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UN report on climate crisis confirms the world already has solutions — but politics are getting in the way

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UN report on climate crisis confirms the world already has solutions — but politics are getting in the way

However whereas the concentrate on options give the report an optimistic tone, it additionally serves as a reminder of how insurance policies lag far behind science, know-how and even economics.

UN Secretary Common António Guterres known as the report “a litany of damaged guarantees” and “a file of disgrace, cataloguing the empty pledges that put us firmly on monitor in direction of an unlivable world.”

“The jury has reached a verdict. And it’s damning,” Guterres stated. “We’re on a quick monitor to local weather catastrophe.”

If the world does not strengthen its insurance policies towards renewable vitality, world warming might blow by means of the 1.5 degree-Celsius threshold that scientists have warned of and surpass 3 levels by the top of the century, the report exhibits.

The report was printed after marathon talks between world representatives went effectively into Sunday night time, throughout which fossil fuel-producing nations against a declarative name to finish the usage of coal, oil and fuel within the close to future, a supply aware of the talks informed CNN, with out naming explicit nations.

The report relies on hundreds of research by a whole lot of scientists, and the negotiations had been the longest within the historical past of the IPCC’s talks, which span greater than three a long time.

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Listed here are its key takeaways.

Wind and photo voltaic at the moment are economically viable replacements for fossil fuels

The price of wind and photo voltaic vitality have dropped dramatically previously decade and at the moment are aggressive with coal and fuel for electrical energy, the report exhibits. In some contexts, these renewable sources of vitality are even cheaper than fossil fuels.

Many nations have ramped up the set up of wind generators — each on and offshore — and photo voltaic panels, whether or not on buildings or in large photo voltaic farms that may energy whole communities.

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And the quantity of electrical energy generated by renewables is rising quickly. A latest report by local weather assume tank Ember confirmed the world generated a record-setting 10% of its vitality from wind and photo voltaic 2021. The Worldwide Power Company stated in a latest report that renewable vitality capability develop by greater than 60% by 2026, from 2020 ranges.

Whereas onshore wind and photo voltaic at the moment are value aggressive with coal and pure fuel for energy, there are nonetheless large upfront prices for set up which add to the inequities of the renewable vitality transition, in response to the report. For that purpose, many creating nations — significantly within the International South — lag behind within the adoption of photo voltaic and wind energy.

In deliberations over Monday’s report, some creating nations had been calling for wealthy nations to switch extra money to the International South to assist it pay for the transition, in response to a supply aware of the talks. These nations argued that rich nations had been traditionally extra accountable for local weather change and will shoulder extra of the monetary burden.

We have to ditch fossil fuels — and quick

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A bulldozer pushes coal onto a conveyor belt at the Jiangyou Power Station in Jiangyou, Mianyang City, Sichuan Province of China.

To restrict warming to 1.5 levels, and even 2 levels, the world’s vitality techniques should quickly decarbonize, the report’s authors say. Ending fossil gasoline subsidies might additionally cut back emissions by as much as 10% by 2030.

“We can not run our fossil fuel-based infrastructures anymore the best way we did,” stated Jan Christoph Minx, a local weather researcher and a lead writer on the report, at a information convention. “The massive message coming from right here is we have to finish the age of fossil gasoline. And we do not solely want to finish it, however we have to finish it in a short time.”

Majority of remaining fossil fuels must stay in the ground to limit climate crisis below critical threshold, study shows

By 2050, electrical energy ought to contribute little or no to greenhouse fuel emissions, the report concludes. If the world builds new fossil gasoline infrastructure, it is at critical threat of locking in the usage of coal, oil and fuel for many years to return, which is able to undermine efforts to include world warming.

However even persevering with to function present fossil gasoline infrastructure places the world off monitor for staying underneath 1.5 levels.

Any newly constructed fossil gasoline tasks threat changing into “stranded property,” or being deserted, the report concludes, which carries huge monetary threat. The estimated losses from stranded fossil gasoline infrastructure is projected to be between $1 trillion and $4 trillion, from 2015 to 2050, in a state of affairs the place the world limits world warming to 2 levels.

However the report does depart room for continued fossil gasoline use that makes use of carbon seize and storage — or CCS — a course of through which the emissions from coal, oil and fuel are captured and saved. The report’s authors say that is solely viable if the overwhelming majority of emissions are captured.

CCS is extremely controversial given it would enable the continued use of fossil fuels, even when extra economical renewable sources can be found. And research have questioned how a lot greenhouse fuel the CCS course of can actually seize.

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We’ll must suck CO2 out of the air

Climework's Orca project -- a carbon dioxide removal system -- at the Hellisheiði Geothermal Power Plant in Iceland.

As we slash emissions, the report’s scientists say we additionally want to start out eradicating the carbon dioxide (CO2) that is already within the air.

Carbon dioxide removing (CDR) will be achieved by planting timber and restoring forests and grasslands, however scientist say we should assume past that. Some vital forests, due to human exercise, are already transitioning from absorbing carbon dioxide to emitting it.

“We’re already utilizing planting timber and taking on soil carbon as as greenhouse fuel removing applied sciences, however they’re clearly restricted in scope,” stated Jo Home, a local weather researcher and lead writer on the report. “There’s solely a lot land and you may’t count on the land to mop up all of the fossil gasoline emissions.”

The world is banking on giant carbon-sucking fans to clean our climate mess. It's a big risk.
Some firms are creating machines that basically act as large vacuums, pulling carbon dioxide out of the air, however to date these applied sciences function at a really small scale.

One other solution to obtain that is ocean fertilization, the place vitamins are added to the higher layers of water to encourage plankton blooms, which take in carbon dioxide from the air. That been confirmed to work, however the methodology has not been studied for lengthy sufficient to know whether or not unwanted side effects (like poisonous algae blooms) could outweigh the advantages.

Regardless of restricted analysis and know-how growth in CDR, the report’s authors say the world should take away as a lot carbon dioxide from the air as potential — whereas lowering emissions — if warming is to be restricted to 1.5 and even 2 levels.

“[The report] foresees that along with making this pivot to scrub vitality, that the chance can be going to be to take away, by means of numerous means, a number of the air pollution that is already within the system or that is already being poured into the system now,” Pete Ogden, the UN Basis’s vp for vitality, local weather, and the setting, informed CNN. “Significantly carbon dioxide, as a result of it’s so lengthy lasting that to show the ship round, we actually want to make use of all of the instruments we are able to.”

Slashing methane is a fast solution to flip down the warmth

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The majority of human-induced local weather change comes from carbon dioxide, however methane makes up round 20% of worldwide greenhouse fuel emissions and is the second-biggest contributor to local weather change.
The fuel has greater than 80 occasions the warming energy of CO2 within the brief time period, and the primary installment of the IPCC report printed final 12 months discovered slashing methane emissions was one of many quickest methods to show down the warmth.
Scientists say this invisible gas could seal our fate on climate change
Methane emissions can come from leaky oil, fuel and coal infrastructure and mines. Additionally they come from landfill and agricultural practices — and sure, even from flatulent cows. The focus of methane within the environment is greater now than any time in a minimum of 800,000 years.

“One of many greatest takeaways is that as a way to decrease the temperature rise, which is getting greater, and from pushing ourselves over potential tipping factors and irreversible impacts, we actually must make to drag arduous on the lever of methane discount,” Ogden stated, “as a result of that offers us a near-term alternative to shave off a number of the temperature rise.”

Final 12 months, the US and European Union introduced a worldwide pledge to cut back methane emissions by practically 30% by the top of the last decade. Since then, round 100 nations joined that pledge. China, the world’s greatest greenhouse fuel emitter, has not but joined.

People might play an essential position — however solely with political help

Scientists say individual choices about the cars they drive and the food they eat could play an important role, but policies need to help consumers make those changes.
People have been utilizing fossil fuels to warmth houses, prepare dinner meals and gasoline automobiles for many years. Over the course of greater than a century, fossil fuels turned entrenched in each facet of the economic system and other people’s lives to the purpose that they are usually the one possibility accessible.

It is this heavy reliance on coal, oil and fossil fuel that’s behind local weather change. Whereas particular person selections and monitoring your “carbon footprint” have been standard methods for individuals to answer the disaster, there’s a rising understanding that actual change should come from lowering the supply of fossil fuels, not simply the demand.

The best way client selections are offered must shift dramatically, the report says, as a result of it might assist people undertake low carbon-intensive existence — plant-based diets, food-waste discount and renewable vitality choices, for instance — with out in the end pinning all of the onus on them.

With out help for these adjustments, the influence of particular person motion will probably be modest, the report exhibits.

Folks both “do not have the applied sciences accessible or they cannot afford them,” Home stated. “So a part of that is concerning the structure of selections, about making selections accessible to individuals, in order that they will take the selections that they wish to take, however in a sustainable and inexpensive approach.”

The wealthy world’s monetary contributions are falling brief

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South Sudanese refugees try to repair their hut during the country's floods in 2021.

The speed of local weather finance — cash that wealthy nations promised to supply creating nations to deal with the disaster — has slowed down, in response to the report, whereas the financing of fossil fuels stays excessive.

Though local weather finance insurance policies have elevated over the previous a number of years, the report discovered rich nations should enhance the circulate of cash to low-income nations past the present $100 billion-a-year, promised underneath worldwide local weather agreements.

The least developed nations in addition to small island nations have traditionally contributed lower than 0.5% of worldwide fossil gasoline emissions, in response to the report, but they bear a disproportionate burden of the impacts of the local weather disaster.

The cash contributed so far has largely gone towards lowering these nations’ greenhouse emissions. Extra of it, scientists say, ought to go towards adaptation — discovering methods to dwell with the change.

On the COP26 local weather talks in Glasgow, Scotland, final 12 months, creating nations complained that the world’s richest nations had been failing to assist them financially, regardless of having performed a negligible position in inflicting the disaster.

Mohamed Adow, director of the local weather vitality assume tank Energy Shift Africa, stated nations in Africa will play a basic position in “deciding whether or not the world avoids catastrophic local weather change or not.”

“Africa could possibly be the main instance in avoiding emissions by harnessing our ample wind and photo voltaic vitality,” Adow, who is just not concerned with the report, informed CNN. “This may solely be potential with vital monetary help and know-how sharing from richer nations, whose emissions have brought on this disaster.”

This story has been up to date with the report’s findings.

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Israel kills Hizbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah in massive strike on Beirut

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Israel kills Hizbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah in massive strike on Beirut

Israel has killed Hizbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah in a massive strike on Beirut, in the latest in a series of devastating blows to the Lebanese militant group.

The strike in a densely populated residential neighbourhood in southern Beirut was part of an intense bombardment carried out by Israeli forces on Friday and marked a dramatic escalation of Israel’s offensive against Hizbollah.

The Lebanese group confirmed Nasrallah’s death in a statement on Saturday, saying he had joined the group’s long list of “martyrs”. It said its leadership would continue to battle against Israel “in support of Gaza and Palestine, and in defence of Lebanon and its steadfast and honourable people”.

Speaking late on Saturday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that “Nasrallah’s killing was a necessary step toward achieving the goals we have set,” including “changing the balance of power in the region for years to come”.

He added that the “work is not yet done”, warning Israelis that they “will face significant challenges in the days ahead”.

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He also issued a warning to Israel’s adversaries. “There is nowhere in Iran or the Middle East beyond the reach of the long arm of Israel, and today you know how true that is,” Netanyahu said.

Herzi Halevi, chief of the general staff of the Israel Defense Forces, said the strike did not mark the conclusion of Israel’s operations. “This is not the end of our toolbox,” he said. “The message is simple: anyone who threatens the citizens of Israel — we will know how to reach them.”

US President Joe Biden said Nasrallah’s death was “a measure of justice for his many victims”.

“The United States fully supports Israel’s right to defend itself against Hizbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and any other Iranian-supported terrorist groups,” he said in a statement released on Saturday. “Ultimately, our aim is to de-escalate the ongoing conflicts in both Gaza and Lebanon through diplomatic means.”

It was time to conclude deals to end the conflict in both Gaza and Lebanon, Biden added.

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Israel claimed the strike had also killed the head of Hizbollah’s southern front, Ali Karaki, and other senior commanders. It was the latest in a succession of debilitating Israeli attacks on Iranian-backed Hizbollah’s chain of command.

A senior commander of Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards, Abbas Nilforoushan, who was in a meeting with Nasrallah was also killed, an Iranian official told the Financial Times. The death of the commander and Nasrallah, one of Iran’s closest allies, raised the risk of retaliation by the Islamic republic.

On Friday, Lebanese officials warned an Iranian cargo plane to leave the country’s airspace because of the risk Israel could target it, the Iranian official said. The Israeli military had said Israeli air force planes were “patrolling the area of Beirut airport” and would not allow “hostile flights with weapons to land” there.

Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that the fate of the Middle East “will be determined by resistance forces, the foremost of which is Hizbollah”.

He added that the group’s “solid structure cannot be significantly damaged” by “Zionist criminals” who he said had demonstrated their “short-minded and stupid policies”.

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He urged all Muslims to stand by Hizbollah in its fight against “an occupying and vicious regime”.

At least 11 people were killed and 108 injured in the strike that killed Nasrallah, Lebanon’s health ministry said. That figure was expected to rise as rescue workers continued searching for survivors.

On Saturday, explosions were heard in Beirut as Israel continued to strike Hizbollah targets and announced it had killed a top member of the group’s intelligence department responsible for selecting targets in Israel.

The Israeli military also posted warnings on social media telling Lebanese to evacuate the southern suburbs of Beirut, the Bekaa Valley and southern Lebanon.

The IDF said it had intercepted a missile fired from Yemen that set off air raid sirens across central Israel. Late on Saturday, sirens also sounded in parts of Jerusalem, as the IDF reported a rocket incoming from Lebanon.

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Lebanese leaders from across the political spectrum called for unity, reflecting concerns that the fragile nation could slide into civil strife in the wake of Nasrallah’s assassination.

“We differed a great deal with the deceased and his party and we rarely found common ground, but Lebanon was a tent for all, and in this deeply difficult time our unity and solidarity is fundamental,” Saad Hariri, former prime minister, said in a statement.

Nasrallah’s death capped a disastrous two weeks for Hizbollah during which it has sustained the heaviest succession of blows in its four decades of existence.

Residents of Beirut said the Israeli bombing raids on Friday night and during the early hours of Saturday had been some of the most intense in the city since Israel and Hizbollah fought a 34-day war in 2006.

Explosions lit up the sky throughout the night and threw huge clouds of dust into the air. Hundreds of people fled the south of the city, where Hizbollah is entrenched, to seek shelter on beaches and in public squares.

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Over the past two weeks, Israel has escalated its offensive against the militant group, killing a string of its senior commanders. This week it embarked on an intense bombardment of sites across Lebanon that killed more than 600 people and displaced more than 90,000.

On Wednesday, Israel called up two reserve brigades for “operational missions” in the north of the country, with Halevi telling troops to prepare for a possible ground offensive in Lebanon.

The Israeli military said it was continuing its bombardment on Saturday, carrying out “extensive” bombing raids in the Bekaa Valley in eastern Lebanon as well as striking more targets in Beirut, after warning civilians in some densely populated neighbourhoods to evacuate.

Additional reporting by Najmeh Bozorgmehr in Tehran and Andrew England in London

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'Historically unpopular' JD Vance deploying new strategy to duck tough questions: report

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'Historically unpopular' JD Vance deploying new strategy to duck tough questions: report

After a string of blunders, misrepresentations and outright fabrications that have dogged embattled vice presidential nominee J.D. Vance on the campaign as Donald Trump’s running mate, the Ohio Republican is deploying his MAGA fans to run interference for him when confronted with reporters’ questions.

According to a report from Politico’s Adam Wren, there has been a noticeable change at “historically unpopular” Vance’s sparsely-attended rallies where the candidate picks out a reporter to ask him a question and then the pro-Vance crowd surrounding him proceeds to boo and drown out his inquisitor.

Case in point, Wren wrote, “Inside an open-air barn at the Northwest Michigan Fairgrounds, Vance, who favors questions from local reporters before national ones at his events, called on the Traverse City Record-Eagle reporter, who identified himself as the ‘hometown’ scribe. Before he even got his question out — a relatively anodyne one about housing costs — the reporter endured a hail of boos as the Republican vice presidential nominee smiled” and then commented, “You’re allowed to ask your question; they’re allowed to tell you how they think about it. That’s OK. This is America.”

ALSO READ: ‘I want Vance to apologize’: We went to Springfield and found community hurt — and divided

According to the reporter in that instance, 65-year-old Peter Kobs, Vance has his own Greek chorus doing his bidding.

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“The Greek chorus is there to amplify and, you know, put emotion in it. But hating the media is a juvenile approach to politics,” he stated.

According to Jeff Timmer of the anti-Trump Lincoln Project, Vance is insulating himself after a series of mistakes and awkward encounters – such as a disastrous visit to a donut shop that went viral — in front of the press.

“He was so bad without a supporting cast, they had to kind of wrap him in this bubble wrap. That’s what the people backing him there are doing. It’s bubble wrap to protect them from smashing his head,” he colorfully explained.

According to Robert Schwartz, a “Haley Voters for Harris” Republican, Vance’s latest tactic “feels a little hostile.”

“I would say it’s important for the candidates to be able to answer questions. So I think that’s a good thing. But using our independent media as a prop to get boo lines? Most Americans rely on the media to ask these questions,” he suggested.

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Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Hizbollah, 1960-2024

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Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Hizbollah, 1960-2024

For more than three decades, Hizbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, whom Israel killed in an air strike, oversaw the Shia Islamist movement’s transformation from a guerrilla group into the Middle East’s most powerful transnational paramilitary force. 

In his 32 years at the helm of Hizbollah, the 64-year-old cleric was credited with making it the pre-eminent force in Iran’s regional network of proxies known as the axis of resistance. 

This gave Nasrallah an unrivalled position as both a public face and crucial strategist in the network — “more junior partner than proxy” in the axis, according to Hizbollah expert Amal Saad.

Rarely seen without his clerical garb, Nasrallah was viewed as one of the most important figures in the axis, second only to Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, following the US assassination of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani in 2020.  

Nasrallah’s forces helped train fighters from Hamas, as well as other members of the Iran axis, including Iraq’s Shia militias and Yemen’s Houthis.

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He will be remembered among his supporters for standing up to Israel and the US, and restoring Arab might. His enemies will point out that he was the leader of what they consider a terrorist organisation, which furthered Iran’s geopolitical agenda and was accused of widespread atrocities, both at home and abroad.

Nasrallah speaks via video link at the funeral of a Hizbollah commander earlier this year. Very few people met him in person © AP

In Lebanon, Hizbollah is referred to as “a state within a state”, with a parallel network of social services that rival those of the government it has worked for decades to undermine. 

Nasrallah was reviled by many in Lebanon’s Christian and Sunni communities, who blamed him for eroding the nation’s state institutions, putting Iran’s interests ahead of the country’s and turning his movement’s weapons inwards to quash dissent and opposition.

He was also loathed by many Syrians, after Hizbollah fighters helped president Bashar al-Assad’s regime brutally crush the opposition after civil war erupted in Syria in the wake of a 2011 popular uprising.

All the while, Nasrallah crafted his public image, weaponising his charisma and his battlefield victories to hone a cult of personality that led his supporters to revere him as near-omnipotent.

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His face appears on billboards and key chains, mugs and candlelit shrines. Lebanese routinely trade Nasrallah stickers on WhatsApp while snippets of his speeches are often turned into memes. 

The portrait painted by people who knew Nasrallah or met him over the past 40 years is of a strategic thinker with a commanding presence, a man feared and admired in equal measure, revered by Islamist militants and Middle Eastern tyrants.

Very few people met him in person in recent decades. Those who have described Nasrallah as courteous, perceptive and funny.

A powerful orator, he spoke colloquial Arabic — not classical — while a life-long speech impediment, which left him unable to pronounce his Rs, was widely viewed as disarming.

Nasrallah was born on August 31, 1960 in an impoverished Beirut neighbourhood that was home to Christian Armenians, Druze, Shia and Palestinians. He said he was “an observant Muslim at the age of nine”, more preoccupied with his prayers than helping his father in his vegetable shop.

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When Nasrallah was 16, he sent himself to a seminary for aspiring Shia clerics in the Iraqi city of Najaf. He left less than two years later, fixated on resistance to Israel.

While in Najaf, he came under the influence of Abbas Mussawi, a Lebanese cleric just a few years older than him, with whom he would eventually found Hizbollah in the early 1980s. 

Hassan Nasrallah surrounded by bodyguards in a Beirut suburb in 1992
Hassan Nasrallah, centre, surrounded by bodyguards in a Beirut suburb in 1992 © Ramzi Haidar/AFP/Getty Images
Undated file photo of Hadi Nasrallah, son of Hassan Nasrallah. Hadi, 18, was killed during clashes in 1997 with Israeli soldiers in South Lebanon.
An undated photo of Hadi Nasrallah, son of Hassan Nasrallah. Hadi, 18, was killed by Israeli commandos in 1997 © AFP/Getty Images

He climbed quickly up the ranks, forging close ties with the men suspected of plotting some of the group’s earliest terror attacks — including the 1983 bombing of the Beirut barracks housing US and French peacekeepers, which killed at least 360 people.

“After 1982, our youth, years, life and time became part of Hizbollah,” Nasrallah told a Lebanese newspaper in 1993, a few months after he was appointed leader of the militant group following Mussawi’s assassination by Israel. 

Unlike other paramilitary leaders, Nasrallah was not known to have personally fought. But his leadership earned him respect among Hizbollah’s ranks as a battlefield commander, particularly after his 18-year-old son Hadi was killed by Israeli commandos in 1997.  

“We, Hizbollah’s leadership, do not jealously guard our children,” Nasrallah said the day after Hadi’s death, cementing his reputation as a wartime leader who was willing to make sacrifice for their cause. Nasrallah shared at least three other children with his wife Fatima. 

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Nasrallah’s reputation grew regionally when Israel withdrew from southern Lebanon in 2000. “He achieved what few if any Arab states and armies had done fighting Israel,” Saad said. His reputation was enhanced after Hizbollah fought Israel in a 34-day war in 2006.

This also made him one of Israel’s prime targets. He lived largely underground, “somewhere between southern Lebanon, Beirut and Syria”, to evade assassination attempts.

A Lebanese boy displays a poster of Nasrallah, who carefully crafted his public image © AP

When thousands of Hizbollah’s electronic devices detonated this month killing dozens and maiming thousands more in attacks widely blamed on Israel, Nasrallah was said to be unharmed. He never handled electronic devices, which were always heavily screened before being allowed in his vicinity.

He was also rarely known to answer his own phone after Israel was allegedly able to reach him on his personal landline, which exists only on Hizbollah’s parallel telecommunications network. 

His frequent speeches were delivered via secure live feed to his legions of followers, broadcast from unknown locations and he sent emissaries to meet his political allies and foes. This helped him deepen his enigmatic aura and the reverence his public had for him. 

As Israel has stepped up its attacks on Hizbollah over the past year, it has killed many of the group’s leadership, targeting its field officers before taking aim its senior most command. 

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Almost none of the original members of the group’s jihad council, Hizbollah’s top military body that Nasrallah oversaw, is left alive, according to people familiar with the group’s operations.   

Many Lebanese remember the destruction wrought the last time Hizbollah went to war with Israel in 2006. In the final hours before the ceasefire took hold, waves of Israeli bombs rained down over Beirut’s southern suburb of Dahiyeh. It was considered a last-ditch attempt to kill Nasrallah. 

When that war ended, Nasrallah said he would “absolutely not” have launched the attack that triggered the conflict “if I had known . . . that the operation would lead to such a war”.

It was in Dahiyeh where Friday’s strike killed Nasrallah.

Additional reporting by James Shotter in Jerusalem

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