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Rachel Reeves announces £40bn tax increase in UK Budget

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Rachel Reeves announces £40bn tax increase in UK Budget

UK chancellor Rachel Reeves has announced a £40bn tax increase, the biggest in a generation, with business bearing the brunt of a Budget she said would fix Britain’s “broken” public finances and public services.

Extra borrowing averaging £28bn a year over the parliament unsettled investors on Wednesday, pushing government borrowing costs — which had already risen sharply ahead of the budget — to a five-month high.

The decision to increase tax, spending and borrowing is a big gamble for Reeves, the first woman to hold the position of chancellor in the 800-year history of the post.

The massive tax rise, which will fund a big increase in spending on the NHS and schools, will take Britain’s tax burden to a record high. It was accompanied by a planned £100bn rise in capital spending — funded by the extra borrowing — over the parliament.

“These choices aren’t easy but they’re responsible,” Reeves told the House of Commons, to ecstatic cheering from Labour MPs. Conservative leader Rishi Sunak said she had “broken promise after promise”.

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Most of the tax increase will come from a £25bn rise in national insurance paid by employers, which will go up by 1.2 percentage points to 15 per cent from April. The level at which employers start paying NI for workers will drop from £9,100 to £5,000.

Business groups have warned that increasing NI for employers may force some companies to dismiss staff or close at a time when wages and other labour costs are also increasing.

About £9bn a year will be raised from higher taxes on groups including people who benefit from the “non-dom” scheme for wealthy foreigners’ overseas income, as well as private schools, energy companies and private equity chiefs.

As part of its move to abolish the non-dom regime, the government said it would end the use of offshore trusts to shelter assets from UK inheritance tax, ignoring warnings that such a move could spark an exodus of rich people from the UK.

The chancellor added that, instead of the scheme, the UK would introduce a new “internationally competitive” residence programme.

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Reeves announced an immediate increase in capital gains tax, with the lower rate rising from 10 per cent to 18 per cent, and the higher rate from 20 per cent to 24 per cent. She also said increases in inheritance tax — notably applying it to pensions — would yield £2bn a year.

In a move closely watched by private equity executives, she said Labour would increase the capital gains rates on carried interest to 32 per cent from April, up from 28 per cent.

While the change fell short of taxing carried interest in line with the top rate of income tax of 45 per cent, advisers warned that by suggesting there was a “compelling case” for further reforms of carried interest, Reeves had left the door open to further tax hikes.

In a boost to people at the other end of the income spectrum, the chancellor confirmed that the UK’s national living wage would rise by 6.7 per cent to £12.21 from next April, with a bigger increase for the youngest workers.

UK government bonds initially welcomed Reeves’ remarks, but began to sell off after the Treasury published figures showing debt sales will rise to £300bn in the current fiscal year, up from the previous estimate of £278bn and above investors’ expectations.

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The 10-year gilt yield climbed to 4.37 per cent from a low of 4.21 per cent during Reeves’ speech.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was trading down 0.6 per cent, while the more domestically focused mid-cap FTSE 250 was up 0.3 per cent, boosted by a rally in energy companies’ shares.

In a reference to the disastrous impact on bond markets from Liz Truss’s 2022 “mini” Budget, Vivek Paul, UK chief investment strategist at BlackRock, said pre-Budget briefings had “broadly had the desired effect on markets for now, with the reaction in gilt yields a far cry from the 2022 episode”.

The chancellor said the Budget would stabilise the public finances, patch up crumbling public services such as the NHS and pave the way for higher growth.

In total, she increased taxes by £41.1bn a year by the end of the forecast period in 2029/30 with spending — including capital investment — increasing by £74.1bn in the same year, leaving Reeves with a funding gap of £32.9bn.

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The independent Office for Budget Responsibility said the overall effect of Reeves’ Budget decisions would be to “push up CPI inflation by around half a percentage point at their peak”.

It added that real disposable income per person, a measure of living standards, will be 1.25 per cent lower by the start of 2029 than was forecast in March.

Reeves’ tax rise, one of the biggest in a Budget as a share of national income, outstripped the increases of her predecessors Rishi Sunak in 2022, George Osborne in 2010 and Gordon Brown in 2002.

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Tax as a share of GDP was forecast by the OBR to rise from 36.4 per cent this year to a historic high of 38.2 per cent in 2029/30.

Reeves announced a £6.7bn increase in capital investment in education, a 19 per cent increase in real terms on this year.

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She also promised a £22.6bn rise in the “day to day” health budget over two years, and a £3.1bn increase in the NHS capital budget, in what she described as the largest real-terms increase since 2010, outside of the Covid-19 pandemic.

But she said that she would not prolong a freeze on thresholds for personal income tax and national insurance beyond the 2028 date planned by the last government.

The chancellor maintained the UK’s long-standing freeze on fuel duty, but increased taxes on corporate jet use.

Pledging that the UK would not return to austerity, she said departmental day-to-day spending would grow by 1.5 per cent in real terms from next year, compared with the previously planned 1 per cent, in what remains a tight expenditure settlement.

Capital spending expenditure will grow by 1.7 per cent in real terms.

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In a combative Budget speech, Reeves said the previous Conservative government “hid the reality of their public spending plans” from the electorate and the OBR, the independent forecaster.

“Never again will we allow a government to play fast and loose with the public finances,” she told parliament. But Sunak said the OBR made no mention of the £22bn “black hole” that Reeves claimed to have discovered.

Reeves confirmed that the government’s new investment rule would define debt as “public sector net financial liabilities”, in a move that will increase scope for borrowing. She added that under the government’s new rules, net financial debt will fall in the third year of every forecast.

The OBR predicted the chancellor’s Budget would put her on track to meet her revised debt rule two years ahead of schedule, leaving her with £15.7bn room for manoeuvre.

Debt as measured under the previous rubric — underlying public sector net debt — is still set to increase throughout the parliament until the end of the decade.

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In forecasts accompanying the Budget, the OBR said that real UK GDP growth would be 1.1 per cent this year, 2 per cent in 2025, 1.8 per cent in 2026 and at 1.5 per cent to 1.6 per cent for the rest of the decade.

Additional reporting by Ian Smith and Harriet Agnew

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Video: Community L.A. Fire Brigade Steps In to Help Evacuate Residents

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Video: Community L.A. Fire Brigade Steps In to Help Evacuate Residents

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Community L.A. Fire Brigade Steps In to Help Evacuate Residents

Deep into the evacuation zone, volunteers are stepping in to evacuate L.A. residents from encroaching wildfires. Armed with radios, hoses and knowledge of the area, this brigade offers help to overextended fire departments as they try to reach people who have yet to flee.

“Top is Yankee.” “Victor’s your side. Yankee is the other side of Topanga, OK?” Community fire brigade volunteers are on the streets of Topanga, California. The Palisades fire was encroaching on this home, and Keegan Gibbs and his team were working to evacuate the owner. “OK, hi. So I gotta do this fast, so.” “I honestly just kind of want you to leave, because it’s getting bad.” “No we’re out of here in five minutes.” The brigade works to back up the fire department when resources are stretched thin. “L.A. County and the other supporting agencies are the best in the world at what they do. Events like this, it’s not enough.” The Palisades fire has now been burning for several days, and has destroyed tens of thousands of acres. “It makes no sense for somebody to try to stay here. It’s so unbelievably dangerous.” “I walked kind of with Keegan a little bit. We were going to stay, probably going to stay for a little while, but we walked the property and it’s just almost like, I just don’t think it’s safe. Can you just open that? I’m want to throw some more stuff in here, and then we’ll be good. Just going to put pictures, important memorabilia.” “There’s a huge denial that people won’t be affected by fire, and we have to be advocates for people to realize and accept that risk.” With firefighters still unable to contain two of the region’s largest fires, more L.A. residents are expected to join the tens of thousands who have already been forced to evacuate. “Our mission is to make sure people are safe, just full stop.”

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Malaysia expects surge of Chinese investment, economy minister says

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Malaysia expects surge of Chinese investment, economy minister says

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Chinese chipmakers and technology companies are heading to Malaysia in droves, its economy minister Rafizi Ramli said, as Beijing prepares to face more tariffs when Donald Trump returns as US president this month.

The moves by Chinese companies, which are expected to result in billions of dollars of investment in Malaysia in the coming years, would rival the US companies that have dominated the country’s market, he said.

“Chinese [companies] are very keen to go outside and expand beyond their domestic market,” Rafizi told the Financial Times in an interview. “Those companies are now looking at relocating or expanding into Malaysia.”

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Trump has threatened to impose 60 per cent tariffs on Chinese imports when he re-enters the White House on January 20, rattling investors and putting companies on alert to restructure their supply chains.

Malaysia has been a big beneficiary over the past decade of such “China-plus-one” strategies, where multinational companies complement their Chinese operations with investments in regional countries to diversify risk and lower costs.

It has also positioned itself as a crucial player in global supply chains for high-tech industries such as artificial intelligence, with long-standing semiconductor manufacturing operations in Penang in the north and a burgeoning hub for data centres in the southern state of Johor.

US companies have dominated these sectors in Malaysia, but Rafizi said he expected a wave of Chinese investment on the back of initiatives his government was putting in place to develop the industries further.

Joe Biden’s administration has restricted sales of advanced chips by US companies to China, posing a potential threat to their investments in Malaysia, where many of the products are manufactured, and opening the door for Chinese competitors.

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Rafizi said he made a 10-day trip in June to China, where he met 100 AI, tech and biomedical companies to assess their appetite for investing in Malaysia. He added that these efforts had resulted in two investment delegations from China in the past few months.

“Chinese investments usually come with their own ecosystem,” he said. “We will be seeing more and more, especially if we can secure the first two or three anchor investors from China.”

He added that many companies were also seeking to increase exposure to the fast-growing south-east Asian market as China’s economic momentum slows and trade with the US faces additional barriers.

This week, Malaysia signed an agreement with Singapore to create a vast special economic zone between the two countries. Malaysia hopes the initiative will add $26bn a year to its economy by 2030, bringing in 20,000 skilled jobs and 50 new projects.

Between 2019 and 2023, Malaysia attracted $21bn of investment into its semiconductor industry and $10bn into data centres — the storage facilities that enable fast-growing technologies such as AI, cloud computing and cryptocurrency mining. In the past year alone, US tech companies Amazon, Nvidia, Google and Microsoft committed nearly $16bn, mostly for data centres in Johor.

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TikTok owner ByteDance is the largest Chinese group to invest in Johor, with a $2bn commitment last year.

Rafizi said that while historically, Malaysia had been happy to accept any foreign investment, it was becoming more selective as it sought to contribute more value to the products and services it produced.

He added that while increasing US-China tensions would harm global trade, it could prompt Chinese companies to give Malaysia a bigger role in chip design, rather than just manufacturing, which would generate more income as the country climbed the value chain.

“The unintended consequence of some tariff measures targeted at Chinese companies basically helps countries like Malaysia to weed out the more genuine and long-term investments from China compared to the ones that just look to use Malaysia as a manufacturing outpost,” he said.

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USDA report finds Boar's Head listeria outbreak was due to poor sanitation practices

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USDA report finds Boar's Head listeria outbreak was due to poor sanitation practices

Boar’s Head meats are displayed at a Safeway store on July 31, 2024 in San Rafael, Calif. The USDA released a new report on what led to the listeria outbreak.

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A U.S. Department of Agriculture report has found that “inadequate sanitation practices” at a Boar’s Head facility in Virginia contributed to a listeria outbreak that left 10 people dead and dozens hospitalized around the country last year.

The report, released Friday by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS), reviewed the listeria outbreak linked to the deli meat supplier’s facility in Jarratt, Va.

In one case, inspectors said they found “meat and fat residue from the previous day’s production on the equipment, including packaging equipment.” Other instances included dripping condensation “on exposed product” and “cracks, holes and broken flooring that could hold moisture and contribute to wet conditions.” 

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The outbreak lasted from July through November 2024, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. With cases reported in over 19 states, it was the largest outbreak of the foodborne bacterial illness since 2011.

In an email to NPR, a spokesperson for Boar’s Head said: “We continue to actively cooperate with the USDA and government regulatory agencies on matters related to last year’s recall, and we thank them for their oversight.”

In addition, the spokesperson said the company is working to implement enhanced food safety programs, “including stronger food safety control procedures and more rigorous testing at our meat and poultry production facilities.”

Boar’s Head recalled its ready-to-eat liverwurst products linked to the outbreak in July. The recall later expanded to dozens of products, including sliced hams and sausages, all of which were manufactured at the Virginia plant.

USDA inspection reports show sanitation violations were routine and not isolated at the plant, NPR previously reported. The reports found dead bugs, dripping ceilings, mildew and black mold near machines at the plant.

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In September, Boar’s Head permanently closed its Jarratt plant and the company announced it would discontinue making any liverwurst products.

Friday’s report also included a review of FSIS’s own practices and procedures to prevent the spread of listeria, including ways to enhance its regulatory and sampling approach to the illness. The report cited “equipping FSIS inspectors with updated training and tools to recognize and respond to systemic food safety issues” as one of the steps the agency would take to protect the public from listeria.

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