4) took advantage of an Arkansas cold shooting spell — the Razorbacks picked up 12 of their 18 points during the run from the free-throw line — to close within two points with under four minutes to play. Acuff made a 3-pointer from the wing with 2:09 remaining to give the Razorbacks a 79-68 lead.

Tennessee shot 49% from the field and was outscored at the line, going 12 for 23 while Arkansas shot 29 for 33.

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Acuff was the only Arkansas player to shoot better than 50% from the floor, going 9 for 16. The Razorbacks shot 42% overall. Acuff was joined in double-digit scoring by Meleek Thomas, who scored 18 points. Malique Ewin added 12 points and Karter Knox 11.

Amari Evans’ 17 points on 7-for-7 shooting led three Tennessee players in double figures.

Arkansas won its opening SEC game for the first time since the 2020-21 season. The Razorbacks have reached the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament in four of the five seasons since and made two Elite Eight appearances.

Arkansas guard Meleek Thomas (1) shoots over Tennessee defenders Ja’Kobi Gillespie, left, and Felix Okpara, right, during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Jan. 3, 2026, in Fayetteville, Ark. Credit: AP/Michael Woods

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Arkansas: At Ole Miss on Wednesday.

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Tennessee: Hosts Texas on Tuesday.



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