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Comparing Arthur Smith's Pass Game Scheme To Pittsburgh's

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Comparing Arthur Smith's Pass Game Scheme To Pittsburgh's


After learning a lot about new Pittsburgh offensive coordinator Arthur Smith’s run types, I wanted to do a similar dive on his passing schemes as a play caller the last five seasons and compare that to Pittsburgh the last two years, considering the largely similar cast at hand for Smith in 2024.

First, here are tables of Smith’s schemes as OC in Tennessee (2019-2020), followed by his 2021-2023 head coach stint in Atlanta, along with Pittsburgh from 2022-2023, with takeaways and breakdowns to follow:

Curl, out, and screen were a top-five pass scheme for Smith and the Steelers in their respective spans. Curls led all groups in attempts, with Smith’s units averaging the highest COMP and Tennessee having the best 7.8 ANY/A (PIT 6.5).

Outs were second most common for each team, with Pittsburgh leading in attempts (142), COMP (71.1), and ANY/A (6.8). The attempts are notable, with Pittsburgh’s two-year sample eclipsing Smith’s last three in Atlanta, along with the Steelers having far more success. Smith’s results on out-schemes were much better in Tennessee, optimistically.

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Screens have been a bugaboo in Pittsburgh, and their fourth-most attempts over the span. The strongest 89.9 COMP of the teams in our sights, but the lowest 4.4 ANY/A of the most commonly run schemes, which isn’t surprising. It was a top-five concept for Smith in both coaching spots as well, with lower COMP but healthier ANY/A (TEN-6.8, ATL-6.2).

Smith has run slant concepts more than the Steelers, with more success in COMP and ANY/A (TEN-9.7, ATL-8.8), music to my ears. Just 52 attempts for the Steelers the last two years, a poor 56.4 COMP, along with a 6.7 ANY/A that’s stale in comparison to Smith’s results. Hopefully, he can aid in much-needed screen and slant improvements for Pittsburgh in 2024.

Another concept Smith ran more was dig, fifth and sixth most common in both coaching spots (TEN-69 attempts, ATL-101), compared to it being 12th for Pittsburgh (27). The highest ANY/A was Tennessee, at a whopping 12.5. Atlanta was a different story, with an unfortunate 3.9 ANY/A, the lowest result of high usage concepts. Though Pittsburgh ran it far less, had the best COMP and a strong 9.1 ANY/A, so the data points to optimism with Smith at the helm.

The Steelers use flats a ton, the third most common concept in the last two years (91 attempts). Just 45 for Tennessee from 2019-20 (their seventh highest usage), then more commonly at fifth in Atlanta (177). The Titans 6.6 ANY/A led the group and 84.5 COMP, with Pittsburgh not far behind in the latter (82.8), but a 5.5 ANY/A. Maybe higher usage in other concepts will provide quality over quantity this season.

Another example of a varied scheme for Smith was drag routes, sixth most with Tennessee (47 attempts), eighth with the Falcons (54), compared to 28 Steelers attempts (tenth). Atlanta had the highest 79.9 COMP and 8.7 ANY/A, encouraging results for Smith more recently. In comparison, the Steelers had a 70.8 COMP and 5.8 ANY/A.

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Unfortunately, broken plays happen far too often in Pittsburgh, with 64 the last two seasons (fifth most), and happened more for Smith with the Falcons (66, seventh most) over the three-year span, adding context to the Steelers’ high number. Interestingly, Pittsburgh fared best of the group in the undesirable situations, with a 50.8 COMP and 5.9 ANY/A.

Rounding out the top ten most common concepts for Smith in Atlanta was corner (53 attempts) and swing (52). The latter was less utilized with the Titans (22 attempts, T-12th), and even less for Pittsburgh (T-14th) from 2022-’23. The Falcons had the best swing numbers at 78.1 COMP at 6.3 ANY/A. Pittsburgh’s 77.7 COMP wasn’t far behind but was substantially lower by 4.0 ANY/A.

Corner is a more feast or famine concept, with Smith taking that risk more: (TEN-24 attempts, tenth), (ATL- 53 attempts, ninth), compared to just 18 for the Steelers, which ranked 19th in attempts per scheme. COMP in the situation is low in general, with Atlanta’s 43.8 number leading the pack. Pittsburgh cashed in on the low usage with a great 10.7 ANY/A, compared to Tennessee’s 8.0 and 7.2 for the Falcons.  No risk it, no biscuit, and it will be interesting to monitor.

Fitting that bill is something Smith did often with the Titans: deep cross (40 attempts, eighth) and seam (35 attempts, ninth), aggressive concepts. That group also had the best COMP and ANY/A in each: deep cross (65.7 COMP, 12.7 ANY/A), seam (85.9 COMP, 21.5 ANY/A). Those seam numbers are impeccable and worthy of salivation. In the Falcon years, had more similar results on deep cross on less usage (64.8 COMP, 11.7 ANY/A), but seam expectedly came down to earth with a less talented roster (62.7 COMP, 6.0 ANY/A).

As expected, Pittsburgh utilized deep cross far less as their 18th concept ran, with abysmal results of 36.7 COMP and 3.4 ANY/A (gross). Also struggled to connect on their 22 seam attempts (42.9 COMP), but had a strong 9.7 ANY/A when they did. Explosion in the passing game is needed in today’s NFL, and hoping this is one of the biggest changes we see with Smith, complementing hopeful run game improvements and increased play-action.

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While on that topic, go/fly scheme results are also encouraging, with Smith using it more in Atlanta (12 most common) compared to ranking 20th in Tennessee. A lot of that can be attributed to playing from behind more with the Falcons, but had better numbers in his three years there: ATL (31.1 COMP, 13.0 ANY/A), TEN (18.8 COMP, 8.9 ANY/A). Pittsburgh led the pack with 36 attempts (eighth-most common) and a 33.3 COMP, along with a healthy 9.9 ANY/A. Let’s hope that can be built on, with the data pointing to some optimism.

Best Pass Scheme ANY/A By Smith in Tennessee (2019-2020, listed by most attempts)

Curl (7.8), Screen (6.8), Slant (9.7), Dig (12.5), Flat (6.6), Deep Cross (12.7), Seam (21.5), Comeback (9.5), Post (18.6), Double Move Deep (15.3), Beneath (8.5), Whip (6.0), Angle (15.2), Wheel (15.4), Jerk (21.0).

The most common concept (curl) for all three teams was most successful in Tennessee. Slant was also a top-five concept for Smith in both coaching spots and won out with the Titans in ANY/A. With how much Pittsburgh has run flat (their third most common concept), the Titans leading in ANY/a is encouraging. Substantially more frequent and successful concepts with Smith and the Titans were: dig, deep cross, and seam, with the majority (15 of the 30) of Sport Info Solutions charted concepts leaning in Tennessee’s favor.

Best Pass Scheme ANY/A By Smith in Atlanta (2021-2023, listed by most attempts)

Drag (8.7), Swing (6.3), Fade (12.3), Over Ball (7.2), Go/Fly (13.0), Fade/Back Shoulder (12.6), Leak (28.0), Jet Sweep Pass (10.3).

Better results in Tennessee overall, no doubt. The tables highlight some strong numbers nonetheless, despite this list being shorter. Drag was a top ten most commonly run scheme for all three teams. Some other encouraging and more recent results for Smith in Atlanta, most meaningful in my opinion, were go/fly and fade – back-shoulder, which were the top ten most run concepts in Pittsburgh. Eight of 30 concepts went Atlanta’s way in terms of ANY/A.

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Best Pass Scheme ANY/A By Pittsburgh (2022-2023, listed by most attempts)

Out (6.8), Corner (10.7), Broken Play (5.9), Check & Release (6.0), Double Move (4.3), Quick (6.0).

Pittsburgh ran outs, the second most common concept for all three teams, with the most success. Corner is encouraging while also considering healthy ANY/A numbers for Smith as well (TEN 8.0, ATL 7.2). I don’t like to see broken plays, but comparatively, I got out of them the best amongst the group. Check & release was also a top ten concept in attempts for the Steelers, while the rest were five attempts or less, highlighting the overall pass game struggles compared to Smith’s units.

Just six of the 30 concepts leaned Pittsburgh’s way in ANY/A, so hopefully, the stronger results from Smith will carry over for Pittsburgh in 2024. Can’t wait to watch it all play out.



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Analysis: Most Pittsburgh‑area communities are losing residents — here’s why that might be OK






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Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game discussion: Bubba Chandler vs. Kyle Freeland

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Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game discussion: Bubba Chandler vs. Kyle Freeland


The Colorado Rockies (28-47) had the day off Thursday after an uneven road trip that took them from Las Vegas to Wrigley Field. They dropped two of three to the Athletics, with the lone win coming in a wild 23-9 game, then went to Chicago and again lost two of three.

That leaves the Rockies at 6-9 in June with a -7 run differential. Even that number is softened by the 23-run outburst against the Athletics. Colorado has been pesky and more competitive, which is an improvement from last month, but the results are still the results: they enter tonight with the worst record in baseball — if only by a game.

Cole Carrigg has brought energy since arriving, and Sterlin Thompson is coming off a two-homer game at Wrigley. There are plenty of reasons to keep watching. The problem is that the old bad-team tropes are still there: blown leads, rocked starters, missed chances, defensive mistakes, and poor execution. The Rockies have been in more games, but they are still too often finding ways to let winnable games get away.

Now they get the Pirates at home.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-37) arrive at Coors Field in fourth place in the competitive NL Central — and only 1.5 games out of a wild card spot. Pittsburgh gets plenty of attention for its hyped rotation, led by Paul Skenes, but the offense has been much improved. The Pirates rank third in MLB in batting average, third in on-base percentage, fourth in OPS, fifth in runs scored, and sixth in stolen bases.

Kyle Freeland takes the mound to open the homestand for the Rox. The left-hander enters at 1-7 with a 7.98 ERA, 49 strikeouts, and a 1.70 WHIP over 58.2 innings.

The fastball has been the biggest issue. Freeland is leaving too many four-seamers over the middle of the plate, and hitters have punished it. Opponents are slugging .794 against the pitch, which is especially damaging because he still throws it roughly 27-29% of the time.

That continued in his last start, when Freeland allowed six runs on 10 hits over 5.2 innings. He gave up 12 hard-hit balls, with both the cutter and four-seamer taking damage. The cutter was his most-used pitch in that outing, but it did not solve the contact problem. His sweeper has been his best pitch, holding hitters to a .171 batting average and .371 slugging percentage with a 32.8% whiff rate.

The Rockies do not need Freeland to be perfect tonight, but they need him to avoid the middle-middle mistakes that have turned innings quickly this season.

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Pittsburgh will counter with Bubba Chandler, a 23-year-old right-hander who enters at 2-7 with a 4.76 ERA, 68 strikeouts, and a 1.38 WHIP over 68.0 innings.

The record is not pretty, but the stuff is real. Chandler averages 98.5 mph with his four-seam fastball and topped out over 101 mph in his last start. He has used the fastball nearly half the time this season, pairing it most often with a changeup and slider.

The slider has been his best bat-missing pitch, generating a 37.9% whiff rate on the season. The changeup has also been effective, holding hitters to a .186 batting average and .288 slugging percentage. Chandler has walked 43 batters, so the Rockies’ best chance may be making him work instead of chasing their way out of innings.

Kyle Karros has been swinging it well lately, hitting .370/.442/.565 over his last 15 games and raising his season wRC+ to 90. Willi Castro has two home runs, nine RBI, and a .680 slugging percentage over his last seven games, while T.J. Rumfield is hitting .321 with a .750 slugging percentage and two home runs in his last seven games.

For Pittsburgh, Bryan Reynolds has been especially hot, hitting .414/.469/.828 with three home runs over his last seven games. Brandon Lowe leads the team with 18 home runs and 49 RBI while slugging .511, and Endy Rodríguez has played well from behind the plate while posting a 149 wRC+ in 76 plate appearances since returning to the lineup in mid-May.

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For Colorado, the task is straightforward: get a steadier start from Freeland, make Chandler throw strikes, and turn the recent flashes from the lineup into enough sustained pressure to win a winnable game.

First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. MDT

Radio: KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM; KNRV 1150

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Pirates Trade Analysis: Something Had to Give

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Pirates Trade Analysis: Something Had to Give


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Photo provided by Matt Lynch

The decision to trade catcher Joey Bart to the Braves gives the Pirates a solution to a problem that soon needed to be made.

Bart had been on a rehab assignment with Triple-A Indianapolis, working his way back from a left foot infection that kept him out of action for over a month.

With Bart nearing a return, the Pirates were going to have to figure out what to do at catcher with Henry Davis and Endy Rodríguez splitting time behind the plate in his absence.

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Given how Rodríguez has been swinging the bat since he was recalled from Indianapolis to replace Bart on the active roster, there was no way the Pirates could’ve sent him down. In 23 games, the 26-year-old has a .267/.413/.467 batting line with three doubles, three home runs, eight RBI, two steals and a robust 19.7% walk rate.

Davis, meanwhile, has struggled to an anemic .138/.242/.285 batting line with four doubles, five home runs and 17 RBI in 47 games. While he hasn’t offered much with the bat, he’s been responsible for two defensive runs saved and leads MLB with a 55% caught stealing rate.

Now that Bart has been traded, Rodríguez and Davis will remain the catching tandem at the big-league level with Rafael Flores Jr. as the top backup option with Indianapolis. Flores is considered Pittsburgh’s eighth-best prospect on MLB Pipeline.

For the first time in the big leagues, Rodríguez is realizing the potential that once made him one of the top 100 prospects in baseball. Because of that, he should get the majority of the playing time with Davis continuing to catch Paul Skenes’ starts and filling in when needed.

As for the return, the Pirates known what to expect from Hunter Stratton, who spent nine seasons in the organization and made 47 appearances with the team from 2023-25.

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The bullpen has been an obvious weak spot for the team this season, and while it was somewhat surprising to see the Pirates assign Stratton to Indianapolis, he improves the pitching depth and will almost surely be called upon at some point this year.

In 60 career big-league appearances between the Pirates and Braves, Stratton is 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA and two saves. The right-hander spent most of the 2026 season with Triple-A Gwinnett and went 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 24.2 innings across 21 appearances.

One more important note about the trade is that the Pirates saved some money in the deal, which could be used later in additional trades to add to an already record-setting payroll. Stratton is a pre-arbitration player, while Bart is making $2.53 million this season.

Mentioned in this article: Hunter Stratton Joey Bart Pittsburgh Pirates

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