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The state of the union is anxious, but annual speech to Congress offers Biden an opportunity

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President Biden took workplace 13 months in the past vowing to halt the COVID-19 pandemic, enhance the economic system, soften America’s calcifying partisan division, restore religion in Washington’s management on the world stage and show that democracies can perform and ship.

As he prepares for his first State of the Union handle on Tuesday — at a second of rising nervousness throughout the nation and the world — these endeavors stay works in progress, at finest.

“No president in my reminiscence has had so many crises dumped onto him within the first yr as Biden has, and the speech must be equal to that,” stated Bob Shrum, a longtime Democratic speechwriter who aided President Clinton along with his State of the Union addresses. “It’s his finest probability and his finest platform to attempt to outline the Democratic Get together and his presidency in a approach that may have traction within the [November] midterms.”

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Shrum stated Biden must strike a cautious stability within the speech. He wants to focus on his administration’s successes, Shrum stated, however can not strike a triumphalist tone.

“It’s a must to say what individuals [will] consider,” Shrum continued. “They want a really cautious framing that claims, ‘We’ve achieved some necessary issues, however there are some actually necessary challenges that matter to people who now we have to deal with.’ The important thing right here is to not sound happy.”

Though the pandemic could also be easing, main the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention to elevate most indoor masks necessities Friday, Biden can’t simply declare victory and repeat a mistake that had huge political penalties. Seven months in the past, he instructed the nation it had turned a nook within the pandemic, simply earlier than new coronavirus variants arrived and drove up COVID-19 caseloads, hospitalizations and deaths. The Delta and Omicron waves exhausted what little endurance the nation had left.

Biden can also’t simply have fun surging financial progress. Regardless of file first-year positive aspects within the job market, surging inflation has exacerbated the financial insecurity felt by tens of millions of Individuals.

And whereas he gained passage of a bipartisan infrastructure bundle in October, the president’s different main home agenda merchandise — an financial reduction bundle for working households that additionally included his administration’s foremost try to fight local weather change — has stalled. Biden has forged the plan as one of the best ways to make sure America’s relevance on the planet economic system whereas defending the setting. However these Rooseveltian ambitions have been deflated by the realities of Democrats’ razor-thin congressional majorities, upsetting his celebration’s most ardent supporters forward of November’s midterm elections.

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With the American public largely preoccupied with home issues and his approval score within the low 40s, Biden should communicate to Individuals’ financial considerations whereas providing some reassurance that issues are enhancing.

“The president will probably be ridiculed if he says the state of the union is powerful, however he doesn’t must say it’s horrible,” stated Timothy Naftali, a presidential historian at New York College. “They need honesty, however in addition they need hope.”

Dan Sena, a Democratic operative and former government director of the Democratic Congressional Marketing campaign Committee, stated that Biden “has to acknowledge the general public’s fears and considerations and the work common individuals have performed to maneuver ahead. And that may make the viewers extra receptive to listening to about what he and Democrats have performed.”

His combined success in curbing the pandemic and passing his legislative agenda has been additional sophisticated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine final week. The unprovoked assault threatens international vitality markets and the safety of Europe and the West, and has challenged Biden’s proposition that democracies are destined to conquer autocracies.

“In the event you’re specializing in the home scenario, it’s fairly laborious to do an upbeat discuss,” stated Douglas Brinkley, a presidential historian at Rice College. “And for those who’re specializing in international affairs, it’s laborious to do an upbeat discuss.”

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Even so, Russia’s battle in Ukraine provides Biden a chance, in Brinkley’s view, to persuade Individuals of the significance of a united transatlantic alliance and to emphasise that he introduced allies collectively to face in opposition to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s assault.

“It’s a key second to take the stage as the worldwide chief who’s going to halt authoritarianism by build up our armed forces,” Brinkley stated. “He in some way has to make individuals actually really feel like ‘the USA is again,’ that democracy is everlasting.”

With broad bipartisan help within the U.S. coalescing behind Ukraine in its combat in opposition to Russia, the battle represents Biden’s finest probability to garner robust applause from each side of the Home chamber.

Whereas not recognized for hovering oratory, Biden, like each president, will use the speech “to stipulate his imaginative and prescient and agenda,” stated John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster who labored on Biden’s 2020 marketing campaign. “Joe Biden does an excellent job on massive, necessary speeches of being actually clear about what his imaginative and prescient and agenda is, and in addition what he himself believes and values,” he stated.

Biden, aides say, has been reviewing drafts of the speech for a number of weeks, squeezing prep classes into days already jam-packed with conferences about Ukraine, his nomination on Friday of the primary Black lady to the Supreme Court docket, and journey geared toward selling the advantages of the infrastructure legislation.

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Within the handle, he’s prone to make a case that Congress ought to go key components of his agenda, together with subsidies for baby care and tax breaks to incentivize cleaner vitality markets. However elevating expectations on insurance policies which might be no certain guess to turn out to be legislation carries some danger.

Sena, the Democratic operative, stated it might be extra useful to Democrats on the poll in November for Biden to emphasise what he has already achieved, particularly the reduction bundle enacted almost a yr in the past that has triggered a drop in unemployment, and passage of the bipartisan infrastructure legislation.

“Giving campaigns the power to plant their toes and lean into their accomplishments and what they’ve performed to ship in making individuals’s lives simpler, that ought to be the aim,” Sena stated.

By touting his nomination of Decide Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court docket, Biden also can lean into the historical past she would make as the primary Black feminine justice whereas reminding Democrats that holding on to the Senate and the presidency would enable him to additional affect the trajectory of the judiciary.

Jennifer Palmieri, who served as President Obama’s White Home communications director, sees Biden tying collectively the Supreme Court docket, his home agenda and his international coverage objectives beneath the broader theme of working to revive the vitality of American and international democracy — an purpose that the battle in Ukraine has forged in sharper reduction.

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“That is the hand they’ve been dealt,” stated Palmieri, asserting that aides little question “need him speaking about how he’s going to fight inflation.”

Biden ought to “lean into the necessary historic second [he’s] in,” she added. “It could be tougher to have a extra conventional, grounded coverage agenda break by means of this yr, but when I had been them, I’d say this can be a second for the president of the US to rally the nation to a really massive second and problem for the nation and the world.

“And unifying round this one combat goes to assist to construct credibility for others.”

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Supreme Court rules to allow emergency exceptions to Idaho's abortion ban

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Supreme Court rules to allow emergency exceptions to Idaho's abortion ban

The Supreme Court Thursday ruled that doctors in Idaho must – at least for now – be allowed to provide emergency abortions despite the state’s near-total ban, in order comport with the federal law that requires emergency rooms to give “stabilizing treatments” to patients in critical condition. 

In an unsigned opinion, the Court held that writs of certiorari in two cases involving the law were “improvidently granted,” and vacated stays the Court granted earlier this year. 

The consolidated cases, Moyle v. U.S. and Idaho v. U.S., had national attention following the high court’s 2022 ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade. 

SCOTUS TO HEAR ARGUMENTS IN BIDEN’S LAWSUIT ‘SUBVERTING STATES’ RIGHTS’ ON ABORTION

Abortion rights demonstrators protest outside the US Supreme Court in Washington, D.C., US, on Friday, June 24, 2022.  (Ting Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

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Idaho’s newly enacted Defense of Life Act makes it a crime for any medical provider to perform an abortion with exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother.  

The Justice Department argued that the state’s law does not go far enough to allow abortions in more medical emergency circumstances.

The DOJ sued the state, saying that the federal Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (EMTALA) requires health care providers to give “stabilizing treatment” – including abortions – for patients when needed to treat an emergency medical condition, even if doing so might conflict with a state’s abortion restrictions.

The state had argued that “construing EMTALA as a federal abortion mandate raises grave questions under the major questions doctrine that affect both Congress and this Court.” Proponents of the state’s abortion restriction accused the Biden administration of “subverting states’ rights,” citing the Dobb’s decision which allowed states to regulate abortion access.

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This is a developing story. Please check back here for more updates.

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Supreme Court rejects Idaho's appeal — for now — to ban abortions in medical emergencies

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Supreme Court rejects Idaho's appeal — for now — to ban abortions in medical emergencies

The Supreme Court retreated Thursday from ruling on Idaho’s near total ban on abortions, leaving in place a judge’s order that for now allows doctors to perform abortions when necessary in medical emergencies.

The justices in an unsigned order said they had “improvidently granted” Idaho’s appeal in its dispute with the Biden administration over emergency care.

A draft of the order was inadvertently posted on the court’s website on Wednesday.

Justices were sharply divided when they heard the Idaho case in April. Justice Amy Coney Barrett accused the state’s attorney of giving shifting answers on whether certain emergencies could justify an abortion.

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The justices were unable to agree on a majority ruling.

On Thursday, the justices split four ways in explaining their views. Barrett, joined by Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. and Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh, said the court made a “miscalculation” by intervening too soon. She said both sides have continued to change their positions on what the state and federal laws require when it comes to emergency abortions.

Justices Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor said the court was right to step back and allow emergency abortions to resume. They noted that because of the strict ban, women have been airlifted out of Idaho to have abortions in other states.

Dissenting, Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. said the Biden administration would say hospitals “must perform abortions on request when the ‘health’ of a pregnant woman is serious jeopardy.” That cannot be right, he said, because the law refers to protecting an “unborn child.” Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil M. Gorsuch agreed.

Dissenting alone, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson said the court should have ruled for the administration and held hospitals must provide emergency abortions if needed to stabilize a patient. “Today’s decision is not a victory for pregnant patients in Idaho. It is delay,” she wrote.

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In January, the court issued an order that allowed Idaho to temporarily enforce its law. That too was set aside on Thursday.

Idaho’s abortion ban is among the nation’s strictest. It permits abortions only when “necessary to prevent the death of the pregnant woman.” It makes no exception for emergencies or medical conditions which could endanger a patient’s health.

The Biden administration sued Idaho in 2022, arguing that the federal Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act requires hospitals to provide “necessary stabilizing treatment” to patients who arrived there. And in rare cases, U.S. health officials said, doctors may be required to perform abortion if a woman is suffering from a severe infection or uncontrolled bleeding.

Idaho’s state attorneys and state legislators sharply disagreed. They said the federal law has nothing to do with abortions.

But a federal judge in Idaho ruled for the administration and handed down a narrow order that permits abortions in certain medical emergencies. The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals refused to lift that order while it weighed the state’s appeal.

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The case of Moyle vs. United States posed a clash between the federal law that requires hospitals to provide emergency care and the state’s authority to regulate doctors and the practice of medicine.

Arguing for the administration, Solicitor Gen. Elizabeth Prelogar said pregnant woman “can suffer dangerous conditions that require immediate medical treatment to prevent death or serious injury, including organ failure or loss of fertility. And in some tragic cases, the required stabilizing care—the only treatment that can save the woman’s life or prevent grave harm to her health—involves terminating the pregnancy.”

She said Idaho was among only six states that make no exceptions for protecting the health of a pregnant patient.

After Idaho’s law took effect, doctors reported that six women who needed an abortion because of medical complications were transported to hospitals outside the state.

Doctors in Idaho contended that the state’s law endangers patients, and they spoke out against it during the court battle.

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In medical emergencies, “delay puts the patient’s life and health at risk. But the lack of clarity in the law is creating fear in our physicians,” Dr. Jim Souza, chief physician executive for St. Luke’s Health System in Boise, said in an earlier interview.

He said doctors in emergency rooms often see pregnant women whose water has broken, or who have a severe infection or are bleeding badly. An abortion may be called for in such a situation, but doctors know they could be subject to criminal prosecution if they act too soon, he said.

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Biden, Trump face off at CNN Presidential Debate which may 'change the narrative in a massive way'

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Biden, Trump face off at CNN Presidential Debate which may 'change the narrative in a massive way'

ATLANTA — In a presidential election rematch that remains extremely close and where every vote may count come November, it’s no understatement to say that there’s an incredible amount at stake in Thursday’s first of two debates between President Biden and former President Trump.

The two presumptive major party nominees will face off on the same stage at the CNN Presidential Debate, which is being held at the cable news network’s studios in Atlanta, the largest city and capital of the crucial southeastern battleground state of Georgia.

“This is a toss-up race and there’s over two months until the next debate. This showdown is going to set a tone and a narrative heading into this summer’s conventions,” longtime Republican strategist and communications adviser Matt Gorman told Fox News, as he pointed to the earliest general election presidential debate in modern history. 

And Gorman, a veteran of numerous GOP presidential campaigns, emphasized that the debate, which will be simulcast on the Fox News Channel and on other networks, has the potential “to change the narrative in a massive way” as Biden and Trump “try to break out” from the current status quo.

WHICH DONALD TRUMP WILL SHOW UP AT THURSDAY’S FIRST PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE

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Signage for the upcoming presidential debate is seen at the media file center near the CNN Techwood campus in Atlanta on Tuesday, June 25, 2024.  (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

The debate, which kicks off at 9pm ET, will be 90 minutes in length, with two commercial breaks. 

Only the Democratic incumbent and his Republican predecessor will be on the stage, as the third party and independent candidates running for the White House – including Robert F. Kennedy Jr. – failed to reach the qualifying thresholds. 

To make the stage, candidates needed to reach at least 15% in four approved national surveys and to make the ballot in enough states to reach 270 electoral votes, which is the number needed to win the White House.

HOW TO WATCH THE CNN PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE SIMULCAST ON THE FOX NEWS CHANNEL

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Trump and Biden bypassed the Commission on Presidential Debates – which had organized these quadrennial showdowns for over three decades – and instead mutually agreed on the rules and conditions.

Those include no studio audience, each candidate’s microphone will be muted except when it’s their turn to answer questions, no props or notes allowed on stage, and no opening statements.

There will be closing statements and a coin flip determined that Trump will get the final word.

The debate comes as polls indicate a very tight race between Biden and Trump, with the former president holding the slight edge in many national polls and surveys in the roughly half-dozen or so battleground states that will likely determine the election’s outcome.

“To put it very simply – debates move numbers in a way few other events do. Period,” Gorman highlighted. “And with over two months to go until the second debate [an ABC News hosted showdown scheduled for Sept. 10], the narratives formed on Thursday night may harden into concrete, so showing up and performing well in Atlanta is crucial.”

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Both candidates come into the debate with an ample amount of baggage that will offer their rival plenty of potential ammunition.

The 81-year-old Biden, the oldest president in the nation’s history, for months has faced serious concerns from voters over his age and physical and mental durability. He’s also been dealing for nearly three years with underwater job approval ratings as he’s struggled to combat persistent inflation and a crisis at the nation’s southern border, as well as plenty of overseas hot spots.

FIRST ON FOX: BIDEN CAMPAIGN RIPS TRUMP OVER ‘NEGLECT OF DUTY’ ON EVE OF FIRST 2024 DEBATE

Meanwhile, Trump made history for all the wrong reasons last month, as he was convicted of 34 felony counts in the first criminal trial ever of a former or current president.

Three and a half years after the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol by Trump supporters trying to upend congressional certification of Biden’s 2020 election victory, Trump faces criminal charges of trying to overturn the results of the last presidential contest. His promises of second-term retribution against his political enemies have created a backlash, and he’s struggled along with plenty of other Republicans to deal with the combustible issue of abortion two years after the Supreme Court struck down the decades-old Roe v. Wade ruling. 

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Arguably the biggest question surrounding Thursday night’s debate is which version of Trump will show up?

Trump, Biden debate

Then-former Vice President Joe Biden and then-President Donald Trump debate at Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee, on Oct. 22, 2020. (Kevin Dietsch/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Will it be the undisciplined candidate who continuously interrupted Biden and debate moderator Chris Wallace dozens and dozens of times at their first debate in the 2020 election? 

Trump appeared to lose his cool, failed to condemn white supremacists, and his performance was widely panned by political pundits and viewers alike.

Or will it be the Trump of the second 2020 debate, when the then-president re-worked his strategy and his disciplined and measured performance was a vast improvement.

“If he replicates that performance, Donald Trump’s going to have a very good night,” longtime Republican consultant and veteran debate coach Brett O’Donnell told Fox News.

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BIDEN AND TRUMP CAMPAIGNS MAKE MOVES ON THE EVE OF THE DEBATE 

O’Donnell said his advice to Trump is “watch the second debate you had with Joe Biden in 2020 and replicate that performance. Watch it over and over and replicate that performance in this debate.”

“He was measured but firm,” O’Donnell said of Trump. “You can be aggressive and passionate without being offensive.”

O’Donnell knows a bit about coaching presidential candidates ahead of their debates. He assisted in debate preparations for George W. Bush in 2004, GOP presidential nominee Sen. John McCain of Arizona in 2008, and Republican standard-bearer and then-former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in 2012. 

This election cycle, O’Donnell coached Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis ahead of his debate performances in the Republican presidential primaries.

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O’Donnell said Biden needs to be careful not “to fall into the incumbent trap… Many if not most incumbents in their first debate, whether it’s Ronald Reagan or George H.W. Bush or George W. Bush or Barack Obama, most incumbents perform poorly in their first debate going for the second term.”

“So the advice to Biden is avoid the incumbent trap because if he falls into it, it’s doubly bad because of all the age arguments,” he added.

And O’Donnell emphasized that Biden has “got to somehow frame the race as a choice in defense of his record over the past four years. That is a tall order, but that’s something he has to do in order to justify picking him over Donald Trump.”

Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.

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