A brand new virus outbreak is detected. It begins spreading across the globe, case by case, nation by nation. Well being authorities launch into motion, monitoring infections and issuing steerage.
“This isn’t Covid,” Dr. Jennifer McQuiston, a veterinarian and deputy director of the CDC’s Division of Excessive Consequence Pathogens and Pathology, stated in an announcement final week.
US President Joe Biden has additionally sought to de-link the 2 illnesses within the minds of the general public. “I simply do not suppose it rises to the extent of the type of concern that existed with Covid-19,” Biden advised reporters on a current journey to Tokyo. It was a pointy flip from feedback he made the day earlier than, when he stated “everyone needs to be involved.”
After all, a number of leaders tried to calm residents when Covid-19 was first rising, just for that virus to spiral right into a once-in-a-generation pandemic.
So how, precisely, is monkeypox totally different to Covid — and why are consultants so way more relaxed about this outbreak?
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Most significantly, monkeypox will not be unfold as simply as Covid-19. “Respiratory unfold will not be the predominant fear” with monkeypox, McQuiston stated. It is solely handed between people if there’s very shut contact with an contaminated individual — comparable to sharing clothes or bedding, or by saliva — in line with the World Well being Group (WHO).
The signs of monkeypox, specifically the rash that often seems on an individual’s physique, are additionally extra detectable than Covid-19 signs. And asymptomatic unfold — which sophisticated early efforts to comprise Covid — has not been documented in monkeypox, in line with a 2020 research.
“Monkeypox generally is a severe an infection,” notably in lower-income nations the place monitoring and coverings are usually not available, Michael Head, senior analysis fellow in world well being on the College of Southampton within the UK, advised CNN final week. There aren’t any reported deaths from the present outbreak.
Nevertheless, within the developed world, “it will be very uncommon to see something greater than a handful of instances in any outbreak, and we cannot be seeing (Covid)-style ranges of transmission,” Head stated.
However maybe most significantly of all, monkeypox will not be a brand new illness. Smallpox vaccines can be utilized to sort out the virus, there’s a wealth of scientific analysis into how the sickness acts, and it would not mutate as quickly as Covid-19 has.
So if headlines about monkeypox transport your thoughts again to March 2020, it is value taking a beat.
“This can be a virus we perceive: we have now vaccines in opposition to it, we have now remedies in opposition to it, and it is unfold very in a different way than SARS-Cov-2 — it isn’t as contagious as Covid — so I’m assured we’re going to have the ability to hold our arms round it,” White Home Covid-19 Response Coordinator Dr. Ashish Jha advised ABC’s Martha Raddatz Sunday.
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YOU ASKED. WE ANSWERED.
Q: Is Covid-19 contagious after therapy with Paxlovid?
A: Individuals who have a Covid-19 relapse after being handled with antiviral drug Paxlovid can nonetheless be contagious, however they may not comprehend it in the event that they haven’t any signs.
“Individuals who expertise rebound are prone to transmitting to different individuals, though they’re exterior what individuals settle for as the standard window for with the ability to transmit,” stated Dr. Michael Charness of the Veterans Administration Medical Heart in Boston.
Charness and his colleagues collaborated with a staff of researchers at Columbia College to look into instances of Covid-19 that return after Paxlovid therapy. He stated they’ve discovered a minimum of two situations wherein individuals have transmitted the virus to others when their an infection recurs.
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READS OF THE WEEK
Shanghai is lastly ‘reopening,’ however the trauma of lockdown lives on
The skyscrapers lit up, roads full of visitors, and younger individuals drank and danced within the streets as fireworks boomed overhead.
As of Wednesday morning, most of Shanghai’s 25 million residents are free to depart their communities, outlets and workplace buildings can reopen, vehicles are again on the streets, and subway and buses are resuming companies.
Shanghai celebrated Wednesday with a long-awaited burst of life, as the federal government lifted its city-wide lockdown. However the technique of reopening is more likely to be gradual and painful, as residents within the monetary hub deal with the trauma of the previous two months.
Did Covid curb your relationship life? Date night time will make its comeback a hit
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The pandemic could have appeared like the right alternative to nurture a relationship with limitless entry to your accomplice, nonstop togetherness and loads of time for intimacy.
However, as most of us are conscious, lockdowns had the other impact on romance. Residing on high of one another, not altering out of our pajamas and generally not showering was the epitome of not horny.
Intercourse therapist Madelyn Esposito-Smith stated that Covid-19 had “incinerated sexual want” for {couples} dwelling collectively, taking away all “intrigue and thriller” and making alone time a “valuable commodity.”
With summer season across the nook, it is time to carry again one thing we have been lacking, perhaps with out even realizing it: date night time.
North Korea could rethink restrictions after claiming its Covid outbreak is bettering
North Korea says its Covid-19 outbreak is bettering and so it is contemplating revising its anti-epidemic rules, in line with its state-run media.
KCNA reported on Sunday that chief Kim Jong Un and different high officers had assessed the pandemic scenario as “improved” and mentioned adjusting containment measures.
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Pyongyang reported greater than 89,500 new “fever instances” and 106,390 recoveries between Friday and Saturday night nationwide, however didn’t point out if there had been any extra deaths.
Based on KCNA, the nation’s newest loss of life toll stood at 69 on the finish of final week. Nevertheless, given the shortage of unbiased reporting inside North Korea, it’s tough to confirm the figures and there has lengthy been widespread skepticism over the nation’s Covid reporting.
TOP TIP
In case you endure from lengthy Covid, take it simple
In case you do not feel properly within the weeks following a Covid-19 an infection, you need to be ready to take issues slowly and handle your expectations on what you’ll be able to and might’t do.
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Dr. Erica Spatz, an affiliate professor of cardiology on the Yale College of Medication, stated a typical criticism is that even simply going for a stroll feels terrible. When returning to train, “begin with 5 to 10 minutes on a recumbent bicycle or a rower, and add a few minutes each week,” she recommended.
This “go gradual” recommendation applies to all lingering results of Covid, together with cognition.
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You’ve got seemingly skilled emotions of calm and happiness whereas on the seaside or a lake, nevertheless it turns on the market are literally confirmed psychological and bodily advantages to being close to the water. CNN’s Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Sanjay Gupta talks with environmental psychologist Mathew White in regards to the science behind water and why all of us want extra Blue Area in our lives. Pay attention right here.
Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.
Macy’s has delayed the release of its third-quarter results after the US retailer revealed that an employee had hidden more than $132mn of delivery expenses since late 2021.
The group said in a securities filing on Monday that an employee had “intentionally made erroneous accounting accrual entries” to hide $132mn to $154mn of cumulative delivery expenses between its fourth quarter of 2021 and the quarter ended November 2 2024.
It said it had launched an independent investigation. There was “no indication” of any adverse effect on its cash management or payments.
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The individual was no longer at the company, Macy’s added.
Macy’s was due to report results on Tuesday, but, owing to the expenses issue, instead released preliminary results on Monday morning. Its third-quarter sales fell slightly more than analysts expected to $7.74bn in the three months ending on November 2.
Macy’s shares were down more than 3 per cent in pre-market trading.
Scott Bessent speaks at the National Conservative Conference in Washington D.C., Wednesday, July 10, 2024.
Dominic Gwinn | Afp | Getty Images
Financial markets on Monday welcomed President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for U.S. Treasury secretary, with currencies across the globe rallying on hopes that hedge fund manager Scott Bessent can take some of the sting out of Trump’s more extreme economic views.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, fell 0.5% to 107.01 on Monday, paring some of its recent gains after a remarkable rally since late September.
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The euro was a top performer, rising 0.7% to trade at $1.049 at 12:50 p.m. London time. The Japanese yen, pound sterling and Antipodean currencies were also trading higher against the dollar.
The moves come as global investors reacted to news from late Friday that Trump signaled his intention to nominate Bessent to lead one of the most influential roles in U.S. government. The Treasury Department has broad oversight of tax policy, public debt and international finance.
Strategists regard Bessent, the founder of Connecticut-based investment firm Key Square Group, as a “safe pair of hands,” a well-known market participant and a more moderate pick compared to some of his rivals.
It is expected the 62-year-old will push for Trump to consider a softer approach to tariffs, strip back regulation to boost growth and target a reduction in deficit spending.
“Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary has swelled investor sentiment further with stocks on Wall Street looking set for another flurry of gains,” Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said in a research note.
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“Hedge fund manager Scott Bessent’s long career of navigating the twists and turns of markets, has boosted confidence about incoming pro-business policies and lifted hopes that any tariffs would be highly targeted and potentially less inflationary in nature,” she added.
A ‘layered’ approach to tariffs
Trump’s historic election victory earlier this month ratcheted up concerns about the prospect for higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies.
It is widely thought that Trump’s pledge to introduce tax cuts and steep tariffs could boost U.S. economic growth — but widen the fiscal deficit and refuel inflation.
An employee sorts navel oranges at a fruit processing factory of Nongfu Spring on November 23, 2024 in Xinfeng County, Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province of China.
China News Service | China News Service | Getty Images
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In an effort to raise revenues, Trump has suggested he could impose a blanket 20% tariff on all goods imported into the U.S., with a tariff of up to 60% for Chinese products and one as high as 2,000% on vehicles built in Mexico.
While many economists are skeptical about the effectiveness of tariffs, Bessent has defended them as “a useful tool for achieving the president’s foreign policy objectives.” He has also, however, called for tariffs to be “layered in” gradually.
“News that Scott Bessent is the top choice for incoming US Treasury Minister has raised the possibility that some ‘Trump trades’ may be watered down,” analysts at Rabobank said in a research note.
“Bessent, a successful macro hedge fund manager, is associated with a preference to reduce the US budget deficit to 3% of GDP, which clearly suggests less appetite for deficit spending,” they added.
Bessent, who once worked for billionaire philanthropist and investor George Soros, has advocated for a so-called “3-3-3” target, which refers to a plan to cut the deficit to 3% by 2028, achieve 3% economic growth and add 3 million new barrels of oil per day.
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Business as usual?
Some strategists expect Trump’s Treasury chief pick to be welcomed as good news for Asian currencies over the coming months.
“The market view that Bessent is a ‘safe hands’ candidate, may see some relief rally in Treasuries from the open on Monday, as the risk of a more unorthodox candidate is priced out,” Scott Spratt, strategist at Societe Generale Corporate and Investment Banking, said in a research note.
“We suspect his view that tariffs should be ‘layered’ and that initial levels being discussed are ‘maximalist’ positions, should also provide an opening boost to Asia FX and [the Chinese yuan],” he added.
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump prepares to exit after viewing the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket in Brownsville, Texas, U.S., November 19, 2024.
Brandon Bell | Via Reuters
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Tesla CEO Elon Musk suggested that nominating Bessent as Treasury chief would be a disappointment. In a social media post via X on Nov. 16, Musk described Bessent as a “business-as-usual choice,” adding that “business-as-usual is driving America bankrupt.”
Bessent has also been an advocate of Trump’s embrace of the crypto industry, which means he could soon become the first Treasury chief openly in favor of crypto assets. Trump has previously pledged to make America “the crypto capital of the planet.”
Bitcoin breached the $99,000 level for the first time last week as investors continue to price in Trump’s return to the White House.
Two months before Northvolt filed for bankruptcy in the US, Robin Zeng, known as China’s “battery king”, had a quick but grim answer as to why European battery makers were struggling to make good products.
“They have a wrong design . . . they have a wrong process . . . and they have the wrong equipment. How can they scale up?” the chief executive of CATL told Nicolai Tangen, the head of Norway’s $1.8tn oil fund. “So almost all mistakes together.”
The bleak assessment from the world’s biggest electric vehicle battery manufacturer captures the scale of the failure for the industries behind the critical technology for Europe’s decarbonisation, leaving governments, companies and investors at a loss as to how to recraft the continent’s strategy to compete with China.
“How are we not taking this more seriously? The European car industry is the heartland of European industry’s supposed prowess,” said one long-standing investor in Northvolt after the collapse into US bankruptcy last week of Europe’s biggest battery hope. “The depth of the crisis for the European car industry is almost unlimited. It’s incredibly grim.”
Brussels took its first steps to establish a battery supply chain across Europe in 2017, with Northvolt at the heart of its ambitions. The bloc has since increased its share of the global battery market from 3 per cent to 17 per cent with annual turnover of €81bn in 2023 after spending more than €6bn of the EU budget to support cross-border battery projects and research and innovation.
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But in terms of EV batteries, Asian participants including CATL, BYD, and LG Energy Solution and SK On of South Korea, control about 70 per cent of the global market. Many of the 30 gigafactory projects in Europe have also been designed and built with the help of Chinese and Korean companies.
As the EU’s ambitions have faltered, the struggles of Northvolt have come to embody the challenge the continent faces. The bloc wants to continue encouraging costly investments in the clean technologies needed to meet its ambitious climate goals, while at the same time stemming the wave of plant closures and job cuts that are already spreading across the automotive sector and heavy industries.
“It’s fair to say we’re at a pivotal moment right now,” said Wouter IJzermans, executive director at the Batteries European Partnership Association.
People involved in the Northvolt saga said options were narrowing for Europe to address its dependence on China and other parts of Asia for the technology and materials that will be critical as the automotive industry transitions to electric vehicles.
Efforts are still being made by other start-ups such as France’s Verkor and Volkswagen’s battery business PowerCo, but they are facing either diminished ambitions or tougher financing prospects.
PowerCo is considering building just one out of the two production lines previously planned for its plant in Salzgitter in Germany due to slowing market demand.
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Verkor counts Renault as its main client and recently finalised a new €1.3bn financing round to back the construction of a plant in the northern French port city of Dunkirk. But its chief executive Benoit Lemaignan said financing talks were arduous on the back of Northvolt’s woes and the slowdown in the growth of electric vehicle sales this year.
“There was a whole fresh round of audit work and validation of the set-up, our chemistry, the machines and all the equipment,” Lemaignan said. “It’s not something automatic, to find financing today. It’s an issue that goes well beyond Verkor, and affects the financing of all of the energy and climate transition industries.”
In France, there is also Automotive Cells Company, a venture backed by carmakers Stellantis and Mercedes-Benz, and oil major TotalEnergies, which started producing batteries in 2023. But this year ACC paused plans to expand further with plants in Germany and Italy as it considered switching to a lower-cost form of battery technology and adjusted to a slower EV adoption rate.
“There are expansion phases and crisis phases, if you draw a parallel with other industries. Perhaps we’re living through the first big challenges for Europe’s battery industry. But there will be factories and there will be clients, we’re seeing that more and more,” Lemaignan said.
Consequences from Northvolt’s US bankruptcy filing are already being felt, with carmakers being forced once again to turn to their Asian suppliers to reduce their exposure to its collapse.
Germany’s Porsche has never confirmed its relationship with Northvolt, but a person familiar with the agreement between the two companies said the Swedish start-up was contracted to make the batteries for the all-electric Porsche 718, scheduled for launch next year.
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As Northvolt’s troubles deepened, the sports-car maker began looking for alternative suppliers. While Porsche also buys batteries from South Korea’s Samsung SDI, LGES and China’s CATL, the person added that diversification was a complicated task at relatively short notice.
Northvolt’s demise means the battle for dominance of the European market is likely to play out between Asian battery makers.
LGES and SK On both have European plants, in Poland and Hungary respectively, while CATL has a factory in Germany and a second site in Hungary due to begin production next year.
But Tim Bush, a Seoul-based battery analyst at UBS, said there was little prospect at present that the Asian battery makers would be able to help the EU to meet its target for 90 per cent of the continent’s EV batteries to be produced locally by 2030.
Bush noted that Korean battery makers were already paring back their investments in Europe, having invested billions of dollars in plants in North America that have been running at low utilisation rates because of lower than expected consumer demand for EVs.
Potential Chinese battery investments on the continent were also likely to be complicated by the ongoing trade dispute between Brussels and Beijing over EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, he added.
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“The Koreans are not expanding, the Chinese have suspended construction and Europe’s new entrants are dropping like flies,” said Bush.
Against such obstacles, the European Commission is weighing plans to require Chinese developers to have plants and bring their intellectual property to Europe in order to access EU subsidies, the FT has previously reported.
With European start-ups still behind in their ability to manufacture batteries at scale, industry executives say the only solution may be to continue their reliance on Asian participants until homegrown companies can absorb technology knowhow on battery chemistry, mass production and equipment manufacturing.
“We need to find a deal with China because we won’t be able to compete . . . without the support of the Chinese companies that control the mining industry, chemicals, refining and their capacity and competence,” Luca De Meo, Renault’s chief executive, told reporters last month.
But the dilemma is how long Europe needs to wait for the technology transfers to complete, and whether it would already have lost the race by then.
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“If you really zoom out, what does Europe want to be? I really question whether Europe wants to give up yet another industry like it did with solar panels. Europe is not a leader in AI. I want my kids to grow up somewhere where there are a lot of jobs,” said a Northvolt executive.
Reporting by Kana Inagaki and Harriet Agnew in London, Patricia Nilsson in Frankfurt, Sarah White in Paris, Alice Hancock in Brussels, Christian Davies in Seoul, and Richard Milne in Oslo