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South Korea warns Joe Biden’s EV subsidy scheme at risk of ‘collapse’

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South Korea warns Joe Biden’s EV subsidy scheme at risk of ‘collapse’

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China’s control over a crucial battery material will make it nearly impossible for any electric-vehicle makers to qualify for the subsidy scheme at the heart of President Joe Biden’s flagship green tech legislation, South Korea has warned.

Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act seeks to eliminate “foreign entities of concern” — which include companies with close ties to Beijing — from the US EV supply chain, with restrictions due to come into force on January 1 2025.

But Chinese companies control more than 99 per of the global market for battery-grade graphite and 69 per cent of the market for synthetic graphite used in battery anodes, according to consultancy Benchmark Minerals Intelligence.

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Without an exemption to the FEOC rules for battery makers to secure graphite from Chinese suppliers, it is possible that no vehicles will qualify for the generous tax credits that the Biden administration is offering EV buyers, Ahn Duk-geun, South Korea’s minister of trade, industry and energy, has warned.

“Unless they make some kind of exemption or transition period, the whole [EV subsidy] regime will collapse,” Ahn told the Financial Times, adding that Seoul had raised the issue with the US commerce department. “I believe they will try to find a way to somehow take this market reality into consideration.”

South Korean companies have already committed to investing tens of billions of dollars in advanced technology facilities in the US in order to take advantage of expansive subsidies for semiconductor and battery manufacturing.

The US announced last week that it would offer up to $6.4bn in federal subsidies to South Korean tech giant Samsung Electronics, which is investing $40bn in its Texas facilities for cutting-edge logic chips, advanced packaging and research and development on next-generation chip technologies. SK Hynix, a maker of memory chips, is building an advanced packaging facility in Indiana.

South Korean battery makers LG Energy Solution, SK On and Samsung SDI, which have all received billions of dollars under the IRA, are projected to account for 44 per cent of North America’s total battery capacity by 2030, according to Benchmark.

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But he noted that future US administrations could cause “huge trouble” for South Korean companies by modifying or repealing elements of the IRA, which Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has threatened to gut in favour of increased fossil fuel investment. Beijing also introduced controls on graphite exports last year.

The Korea Semiconductor Industry Association has expressed concern that South Korean chipmakers’ large investments in the US could jeopardise the country’s competitive edge, with its executive director Ahn Ki-hyun telling the FT this month: “We could lose our status as a chipmaking powerhouse if our companies continue to build plants abroad.”

But Ahn, the trade minister, said extra capacity outside South Korea was required to meet booming future demand for artificial intelligence-related hardware.

“The one major difference of Korean industry from China, the US or Japan is that we have a small population and a small territory,” he said. “So we cannot produce everything here, and some of our companies need to go [overseas] to major markets. We encourage them to do that.”

The trade minister conceded that Seoul would need to offer better incentives for chipmakers to continue building more capacity in South Korea, as other countries — including the US — pursue “nationalistic industrial policies”. South Korea’s conservative president, Yoon Suk Yeol, declared last year that the country was engaged in an “all-out”, global “semiconductor war.”

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But minister Ahn added that the reorientation of supply chains amid intensifying US-China tensions would benefit South Korea’s traditional strength of trade diversification, as other countries seek to reduce their dependence on China and Taiwan.

“When they try to ‘de-risk’ from any particular country, they are going to need new partners,” said Ahn. “We are a perfect partner for countries that are trying to build their own fortress — that is our survival strategy.”

Video: How Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act changed the world | FT Film
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Buffett lays out expansive role for successor Greg Abel at poignant Berkshire AGM

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Buffett lays out expansive role for successor Greg Abel at poignant Berkshire AGM

Warren Buffett said Greg Abel should have the final decision on investments at Berkshire Hathaway, making clear that his successor will have authority over not just takeovers but the sprawling conglomerate’s mammoth stock portfolio as well.

At Berkshire’s annual general meeting in Omaha on Saturday, Buffett gave his most direct answer yet on how responsibilities will be doled out among the small executive team that will one day lead the company, handing Abel responsibility for how hundreds of billions of dollars are allocated.

“I think the responsibility ought to be entirely with Greg,” Buffett said from the stage at the CHI Health Center in downtown Omaha. “I used to think differently about how that would be handled, but I think that the responsibility should be that of the CEO.”

He said Berkshire’s board would ultimately make the decision when he dies, although he said “I may try to come back and haunt them if they do it differently”.

Investors had expected that Abel would lead the company’s operating subsidiaries and be the person to do Berkshire’s big game hunting — how Buffett refers to the multibillion-dollar acquisitions on which he has made his name.

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But many had anticipated Berkshire’s $336bn stock portfolio would fall to Buffett’s two investment deputies, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, and that those two men could play a large role in how the company’s $189bn cash pile is deployed.

“I think the chief executive should be somebody that can weigh buying businesses, buying stocks, doing all kinds of things that might come up at a time when nobody else is willing to move,” he said.

Abel has played a large role in Berkshire’s acquisitions, including its takeovers of PacifiCorp in 2006, and Dominion Energy’s pipeline business in 2020. Buffett disclosed during the annual general meeting that Abel had also played a role in Berkshire’s failed bid for technology distributor Tech Data in 2019.

It was unclear if Abel would want to run the common stock portfolio himself, or simply have the investment managers report to him, allowing them to make their own trades.

Last year, Abel told CNBC that Combs and Weschler ran their own portfolios “and that’s the way it’ll always be, and they’ll manage it accordingly”.

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“I may ask them: ‘That was really interesting. What triggered your interest?’” Abel said of his conversations with Combs and Weschler over their stock investments. “But that’s the extent of it. And outside of having relationships with both of them, which are important, that’s their portfolio.”

Buffett in recent years has talked about how he shares similar views on capital allocation to Abel, who rose through the company’s utility business and now has oversight over all of its non-insurance operations as vice-chair. He added that his decision was influenced by the sheer size of Berkshire. “We do not want to try and have 200 people around that are managing $1bn each.”

Christopher Rossbach, the chief investment officer of Berkshire shareholder J Stern & Co, said the comment by Buffett was “very significant” as it showed “part of the path forward”. He added that it raised new questions, including how Abel would approach managing the stock portfolio.

Berkshire shareholders line up to take selfies with Greg Abel © AP

“We have not heard much from Greg yet about the public investments,” Rossbach said. “It’s going to be part of this ongoing transition, to learn more about how that business is going to be structured, and then also more about how Greg Abel thinks of it.”

Compared to previous years, Abel took on a larger role at Saturday’s meeting, the first since Buffett’s longtime business partner and Berkshire vice-chair Charlie Munger died in November. Buffett also turned the official portion of the day — when shareholder proposals were voted on — over to Abel to lead, citing trouble with his own voice and eyesight.

Abel spent the day sitting next to Buffett on stage for both the morning and afternoon sessions; vice-chair Ajit Jain, who runs the insurance operations, only joined for the first part of the day. Abel appeared relaxed as he spoke about how the BNSF railroad was performing, how Buffett had approached his investment in Occidental Petroleum, as well as how it was handling litigation over wildfires — including its push to get state laws passed that would limit its liabilities in future catastrophes.

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“We don’t want to throw good capital after bad capital,” Abel said of the utility business following the wildfires, repeating a comment Buffett made in his annual letter in February. “We’ll be very disciplined there.”

Investors have seen Abel as a strong operator of Berkshire’s underlying businesses, helping improve margins and profitability at the company, a point Buffett credited him with on Saturday.

“If you have 20 children and you are very rich you’ll have some that will be go-getters anyway and you’ll have some that won’t,” Buffett said. “We are a very, very rich company and we haven’t had a history of being very tough on people that coasted.”

“Greg will do something about it,” he added.

At the start, Buffett mistakenly referred to Abel as “Charlie” when passing a question to him. The packed arena — so full that hundreds of people sat behind the stage, unable to see Buffett in the flesh — broke into a thunderous applause.

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“I’m so used to . . . ” he said, before laughing. “I checked myself a couple times already. I’ll slip again.”

Asked what he would do if he had one more day with Munger, Buffett replied: “We had a lot of fun doing anything. We’d play golf together. We’d play tennis together. We did everything together . . . we had as much fun, perhaps even more to some extent, with things that failed because then we really had to work.”

Munger’s death emphasised the fact that there may not be many more meetings featuring Buffett. Dominic Evans, who travelled to Omaha from London, got in line at 4:45am so he could get a good seat. He said he wanted to come to “show his support” for Buffett.

“Bring out the Kleenex for this year because, you know, you’ve lost somebody who’s a great teacher,” he said. “Luckily, so much of his material is already out there . . . but, you know, it’s going to be irreplaceable.”

Buffett acknowledged his mortality several times on Saturday. He told shareholders: “I not only hope you come next year, but I hope I come next year.”

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Buffett’s best lines in Omaha in 2024

On Berkshire’s disastrous investment in Paramount

“I think I’m smarter now than I was a year or two ago, but I also think I’m poorer because I acquired the knowledge in the manner I did . . . We lost money on Paramount and I did it all by myself folks.”

On the threat to Treasuries from the rising national debt

“My best speculation is that US debt will be acceptable for a very long time because there’s not much alternative. But it won’t be the quantity. You know, the national debt was nothing to speak of for a long long time.”

On why he’s not deploying more of Berkshire’s $189bn cash pile

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“I don’t think anybody sitting at this table has any idea of how to use it effectively and therefore we don’t use it now at 5.4 per cent but we wouldn’t use it if it was at 1 per cent. Don’t tell the Federal Reserve that, we prefer it. We only swing at pitches we like.”

Buffett’s deputies, Greg Abel and Ajit Jain, on the record

Ajit Jain on Tesla’s self-driving cars and the impact on insurance

“The point I want to make in terms of Tesla and the fact that they feel that because of their technology the number of accidents [will] come down. That is certainly provable. But what needs to be factored in as well is the pay cost of each one of these accidents has skyrocketed.”

Greg Abel on maintaining Berkshire’s unique culture

“The culture we have at Berkshire, and that being our shareholders being our partners and our managers of our business having that ownership mentality, that’s never going to change and that will attract the right managers at every level.”

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Top RNC lawyer resigns after rift grows with Trump

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Top RNC lawyer resigns after rift grows with Trump

The top lawyer at the Republican Party is resigning after he cited conflicts with his other work obligations and after Donald Trump grew angry about his criticism of the former president’s false claims that the 2020 election was stolen, people familiar with the situation said Saturday night.

The lawyer, Charlie Spies, is a long-respected GOP election operative who was hired by Trump’s top lieutenants in March after the former president engineered a takeover of the Republican National Committee, which in recent years has been the party’s main operation in both fundraising and field operations.

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Sullivan says military aid will help Ukraine mount counteroffensive in 2025

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Sullivan says military aid will help Ukraine mount counteroffensive in 2025

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Ukraine will look to mount a new counteroffensive in 2025 after receiving a $61bn infusion of US military aid to help it stop Russia from making additional gains this year, Jake Sullivan, the US national security adviser said.

Speaking at the FT Weekend Festival in Washington on Saturday, Sullivan said that he still expects “Russian advances in the coming period” on the battlefield, despite the new US funding package approved last month, because “you can’t instantly flip the switch”.

But he said that with the new aid from Washington, Kyiv would have the capacity to “hold the line” and “to ensure Ukraine withstands the Russian assault” over the course of 2024.

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And pointing to the scenario for the war next year, Sullivan said Ukraine intended to “to move forward to recapture the territory that the Russians have taken from them”.

His comments about a potential counteroffensive by Ukraine represent the White House’s clearest articulation of how it views the conflict evolving if president Joe Biden wins re-election in November.

Any new offensive in 2025 by Ukraine would be dependent on more funding from Congress, and approval by the White House.

But Donald Trump, the former president and presumptive Republican nominee, has been sceptical of Ukraine aid and has vowed to try to end the conflict quickly and seek a negotiated settlement.

Ukrainian officials have expressed hope that it may be able to turn the tide next year.

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Speaking to Germany’s Bild last month, Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy said there is a plan for another counteroffensive but that it is contingent on more weapons, including from the US.

But while much-needed supplies and weapons are on their way to the front lines after the US aid was approved last month, resolving Ukraine’s personnel shortages is crucial to its chances against Russia. 

Many Ukrainian men have been unwilling to join the mobilisation drive which began almost a year ago, citing fear of poor commanders and a lack of weaponry.

Ukraine’s leadership has been attempting to solve these issues with a mix of more liberal recruitment methods and better conditions for soldiers. But it remains to be seen what impact it and the new aid packages will have on the mood. 

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