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Putin’s world just got a lot smaller with the ICC’s arrest warrant | CNN

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Putin’s world just got a lot smaller with the ICC’s arrest warrant | CNN



CNN
 — 

President Vladimir Putin all the time relished his world outings, burnishing his picture as one of many large weapons working the world.

Whereas the Kremlin is dissing the Worldwide Legal Court docket’s battle crimes prices in opposition to him, contained in the Kremlin partitions one other actuality will probably be rising. Putin’s world simply acquired smaller.

On the Hamburg G20 in 2017 he spent hours speaking alone with arguably probably the most highly effective man on the planet at that second, former President Donald Trump.

A yr later on the subsequent G20 chief’s summit in Buenos Aires Putin excessive fived Saudi’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman lower than two months after suspicion fell on the Saudi over the brutal homicide journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

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Basking in worldwide focus he might thumb his nostril on the world, or manipulate its leaders, in particular person, a perk if you’ll of his cussed, decades-long grip on energy.

His love and use of the worldwide limelight helped him at house too, bolstering his robust man, naked chested, bear searching picture as protector of Russians, holding again supposed malign machinations of NATO marauding the nation’s borders.

However all of that’s over. Each Germany and Argentina are signatories to the Rome Statute, two of 123 nations who’re obliged if Putin pitches up on their doorstep once more to extradite him to the Hague to face trial as a battle felony.

Putin faces a dilemma now, if he reveals up in Delhi for this yr’s G20 in September. India, just like the USA, will not be signed as much as the ICC, however what is going to Prime Minister Narendra Modi do?

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Shortly after the ICC announcement, President Joe Biden, when requested by a reporter, “ought to Putin be tried for battle crimes,” he replied “he’s clearly dedicated battle crimes,” indicating Putin unsurprisingly wouldn’t be welcome within the US.

It leaves ambiguous the kind of authorized snare Putin might inadvertently discover himself sooner or later. With out cautious planning Putin might contact down in a rustic apparently unaligned with the ICC and never beholden to the worldwide legislation necessities he be handed over to the Hague, but for unseen worldwide political strain, or their very own new discovered need for worldwide justice triggering a authorized course of to get him to the Hague.

Putin is unlikely to go away his future to the roll of the cube in a overseas courtroom, so his world is smaller even than the ICC maintain out nations. So no matter Kremlin spin Putin’s ego is dented.

After all, loads of ICC indictees are on the lam, admittedly none with Putin’s bigger than life profile. The one different president amongst 15 ICC fugitives is former Sudanese President Omar al Bashir, efficiently evading justice each out and in of workplace now for over 13 years.

However worldwide justice has an extended attain. Former Serbian President Slobodan Milosovic, who fomented the breakup of the previous Yugoslavia within the early 1990’s, finally wound up the Hague in 2001 dealing with battle crimes prices on a spread of points and died of coronary heart failure in jail there a number of years later.

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He was ousted from workplace constitutionally, by no means fled Belgrade and by no means anticipated its judiciary at hand him over for worldwide trial.

His accomplices in a few of his battle crimes, Bosnian Serb army Commander Common Ratko Mladic its Serbian nationalist chief Radovan Karadzic each tried to cover from justice.

Mladic was finally picked up hiding out in a cousins farm close to Belgrade and Karadzic was noticed in Belgrade regardless of his shedding his clear shaven appears to be like for a full shaggy beard and hiding behind a brand new identification of a mystic religion healer.

Each ended up dealing with worldwide justice within the Hague, each had been convicted of battle crimes and each are nonetheless in jail.

The lesson for Putin is you’ll be able to run however you’ll be able to’t disguise. Maybe extra salutatory, the lesson realized in Milosovic’s case is except you maintain on to energy, as we speak’s underlings might tomorrow grow to be your jailors.

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Not solely is Putin’s world smaller, however his again additionally simply acquired nearer to the wall. His choices, notably if seen via his typically paranoid prism are much more ugly than final week.

Nonetheless, he does have some pals he can rely on, for now no less than. President Xi Jinping of China will probably be in Moscow Monday offering Putin the proper picture to reinflate his in any other case diminished standing.

What is going to fear others in Putin’s internal orbit are the implications from them.

May they face comparable prices, will they be capable of safely go to their children scattered in Europe’s high colleges and universities free from worry of arrest, acquire entry to their offshore property, even safely sunbath within the UAE, Moscow’s elites new bolt gap, or e-book a desk at a flowery Bosporus aspect restaurant in Istanbul.

The ICC Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan appears clear, nobody is off limits “undoubtedly no person ought to really feel they’ll act and commit genocide or crimes in opposition to humanity or battle crimes with impunity.”

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The additional potential indictees are from the Kremlin and its protecting embrace, the better the potential ramifications will probably be.

The courts chief choose, Pitor Hofmanski, stated he hopes Putin’s prices will probably be a “deterrence,” for now the temper in Russia seems willfully truculent.

The truth for Putin and the boundaries of his diminished world are solely settling in. There isn’t a turning again.

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Man kicked and injured a CBP beagle during airport baggage search

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Man kicked and injured a CBP beagle during airport baggage search

A 5-year-old Customs and Border Protection beagle named Freddie, pictured in a CBP Facebook video in March, was kicked and injured by a traveler this week during a bag search at Washington Dulles International Airport.

CBP Office of Field Operations/Facebook/Screenshot by NPR


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CBP Office of Field Operations/Facebook/Screenshot by NPR

A 70-year-old Egyptian man pleaded guilty in federal court this week after he kicked a Customs and Border Protection agriculture detector dog during a bag search at Washington Dulles International Airport.

Hamed Ramadan Bayoumy Aly Marie was charged with harming an animal used in law enforcement for kicking a 5-year-old beagle named Freddie hard enough to lift the 25-pound animal off the ground, CBP said in a news release.

The dog suffered contusions on the right side of his ribs.

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Freddie and his handler were inspecting baggage when the dog “alerted to one of Marie’s suitcases,” the agency said. “As the CBP canine handler started questioning Marie, he violently kicked Freddie.”

CBP said Marie was attempting to bring in several items of food, including illicit agriculture products. Among his belongings, CBP said its agents found 55 pounds of beef, 44 pounds of rice, 15 pounds of eggplant, cucumbers, bell peppers, two pounds of corn seeds, and a pound of herbs.

Various foreign agricultural products are prohibited from being brought into the United States in order to protect the country’s native plantlife from disease and invasive species.

“Being caught deliberately smuggling well over one hundred pounds of undeclared and prohibited agriculture products does not give one permission to violently assault a defenseless Customs and Border Protection beagle,” said Christine Waugh, CBP’s Area Port Director for D.C.

Marie was ordered to pay the dog’s veterinarian bill and on Thursday was ordered removed back to Egypt.

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“We rely heavily on our K9 partners and Freddie was just doing his job,” Waugh said.

“Any malicious attack on one of us is an attack on all of us, and CBP will continue to work with our investigating and prosecuting partners to deal swift and severe justice to perpetrators,” Waugh added.

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How Every Senator Voted on the Iran War Powers Resolution

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How Every Senator Voted on the Iran War Powers Resolution

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Vote Total Democrats Republicans Independents Bar chart of total votes
47 44 1 2
53 1 52 0

The Senate voted 53 to 47 to reject a resolution that would have forced President Trump to go to Congress for approval of another military strike against Iran, frustrating the effort to rein in his war powers and return authority to lawmakers.

The defeat of the resolution came nearly a week after the president unilaterally ordered strikes against three of Iran’s nuclear facilities without consulting the House and Senate, and followed a fierce debate on the Senate floor over Congress’s role in authorizing the use of military force.

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Democrats, led by Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia, had argued that in recent decades Congress gradually surrendered war-making powers to the president. He has for many years unsuccessfully tried to reclaim some of that authority.

Nearly all Republicans voted to kill the effort, and in the days leading up to the vote, many brushed off the move as a partisan effort aimed solely at attacking Mr. Trump.

How Every Member Voted

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Republicans

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Biggest US banks pass Federal Reserve stress tests

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Biggest US banks pass Federal Reserve stress tests

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The biggest US banks have all passed the Federal Reserve’s annual tests of whether they can withstand a future economic and market crisis, prompting analysts to predict a sharp increase in dividends and share buybacks.

The Fed said on Friday that under its “severely adverse” scenario, in which unemployment surges to 10 per cent, the 22 banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, would lose more than $550bn.

However, they would suffer a much smaller hit to capital than in recent years and remain well within required regulatory standards.

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The theoretical recession used by the Fed to test banks’ resilience was less severe than the previous year’s. While the scenario was designed before President Donald Trump’s return to office, it comes at a time when his administration is pushing to soften financial regulations.

“Large banks remain well capitalised and resilient to a range of severe outcomes,” said Michelle Bowman, the Fed’s vice-chair for supervision.

The results of the Fed’s “stress tests” will be used to calculate the minimum level of capital that banks need relative to their risk-adjusted assets, providing a critical buffer to absorb losses.

Jason Goldberg, analyst at Barclays, forecast on the basis of this year’s results that Goldman Sachs would be the biggest winner among the leading US lenders as its minimum capital level would drop from 13.7 per cent to 10.7 per cent. Wells Fargo, M&T Bank and Morgan Stanley would also have their capital requirements cut by 1 percentage point, he predicted.

He added that this was likely to raise the amount of excess capital that most banks seek to return to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks. “We expect share repurchase (in dollars) to increase 12 per cent at [the] median bank relative to the prior year’s exam, with most banks stable to higher,” he said.

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Banks are optimistic that the tests will become even more accommodating after the Fed responded to a legal challenge by the main banking lobby group with a promise to overhaul the exercise. The central bank said earlier this year it planned to make the exercise more transparent and to average the test results over the past two years to reduce volatility.

The banks are required to wait until Tuesday to provide an update on what they expect their new capital requirement to be. They frequently lay out plans for dividends and share buybacks after the Fed stress tests.

The Fed said this year’s stress tests would push banks’ aggregate tier one capital ratio, their main cushion against losses, down by 1.8 percentage points — a smaller drop than in recent years and well below the 2.8- percentage-point fall in last year’s exercise.

But the Fed said it expected to calculate banks’ capital requirements on the basis of its two-year averaging proposal, providing that was finalised in the coming weeks. This will increase the capital hit to 2.3 per cent. Bowman said the change was preferable “to address the excessive volatility in the stress test results and corresponding capital requirements”.

The lender with the biggest fall in its capital due to the theoretical stress was Deutsche Bank’s US operation, which had a hypothetical decline of more than 12 percentage points, based on the averaged results of the past two tests. The next largest falls were at the US subsidiaries of Switzerland’s UBS and Canada’s RBC. But they all remained more than double the 4.5 per cent minimum level through the exam.

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In this year’s “severely adverse” scenario, US GDP declined 7.8 per cent in a year, unemployment rose 5.9 percentage points to 10 per cent and inflation slowed to 1.3 per cent. House prices fell 33 per cent and commercial property prices dropped 30 per cent. 

While this would be one of the most extreme recessions in history, it is milder than the one drawn up by the Fed last year. The theoretical market crash — with share prices falling 50 per cent and high-yield bonds selling off sharply — was also less severe than in last year’s exercise.

The Fed said banks benefited from their higher profitability. It added that it had included lower hypothetical losses from private equity after “adjusting how these exposures are measured to better align with these exposures’ characteristics”.

Under pressure from Trump to ease the regulatory burden in support of growth and investment, the Fed has announced plans to rework many of its rules for banks. 

This week, the Fed and the two other main banking watchdogs announced plans to slash the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio, which sets how much capital the biggest banks need to have against their total assets.

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