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Top UN court orders Israel to halt Rafah offensive

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Top UN court orders Israel to halt Rafah offensive

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The UN’s top court has ordered Israel to “immediately halt” its military offensive in Rafah, the southern Gazan city that had become a refuge for more than 1mn civilians since the war between Israel and Hamas erupted last year.

Despite intense international pressure to refrain, Israeli forces entered the city earlier this month, with officials insisting the assault was necessary to defeat Hamas, which triggered the war with its October 7 attack on Israel.

However, in an order issued in response to an urgent request brought by South Africa, the International Court of Justice on Friday said conditions in Rafah were “disastrous”, and instructed Israel to stop.

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The court also ordered Israel to reopen the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt to allow “unhindered provision at scale of urgently needed basic services and humanitarian assistance”, and to allow investigators into the enclave.

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The ICJ has no way of enforcing its orders — Russia continues to flout the court’s 2022 order to suspend its military operations in Ukraine. But Friday’s order adds to intense international pressure on Israel over its war in Gaza, which has fuelled a humanitarian catastrophe in the enclave.

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was due to discuss the order with senior officials on Friday, his office said.

Far-right finance minister Bezalel Smotrich said Israel would not agree to stop the war in Gaza. “Those who demand that the State of Israel stop the war, demand that it decree itself to cease to exist,” he wrote on the social media platform X. “If we lay down our weapons, the enemy will reach the beds of our children and women throughout the country.”

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But internationally, the pressure to end the war is growing.

The EU’s chief diplomat said the ICJ’s ruling on Friday would force the bloc to choose between supporting “rule of law [or] . . . Israel”.

“We will have to choose between our support for international institutions and the rule of law, and our support for Israel,” Josep Borrell told a conference in Florence, adding that either choice was “going to be quite difficult”.

“We’ve been clear and consistent on our position on Rafah,” a spokesperson for the White House’s National Security Council told the Financial Times, when asked about the US response to the ICJ ruling. The US has opposed Israel’s full invasion of Rafah without a plan to protect civilians.

A wounded Palestinian boy stands next to a damaged home in Rafah
A wounded Palestinian boy stands next to a damaged home in Rafah following Israeli strikes © AFP/Getty Images

On Monday the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court — which deals with crimes by individuals rather than states — sought arrest warrants for Netanyahu and defence minister Yoav Gallant, and three Hamas leaders, saying he had “reasonable grounds to believe” they were responsible for alleged war crimes.

On Wednesday, Spain, Norway and Ireland pledged to recognise a Palestinian state next week. Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said that while Israel had a right to defend itself, its assault on Gaza, which has killed more than 35,000 people, according to Palestinian officials, was putting a two-state solution “in danger”.

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Netanyahu dismissed the ICC prosecutor’s move as “a distortion of reality” and insisted Israel would continue its offensive in Gaza — which it launched in response to Hamas’s October 7 attack, during which militants killed 1,200 people, and took another 250 hostage, according to Israeli officials — regardless of international criticism.

Gallant on Thursday said Israel was stepping up its assault on Rafah, and that 1mn civilians had left the city since Israel began its operation there on May 7.

Heavy Israeli air strikes were reported in Rafah in the wake of the ICJ ruling on Friday, according to Palestinian eyewitnesses and social media; Israeli analysts speculated the target was the Hamas brigade commander for the area.

South Africa’s request is part of a case it brought last year alleging Israel is committing genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. Israel has vehemently denied the charges, and the ICJ is unlikely to issue a final decision in the case for years.

But the court has twice issued interim orders in the case. In January, it told Israel to comply with international law on genocide, and in March, to ensure more food and humanitarian assistance reached Palestinians in Gaza, warning that famine was “setting in”.

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Israel does not recognise the ICC. But it is a member of the ICJ, and as such is meant to implement its orders.

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Video: What Threats Mean for Trump’s Campaign

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Video: What Threats Mean for Trump’s Campaign

Former President Donald J. Trump’s advisers are considering whether to modify his travel after threats to his life from Iran and two assassination attempts, according to several people briefed on the matter. Maggie Haberman, a senior political correspondent for The New York Times, recounts the ways in which these threats have affected Mr. Trump and his campaign.

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Chinese stocks post best week since 2008 after stimulus blitz

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Chinese stocks post best week since 2008 after stimulus blitz

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Chinese equities have surged to their best week since 2008 after Beijing launched an economic stimulus package including a $114bn war chest to boost the stock market.

The CSI 300 index of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed companies is up 15.7 per cent for the week in its best performance since November 2008, when China announced a similar stimulus package in response to the global financial crisis.

The rally, which has also helped buoy European markets and industrial metals, comes as China’s leadership rushes to support the country’s capital markets, stabilise a property sector crisis and boost domestic consumption in order to meet its economic growth target of 5 per cent for the year.

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On Tuesday, the People’s Bank of China unveiled an Rmb800bn ($114bn) lending pool for the country’s capital markets, comprising funds to lend to companies to buy back their own shares and to lend to non-bank financial institutions such as insurers to buy local equities.

The CSI 300 index closed up 4.5 per cent on Friday while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 3.6 per cent, up 13 per cent since the start of the week in its biggest weekly gain since October 1998 during the Asian financial crisis.

“We are at a pivotal moment for the Chinese economy and its equities market,” said Nicholas Yeo, head of China equities at Abrdn, who said in a note that the US Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut would also be a significant tailwind.

“Global easing conditions are poised to bolster consumption, which is a boon for China, the world’s largest exporter.”

Hopes for more stimulus in China helped lift European stocks. The region-wide Stoxx 600 hit a fresh record high on Friday, pushed higher by luxury groups that would benefit from stronger consumer spending in China.

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The China rally followed Wall Street gains after the S&P 500 closed on Thursday at a record high for the third time this week, with equities climbing ahead of Friday’s inflation report.

Chinese authorities in August restricted the daily northbound data through the Hong Kong Stock Connect programme that shows foreign investor flows into mainland stocks.

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But Citi said the past three days were “the busiest period for Citi’s equities sales and trading team in the Asia region, with record client flows” into Hong Kong and mainland Chinese equities.

The Shanghai Stock Exchange put out a notice on Friday warning investors of “abnormally” slow transaction speeds as a result of frenzied morning trading, said two people familiar with the situation.

“We can’t dismiss this as the same old policy,” said Winnie Wu, equity strategist at Bank of America. “This is the first time that the government is encouraging leveraged investment in the stock market. A liquidity-leveraged rally should still have significant room to go.”

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Line chart of Indices rebased in $ terms up to Sep 26 showing Hong Kong stocks are almost level with the S&P 500 year-to-date

David Chao, a global market strategist at Invesco, said the rally in Chinese stocks could be sustained. “China markets are about momentum, and I see certain parallels between the existing rally and that of the 2014-15 rally,” when Shanghai’s index rose about 150 per cent between June 2014 and June 2015 but then collapsed.

Chao added that, as the dollar continued to weaken on the back of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, he predicted “possible rotation out of the expensive and crowded global tech trade into cheaper [emerging market] assets”.

The stimulus measures this week have propelled most commodity prices higher, with the notable exception of oil, which has been damped by news of Saudi Arabia preparing to increase output. 

In particular, industrial metals such as copper, aluminium and zinc, of which China is a huge consumer because of its vast manufacturing sector, have surged, building on a rally that started earlier this month.

Copper, which is used heavily in the final stages of construction for electrical wiring, has gained more than 5 per cent since Tuesday to break through the $10,000 per tonne mark and reach its highest level in three months. 

For iron ore, a steelmaking ingredient, the stimulus measures have helped trigger a rebound after a slide in price to a two-year low that was largely driven by weak consumption of steel.

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“In a commodity where expectations were negative, such as iron ore, this marks a clear turn,” said Colin Hamilton, commodities strategist at BMO. “We see this as a clear reflation trade, but the question will be whether it is enough to boost weak consumer sentiment.”

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Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky to meet as tensions rise

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Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky to meet as tensions rise

Former President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, as tensions rise between the two men over how the future defense of Ukraine against Russian invasion will be conducted if Trump wins the U.S. election.

Trump has long argued that Vladimir Putin would not have dared invade Ukraine if he had been president at the time of the invasion in February 2022. He referred to Zelensky as a “salesman” for securing U.S. financial and military assistance for Ukraine, worth over $175 billion according to the Council on Foreign Relations.

In addition, Trump praised Russia’s historic military victories this week and called for the U.S. “to get out” and end its involvement with Ukraine-Russia conflict. Speaking Wednesday in North Carolina, Trump referred to Ukraine as “demolished” and its people as “dead.”

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks at Trump Tower in New York, Thursday, Sept. 26, 2024. According to Trump, it was Zelensky’s office who approached him for the visit which is set for…


Seth Wenig/AP

“Any deal—the worst deal—would’ve been better than what we have now,” Trump said. “If they made a bad deal it would’ve been much better. They would’ve given up a little bit and everybody would be living and every building would be built and every tower would be aging for another 2,000 years.”

According to Trump, it was Zelensky’s office who approached him for the visit which is set for 9.45 a.m. Eastern Time on Friday at Trump Tower in New York. Trump said in a news conference Thursday “I look forward to seeing him tomorrow. I believe I will be able to make a deal between President Putin and President Zelensky, quite quickly.”

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The timing is significant for the U.S. election.

Clear political battle lines have already been drawn between Democrat rival Harris and Republican Trump over the future of U.S. support for Ukraine and the nation’s role as the main contributor to NATO. The U.S. is due to contribute up to $755 billion in 2024 according to the international defense pact’s own estimates.

Trump meets Zelensky
Vice President Kamala Harris meets with Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Thursday, Sept. 26, 2024, in the vice president’s ceremonial office inside the Eisenhower Executive Office Building on the White House complex in Washington. In keeping…


Jacquelyn Martin/AP

In keeping with President Biden’s stated foreign policy goals, Harris reinforced her continued support for NATO and Ukraine when she accepted her nomination for candidacy in August. Trump, however has remained highly critical, even threatening to withdraw intelligence cooperation and military assistance to NATO members who in his view don’t pay their fair share.

Friday’s meeting almost wasn’t scheduled to go ahead despite Zelensky’s office stating it had been planned during the Ukrainian leader’s visit to the U.N. General Assembly, during which he is making an endgame pitch to his international allies.

In an interview with The New Yorker, Zelensky suggested Trump oversimplifies the conflict and does not understand Ukraine. The Ukrainian leader further explained his position that Trump’s running mate JD Vance was “too radical” by advocating for Ukraine to “make a sacrifice” by “giving up its territories.”

Harris on Thursday stood alongside Zelensky and said Trump’s push for Ukraine to quickly cut a deal to end the war were “not proposals for peace,” but “proposals for surrender.” Trump on Thursday said he was not advocating for a surrender.

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While Trump and Vance have long been skeptics of U.S. backing for Ukraine, other Republican allies of the former president have backed Kyiv’s defense against Moscow’s invasion and argue supporting Ukraine is still in America’s interest.

This article includes reporting from The Associated Press

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