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🏆 Here are the winners of the Globe N.H. election prediction challenge – The Boston Globe

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🏆 Here are the winners of the Globe N.H. election prediction challenge – The Boston Globe


No one nabbed a perfect score in the Globe New Hampshire 2024 election prediction challenge, though several soothsayers came fairly close.

Ninety readers locked in their best guesses prior to Election Day, predicting who would win key races, which party would win a majority of seats in each New Hampshire legislative chamber, and whether voters would approve a constitutional amendment.

The two prognosticators who scored highest, Lee Hurst of Hampton and Stephen Cabral of Manchester, each earned 36 of 41 possible points. They accurately predicted that Kamala D. Harris would win New Hampshire’s four Electoral College votes by 2-4 percentage points and Kelly Ayotte would win the gubernatorial race by at least 25,000 votes.

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Hurst gets first-place bragging rights for having locked in answers about 12 hours earlier than Cabral did, on Oct. 7, when we first launched the challenge.

The imperfections in Hurst’s and Cabral’s predictions pertain to the New Hampshire House and Senate. Although they both said Republicans would win the most seats in each chamber, they underestimated how many. The GOP emerged with a 222-178 majority in the House and a 16-8 majority in the Senate, pending recounts in a handful of state representative races.

Third place in the Globe New Hampshire challenge goes to Stephen DeFilippo of Manchester, who scored 33 points. DeFilippo correctly predicted the Harris and Ayotte victories but expected a narrower margin in the gubernatorial race.

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In fourth and fifth, we have Sandra B. Allen of Newmarket and Tom Boucher of Bedford, who scored 32 points. Allen locked in answers on Oct. 8, two days before Boucher.

These top scorers will receive Globe New Hampshire swag as a trophy. 🏆

A few other takeaways from the predictions:

  • Only four readers predicted Republicans would win 215 seats or more in the New Hampshire House.
  • Just three readers said the GOP would expand its current 14-10 majority in the Senate, and zero predicted the 16-8 result.
  • The individual races that tripped up most readers were in Senate Districts 11 and 18, where Democratic incumbents lost to Republican challengers.

This story first appeared in Globe NH | Morning Report, our free newsletter focused on the news you need to know about New Hampshire, including great coverage from the Boston Globe and links to interesting articles from other places. If you’d like to receive it via e-mail Monday through Friday, you can sign up here.


Steven Porter can be reached at steven.porter@globe.com. Follow him @reporterporter.

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As hoops betting spikes, it’s New Hampshire and other states vs. prediction markets

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As hoops betting spikes, it’s New Hampshire and other states vs. prediction markets


The state of New Hampshire receives revenue from sports wagers made with DraftKings, but officials are worried that people will switch to new prediction market platforms.

Zoey Knox/NHPR


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Zoey Knox/NHPR

Two things have New Hampshire state Sen. Tim Lang feeling blue.

“I do have a bracket. It broke pretty hard,” says Lang, a Republican, on the sorry state of his NCAA men’s basketball tournament predictions.

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He says he’s also concerned about the outlook for state revenues. New Hampshire legalized sports wagering in 2019, the year after the U.S. Supreme Court cleared the way for states to legalize and regulate sports gambling. Since then, the state has raked in more than $170 million through a partnership with the wagering company DraftKings. Big money in a small state.

The rise of Kalshi and Polymarket — major players in the fast-growing world of prediction markets — could put a dent in those revenues, Lang fears. He says he plans to introduce legislation as early as this week that would clear the way for New Hampshire to join states around the U.S. in suing the prediction market companies.

“We have a revenue model for our sports betting that allows us to pay for education and other state services that Kalshi is completely going around by avoiding our gaming laws,” he says. “They should not be able to skirt our state laws.”

States are suing to regulate prediction markets 

Prediction companies let customers buy “yes” or “no” futures contracts on the outcomes of world events, elections and, crucially for states, sports. Because the companies contend they’re operating as a financial market and not a sportsbook, the states don’t get a cut of the proceeds.

States including Connecticut, Michigan and Washington are in court battles with the prediction market companies. Arizona went so far as to charge Kalshi in criminal court for offering illegal sports wagers.

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Kalsi and Polymarket didn’t respond to a request for comment for this story. In legal filings, Kalshi has argued that it’s already regulated by the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission and that having to operate in 50 different ways to appease 50 different states isn’t possible. The Trump administration, so far, backs that view.

Courts so far have handed down mixed rulings, leaving a messy situation on the ground, especially about what’s considered sports gambling.

The law is unsettled so far

“Is sports betting and prediction market synonymous, or are they sufficiently distinct that there should be different treatment under the law? I mean, that’s an open-ended question,” says Michael McCann, director of the University of New Hampshire’s Sports and Entertainment Law Institute.

Even with the prospect of lost state revenues, not everyone in New Hampshire is eager to clamp down on prediction markets. John Stephen, an elected Republican member of the council that oversees state contracts, likes the competition that prediction markets bring.

“Companies that are trying to make money, and this entrepreneurial spirit that we have in this country, I value that,” he says.

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Todd Bookman is a general assignment reporter for New Hampshire Public Radio.



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‘Bob’s Burgers’ actor Eugene Mirman rescued from fiery crash by New Hampshire governor’s detail

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‘Bob’s Burgers’ actor Eugene Mirman rescued from fiery crash by New Hampshire governor’s detail


BEDFORD, N.H. (AP) — “Bob’s Burgers” voice actor and comedian Eugene Mirman suffered serious injuries after crashing his car into a toll plaza and being pulled from the fiery wreckage by a state trooper assigned to protect the governor of New Hampshire.

The crash happened just before noon Tuesday when a northbound electric vehicle struck the Bedford Toll Plaza and caught fire, New Hampshire State Police said. Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte and her security detail came upon the crash soon after, and a trooper and two others pulled Mirman from the burning car through a window, said State Police Col. Mark Hall. The governor, who left her vehicle and retrieved a fire extinguisher, was not in any danger, he said.

“Eugene was in a very scary car accident,” Mirman’s agent Jay Glassner confirmed in a statement Wednesday. “He wants to thank the bystanders, state police, first responders and hospital staff who saved him. He is grateful to be on the mend. At this time, we kindly ask for privacy for Eugene and his family as he focuses on recovering from his injuries.”

Hall called the actions of the rescuers “heroic.”

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“Without hesitation, they put themselves in danger to render aid to someone who was in need of it,” Hall said.

State police identified the driver as Yevgeny Mirman, 51, of Massachusetts. Mirman, who was born in Moscow and grew up in Massachusetts, is known for voicing musical middle child Gene Belcher in more than 300 episodes of the animated comedy “Bob’s Burgers” and its movie, in addition to roles on “Flight of the Conchords,” “Delocated” and “Archer.”

Ayotte said she and her husband were praying for the driver’s recovery.

“I want to thank the Trooper on my security detail and the bystanders who stepped up to help at the scene of the crash for their brave lifesaving efforts,” she said in a statement.

The crash remains under investigation. No charges have been filed.

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UNH Navigates DEI Commitments Amid State and Federal Pushback

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UNH Navigates DEI Commitments Amid State and Federal Pushback


As diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives face increasing scrutiny and legal challenges at the state and federal levels, the University of New Hampshire is reassessing how it maintains its institutional values while remaining compliant with the law.

Earlier this year, New Hampshire lawmakers passed House Bill 2, a sweeping budget bill that includes provisions limiting DEI-related programs at public institutions. The law has since prompted a lawsuit from the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and advocacy groups representing LGBTQ+ students and educators, arguing that the restrictions could harm marginalized communities and limit educational opportunities.

According to the New Hampshire Bulletin, the legislation broadly restricts DEI initiatives in public institutions, creating uncertainty across schools and universities as leaders try to interpret what is and is not allowed.

Despite this shifting landscape, UNH administrators say the university remains committed to student success, inclusion, and academic freedom.

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“Diversity, equity, and inclusion at New Hampshire public institutions, and at some privates, are in flux because at the state and federal levels, these practices are being challenged,” said Dr. Nadine Petty, associate vice president for community, equity, and diversity at UNH. “Through this process, what is most central to UNH’s mission is to ensure academic freedom is protected, that student success and well-being remain at the forefront of decision making, and that all related initiatives continue to foster an inclusive campus where all employees and students, regardless of their backgrounds and identities, can thrive.”

Petty described HB2 as “vague and convoluted,” noting that some interpretations of the law appear to conflict with existing federal civil rights and equal employment laws.

“One interpretation leads us to assume the state wants us to take action that would violate existing federal Equal Opportunity in Employment laws, Civil Rights laws, and other laws on both federal and state levels,” Petty said. “Since we do not think the state wants us to violate any existing laws, UNH’s interpretation is tied to the spirit of what we believe the state is getting at, which is to uphold the anti-discrimination laws that have been on the books for decades now.”

In a December 2025 blog update, UNH leadership similarly emphasized that the university is reviewing programs to ensure compliance while maintaining its commitment to inclusion, academic freedom, and student success. The university noted that it would continue to evaluate initiatives carefully as legal challenges and guidance evolve.


According to Petty, UNH has focused on ensuring programs remain inclusive and non-discriminatory, rather than targeting specific demographic groups for state-funded services.

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“What’s interesting to note here is that without programs that address diversity, equity, and inclusion that educate people and build awareness, we likely would only promote the success of white, heterosexual, cisgender men over the success of others,” Petty said. “That is what higher education was founded on.”

Petty added that eliminating DEI-related services would disproportionately affect students from marginalized backgrounds, students she emphasized are also paying customers of the institution.

“It makes no sense to take their money and then decide we will not serve their needs,” Petty said.

At the federal level, Petty said recent rhetoric and policy shifts demonstrate what she sees as a widespread misunderstanding of DEI work.

“There is little to no understanding that diversity, equity, and inclusion covers a wide swath of demographic groups,” Petty said, pointing to veterans, students with disabilities, first-generation college students, and low-income families. “Yet that is exactly what has occurred with this administration’s anti-DEI rhetoric, whether intentionally or through a trickle-down effect.”

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Petty also pushed back against the idea that DEI prioritizes identity over merit.

“This is an icky and dangerous belief and far from the truth,” Petty said, citing her experience on hiring committees. “Candidates of color are often weeded out of the search process or are not chosen for hire for ‘concerns’ that are overlooked in their white counterparts.”

From a legal standpoint, Chad Pimentel, UNH’s general counsel, said the impact of recent DEI-related legislation has varied across institutions.

“New Hampshire has a long-standing law prohibiting preferential treatment based on membership in a number of groups,” Pimentel said. “That meant that some recent federal law changes, like the Supreme Court’s Students for Fair Admissions decision banning race-conscious admissions, changed nothing for UNH even though they prompted a lot of attention and changes at other institutions.”

According to Pimentel, the most significant effect has been the need for careful program review to ensure compliance with state and federal law, particularly given the lack of clarity surrounding what qualifies as “DEI-related.”

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“One of the trickiest areas is determining exactly what folks mean when they say that something is ‘DEI-related,” Pimentel said. “Programs that do not have ‘DEI’ in the title could still be affected by changes in the law.”

Pimentel added that ongoing legal challenges to the state law have left the university in a “wait-and-see mode.”

“The biggest challenge is the uncertainty of it all,” Pimentel said. “Once the dust settles, UNH and other public institutions will do what they have always done, support their students within the confines of the law.”

Petty said UNH has already made limited adjustments to program language and training content in response to the legislation. One example involved revising implicit bias training to emphasize that bias is a shared human condition rather than something tied to a specific group.

“The content was clear to begin with, but we thought it was important to be even clearer,” Petty said.

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Still, Petty stressed that laws cannot dictate how individuals treat one another on campus.

“The government may be able to legislate the words we use, the services we provide, and how we go about our work, but they can’t legislate how we engage with each other,” Petty said. “Our actions should be our testament, not some words on a webpage somewhere.”

Looking ahead, Petty said DEI at UNH will continue to be shaped by external forces, but the university’s core mission remains unchanged.

“We could not call ourselves a public institution if we did not work to meet the needs of all students,” Petty said. “We would find a way to reach our end goal, even if how we went about doing it needed to shift.”

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