Science
Another victim of Trump's tariffs: California's electric vehicle ambitions
The price of electric vehicles in the U.S. will likely rise due to the Trump administration’s new tariffs, potentially jeopardizing California’s ambitious climate goals.
Over the past month, the Trump administration announced it will impose tariffs against many of the U.S.’ largest trading partners, across a range of imported goods.
The tariffs would levy a tax — and hike prices — on imported coffee, electronics and other goods. But perhaps no sector of the economy will be more affected by tariffs than the automotive industry, which depends on global supply chains for raw materials, parts and vehicle assembly.
“The supply chain for vehicle manufacturing is pretty tightly integrated across several countries — especially Canada, U.S. and Mexico,” said Danny Cullenward, senior fellow with the Kleinman Center for Energy Policy at the University of Pennsylvania. “If a tariff applies every single time there’s a border crossing, that’s going to have massive impacts on vehicle manufacturing.”
Trump last month imposed 25% tariffs on all imported vehicles and certain automobile parts. If the tariffs remain in place, experts expect all vehicles sold in the U.S. — gas-powered or electric — to become more expensive, perhaps motivating drivers to hold onto their older cars.
“I think that we will buy less new cars altogether, which is not good for the economy and the environment,” said Gil Tal, director of the Electric Vehicle Research Center at UC Davis. “Because new cars — electric and gas — are usually more efficient and clean.”
Electric vehicles could be especially susceptible to price increases. Lithium-ion batteries in EVs have traditionally been made with rare-earth metals, such as cobalt and nickel, that are largely found overseas. Although some American automakers are transitioning to new batteries that don’t depend on those scarce minerals, many of the largest EV battery producers are in China, South Korea and Japan.
Trump announced Wednesday on TruthSocial that he will place a 125% tariff on all Chinese goods.
“A lot of the [EV] batteries are still coming from China,” Tal said. “Some car companies will be more impacted by that than others.”
To combat air pollution and stem the proliferation of greenhouse gases, the California Air Resources Board adopted a rule in 2022 to require an increasing percentage of new car sales to be zero-emission vehicles over the next decade. The Advanced Clean Cars II regulation culminates in a statewide ban on the sale of new gas-only cars in 2035.
“The administration’s newly imposed tariffs put the American auto industry in reverse and hurt domestic manufacturing of all vehicle types,” said Liane Randolph, chair of the state Air Resources Board. “They put workers in peril and impose a new tax on consumers.” The effects will undermine the competitiveness of companies that were once the envy of the world as foreign manufacturers outperform them and continue to chip away at U.S. market share.
EV sales in California are among the highest in the nation, with one in four cars sold in 2024 being zero-emission or a plug-in hybrid. But around 40% of all EVs and plug-in hybrids sold in California in the fourth quarter of 2024 were made by foreign automakers, according to data from the California Energy Commission.
Although Tesla is still by far the best-selling EV maker, its popularity is beginning to wane due to its association with controversial Chief Executive Elon Musk. Tesla reported a 13% drop in sales in the first three months of 2025.
“Tesla has become a toxic brand in California, for many people,” Tal said. “But with a strong enough discount, people may bite the bullet and get one.”
And although the adoption of electric cars has been one of California’s greatest success stories, the state is still struggling to encourage a transition away from fossil fuel-powered heavy-duty trucks and buses. So far, foreign automakers dominate those sectors as well.
Many public transit agencies in Southern California —Los Angeles Department of Transportation and Long Beach Transit — have purchased buses from BYD, a Chinese company and the world’s largest manufacturer of electric vehicles. And although BYD has an assembly plant in Lancaster, the company — like others — will still need to import parts from outside the U.S.
The average cost of a new electric car is about $55,000, which remains several thousand dollars higher than a new gas-powered car, according to Kelley Blue Book, an automotive research company based in Irvine. Although Trump has threatened to remove financial incentives for electric vehicle purchases, the federal government still offers up to $7,500 in rebates to buy a new EV. And the price of charging remains cheaper than filling up a tank of gas in California.
If California wants to continue growing the number of EVs in spite of tariffs, Tal said state officials must keep other costs low — namely the cost of electricity.
“We need to make sure that driving electric will be cheaper than driving gas,” he said.
Science
Why California’s milk cartons may lose their coveted recycling symbol
California milk cartons may lose their coveted recycling symbol, the one with the chasing arrows, potentially threatening the existence of the ubiquitous beverage containers.
In a letter Dec. 15, Waste Management, one of the nation’s largest waste companies, told the state the company would no longer sort cartons out of the waste stream for recycling at its Sacramento facility. Instead, it will send the milk- and food-encrusted packaging to the landfill.
Marcus Nettz, Waste Management’s director of recycling for Northern California and Nevada, cited concerns from buyers and overseas regulators that cartons — even in small amounts — could contaminate valuable material, such as paper, leading them to reject the imports.
The company decision means the number of Californians with access to beverage carton recycling falls below the threshold in the state’s “Truth in Recycling” law, or Senate Bill 343.
And according to the law, that means the label has to come off.
The recycling label is critical for product and packaging companies to keep selling cartons in California as the state’s single-use packaging law goes fully into effect. That law, Senate Bill 54, calls for all single-use packaging to be recyclable or compostable by 2032. If it isn’t, it can’t be sold or distributed in the state.
The labels also provide a feel-good marketing symbol suggesting to consumers the cartons won’t end up in a landfill when they’re discarded, or find their way into the ocean where plastic debris is a large and growing problem.
On Tuesday, the state agency in charge of waste, CalRecycle, acknowledged Waste Management’s change.
In updated guidelines for the Truth in Recycling law, recycling rates for carton material have fallen below the state threshold.
It’s a setback for carton manufacturers and their customers, including soup- and juice-makers. Their trade group, the National Carton Council, has been lobbying the state, providing evidence that Waste Management’s Sacramento Recycling and Transfer Station successfully combines cartons with mixed paper and ships it to Malaysia and other Asian countries including Vietnam, proving that there is a market. The Carton Council persuaded CalRecycle to reverse a decision it made earlier this year that beverage cartons did not meet the recycling requirements of the Truth in Recycling law.
Brendon Holland, a spokesman for the trade group, said in an email that his organization is aware of Waste Management’s decision, but its understanding is that the company will now sort the cartons into their own dedicated waste stream “once a local end market is available.”
He added that even with “this temporary local adjustment,” food and beverage cartons are collected and sorted in most of California, and said this is just a “temporary end market adjustment — not a long-term shift away from historical momentum.”
In 2022, Malaysia and Vietnam banned imports of mixed paper bales — which include colored paper, newspapers, magazines and other paper products — from the U.S. because they were so often contaminated with non-paper products and plastic, such as beverage cartons. Waste Management told The Times on Dec. 5 that it has a “Certificate of Approval” by Malaysia’s customs agency to export “sorted paper material.” CalRecycle said it has no regulatory authority on “what materials may or may not be exported.”
Adding the Sacramento facility to the list of waste companies that were recycling cartons meant that the threshold required by the state had been met: More than 60% of the state’s counties had access to carton recycling.
At the time, CalRecycle’s decision to give the recycling stamp to beverage cartons was controversial. Many in the environmental, anti-plastic and no-waste sectors saw it as a sign that CalRecycle was doing the bidding of the plastic and packaging industry, as opposed to trying to rid the state of non-recyclable, polluting waste — which is not only required by law, but is something state Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta is investigating.
Others said it was a sign that the Truth in Recycling law was working: Markets were being discovered and in some cases, created, to provide recycling.
“Recyclability isn’t static, it depends on a complicated system of sorting, transportation, processing, and, ultimately, manufacturers buying the recycled material to make a new product,” said Nick Lapis, director of advocacy for Californians Against Waste.
He said this new information, which will likely remove the recycling label from the cartons, also underscores the effectiveness of the law.
“By prohibiting recyclability claims on products that don’t get recycled, SB 343 doesn’t just protect consumers. It forces manufacturers to either use recyclable materials or come to the table to work with recyclers, local governments and policymakers to develop widespread sustainable and resilient markets,” he said.
Beverage and food cartons — despite their papery appearance — are composed of layers of paper, plastic and sometimes aluminum. The sandwiched blend extends product shelf life, making it attractive to food and beverage companies.
But the companies and municipalities that receive cartons as waste say the packaging is problematic. They say recycling markets for the material are few and far between.
California, with its roughly 40 million residents, has some of the strictest waste laws in the nation. In 1989, the state passed legislation requiring cities, towns and municipalities to divert at least 50% of their residential waste away from landfills. The idea was to incentivize recycling and reuse. However an increasing number of products have since entered the commercial market and waste stream — such as single use plastics, polystyrene and beverage cartons — that have limited (if any) recycling potential, can’t be reused, and are growing in number every year.
Fines for municipalities that fail to achieve the required diversion rates can run $10,000 a day.
As a result, garbage haulers often look for creative ways to deal with the waste, including shipping trash products overseas or across the border. For years, China was the primary destination for California’s plastic, contaminated paper and other waste. But in 2018, China closed its doors to foreign garbage, so U.S. exporters began dumping their waste in smaller southeast Asian countries, including Malaysia and Vietnam.
They too have now tried to close the doors to foreign trash as reports of polluted waterways, chokingly toxic air, and illness grows — and as they struggle with inadequate infrastructure to deal with their own domestic waste.
Jan Dell, the founder and CEO of Last Beach Cleanup, released a report with the Basel Action Network, an anti-plastic organization, earlier this month showing that the Sacramento facility and other California waste companies were sending bales of carton-contaminated paper to Malaysia, Vietnam and other Asian nations.
According to export data, public records searches and photographic evidence collected by Dell and her co-authors at the Basel Action Network, more than 117,000 tons or 4,126 shipping containers worth of mixed paper bales were sent by California waste companies to Malaysia between January and July of this year.
Dell said these exports violate international law. A spokesman for Waste Management said the material they were sending was not illegal — and that they had received approval from Malaysia.
However, the Dec. 15 letter suggests they were receiving more pushback from their export markets than they’d previously disclosed.
“While certain end users maintain … that paper mills are able to process and recycle cartons,” some of them “have also shared concerns … that the inclusion of cartons … may result in rejection,” wrote Nettz.
Dell said she was “pleased” that Waste Management “stopped the illegal sortation of cartons into mixed paper bales. Now we ask them and other waste companies to stop illegally exporting mixed paper waste to countries that have banned it.”
Science
Video: Why Scientists Are Performing Brain Surgery on Monarchs
new video loaded: Why Scientists Are Performing Brain Surgery on Monarchs
By Alexa Robles-Gil, Leila Medina, Joey Sendaydiego and Mark Felix
December 23, 2025
Science
Video: Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space
new video loaded: Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space
transcript
transcript
Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space
A paraplegic engineer from Germany became the first wheelchair user to rocket into space. The small craft that blasted her to the edge of space was operated by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin.
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Capsule touchdown. There’s CM 7 Sarah Knights and Jake Mills. They’re going to lift Michi down into the wheelchair, and she has completed her journey to space and back.
December 21, 2025
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