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Here’s Why Pennsylvania Might Be The Most Important Prize In The 2024 Election

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Here’s Why Pennsylvania Might Be The Most Important Prize In The 2024 Election


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Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are nearly tied in Pennsylvania, according to two new polls this week in the battleground state, where a win for either candidate could pave the way to the White House.

Key Facts

Harris leads by 0.6 points in Pennsylvania, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average—a recent Morning Consult poll found her up by three points, 49% to 46%, and a September CBS/YouGov poll showed Harris and Trump even, both at 50%.

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Pennsylvania has more electoral votes, 19, than any other battleground, and Pennsylvanians routinely pick winners, voting for 10 of the last 12 White House winners—the candidate who has won Pennsylvania has also won Michigan and Wisconsin (the three states together are known as the “blue wall”) in the past eight elections.

Pennsylvania has a 35% chance of tipping the election, far more than any other battleground state, according to political analyst Nate Silver’s election forecasting model that found Harris has a 91% of winning the election if she wins Pennsylvania, while Trump has a 96% chance of winning.

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Trump became the first Republican to win Pennsylvania since the 1980s in the 2016 election, and Biden, who is originally from Scranton, Pennsylvania, reversed the trend in 2020, with the state to putting him over the 270-vote threshold needed to win the Electoral College when the Associated Press called Pennsylvania for Biden four days after the election.

Underscoring Pennsylvania’s weight in the 2024 election, ABC News chose to host the first presidential debate between Trump and Harris there, on Tuesday in Philadelphia; Pennsylvania is also significant to Trump personally, as he was shot there while speaking at a rally near Butler on July 14.

Pennsylvania has a large share of white, working class voters, with nearly 75% of the population identifying as non-Hispanic white—a demographic Trump typically performs well with, though Harris has made inroads with white voters compared to Biden’s performance in 2020, trailing Trump by only three points nationally, according to the latest PBS News/NPR/Marist poll, after Trump won the demographic by 12 points in 2020.

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Surprising Fact

No Democrat has won the White House without Pennsylvania since 1948. If Harris wins Pennsylvania, and the trend of also winning Wisconsin and Michigan holds, she’s all but certain to win the White House.

Big Number

82%. That’s the share of registered voters in Pennsylvania who said the economy is a major factor in their 2024 vote, followed by inflation at 78% and the state of democracy at 70%, according to the CBS/YouGov survey. The results are on par with the national electorate, according to a recent Pew Research survey of registered voters that found 81% of registered voters rate the economy as “very important” in the election.

Chief Critic

Trump and his allies have repeatedly attacked Harris over her previous endorsement of a fracking ban—Pennsylvania is the country’s second-largest natural gas producer. “Fracking? She’s been against it for 12 years,” Trump said during Tuesday’s debate in Philadelphia. Harris, who said during a 2019 CNN climate town hall while she was running for president “there’s no question I’m in favor of banning fracking,” has said she’s since changed her stance. During Tuesday’s debate, she said she made “very clear” in 2020 that she’s against a fracking ban, presumably referring to her vice presidential debate with Mike Pence, and noted the Inflation Reduction Act opened new gas leases—reiterating a stance she took in a CNN interview last month. Harris didn’t actually say she changed her own position on the issue during the 2020 debate—instead she said then-Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden “will not end fracking.”

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Tangent

Pennsylvania has a divided state legislature. The state’s Democratic governor, Josh Shapiro, is widely popular in the state. Democrats also control the House, but Republicans hold the majority in the Senate.

Key Background

Harris leads Trump in five of seven battleground states, while Trump is ahead in Arizona and Georgia, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages that show margins of less than three points in all seven battleground states (Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin). If Trump maintains his leads in Arizona and Georgia, and wins North Carolina, as he’s expected to, he would need just one of the “Blue Wall” states to win the White House.

Further Reading

Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Leading Trump Narrowly In Michigan And Wisconsin—But Tied In Pennsylvania (Forbes)

How Kamala Harris’ Views On Fracking Have Changed—After Backtracking On Ban (Forbes)

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris Up By 1 Point—As Her Lead Plateaus Before Debate (Forbes)

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Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Lottery Pick 2 Day, Pick 2 Evening results for Nov. 23, 2025

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The Pennsylvania Lottery offers several draw games for those aiming to win big. Here’s a look at Sunday, Nov. 23, 2025 results for each game:

Winning Pick 2 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Day: 7-4, Wild: 5

Evening: 2-8, Wild: 0

Check Pick 2 payouts and previous drawings here.

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Winning Pick 3 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Day: 6-5-1, Wild: 5

Evening: 7-6-7, Wild: 0

Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 4 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Day: 4-5-5-1, Wild: 5

Evening: 9-3-9-2, Wild: 0

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Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 5 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Day: 7-2-4-5-2, Wild: 5

Evening: 4-2-1-9-6, Wild: 0

Check Pick 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Cash4Life numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

05-07-49-54-60, Cash Ball: 04

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Check Cash4Life payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Cash 5 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

03-09-26-33-43

Check Cash 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Treasure Hunt numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

10-11-17-18-27

Check Treasure Hunt payouts and previous drawings here.

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Winning Match 6 Lotto numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

06-20-23-28-43-45

Check Match 6 Lotto payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

Are you a winner? Here’s how to claim your lottery prize

  • Sign the Ticket: Ensure your ticket has your signature, name, address and phone number on the back.
  • Prizes up to $600: Claim at any PA Lottery retailer or by mail: Pennsylvania Lottery, ATTN: CLAIMS, PO BOX 8671, Harrisburg, PA 17105.
  • Prizes from $600 to $2,500: Use a Claim Form to claim at a retailer or by mail: Pennsylvania Lottery, ATTN: CLAIMS, PO BOX 8671, Harrisburg, PA 17105.
  • Prizes over $2,500: Mail your signed ticket with a Claim Form or in person at a Lottery Area Office (9 a.m. to 4 p.m.).

Lottery Headquarters is currently not open to the public. Visit the PA Lottery website for other office locations near you.

When are the Pennsylvania Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 10:59 p.m. Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 11 p.m. Tuesday and Friday.
  • Pick 2, 3, 4, 5: 1:35 p.m. and 6:59 p.m. daily.
  • Cash4Life: 9 p.m. daily.
  • Cash 5: 6:59 p.m. daily.
  • Treasure Hunt: 1:35 p.m. daily.
  • Match 6 Lotto: 6:59 p.m. Monday and Thursday.
  • Powerball Double Play: 10:59 p.m. Monday, Wednesday, Saturday.

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Pennsylvania editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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Hundreds of stuffed toys to find home through Holiday Wish Program

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Hundreds of stuffed toys to find home through Holiday Wish Program


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The state Department of Human Services’ Holiday Wish Program got a boost after the donation of more than 1,000 stuffed toys.

Those stuffed toys are samples of those for sale in Pennsylvania that were deemed safe for children this past year by the Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry following routine safety inspections.

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The samples are accumulated by the department throughout the year and then marked for distribution through the state Department of Human Services’ Holiday Wish Program. 

“This annual tradition reminds us of what public service is truly about: protecting people’s safety while spreading hope and joy to families across Pennsylvania,” said Labor and Industry Secretary Nancy A. Walker. “In times that can feel especially heavy, small acts of generosity can make a big difference.”  

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Under state law, Labor and Industry’s Bureau of Occupational and Industrial Safety must inspect all new stuffed toy samples for contents, choking hazards, and general safety.  

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Toys that pass inspection get a registration number, which is on every stuffed toy sold in the commonwealth.  

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Through this process, Labor and Industry accumulates hundreds of toy samples each year. This year, the department delivered a record 1,085 stuffed toys to the Department of Human Services DHS for its Holiday Wish program — a 45 percent increase from last year’s 749 donated. 

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Of the donated toys, more than 50 are made of recycled materials. Last year, Gov. Josh Shapiro signed an updated Stuffed Toy Manufacturing Act, eliminating a long-standing ban on using recycled materials in stuffed toys sold in the commonwealth.  

Started in 1989 by Department of Human Services employees, the Holiday Wish program has grown to include hundreds of employees in various state agencies, allowing the program to reach thousands of individuals in need around Pennsylvania during the holiday season.  

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Pennsylvania

Holiday Wish Program gets 1,000 toys to donate to PA children

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Holiday Wish Program gets 1,000 toys to donate to PA children


The Pennsylvania Departments of Labor & Industry and Human Services celebrated the start of the 2025 holiday season with the annual donation of stuffed toys collected throughout the year by Labor and Industry during routine safety inspections.



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