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Pakistan reaches $7bn loan deal with IMF

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Pakistan reaches bn loan deal with IMF

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Pakistan has reached a deal for $7bn in medium-term financing from the IMF, offering the government a reprieve as it seeks to navigate the crisis-hit country out of soaring public debts and weak economic growth.

The IMF announced on Friday that it had reached a staff-level, or preliminary, agreement with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government for a 37-month financing programme under a so-called extended fund facility.

The deal, which is Pakistan’s 24th bailout with the multilateral lender, will now go to the IMF’s executive board, which is expected to approve the loan, though it did not specify a date that it would do so.

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“The programme aims to capitalise on the hard-won macroeconomic stability achieved over the past year by furthering efforts to strengthen public finances, reduce inflation, rebuild external buffers and remove economic distortions to spur private sector led growth,” the lender said in a statement.

As part of the deal, Pakistan agreed to phase out incentives for its special economic zones, which were launched in 2012 to attract international investment, and expand the tax net to include more of the country’s agricultural sector, a politically sensitive issue.

Pakistan has suffered one of Asia’s worst recent economic crises, with the country of 240mn teetering on the brink of default last year before the IMF granted a short-term $3bn rescue package. Inflation surged as high as 38 per cent as Islamabad struggled to bring down a ruinous debt burden, which swallowed 57 per cent of government revenue in interest payments.

China, Saudi Arabi and the UAE, to whom Pakistan owes about half of its debt repayments for this year, are expected to roll over the terms of their loans for another year, said Muhammad Aurangzeb, the finance minister.

Inflation has fallen to 12.6 per cent in June and central bank reserves — which dipped in February 2023 below $3bn, less than three weeks’ worth of imports — are now above $9bn. The economy contracted last year, but has returned to growth. 

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To meet the IMF’s conditions, Sharif’s government has announced a rash of politically unpopular reforms, including tax rises that primarily fell on salaried workers and increases to household energy tariffs. Aurangzeb previously told the Financial Times that the loan would not be Pakistan’s last programme with the IMF if the government failed to significantly boost tax revenues.

The fund praised Pakistan’s plans in its latest budget approved last month to increase government revenue by 1.5 per cent of GDP in this fiscal year and by 3 per cent by the end of the programme.

But measures have generated a backlash, including from the government’s coalition partners, on which it depends to remain in power after a disputed election in February.

Khurram Husain, a business and economics commentator in Karachi, said that the deal would help put to rest concerns about a default and “anchor expectations for continued stability”. But its success depend on the government maintaining the political will to stick with its reforms, he added.

“The possibility that the government will develop cold feet and start backpedalling on some of the measures that they have announced is very real and it should not be underestimated.”

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“The conditionality is now tougher and the authorities will have to sustain the policy effort for longer,” said Krisjanis Krustins, a director in Fitch. “As economic and financing conditions improve, the temptation to loosen policies will increase, as in the past.”

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It Could Take Weeks Before Displaced L.A. Residents Can Go Home

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It Could Take Weeks Before Displaced L.A. Residents Can Go Home

The tens of thousands of people displaced by the devastating wildfires in the Los Angeles area are increasingly anxious to know when they can return home — or to what remains of their properties.

Officials say crews are working to reopen closed areas, snuffing out hot spots and clearing hazardous debris, but no timeline has been announced for lifting the evacuation orders.

Experts have warned that it could take weeks before people can return to the hardest-hit neighborhoods because of the amount of work needed to ensure the safety of residents.

Firefighters are still trying to contain the Palisades and Eaton fires, the biggest ones in the Los Angeles region, a prerequisite to allowing people to return. Both remained largely out of control on Wednesday evening, though their growth had slowed.

Captain Erik Scott of the Los Angeles Fire Department said the timeline for people returning to their neighborhoods can vary. It depends on the extent of the damage, which needs to be mapped and carefully assessed in every impacted community, he added. There is also the threat of hazardous materials, such as asbestos and chemicals.

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“We want people to have realistic expectations,” Mr. Scott said.

It took weeks in the aftermath of some previous destructive blazes for people to return. In 2018, the Camp fire destroyed most of Paradise in Northern California and killed 85 people. The final evacuation orders in that town were lifted more than a month after the fire started.

Similarly, after a devastating fire in Lahaina on the island of Maui killed more than 100 people in 2023, it was nearly two months before the first of the thousands of displaced residents could return to their properties.

The suppression of the fire is only one step in the process, according to fire officials. There are yet more safety and infrastructure issues to tackle. Workers need to clear and replace downed power lines, stabilize partially collapsed buildings and remove toxic ash from the ground.

“That’s why the orders are still in place,” said David Acuna, a battalion chief with Cal Fire. “It’s not just about the fire. There are all these other elements to address.”

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The grim search for human remains has further complicated efforts to clear neighborhoods. Officials are using cadaver dogs to comb through the thousands of structures damaged or destroyed in the fires to locate remains.

“We have people literally looking for the remains of your neighbors,” Sheriff Robert Luna of Los Angeles County said at a news conference on Monday. “Please be patient with us.”

Even for those whose homes survive, the lifting of evacuation orders does not necessarily mean they can return to live in them right away, warned Michael Wara, a climate policy expert at Stanford University.

“There’s going to be smoke damage,” he said. “There’s going to be the fact that you don’t have utilities.”

In Pacific Palisades, the recovery process was underway in its incinerated downtown. The air buzzed with the sound of jackhammers, bulldozers and tree shredders. Workers cleared debris, pulled down charred utility poles and ground up the skeletal limbs of burned eucalyptus trees.

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Ali Sharifi managed to inspect his lower Palisades home on Tuesday. Aside from a burned backyard fence, it was intact. Yet the destruction around it, including charred schools, churches and grocery stores, gave him second thoughts about returning.

“Who wants to live in a ghost town?” Mr. Sharifi said.

Erica Fischer, an associate professor at Oregon State University who studied the aftermath of the Camp fire, said that a fast recovery is not always a good one, especially if it means rebuilding in ways that contributed to the disaster.

Of the ongoing evacuation orders in California, she said, “I know it’s not convenient, and it’s disruptive, but it keeps people out of harm’s way.”

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Joe Biden says ‘oligarchy’ emerging in US in final White House address

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Joe Biden says ‘oligarchy’ emerging in US in final White House address

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US President Joe Biden has warned that an “oligarchy is taking shape in America” that risks damaging democracy, as he blasted an emerging “tech industrial complex” for delivering a dangerous concentration of wealth and power in the country.

Biden’s comments during a farewell address to Americans from the Oval Office on Wednesday night amount to a veiled attack on Donald Trump’s closest allies in corporate America, including tech billionaire Elon Musk, just five days before he transfers power to the Republican.

Biden said he wanted to warn the country of the “dangerous concentration of power in the hands of a very few ultra-wealthy people” and the danger that their “abuse of power is left unchecked”.

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He cited late president Dwight Eisenhower’s warning in his 1961 farewell address of a military-industrial complex and said the interaction between government and technology risked being similarly pernicious.

“I’m equally concerned about the potential rise of a tech-industrial complex that could pose real dangers for our country as well. Americans are being buried under an avalanche of misinformation and disinformation, enabling the abuse of power. The free press is crumbling. Editors are disappearing. Social media is giving up on fact checking,” Biden said.

Biden’s words were a reference to the world’s richest man, Musk, the owner of social media platform X and the founder of electric-vehicle maker Tesla, who gave massive financial backing to Trump’s campaign and has become one of his closest allies during the transition to Trump’s new administration.

Some of Silicon Valley’s top executives, from Jeff Bezos of Amazon to Mark Zuckerberg of Meta, have also embraced Trump since his electoral victory and are expected to have prime spots at the inauguration ceremony in Washington on Monday.

Biden also used his remarks to cast a positive light on his one-term presidency, which ended with the big political failure of him dropping his re-election bid belatedly in late July, passing the torch of the campaign against Trump to vice-president Kamala Harris — an effort that ended in a bitter defeat.

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Biden’s approval ratings have hit new lows as he bows out from the presidency and a political career in Washington that has spanned more than five decades. Just 36.7 per cent of Americans approve of his performance on the job, and 55.8 per cent disapprove, according to the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Biden said he hoped his accomplishments would be judged more favourably in the future.

“It will take time to feel the full impact of all we’ve done together, but the seeds are planted, and they’ll grow and they’ll bloom for decades to come,” he said.

Biden has not only faced seething criticism from Republicans, but also rebukes from Democrats who blame him for seeking re-election despite his advanced age. He is now 82.

Biden’s presidency was defined by a record-breaking jobs market and a robust recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, as well as a series of legislative accomplishments on the economy. But the pain of high inflation became a massive political vulnerability for him.

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In foreign affairs, he took credit for western support for Ukraine after Russia’s full-scale invasion of the country in 2022, but his response to conflict in the Middle East, including staunch support for Israel’s war in Gaza, drew a strong backlash from progressive Democrats, undermining the unity of his political coalition.

It was not until Wednesday, with five days to go before he left office, that Biden — with help from Trump aides — was able to broker a ceasefire deal to free hostages held by Hamas. 

“This plan was developed and negotiated by my team and will be largely implemented by the incoming administration. That’s why I told my team to keep the incoming administration fully informed, because that’s how it should be, working together as Americans,” he said at the start of his address.

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Biden touts major wins in farewell address

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Biden touts major wins in farewell address
Biden touts major wins in farewell address – CBS Texas

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In his farewell address, President Biden warned an “oligarch” of “ultrarich” threatens America’s future.

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