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Researchers Report a Staggering Decline in Wildlife. Here’s How to Understand It.

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Researchers Report a Staggering Decline in Wildlife. Here’s How to Understand It.

It’s clear that wildlife is struggling mightily on our planet, however scientists don’t know precisely how a lot. A complete determine is exceedingly laborious to find out. Counting wild animals — on land and at sea, from gnats to whales — isn’t any small feat. Most nations lack nationwide monitoring methods.

Some of the formidable efforts to fill this void is printed each two years. Often called the Residing Planet Index, it’s a collaboration between two main conservation organizations, the World Extensive Fund for Nature and the Zoological Society of London. However the report has repeatedly resulted in inaccurate headlines when journalists misinterpreted or overstated its outcomes.

The evaluation’s newest quantity, issued Wednesday by 89 authors from world wide, is its most alarming but: From 1970 to 2018, monitored populations of vertebrates declined a median of 69 p.c. That’s greater than two-thirds in solely 48 years. It’s a staggering determine with critical implications, particularly as nations put together to satisfy in Montreal this December in an effort to agree on a brand new international plan to guard biodiversity. However does it imply what you suppose?

Do not forget that this quantity is simply about vertebrates: mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians and fish. Absent are creatures with out spines, despite the fact that they make up the overwhelming majority of animal species (scientists have even much less knowledge on them).

So, have wild vertebrates plummeted by 69 p.c since 1970?

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No.

The examine tracks chosen populations of 5,320 species, vacuuming up all of the related printed analysis that exists, including extra every year as new knowledge permits. It consists of, for instance, a inhabitants of whale sharks within the Gulf of Mexico counted from small planes flying low over the water, and birds tallied by the variety of nests on cliffs. Relying on the species, instruments like digital camera traps and proof like path droppings assist scientists estimate the inhabitants in a sure place.

This 12 months’s replace consists of nearly 32,000 such populations.

There’s a temptation to suppose that a median 69 p.c decline in these populations signifies that’s the share of monitored wildlife that was worn out. However that’s not true. An addendum to the report gives an instance of why.

Think about, the authors wrote, we begin with three populations: birds, bears and sharks. The birds decline to five from 25, a drop of 80 p.c. The bears fall to 45 animals from 50, or 10 p.c. And the sharks lower to eight from 20, or 60 p.c.

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That provides us a median decline of fifty p.c. However the whole variety of animals fell to 92 from 150, a drop of about 39 p.c.

The index is designed that manner as a result of it seeks to know how populations are altering over time. It doesn’t measure what number of people are current.

“The Residing Planet Index can be a modern view on the well being of the populations that underpin the functioning of nature throughout the planet,” stated Rebecca Shaw, chief scientist at WWF and an creator of the report.

One other essential issue is the best way monitored populations find yourself within the index. They don’t signify a broad, randomized sampling. Relatively, they replicate the info that’s out there. So there’s fairly probably bias wherein species are tracked.

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One controversy has been whether or not a small variety of populations in drastic decline name into query the general outcomes. Two years in the past, a examine in Nature discovered that simply 3 p.c of populations had been driving a drastic decline. When these had been eliminated, the worldwide development switched to a rise.

The paper sparked a flurry of responses in Nature in addition to further rationalization and stress testing for this 12 months’s replace. On the brilliant facet, the authors word that about half of the populations within the Residing Planet Index are secure or rising. Nevertheless, once they tried excluding populations with essentially the most drastic adjustments in each instructions, down and up, the common descent remained steep.

“Even after we eliminated 10 p.c of the entire knowledge set, we nonetheless see declines of about 65 p.c,” stated Robin Freeman, head of the symptoms and assessments unit on the Zoological Society of London and an creator of the report.

Sure. Some scientists suppose the report truly underestimates the worldwide biodiversity disaster, partially as a result of devastating declines in amphibians could also be underrepresented within the knowledge.

And, over time, the development is just not turning round.

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“12 months after 12 months we aren’t in a position to begin enhancing the state of affairs, regardless of main insurance policies,” stated Henrique M. Pereira, a professor of conservation biology on the German Heart for Integrative Biodiversity Analysis who was not concerned on this 12 months’s report. “At most we now have been in a position to type of decelerate the declines.”

Latin America and the Caribbean noticed the worst regional drop, down 94 p.c from 1970. The sample was most pronounced in freshwater fish, reptiles and amphibians. Africa was subsequent at 66 p.c; Asia and the Pacific noticed 55 p.c. The area outlined as Europe-Central Asia noticed a smaller decline, at 18 p.c, as did North America, at 20 p.c. Scientists emphasised that far steeper biodiversity losses in these two areas probably occurred lengthy earlier than 1970 and aren’t mirrored on this knowledge.

Scientists know what’s inflicting biodiversity loss. On land, the highest driver is agriculture, as folks flip forests and different ecosystems into farmland for cattle or palm oil. At sea, it’s fishing. There are methods to do each extra sustainably.

If local weather change is just not restricted to 2 levels Celsius, and ideally 1.5 levels, its penalties are anticipated to turn into the main reason for biodiversity loss in coming a long time, the report stated.

In December, the nations of the world will collect to attempt to attain a brand new settlement to safeguard the planet’s biodiversity. The final one largely failed to satisfy its targets. The Residing Planet report presents proof for the way to succeed this time, Dr. Shaw stated. A crucial lesson is that conservation doesn’t work with out the assist of native communities.

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“Once we get actually targeted conservation efforts that incorporate the group, which have the communities stewarding the outcomes as a result of they profit from it, we see that it’s attainable to have will increase in populations,” she stated. “Which is absolutely the brilliant spot.”

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One in five U.S. food and beverage products is made with synthetic dyes

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One in five U.S. food and beverage products is made with synthetic dyes

Odds are, something in your pantry is colored with petroleum.

Synthetic dyes — which give fruit snacks their bright colors and cereals their rainbow crunch — are embedded into the everyday foods that fill grocery store shelves, often in ways consumers don’t realize. However, concern over their health effects has been growing in recent years, fueled by mounting evidence that certain synthetic dyes may harm children’s long-term health.

A new study shows that the use of these chemicals in the manufacturing of foods and beverages in the U.S. is more widespread than many might expect. Nearly 1 in 5 food items and beverages sold in the U.S. contain synthetic dyes, and many of them are commonly marketed to children.

For many Americans, synthetic dyes such as Red 40 and Yellow 5 have become invisible staples of their diet. These petroleum-derived additives are commonly added to processed food and beverages to increase visual appeal and maintain color consistency. However, emerging research has made it clear that they also increase the risk of a range of adverse neurobehavioral effects — to which children are especially susceptible.

A national study published Tuesday in the Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics looked at nearly 40,000 products produced by the top 25 U.S. food and beverage manufacturers, and found that synthetic food dyes were present in 19% of them.

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The study also determined that products using synthetic dyes were significantly more likely to be high in added sugars and low in nutritional quality. Even more concerning, researchers found that 28% of the products in categories most commonly marketed to children, including breakfast cereals, candy and sugar-sweetened beverages, contained synthetic dyes.

Although the study focuses on the prevalence of synthetic dyes in U.S. food and beverages, Elizabeth Dunford, a lecturer at the University of New South Wales and co-author of the study, noted that its findings reinforce concerns among parents and public health experts about the potential neurological and behavioral effects of these additives.

A 2021 assessment from the California Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment concluded that these additives can “cause or exacerbate neurobehavioral problems in children.” Similarly, a 2022 review found that 52% of studies found a significant association between synthetic dye consumption and adverse behavioral outcomes in children, both those with and without existing behavioral disorders.

These health concerns are not limited to behavioral problems. Red 3, for example, has been shown to cause cancer in laboratory rats, and Yellow 5 has been associated with allergic reactions in some individuals. However, despite decades of concern, current U.S. Food and Drug Administration registrations are still based on studies performed 35 to 50 years ago.

In the recent study, the most common dyes that Dunford and her team found were Red 40, Yellow 5, and Blue 1, appearing in 14%, 11%, and 11% of products, respectively. Synthetic dyes were found in such products as blueberry bagels, guacamole, corn chips and hot dog buns — items that consumers might not expect them. “Even as an educated person, I’ve been tricked,” Dunford said. “Consumers can be misled … when there are all these claims on the front of the pack that say ‘healthy’ or ‘made with real fruit juice,’ but it still has dyes.”

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The study found that foods and beverages containing synthetic dyes, on average, had 141% more sugar than dye-free products. The correlation between sugar and synthetic dyes was even more pronounced when it came to products marketed to kids: foods and beverages in the five categories most heavily marketed to children had a mean total sugar content of 42.6 grams per 100 grams — 264% higher than comparable products in other categories.

This marketing strategy, which pairs bright colors with high sugar content, may be part of the reason these foods are so appealing to kids.

But Dunford said that in her personal experience, children won’t notice if they’re given replacement options without those additives. When buying snacks for one of her kid’s parties, she opted for a version of a common brand of corn chips with no synthetic dyes or preservatives. “I gave them to kids at a party, and no one said anything.” Dunford said. “This just goes to show that it’s really the marketing that drives the desire for these products and causes the problems.”

Some steps have been taken to remove synthetic dyes from food and beverages. California banned Red 3 from all foods in 2023 and prohibited six other synthetic food dyes in foods sold in schools in 2024. More recently, in January of this year, the FDA announced that Red 3 will be banned nationwide in all food products by 2027. Warning labels are another potential option to limit synthetic dye consumption, and are being used in the European Union to identify foods containing Red 40, Yellow 5, and Yellow 6.

However, the burden still falls largely on consumers to scrutinize ingredient lists and marketing claims. For many families, that means navigating a colorful and oftentimes misleading food landscape, armed with little more than the fine print on the back of a box.

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Video: Axiom-4 Mission Takes Off for the I.S.S.

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Video: Axiom-4 Mission Takes Off for the I.S.S.

new video loaded: Axiom-4 Mission Takes Off for the I.S.S.

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Axiom-4 Mission Takes Off for the I.S.S.

Hungary, India and Poland sent astronauts to the International Space Station for the first time by paying Axiom Space for the journey.

3, 2, 1, ignition and liftoff. The three nations, a new chapter in space takes flight. Godspeed Axiom 4.

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Contributor: Those cuts to 'overhead' costs in research? They do real damage

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Contributor: Those cuts to 'overhead' costs in research? They do real damage

As a professor at UC Santa Barbara, I research the effects of and solutions to ocean pollution, including oil seeps, spills and offshore DDT. I began my career by investigating the interaction of bacteria and hydrocarbon gases in the ocean, looking at the unusual propensity of microbes to consume gases that bubbled in from beneath the ocean floor. Needed funding came from the greatest basic scientific enterprise in the world, the National Science Foundation.

My research was esoteric, or so my in-laws (and everyone else) thought, until 2010, when the Deepwater Horizon offshore drilling rig exploded and an uncontrolled flow of hydrocarbon liquid and gas jetted into the deep ocean offshore from Louisiana. It was an unmitigated disaster in the Gulf, and suddenly my esoteric work was in demand. Additional support from the National Science Foundation allowed me to go offshore to help figure out what was happening to that petroleum in the deep ocean. I was able to help explain, contextualize and predict what would happen next for anxious residents of the Gulf states — all made possible by the foresight of Vannevar Bush, the original architect of the National Science Foundation.

Now the great scientific enterprise that has enabled my research and so much more is on the brink of its own disaster, thanks to actions and proposals from the Trump administration. Setting aside the targeted cuts to centers of discovery such as Harvard and Columbia, and rumors that California’s public universities are next, the most obvious threats to research are the draconian budget reductions proposed across virtually all areas of science and medicine, coupled with moves to prevent foreign scientists from conducting research-based study in the U.S. The president’s latest budget calls for around a 55% cut to the National Science Foundation overall, with a 75% reduction to research support in my area. A reduction so severe and sudden will reverberate for years and decimate ocean discovery and study, and much more.

But a more subtle and equally dire cut is already underway — to funding for the indirect costs that enable universities and other institutions to host research. It seems hard to rally for indirect costs, which are sometimes called “overhead” or “facilities and administration.” But at their core, these funds facilitate science.

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For instance, indirect costs don’t pay my salary, but they do pay for small-ticket items like my lab coat and goggles and bigger-ticket items like use of my laboratory space. They don’t pay for the chromatograph I use in my experiments, but they do pay for the electricity to run it. They don’t pay for the sample tubes that feed into my chromatograph, but they do support the purchasing and receiving staff who helped me procure them. They don’t pay for the chemical reagents I put in those sample tubes, but they do support the safe disposal of the used reagents as well as the health and safety staff that facilitates my safe chemical use.

They don’t pay salary for my research assistants, but they do support the human resources unit through which I hire them. They don’t pay for international travel to present my research abroad, but they do cover a federally mandated compliance process to make sure I am not unduly influenced by a foreign entity.

In other words, indirect costs support the deep bench of supporting characters and services that enable me, the scientist, to focus on discovery. Without those services, my research enterprise crumbles, and new discoveries with it.

My indirect cost rate is negotiated every few years between my institution and the federal government. The negotiation is based on hard data showing the actual and acceptable research-related costs incurred by the institution, along with cost projections, often tied to federal mandates. Through this rigorous and iterative mechanism, the overhead rate at my institution — as a percentage of direct research costs — was recently adjusted to 56.5%. I wish it were less, but that is the actual cost of running a research project.

The present model for calculating indirect costs does have flaws and could be improved. But the reduction to 15% — as required by the Trump administration — will be devastating for scientists and institutions. All the functions I rely on to conduct science and train the future workforce will see staggering cuts. Three-quarters of my local research support infrastructure will crumble. The costs are indirect, but the effects will be immediate and direct.

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More concerning is that we will all suffer in the long term because of the discoveries, breakthroughs and life-changing advances that we fail to make.

The scientific greatness of the United States is fragile. Before the inception of the National Science Foundation, my grandfather was required to learn German for his biochemistry PhD at Penn State because Germany was then the world’s scientific leader. Should the president’s efforts to cut direct and indirect costs come to pass, it may be China tomorrow. That’s why today we need to remind our elected officials that the U.S. scientific enterprise pays exceptional dividends and that chaotic and punitive cuts risk irreparable harm to it.

David L. Valentine is a professor of marine microbiology and geochemistry at UC Santa Barbara.

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L.A. Times Insights delivers AI-generated analysis on Voices content to offer all points of view. Insights does not appear on any news articles.

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This article generally aligns with a Center Left point of view. Learn more about this AI-generated analysis
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The following AI-generated content is powered by Perplexity. The Los Angeles Times editorial staff does not create or edit the content.

Ideas expressed in the piece

  • The article contends that indirect costs (overhead) are essential for research infrastructure, covering critical expenses like laboratory maintenance, equipment operation, safety compliance, administrative support, and regulatory processes, without which scientific discovery cannot function[1].
  • It argues that the Trump administration’s policy capping indirect cost reimbursement at 15% would inflict “staggering cuts” to research support systems, collapsing three-quarters of existing infrastructure and crippling scientific progress[2][3].
  • The piece warns that broader proposed NSF budget cuts—57% agency-wide and 75% in ocean research—threaten to “decimate” U.S. scientific leadership, risking a shift in global innovation dominance to nations like China[3].
  • It emphasizes that these cuts ignore the actual negotiated costs of research (e.g., UC Santa Barbara’s 56.5% rate) and would undermine “discoveries, breakthroughs, and life-changing advances”[1].

Different views on the topic

  • The Trump administration frames indirect costs as excessive “overhead” unrelated to core research, justifying the 15% cap as a cost-saving measure to redirect funds toward prioritized fields like AI and biotechnology[1][2].
  • Officials assert that budget cuts focus resources on “national priorities” such as quantum computing, nuclear energy, and semiconductors, arguing that funding “all areas of science” is unsustainable under fiscal constraints[1][3].
  • The administration defends its stance against funding research on “misinformation” or “disinformation,” citing constitutional free speech protections and rejecting studies that could “advance a preferred narrative” on public issues[1].
  • Policymakers contend that reductions compel universities to streamline operations, though federal judges have blocked similar caps at other agencies (e.g., NIH, Energy Department) as “arbitrary and capricious”[2].
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