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Mexico’s president reveals rate rise hours before official announcement

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Mexico’s President Andrés Manuel López Obrador on Thursday apologised after rattling the nation’s monetary sector by declaring the central financial institution’s rate of interest choice earlier than the official announcement.

López Obrador informed reporters on Thursday morning that the five-member board had voted to boost charges by a half proportion level to six.5 per cent, in a pre-emptive announcement that raised questions concerning the financial institution’s independence.

Later, at an annual banking conference in Acapulco, the president gave a uncommon public apology to the financial institution’s governor, saying that he thought the choice had already been made public.

“I wish to provide an apology ,” he mentioned. “I reiterate my dedication to respect the autonomy of the Financial institution of Mexico.”

The central financial institution raised charges on Thursday by a half-percentage level, because the president had mentioned.

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It’s not the primary time the president has taken monetary markets abruptly. Late final 12 months, he spooked buyers when he abruptly modified his nominee to steer the financial institution, selecting an obscure public sector economist and elevating fears on the time over the establishment’s independence.

In 2020, a invoice proposed by the ruling Morena get together sought to pressure the financial institution to purchase extra {dollars}, in a transfer that critics mentioned undermined the central financial institution’s autonomy. The proposal was ultimately shelved after sturdy opposition.

Specialists lined as much as criticise the president’s announcement on Thursday, which has once more stoked fears that he needs to intervene with financial coverage.

“Since López Obrador entered the presidency, there have been a variety of issues concerning the autonomy of the Financial institution of Mexico,” mentioned Gabriela Siller, head of economic and financial analysis at Banco Base. “With as we speak’s announcement these worries have resurfaced once more.”

The Financial institution of Mexico declined to touch upon the information.

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Mexico’s central financial institution turned impartial in 1994 and has constructed a status in markets for competence. Its new governor, Victoria Rodríguez Ceja, the primary lady to carry the put up, has sought to reassure markets and opposition lawmakers that she would guard its autonomy.

Like different central banks all over the world, the Financial institution of Mexico is making an attempt to tame excessive inflation, which hit 7.29 per cent within the nation within the first half of March. Analysts have been revising down their expectations for progress.

“I believe that this places the central financial institution in a foul place,” mentioned Alonso Cervera, chief economist for Latin America at Credit score Suisse. “Folks will probably be questioning the financial institution’s autonomy, why does the president know the coverage choice forward of time, who leaked it?”

Thierry Wizman, world rates of interest and currencies strategist at Macquarie Capital, mentioned the speed rise was according to expectations and that the pre-emptive announcement was an extension of López Obrador’s second-guessing and nudging of the central financial institution over the previous three years.

The Mexican peso reached 20.11 per US greenback, its highest degree since September 2021. Yields on Mexican authorities bonds throughout maturities had been broadly increased, with the two-year bond yield, which strikes with rate of interest expectations, rising to eight.46 per cent, its highest since January 2019.

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As a result of banking convention happening in Acapulco, there had been a departure from the usual timings for central financial institution processes, Bloomberg reported, which had probably given the president earlier entry to the data.

Gabriel Casillas, chief economist for Latin America at Barclays, mentioned that he didn’t assume this could occur once more because the central financial institution resumed its typical schedule.

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Mario Draghi says Europe must not be ‘passive’ in face of China import threat

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Mario Draghi says Europe must not be ‘passive’ in face of China import threat

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The EU must become less “passive” in defending its economic interests against the threat of countries such as China that have “unfair advantages”, former Italian prime minister Mario Draghi has said.

The economic bloc should be ready to use more tariffs and subsidies, Draghi said, in comments that signal he is likely to favour a more interventionist industrial policy in his report due next month on how to fix Europe’s faltering competitiveness.

In a speech just days after the EU announced sharply higher tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle imports, Draghi said: “We do not want to become protectionist in Europe, but we cannot be passive if the actions of others are threatening our prosperity.

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“Even recent US decisions to impose tariffs on China have implications for our economy through the redirection of exports,” he said, adding that Europe faced greater challenges than the US because it was “more vulnerable both to inaction on trade and to retaliation”.

Draghi has been tasked by the European Commission to prepare a report on how the EU can tackle its eroding global competitiveness, as fears grow that the region’s economy has lost ground on the US and China since being hit harder by the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The former president of the European Central Bank was speaking in Spain, where he received the Carlos V European Award by Spain’s King Felipe VI for his contribution to the region.

The EU notified carmakers on Wednesday that it would provisionally increase tariffs on imported Chinese EVs from 10 per cent to as high as 48 per cent, depending how much they are judged to benefit from state subsidies. 

The move followed the US decision to quadruple tariffs on Chinese EV imports to 100 per cent this year. But it was opposed by some EU members including Germany, where officials and executives worry its carmakers could suffer the brunt of any retaliation by Beijing.

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German economy minister Robert Habeck, who plans to visit China next week, said after the EU decision: “Tariffs are always a last resort as a political tool and are often the worst option,” adding that a tariff war with Beijing risked “throwing the baby out with the bathwater”.

European manufacturers employed more than double the number of people as their US counterparts, Draghi said, adding that more than a third of Europe’s manufacturing output was shipped outside the EU, compared with only a fifth in the US.

The former ECB president cited estimates that China spent about three times the amount of Germany or France on industrial policy relative to the size of their economies. He said the EU should make greater use of tariffs and subsidies “to offset unfair advantages created by industrial policies and real exchange rate devaluations abroad”.

Warning that Europe faced “a wave of cheaper and sometimes more technologically advanced Chinese imports”, Draghi said there was “ample evidence that part of China’s progress owes to sizeable cost subsidies, trade protection and demand suppression, and that will lead to lower employment for our economy”.

However, increasing tariffs and subsidies should be done as part of a “pragmatic, cautious and consistent” approach, he said, while calling for efforts to revive multilateral trading rules and to encourage more foreign direct investment into Europe.

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Recommending a “foreign economic policy” to reduce Europe’s dependency on countries it can no longer trust in strategic areas like defence, space, critical minerals and pharmaceuticals, Draghi said the EU could start “applying more explicit local content requirements for EU-produced products and components” in military procurement.

The former Italian leader appears to have accepted that the EU is unlikely to establish a permanent debt-issuance capacity to finance investment in areas such as defence, green energy and digitisation — something he has long called for.

“The financing needs for the green and digital transitions are massive and, with limited fiscal space in Europe both at the national and, at least so far, EU levels, they will have to be mostly provided by the private sector,” he said.

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A Philadelphia arts school gave 7 days' notice it was closing. Now its students and faculty want answers.

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A Philadelphia arts school gave 7 days' notice it was closing. Now its students and faculty want answers.

Students and staff members from the University of the Arts in Philadelphia are scrambling to figure out their next steps after the school’s abrupt closure last week and are calling on the university to answer questions about why it shut down so quickly.

The university announced it would be shutting its doors in a statement on May 31, after news had already begun to leak about an hour and a half earlier, saying in part that it “has been in a fragile financial state, with many years of declining enrollments, declining revenues, and increasing expenses.”

The nearly 150-year-old university, a longtime home for artists of all kinds, shut down a week later on June 7, leaving its more than 1,000 students and hundreds of faculty and staff confused and anxious.

Among them is Owen Spaloss, who walked across the stage at the university’s graduation in May, but still needs to complete a three-credit summer internship to receive his degree in creative writing. The unexpected shutdown has put his once imminent degree completion at least temporarily out of reach.

“A lot of these universities don’t have a creative writing major, and even if they do, there’s no guarantee that they would accept all of my credits or that they would accept scholarships,” Spaloss said.

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“The only reason I can afford to go to the University of the Arts is because of the donors and the scholarships that I’ve gotten. I couldn’t financially afford this on my own.”

Protests at the University of the Arts in Philadelphia on June 3, the day of a town hall.Owen Spaloss

News of the University of the Arts’ closure has led to protests on campus by students and staffers alike who question why the university didn’t alert its community sooner or better prepare for its financial failure. The university did not respond to requests for comment.

Krista Apple, who has worked at the university for more than 10 years and was serving as the director of the bachelor of fine arts in acting program, said she didn’t initially believe the school was closing after learning about it first in a Philadelphia Inquirer article.

“I thought it was a joke, or I thought the Inquirer had gotten something wrong. I thought maybe somebody was pranking me,” Apple said.

Students and staff said the Inquirer article made the rounds on social media, group texts and emails before the university released a statement. Some community members said they first heard about the closure on TikTok.

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“It continues to be disorienting and heartbreaking. This is a massive loss of community for all of us who taught and worked together for many years. It’s also a massive loss for the city of Philadelphia,” Apple said. “Our students really were one of a kind, both in terms of the cohort of humans that they were, but also individually.”

The university said in the statement announcing its closure that it had “worked hard this year alongside many of you to take steps that would secure the University’s sustainability. The progress we made together has been impressive.”

“Unfortunately, however, we could not overcome the ultimate challenge we faced: with a cash position that has steadily weakened, we could not cover significant, unanticipated expenses. The situation came to light very suddenly. Despite swift action, we were unable to bridge the necessary gaps.”

The university’s accreditation was withdrawn June 1, three days after the school notified its accrediting body that it would close, the Middle States Commission on Higher Education said in a news release on May 31.

The Philadelphia City Council voted June 6 to hold hearings to examine the university’s sudden closure and its impact on the city’s higher education system and the school’s current students and staff.

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Pennsylvania Attorney General Michelle Henry’s office confirmed to NBC News that it is “reviewing the circumstances of the closure and any transfer or loss of assets.”

DJay Jean, a rising sophomore who was studying vocal performance at the University of the Arts, said attending college has been a personal milestone.

“I’m a first-generation American, let alone I’m a first-generation student. My dad did not finish high school. My mom didn’t go to college,” Jean said.

“I grew up with just my father and it wasn’t a great upbringing. I eventually ended up in foster care at 16,” Jean said. “College never felt like an option to me financially.”

Jean was able to attend the university after receiving several scholarships, taking out loans and working part-time jobs. But now, they are unsure of what’s next and said they feel trapped after signing an apartment lease in Philadelphia.

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“I spent so much money to go to this school, and I put so much trust in the faculty and the board. It’s an investment,” Jean said.

“You would think that after putting so much more money into something when it’s going away, the people responsible would want to inform you, and they’d want to let you know, ‘Here’s what’s going on.’ But they weren’t interested in that. And it made me feel very disrespected and made me feel like I wasted my money,” they added.

The university is facing criticism from students and staff about what they say has been a lack of communication and transparency from the administration.

Several students sent videos to NBC News showing demonstrations, performances and marches at the school.

The University of the Arts Philadelphia
Protests at the University of the Arts in Philadelphia on June 7, the day it closed.Owen Spaloss

They also said community members had been locked out of Hamilton Hall, one of the main buildings on campus, at one point during the demonstrations.

“They shut off the power to Hamilton Hall. … They didn’t want us to demonstrate. They closed their bathrooms to us and they shut off the power,” Jean said.

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The university scheduled a virtual town hall on June 3 with a cap of 500 attendees, but it was canceled minutes before it was scheduled to start, according to several students. The university’s president, Kerry Walk, resigned the next day.

On the university’s official last day, June 7, campus community members who had been protesting and camping out in front of Hamilton Hall organized a “Last Jam” event to show their frustration and process the shocking news together.

Apple said staff were also called into a virtual meeting on the school’s final day.

“We were effectively fired en masse via Zoom by a member of the management team that had been hired, someone we had never met before,” she said.

“Based on the brief information they shared, I have reason to believe that I will receive at least my next paycheck, which is due at the end of June. But I’ll be honest, I’m not holding my breath,” Apple said.

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Krista Apple on the last day of teaching
Krista Apple, second from left in the front row, who was the director of the bachelor of fine arts in acting program, on June 7, the last day of teaching.Courtesy Krista Apple

Apple said she wants those who had been charged with making decisions about the university’s fate to face consequences for its closure.

“I would like to see some accountability, not just from the most recent administration, but also from the board of directors and also from the previous administration too, that was working really closely with this budget,” Apple said. “Because I just keep wondering at what point was it clear that this university’s finances were not salient, and I can’t fathom the notion that it was just two weeks ago, on May 29, that someone looked at our books and went, ‘Oh, no, we can’t keep going.’”

The board’s chair did not respond to a request for comment.

This week, the university announced a call center and support email for the campus community.

Students have also received an email confirming that any payments made for the summer or fall semesters will be refunded. Meanwhile, a Temple spokesperson said the university is exploring a potential merger with the school.

“The amount of support and care from our education and arts community across the country is one of the things that gives me hope. And it just proves to me that artists are incredibly resilient. And no matter how much funding we don’t have, we are not going away,” Apple said.

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Originally founded in 1876, the University of the Arts is just the latest arts institution to shut down in Pennsylvania.

The Pennsylvania Academy of the Fine Arts closed its doors in January, with some of its students enrolling in the University of the Arts.

Last year, at least 14 colleges and universities shut down or merged according to Inside Higher Ed, amid lower college enrollment rates and the pressure of inflation.

According to the National Center for Education Statistics, college enrollment fell from about 18 million in 2010 to about 15.8 million in 2023.

Despite the chaos and confusion, several students have found solace with those in the extended arts community.

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“If nothing else, we are showing that we are committed to each other in our community. We’re showing that we are not willing to just go quietly into the night. We are going to stand strong and show what we stand for, because as artists it’s already hard enough to make it in the world,” Spaloss said.

“Our schools are closing down, but that doesn’t mean our community shuts down, too,” Jean added.

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Macron’s party at risk of wipeout, say election projections

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Macron’s party at risk of wipeout, say election projections

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President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance could be facing a wipeout in snap parliamentary elections after France’s leftwing parties struck a unity pact.

New projections suggested only around 40 of Macron’s MPs would qualify for the second round vote on July 7, in run-off races that would predominantly be fought between candidates fielded by the far right or the leftwing bloc for the 589-strong assembly, according to two studies for Le Figaro and BFM TV.

The findings suggest Macron’s gamble to dissolve parliament and hold early elections in the hope of stopping the rise of the far-right Rassemblement National party could backfire badly.

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They also underscore how the outcome of the two-round vote on June 30 and July 7 could be determined by the left.

Four normally fractious left-wing parties on Thursday night struck a deal to run as an alliance, with an agreement on candidates and a joint programme. It was endorsed by former president François Hollande, a socialist.

The accord did not specify who would be their candidate for prime minister. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the far-left France Insoumise (France Unbowed, LFI) party and a deeply polarising figure in French politics, hinted earlier on Thursday that he wanted to the job.

LFI secured the largest proportion of candidates on the joint list with the centre-left, Socialists, Greens, and Communists.

If the left parties had ran multiple candidates for each seat, Macron’s centrist alliance would have had better chances of piercing through to the second round. To qualify for a run-off, a candidate needs to have won the backing of 12.5 per cent of registered voters.

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By extrapolating results from last week’s European parliamentary election to the upcoming first round in the French legislative poll, RN would come first in 362 seats and the left would come top in 211, according to Le Figaro’s calculations.

Some analysts cautioned against extrapolating from European parliament elections, which take place in a single round according to proportional representation. They often have low turnout and are used as a protest vote against the government.

Mathieu Gallard, a pollster at Ipsos, said predicting seat share at this stage was “just a matter of intuition”. Candidates have not yet been selected and incumbent MPs often command considerable local loyalty. Margins of error for voting intentions across two rounds, the close contests in many constituencies and doubts over turnout made the “outcome highly uncertain at this stage”.

Still, the forecasts add to a series of gloomy surveys for Macron’s camp this week, suggesting they could lose at least half of their 250 seats in the assembly.

Asked about the difficult poll numbers, an adviser to Macron’s alliance said: “There is a narrow path forward, and we’ll see how dynamics shift in the coming days. It is hard but not impossible.”

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An Elabe poll for BFM and La Tribune Dimanche put the RN on 31 per cent (with 4 for the rival far-right party Reconquête), the leftwing alliance on 28 per cent, Macron’s centrist alliance on 18 per cent and the centre-right Les Républicains on 6.5 per cent.

The adviser said the 18 per cent for Macron’s alliance suggested it had new momentum after Sunday’s European vote, when it scored 15 per cent. The adviser pointed to polling showing that almost two-thirds of the French public supported Macron’s decision to dissolve parliament.

Elabe projects the RN winning between 220 and 270 seats, the left 150-190 and Macron’s alliance 90-130. The centre right would take 30-40.

The opinion polls this week suggest the mostly likely scenario is a hung parliament, but if the RN wins by a big margin, it will have a claim on the office of prime minister and the right to form a government.

Video: Why the far right is surging in Europe | FT Film
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