Science
Buffalo Bills Fans Have It Tough, Especially in Antarctica
For about a week leading up to the A.F.C. championship game, Meredith Nolan had been living on a hulking research vessel parked in an Antarctic port. The ship, called the Noosfera, had been waiting for favorable sea conditions before plowing into the icy waters below the southern tip of South America.
It was late January, and Nolan was headed home after spending three months at Palmer Station, a tiny American research base in Antarctica.
She had been studying the effects of climate change on zooplankton, and, in her spare moments, cheering for her favorite football team, the Buffalo Bills. She wore a beanie with a Bills logo on the front and a blue poof on top when she went out on a boat to collect zooplankton in nets, or hiked the receding glacier behind the station. Her hat alerted two other Bills fans that she was one of them.
In some ways, she did not behave like a typical Bills fan, causing joyful chaos and destruction to celebrate the team.
“We’ll see if Meredith starts diving through tables,” Ricky Robbins, who was there studying seabirds, said in reference to a popular activity among fans at Bills tailgates.
But in one important way, she did.
“Every year I get excited,” Nolan said cheerfully in early November. “But I’m hopeful that this is the year.”
Since the 1950s, the National Science Foundation has funded research projects in Antarctica. Palmer Station, built in 1968, is the smallest of its three stations, housing around 40 people in the summer and about 20 in the winter. It is also the warmest, but that still means below-freezing temperatures and snow, even in the summer. Some of those there, like Nolan, are studying the effects of climate change on the environment. For many, sports are a way to stay linked with the outside world, even when connecting with their teams is a challenge.
Until recently, high-speed internet access was limited, when it was available at all. A participant manual from 2018 cautioned: “Large downloads and streaming media have a negative impact on everyone else.”
Sports fans, then, would save up their internet rations for game times.
In 2013, Ken Halanych, then a professor at Auburn University, was on a ship when Auburn won a game against its hated rival, the University of Alabama, by returning a missed field goal 109 yards for a touchdown as time expired.
Halanych spent four hours uploading a video so he could see the play.
He has been to Antarctica eight times since 2000. In 2004, when Auburn was one of three undefeated teams hoping for a spot in the national championship game, he persuaded the station manager at Palmer Station to let him raise an Auburn flag on the ship.
“I wrote ESPN trying to connect with them and saying, ‘Here’s my vote from Antarctica,’” Halanych said. “ESPN never responded.”
Darren Roberts has gone to Antarctica 13 times. He loves the work, though he recognizes that it can be isolating. Roberts isn’t sure he would still be going if his wife, Megan, weren’t part of his research team. Following the Denver Broncos helps him connect with his brother, who is 13 years older.
“It is really sweet,” Megan Roberts said. “They all really bond, especially over the Broncos, even when we’re in these crazy remote places. It’s amazing to see. He keeps in touch with his family because of what’s going on with the Broncos.”
Darren Roberts would follow Broncos games through a Google graphic that showed a little football on a digital field. Its movements corresponded to what was happening in the game.
But when the Broncos won the Super Bowl in 2016, the couple were on a research ship called the Laurence M. Gould. It was captained by a man named Ernest Stelly, a fan of the Dallas Cowboys.
Even though the Cowboys weren’t playing, Stelly pulled the vessel close enough to Palmer Station that it could use the station’s internet to pick up a radio broadcast. The cooks whipped up party snacks, and Stelly hosted a Super Bowl party.
“I remember it was great, like sitting in the dark on the ship listening to the Super Bowl on the bridge,” Roberts said. “And it was really actually very special and kind of a unique thing, especially at that time.
The United States also operates a base at the South Pole, which is much colder but slightly more populous, and an outpost called McMurdo Station, which is south of New Zealand and can support 1,500 residents.
Robbins, who is on the seabirds team with the Robertses, has worked in even more remote locales, which has made it hard for him to follow his favorite teams. He once worked on a small island in Hawaii on which just seven people, including himself, lived. Experiences like that make Antarctica feel “big city almost,” he said.
“Having, like, a galley with chefs and a bedroom and running water and freshwater showers is like, it feels very luxurious,” Robbins said.
The seabird group works out of a small building separate from other scientists. Robbins called it “the birder hut.”
“Darren’s rumor is that we used to be in the big building with an office, but everybody got really sick of smelling penguin poop,” Robbins said.
Work got busier toward the end of their stay, which meant it wasn’t as easy to follow the end of football season. All the birds’ eggs were hatching, and the team had to measure their chicks. The researchers tagged some birds, and removed tags from others, sometimes late at night or early in the morning.
They were out counting penguin colonies and measuring giant petrel chicks when the Broncos lost to the Bills in the playoffs.
Nolan was happy with the outcome of that game. Sports are a bonding point between Nolan and her father, Jim. He is extraordinarily proud that his daughter works in Antarctica, and has grown accustomed to explaining zooplankton to others.
“It’s kind of the bottom of the food chain,” he tells people. “Without zooplankton we’d all be in trouble.”
At home, Meredith lives about 30 minutes away from her parents, as a graduate student at the Virginia Institute of Marine Science. They love hearing about her work and receiving pictures of penguins via text message.
“She’s an amazing kid,” Jim said.
They text constantly during games, particularly when Jim isn’t too stressed.
In late December, when the Bills played the New York Jets, she was putting krill into bottles to begin an experiment. Jim texted to her that she shouldn’t worry, the game was a blowout. The Bills won, 40-14.
Palmer base now uses the Starlink satellite system for high-speed internet access. In mid-December the satellites began pinging from the United States rather than Chile, which meant YouTube TV was available on the base. Nolan could stream her Bills live.
Jim is a Bills fan because he grew up in upstate New York, and Meredith inherited the condition from him. He lived through decades of disappointment, including four consecutive losses in the Super Bowl. His daughter, 24, has seen less of that.
“She’s a very optimistic person, probably more optimistic than I am,” Jim said. “But sometimes, being a Bills fan, it can be tough.”
The Noosfera finally got clearance to sail away on that Sunday evening last month, minutes before the A.F.C. championship game kicked off. Jim tracked the boat on a site called MarineTraffic.com. He doesn’t worry about Meredith too much, but the Drake Passage, an expanse of sea between Palmer Station and Chile, can have 40-foot waves.
After she settled in, Nolan fired up her iPad and logged into YouTube TV. She sent a photo of the setup to her father — it showed the back of Josh Allen’s head and the score of the game, 27-10, Chiefs. She watched as the Bills attempted a comeback, then lost, 32-29, just one game short of the Super Bowl.
“It was quite a bummer,” Nolan said in a text message as the ship made its way toward the potentially treacherous Drake Passage. She added an emoji of a crying face. “But still a great season!”
Science
The Longevity Secrets Helping Athletes Blow Past the Limits of Age
The assessment covers seven simple movements — various lunges, jumps and timed balances — and produces a player score relative to the rest of the league and the player’s own history. The report also includes “jump” and “landing strategy” metrics that chart the distribution of force across a player’s hips, knees and ankles, and it translates arcana like “max ankle dorsification angle” into the lingua franca of basketball: “how small your ankle angle can get like when you get low on a quick first step.” The file, which a player can access throughout his career, regardless of team, is meant to give him information about how hard he can push his body — and, just as critically, when it’s time to ease off.
“When you’re younger, there’s days you can take as many — for us — baseball swings as you want,” New York Yankees first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who is 38, told me. We were talking in mid-February at the team’s spring training facility in Tampa, Fla., as he was getting ready for eight straight months of baseball. “As you get older, there’s times when rest is more important than work.”
For some athletes, the right biometric data presented in the right context represents “permission to rest,” says Ana Montero, a co-founder of Atlas, a San Francisco-based company that makes brain-wave-scanning, behind-the-ear wearables about the size of Mentos candies. “It’s quantifiable evidence that is showing you: Dude, today — or right now — is not the day. Go to the gym, go for a walk, go for whatever it is. And then coming back and actually seeing that you’ve bounced back.”
The Atlas device gathers several types of data, including electroencephalography, or EEG, which measures electrical activity in the brain, and galvanic skin response, or G.S.R., which is what a polygraph test measures. That data is sorted into five categories (among them agility, vitality and stress) and then delivered with advice through a smartphone app.
“There’s always some noise in brain activity because neurons are not perfect chips or transistors,” André Marques-Smith, Atlas’s other co-founder, says. “So mistakes get made.” He adds that what causes neurons to lose their precision are things that we’re all familiar with: fatigue, stress, anxiety, hunger, aging. Tom Ryan, the N.B.A.’s senior vice president of basketball strategy, says Launchpad chose Atlas because it was eager to find a device that collected this sort of data in real time. If it works the way it’s supposed to, then a vet like Goldschmidt will know exactly when he’s good for some extra batting practice and when he should take a nap instead.
Science
Trees that survived L.A.’s wildfires are dying at alarming rate. Can they be saved?
The deadly fires that devastated homes in Pacific Palisades and Altadena also laid waste to a lush canopy of leaves and pine needles that had cooled and shaded residents here for generations.
Now, more than a year later, trees that had survived the flames are disappearing at a troubling rate.
Since the January 2025 fire siege, roughly 20% of surviving street trees have gone missing, according to preliminary results from a University of California research team.
Many of the hundreds of missing trees probably would have recovered from the damage they suffered in the fires, experts say.
Edith de Guzman cuts into the cambium layer of a carrotwood to see if it is green and healthy near Aiglon Plaza in Pacific Palisades.
The results from the survey of about 500 trees in the Palisades and 1,500 in Altadena — including conifers, palms, Chinese elms and carrotwoods — seem to confirm worrying patterns observed by arborists and local volunteers in the burn scars, who said losses will probably continue for years to come.
Several factors appear to be at work.
Even as the Palisades and Altadena rebuild, local governments only undertook limited efforts to water recovering trees. At the same time, building contractors have been quick to remove trees that stand in the way of construction, while debris removal crews have cut down living trees that they mistakenly identified as dead.
In response to the continuing loss of trees, a group of arborists and volunteers are working to keep the recovering trees alive — and hopefully someday start planting the next generation of the burn scars’ urban forests.
While many homeowners view trees through the lens of maintenance costs — regular pruning can be expensive, and tree roots can wreak havoc on sidewalks and underground pipes — the benefits of trees are numerous and well-documented, experts say.
The shade they provide and the process of evapotranspiration — where water on the surface of leaves evaporates and carries away heat similar to how human sweat works — can cool neighborhoods by more than 10 degrees. This cooling reduces the risk of heat illnesses and can lower homeowner energy costs.
Trees also improve air quality, improve residents’ mental health, and reduce the risks of flooding and landslides. Meanwhile, fire experts say that reasonably spread-out and well-maintained trees do not pose a significant fire risk.
Edith de Guzman, a climate change, water and urban forestry researcher with UCLA, has been studying the burn area trees with her team. The researchers did their first assessment in the months following the fire, and donned orange vests to do it again this past month.
Edith de Guzman uses a hypsometer to calculate the height of a tree in Pacific Palisades.
Their discovery that roughly two out of every 10 trees the team went back to check on were missing was particularly concerning to De Guzman because her team was only looking at public street trees — which the city and county have authority over and work to protect — as opposed to trees on private property, which are maintained or felled largely at the discretion of the property owners.
“On private property it’s a different story — except for protected species,” she said. Public trees, however, “we are still seeing removals that are unnecessary, and the city is not sure who is responsible.”
L.A. City Bureau of Street Services did not respond to a request for comment.
The fires themselves killed and damaged a significant fraction of the areas’ urban tree cover — both private and public — although precise estimates are hard to come by.
Almost immediately, the surviving trees faced trouble.
David Card, board president of the Palisades Forestry Committee, said shortly after the fire, trees began to fall. In the chaos of the aftermath, it was unclear what organizations — or what agencies — were responsible.
Rebecca Latta, co-founder of Altadena Green, said that when the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers debris removal efforts began, leadership worked with them to save trees but that the Army Corps’ contractors often pressured homeowners to approve tree removals and incorrectly identified native oak trees — which did not have leaves at the time — as dead.
Chinese elm trees rise over Pacific Palisades.
Once private contractors arrived to begin rebuilding, they often removed trees on private properties they determined were in the way — and sometimes even removed public street trees they did not have authority over, the advocates said.
At the same time, neither the city of Los Angeles nor the county have routinely watered surviving public trees — which arborists say is essential to helping damaged trees recover. The county did one round of watering in Altadena, but found it to be too expensive, Latta said. The city conducted no watering in the Palisades due to a lack of resources, according to Card.
L.A. County Public Works said it remains “committed to preserving the community’s public trees.” It routinely waters newly planted trees and will continue to assess the needs of mature street trees, the department added.
So, local groups are stepping up to save the trees.
The Forestry Committee began sending two watering trucks around the Palisades: a 2,000-gallon tanker from a landscaping company and a 500-gallon tank on the back of a trailer. Altadena Green began conducting property tree surveys to help residents understand which damaged trees would probably survive and how to take care of them.
The Forestry Committee is also working on a long-term tree planting program for the Palisades that will utilize fire-resilient tree species — although the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power asked the Forestry Committee to hold off for a year as it starts working to move power lines underground, Card said. Excavation will probably occur on plots where street trees are typically placed.
Researchers Oliver Khachikian, Matthew Murphy, Mariana Vargas and Sophia Riemer prepare to survey trees near Aiglon Plaza in Pacific Palisades.
In the meantime, saving existing trees remains the tree doctors’ priority.
Laura Travnitz, an Altadena resident who lost her home in the fire, recalled an Army Corps contractor pressuring her to remove more than a dozen fire-impacted trees on her lot. Now, they’re just stumps. Some already have little green shoots reaching up toward the sky.
“I’m 65,” she said. “I’m not going to be around for those to grow again.”
Science
A Landslide in Alaska Set Off a Tsunami. There May Be More to Come.
Nearly 500 feet up a near-vertical rock face, scraped clean of soil and alder trees, Bretwood Higman, a geologist, looked down across the Tracy Arm fjord in southeast Alaska at a scene of devastation.
At 5:26 a.m. on Aug. 10 last year, a mass of rock with a volume 24 times larger than that of the great pyramid of Giza crashed down the mountainside, sending a wave of water 1,578 feet up the opposite wall and setting off a tsunami that roared down the fjord. It swept over the ridge that Dr. Higman was now standing on. The whole thing took about a minute.
Dr. Higman was part of an international team investigating the aftermath of the geologic event, the second largest landslide-generated tsunami on record. Using computer models, the researchers were able to recreate the landslide and tsunami, as well as a standing wave called a seiche that sloshed back and forth for 36 hours after the landslide.
Among other things, the new study, published on Wednesday in the journal Science, revealed how tricky it is to predict such catastrophic landslides before they take place.
The Tracy Arm landslide was preceded by an unusually rapid retreat of the South Sawyer Glacier, leaving the rock slope that ultimately collapsed bare and unsupported. That same rearrangement of land elements is increasingly occurring throughout Alaskan fjords and around the world. As glaciers retreat and thawing permafrost lubricates slopes, these giant landslides may become more frequent.
Scientists have been sounding the alarm about the emerging hazards of climate-linked giant landslides in Alaska for years. In 2020, Dr. Higman discovered a slow-moving landslide in the Barry Arm fjord that he worried could collapse catastrophically and inundate the nearby town of Whittier with a tsunami.
“We’re rapidly approaching a totally new landscape that has way fewer glaciers in the Alps and really everywhere, and a lot of new lakes,” said Mylène Jacquemart, a glaciologist at ETH Zurich who was not involved in the study. She studied the Blatten landslide that buried a Swiss village in rock, ice and water last year.
Jackie Caplan-Auerbach, a seismologist at Western Washington University and an author on the new study, was among the first to hear about the tsunami: Her neighbors, whose boat was anchored at sea some 50 miles from the landslide, texted her about a strange surge of water that had hit their vessel. Other firsthand accounts trickled in from Harbor Island, where camping kayakers said their gear had been carried away by the wave, and from a 150-passenger cruise ship, the National Geographic Venture, that was sitting just outside the fjord.
The stakes are high for detecting these events ahead of time. Although no vessels were in Tracy Arm fjord proper when the landslide hit, that mostly came down to luck: It was early morning and not many boats were about.
But three large cruise ships carrying thousands of passengers and numerous small tour boats visit the fjord daily, ferrying tourists right up to the glacier’s calving face. Had the Venture been up the fjord, instead of at its mouth, the wave would have been “unsurvivable,” Dr. Higman said.
Increased cruise-ship tourism to glacial fjords, and more oil and gas exploration in the Arctic, mean “we, as a global society, are putting more infrastructure and people in harm’s way,” said Dan Shugar, a University of Calgary geomorphologist and the study’s lead author.
Scientists at the U.S. Geological Survey and its state counterpart in Alaska look for slopes along the vast coastline that are moving toward collapse, using satellite radar and optical imagery. Because resources are limited, only Barry Arm is monitored in real time, with on-the-ground scientific instruments. Detailed assessments of a handful more moving slopes are underway in Glacier Bay National Park, which is also frequented by cruise ships.
Dr. Shugar said Tracy Arm “throws a wrench in” the strategy of looking for slope deformation “because it happened, as far as we can tell, without much warning.” Scientists were unable to detect any deformation in the slope before the collapse.
But when Dr. Caplan-Auerbach dug deeper into the seismic data from the landslide, she noticed patterns of land movement similar to those that she had studied for decades, which sometimes preceded landslides on volcanic slopes.
These tremors were “probably tiny bits of slip on the base of the landslide, and it can do that only so much before it’s got to break apart and fall,” she said. Tiny coalescing fractures within the mountain eventually reach a crescendo, a threshold at which point the rock can no longer hold itself together, and the slope gives way.
It is not yet clear how many landslides display these seismic signals as precursors, but since there were no other cautionary signs, they provide a hope of early warning. If the signals are subtle — the slopes “whispering to us, not yelling,” as Dr. Caplan-Auerbach put it — it is possible the seismometer network in Alaska is spread too thin to typically pick them up.
“The bar is, can we do better than missing most of these,” said Noah Finnegan, a geomorphologist at the University of California, Santa Cruz, who was not involved in the study. “So getting a handle on why these precursors happen and what their relationship is to catastrophic collapse is an area many people are interested in.”
Last month, three cruise lines notified customers that their ships would not visit Tracy Arm this year, opting instead for nearby Endicott Arm and Dawes Glacier. “That’s probably a wise move, but there’s no reason why Endicott is any safer than Tracy,” Dr. Shugar said.
Stephen Hicks, a seismologist at the University College London and an author on the study, said the planet is entering a new era when warming has penetrated geology.
“When we think about climate change, we think about impacts in the atmosphere and rising sea levels,” he said. “We sort of look up and across, but we don’t often look down,” he added, but now “the ground has moved beneath all our feet.”
Many open questions remain. But among the biggest, Dr. Higman said, is whether we can expect a significant increase in such events as a result of climate change, as some studies suggest.
“If it’s a dice you roll every 50 years, well, maybe that’s all right,” he said. “But if it’s one you’re rolling once or twice a year, then this is really, really urgent.”
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