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‘It was tough’: Fetterman supporters voice concern that debate performance will sway undecided voters | CNN Politics

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‘It was tough’: Fetterman supporters voice concern that debate performance will sway undecided voters | CNN Politics



CNN
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Democrat John Fetterman’s debate efficiency has intensified the give attention to his restoration from a stroke, main some supporters to fret that his present post-stroke limitations may have an effect on his slim lead within the vital Pennsylvania Senate race in opposition to Republican Mehmet Oz.

If Fetterman’s displaying adjustments the trajectory of the race, the controversy may have nationwide ramifications, with Pennsylvania representing the perfect probability for Democrats to choose up a Senate seat within the evenly divided chamber. A CNN ballot carried out by SSRS and launched earlier this week discovered that 51% of probably voters assist Fetterman, in comparison with 45% for Oz, a bonus narrowly exterior of the survey’s margin of error. And a CBS Information ballot additionally launched this week discovered a tightening race, with 51% of probably voters in Pennsylvania backing Fetterman and 49% backing Oz.

Although the results of Fetterman’s stroke dominated some post-debate conversations, Ouncess feedback about abortion – saying “native politicians” ought to contribute to ladies’s medical selections – additionally rocked the boat. Abortion rights have been a flashpoint throughout the nation, together with within the commonwealth, and Ouncess phrases may damage him with the suburban ladies voters each campaigns consider could possibly be decisive on Election Day.

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In a single day Tuesday and into Wednesday, Fetterman’s marketing campaign was doing double obligation, explaining once more the lingering auditory processing and speech points from his Might stroke that precipitated him to request closed captioning on Tuesday night time – however in the end supplied solely restricted assist, as he dropped ideas, pushed phrases collectively and, at occasions, repeated phrases. However the marketing campaign was additionally ensuring no Pennsylvania voters missed Ouncess remark, saying inside hours of the controversy’s finish a brand new advert highlighting them.

Fetterman spent the time out of public view, making phone calls to advisers, donors and Democratic officers, forward of a night look with the Dave Matthews Band in Pittsburgh.

Because the Fetterman marketing campaign sought to vary the topic to abortion rights, Pennsylvania voters have been left to attract their very own conclusions concerning the debate for the closing stretch of the race.

“Dr. Ouncestype of picked on him, that’s how I checked out it,” stated Craig Bischof, a fervent Fetterman supporter from Bedford. “He’s nonetheless having bother from his stroke, so I assumed he did an awesome job, I actually did.”

Requested whether or not he demonstrated that he was able to serve six years within the Senate, he stated: “Oh, sure. He will get more healthy each day. He’s come a good distance. A stroke is a tough factor to recover from.”

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That was not a extensively held view in lunchtime conversations with a half-dozen different residents of Bedford, a Republican-leaning city, in central Pennsylvania.

“It was embarrassing,” Jan Welsch stated, providing a pointed critique of Fetterman’s efficiency on the controversy stage. “Pennsylvania is in serious trouble, in the event that they vote for Fetterman.”

Whereas Welsch stated she was unsure about Ouncess candidacy earlier than the controversy, she stated he demonstrated to her that he was a critical candidate, not only a former tv celeb.

“I actually preferred what Ouncesneeded to say,” Welsch stated. “I had questions on Ouncesearlier, however after listening with him in opposition to Fetterman, it’s positively Oz.”

In conversations with CNN, a number of Fetterman voters stated that, whereas his efficiency made them anxious about his prospects with swing voters, they nonetheless deliberate to solid a poll for him. Actually, not one of the voters who entered the night time planning to vote for the Democrat stated they have been planning to vary their vote.

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“It was powerful,” stated Karin Tatela, an educator from Chester County who was on the Might occasion Fetterman needed to cancel final minute due to his stroke. “I instructed my pal, I stated, ‘I don’t actually wish to watch, it’s type of like taking a look at a automotive accident. You wish to look, however you don’t wish to look.’”

Tatela, nevertheless, stated she nonetheless plans to vote for Fetterman.

“I can not vote for that,” she stated, speaking a protracted pause to cease herself from attacking Oz. “I’d by no means vote for Oz. I don’t care in the event that they needed to wheel Fetterman into the Senate in a hospital mattress. However I feel we could possibly be in just a little little bit of bother right here.”

She isn’t alone.

“My opinion of who I’m voting for hasn’t modified however I really feel rather less comfy in his skill to win the election due to how he carried out,” stated Andrew Charles, a Fetterman supporter who lives in Millersville, Pennsylvania, and works in manufacturing. “I simply see a variety of crimson flags elevating for individuals about his capabilities.”

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Charles, who earlier this yr attended a Fetterman occasion sporting a do-it-yourself T-shirt supporting the candidate, stated he’ll nonetheless vote for Fetterman, however he discovered himself occupied with swing voters final night time.

“In the event that they have been on the fence, they’re most likely not on the fence anymore,” he concluded, believing these voters will now again Oz.

Joe Pozzini, a union carpenter, stated he had no considerations about Fetterman’s well being when CNN spoke with him at a rally in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, earlier this month. However after the controversy, Pozzini apprehensive about how the Democrat’s well being may affect the race.

“I understand how I’m voting. I’m Fetterman all the way in which, however it was type of worrisome,” the lifelong Pennsylvanian stated. “His message remains to be there, he’s nonetheless a powerful candidate, it’s simply I used to be type of apprehensive concerning the on-the-fence individuals.”

He added: “He obtained his level throughout I feel, however it’s simply, it was tough, it was tough, and somebody on the fence would possibly lean the opposite method and that’s worrisome.”

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Fetterman acknowledged his stroke on the outset of the controversy, looking for to humanize his restoration.

“Let’s additionally discuss concerning the elephant within the room. I had a stroke. He’s by no means let me overlook that,” Fetterman stated, referring to Ouncesand his marketing campaign’s frequent commentary on his restoration. “And I’d miss some phrases throughout this debate, mush two phrases collectively, however it knocked me down and I’m going to maintain coming again up.”

Influential Fetterman supporters, like Ryan Boyer, the primary Black chief of the Philadelphia Constructing & Building Trades Council, referred to as the Democrat’s efficiency “a profile in braveness.”

“Significantly my individuals within the African American neighborhood, know all too effectively that individuals have strokes. I’ve an uncle who had one and he’s a really clever man, however it took him a couple of yr and a half to get all of the ideas that he had in his head out of his mouth,” Boyer stated.

He additionally instructed CNN that the union’s political arm, in a gathering instantly after the controversy, had a “brutally trustworthy” name and dialogue concerning the candidates’ performances.

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“To an individual, I imply, hear, it was laborious to look at, however they stated that they understood him. We requested the query, ‘Did you perceive what he was saying?’ And that’s crucial factor. ‘Did you perceive his emotions?’And sure, it got here off,” Boyer stated.

In the meantime, Boyer stated Ouncess assertion that abortion insurance policies ought to be left as much as “ladies, docs, native political leaders” shocked him.

“They discuss cringeworthy due to Fetterman? It was cringeworthy once I heard that (from Oz). However it was a window into his soul,” Boyer added. “It was actually wonderful … So, now I need my native ward chief deciding one thing that’s occurring with my daughter?”

Whereas Ouncesavoided attacking Fetterman’s stroke restoration explicitly – not like lots of his marketing campaign aides, who’ve mocked Fetterman’s restoration – the Republican did sprinkle seemingly derisive feedback into the controversy.

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“John, clearly I wasn’t clear sufficient so that you can perceive it,” Ouncessaid throughout in any other case benign questions on vocational schooling.

Whether or not the controversy will matter, nevertheless, is an open query.

A number of Democratic operatives famous that only a few undecided voters watch debates stay, and whereas some will watch their native information protection of the competition, most aren’t plugged into the day-to-day machinations of the Senate race, even lower than two weeks out from Election Day.

“I assumed he would have been higher, however I don’t suppose it hurts him,” stated Mike Mikus, a Democratic guide in Pittsburgh who led Katie McGinty by the state’s Democratic Senate main in opposition to Fetterman in 2016 earlier than she misplaced to Republican Sen. Pat Toomey within the common election. “I feel individuals perceive that Fetterman had a stroke, and it impacts his speech. However, in addition they suppose he’ll get higher.”

He added: “On the identical time, most swing voters are usually not very political and more than likely didn’t watch … The undecideds at this stage of a marketing campaign are utterly unplugged.”

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Moreover, forward of the controversy, virtually 640,000 pre-election votes had already been solid in Pennsylvania, in accordance with knowledge from state election officers, and Democrats make up a large majority of voters who’ve already solid a poll within the Keystone State. As of Monday, 73% of Pennsylvania voters up to now have been Democrats, whereas 19% have been Republicans. Whereas the size is smaller, the breakdown is analogous up to now two years in the past, in accordance with knowledge from Catalist.

To focus the post-debate protection on Oz, Fetterman’s marketing campaign introduced minutes after the controversy ended that it will put cash behind an advert highlighting Ouncessaying that the controversy over abortion ought to be left to “ladies, docs, native political leaders.”

The Ouncescomment is a continuation of his argument that states, not the federal authorities, ought to resolve the difficulty. However when pressed repeatedly in the course of the debate a couple of invoice proposed by South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham that will restrict abortions after 15 weeks of being pregnant, Ouncesdodged, arguing he didn’t assist federal laws on the difficulty however wouldn’t give a agency reply on how he would vote have been he within the Senate.

High Democrats noticed the remark as a gap to hyperlink Ounceswith Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano, a state senator who launched a invoice in 2019 prohibiting an abortion process if a heartbeat is detected.

Their argument: Ouncesthinks politicians like Mastriano – both as state senator or probably as governor – ought to resolve the difficulty.

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“Our marketing campaign can be placing cash behind ensuring as many ladies as doable hear Dr. Ouncess radical perception that ‘native political leaders’ ought to have as a lot say over a girl’s abortion selections as ladies themselves and their docs,” stated Joe Calvello, marketing campaign spokesman. “After months of making an attempt to cover his excessive abortion place, Ounceslet it slip on the controversy stage on Tuesday.”

The advert was out by noon Wednesday, telling voters, “Ounceswould let politicians like Doug Mastriano ban abortion with out exceptions – even in circumstances of rape, incest, or lifetime of the mom. Ouncesis simply too excessive for Pennsylvania.”

Oz, for his half, barely talked about the controversy at a Wednesday occasion.

However to Republicans – and even some docs who focus on cardiology – Fetterman’s efficiency was regarding and raised questions on how clear he has been concerning the affect of his stroke.

“He disgraced himself and is unfit for workplace,” stated Ryan Costello, a former Republican congressman from Pennsylvania. “He hasn’t demonstrated any skill to deal with the bodily and communication obligations of being a U.S. Senator.”

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Dr. Jonathan Reiner, a CNN medical analyst and interventional heart specialist who has handled a number of high-profile politicians, stated the controversy was “tough to look at.”

“Fetterman’s residual neurological damage is substantial,” Reiner stated. “A lot better than his marketing campaign has led the general public to consider. It’s extra than simply processing listening to. It’s extremely unhappy to look at.”

This story has been up to date with extra developments.

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Video: Our Photographer’s Look Inside New York’s Migrant Shelters

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Video: Our Photographer’s Look Inside New York’s Migrant Shelters

Just over 225,000 migrants have entered New York City since 2022, and more than $6 billion has been spent on a hodgepodge of shelters that morphed into the largest system of emergency housing for migrants in the country. Todd Heisler, a photographer for The New York Times, gained exclusive access to shelters across the city, documenting the experience through the eyes of those living there.

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Russia aims to be global leader in nuclear power plant construction

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Russia aims to be global leader in nuclear power plant construction

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Russia is building more than 10 nuclear units abroad as it looks to tap into rising energy demand driven by artificial intelligence and developing markets, according to an envoy of President Vladimir Putin.

Moscow is doubling down on efforts to boost its global influence by expanding its nuclear fleet, with plants under construction in countries including Bangladesh, China, Egypt, India, Iran and Turkey. Russia has enhanced its role as a major nuclear energy provider even as the oil and gas sector has faced heavy sanctions after its invasion of Ukraine.

Boris Titov, the Kremlin’s special representative for international co-operation in sustainability, said the country wanted to cement its position as “one of the biggest builders of new nuclear plants in the world”. 

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He said Russia expected strong demand for nuclear power from developing countries eager for cleaner sources of energy, as well as from technology companies harnessing AI in data centres. The International Atomic Energy Agency forecast this year that world nuclear generating capacity would increase by 155 per cent to 950 gigawatts by 2050.

“We are building more than 10 different units around the world,” Titov told the Financial Times. “We need a lot of energy. We will not be able to provide this energy without using . . . nuclear. We know that it’s safe . . . it’s not emitting [greenhouse gas emissions], so it is very clean.”

Boris Titov, the Kremlin’s special representative for international co-operation in sustainability © Maksim Konstantinov/SOPA/LightRocket/Getty Images

Russia’s growing overseas nuclear portfolio, including reactor construction, fuel provision and other services, spans 54 countries, according to an article published last year in the journal Nature Energy by the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. 

Titov pointed to Hungary’s Paks 2 plant as well as units in Bangladesh and Turkey. Russia is also expected to build a plant with small modular reactors in Uzbekistan, while it signed an agreement with Burkina Faso’s ruling junta in 2023. The FT reported this year that Russia was involved in more than a third of new reactors being built worldwide.

Western governments have attempted to push back against Russia’s nuclear prominence, with the US banning imports of Russian-enriched uranium this May. 

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With the exception of Hungary, most eastern European countries have signed contracts for fuel developed to fit Soviet-era reactors by US company Westinghouse since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 

As part of a wider push to meet an indicative target of being free from Russian fuel imports by 2027, Dan Jørgensen, the new EU commissioner for energy, said that he wanted to examine the “full nuclear supply chain”. 

But Hungarian premier Viktor Orbán and Slovakian prime minister Robert Fico have said they would block any steps to restrict Russia’s civilian nuclear energy industry.

After meeting Putin on Sunday, Fico said in a post on Facebook that potential sanctions against Russia would be “financially damaging and endanger the production of electricity in nuclear power plants in Slovakia, which is unacceptable”.

But fears that Russia could create critical nuclear fuel shortages for the bloc, as it did for gas in 2022, are overstated, one senior EU official said.

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“Rosatom has a vested interest to be reliable,” they added.

A more immediate problem is US sanctions on Gazprombank, a major conduit for energy payments to Russia. The measures exempted civil nuclear energy except for Hungary’s Paks 2 plant. Hungary’s foreign minister Péter Szijjártó has called the singling out of the new plant an “entirely political decision”.

Many developing countries are looking at nuclear to meet clean energy requirements, offering more potential markets for Russia.

Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad, Malaysia’s natural resources and environmental sustainability minister, told the Financial Times that the country was “studying the introduction of nuclear”. 

He said all the “major players” were “talking to the [Malaysian] government” on potential projects, without referring to specific countries.

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Speaking at the UN COP29 climate summit in Azerbaijan in November, Jake Levine, senior climate and energy director at the US National Security Council, said Washington was concerned about countries turning to China or Russia for nuclear power.

Global competitiveness in the industry was a “huge issue”, he added.

Additional reporting by Anastasia Stognei, Polina Ivanova and Raphael Minder

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Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

Are you curious about the FT’s environmental sustainability commitments? Find out more about our science-based targets here

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Why Trump's tariffs on Mexico would mean higher avocado prices at the grocery store

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Why Trump's tariffs on Mexico would mean higher avocado prices at the grocery store

Avocados grow on trees in an orchard in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023. Tariffs on Mexican imports would have a big effect on avocados in the U.S.

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Alfredo Estrella/AFP via Getty Images

Of all the products that would be affected by President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Mexico, avocados stand out: 90% of avocados consumed in the U.S. are imported. And almost all of those imports come from Mexico.

Trump has said he plans to impose a blanket tariff of 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% tax on goods from China.

It’s unclear whether the tariffs will be implemented or if they will serve merely as a negotiating tactic.

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If enacted, they could have multiple effects on the avocado industry.

“Broad tariffs, like what’s being proposed, is not something that we’ve seen” before, says David Ortega, a food economist and professor at Michigan State University. “We had the trade war with China back in 2018 that affected steel and aluminum, but when it comes to food, these types of policy proposals are not something that are very common or that we’ve seen recently.”

With one of the biggest guacamole-eating events of the year — the Super Bowl — approaching in February, here’s what to know about avocados, tariffs, and why so many avocados are grown in Mexico.

Prices will rise

Avocados are displayed in a grocery store in Washington, D.C., on June 14, 2022. Experts predict avocado prices will rise in the event of tariffs on Mexican imports.

Avocados are displayed in a grocery store in Washington, D.C., on June 14, 2022. Experts predict avocado prices will rise in the event of tariffs on Mexican imports.

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First, a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico would lead to higher avocado prices at the grocery store.

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But estimating just how much higher is hard to say. It’s possible that producers and importers will absorb some of the costs to keep prices down and stay more competitive.

Ortega says there could be “pretty significant increases in the price of avocados. Maybe not the full 25%, but pretty close, given that there’s very little substitute ability with regards to where we would source avocados.”

But he cautions that because the tariffs apply only to the product’s value at the border, and not to other costs like transportation and distribution within the U.S., prices may not go up by the full 25%.

Regardless of these potential price increases, however, people in the U.S. love their avocados and they’re willing to pay more. Avocado consumption tripled in the U.S. between 2000 and 2021.

“Given that avocado is a staple of our consumption here, I would say that the elasticity is not very high, meaning that even with a big increase in price, consumption is not going to change that much,” says Luis Ribera, a professor and extension economist in the agricultural economics department at Texas A&M University.

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Why Mexico

A farmer works at an avocado plantation at the Los Cerritos avocado group ranch in Ciudad Guzman, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 10, 2023. Mexico provides 90% of the avocados consumed in the U.S.

A farmer works at an avocado plantation at the Los Cerritos avocado group ranch in Ciudad Guzman, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 10, 2023. Most of the avocados consumed in the U.S. are grown in Mexico.

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Mexico is the biggest producer of avocados in the world and exported $3.3 billion worth of avocados in 2023. A study funded by the industry estimated that avocado production supports 78,000 permanent jobs and 310,000 seasonal jobs in Mexico.

“It’s a very important business in Mexico, very lucrative,” Ribera says.

Mexico emerged as the largest foreign supplier of fruits and vegetables to the U.S. for a few reasons, he says. One: Its proximity to the U.S. market. With a perishable product, closer is better. Peru is the second-largest source of foreign avocados in the U.S., but its greater distance means avocados need to be shipped farther.

The other reasons for Mexico are favorable weather that allows for year-round production of avocados and access to cheap labor, according to Ribera.

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Avocados are grown in the U.S. too, mostly in California and to a lesser extent Florida and Hawaii, but U.S. growers can’t meet Americans’ big appetite. Avocado production in the U.S. has declined, even as Americans grew fonder of the green fruit, according to the USDA.

California avocado growers have faced droughts and wildfires in recent years, making it difficult to offer the year-round availability that American consumers crave, Ortega says. In addition, land is expensive and water is limited.

If the goal of implementing tariffs is to force avocado production to move somewhere besides Mexico, that isn’t easy.

It takes about eight years for avocado trees to produce fruit, according to the USDA. “This is not a product that you can just simply plant more of this season and you get more of in a few months,” Ortega says.

Other countries where the U.S. sources avocados — Peru, the Dominican Republic and Chile — “just simply don’t have the production capacity to replace Mexico’s supply,” he says.

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Tariffs could impact the organic avocado market

Tariffs could also alter the market dynamic when it comes to organic vs. conventional foods.

If prices rise across the board, consumers who typically buy organic avocados might switch to conventional ones to save money. Organic produce makes up about 15% of total fruit and vegetable sales in the U.S., according to the Organic Trade Association, which represents hundreds of organic businesses and thousands of farmers.

“My hypothesis is that the price of conventional products would increase more than the premium organic product,” Ortega says. He reasons that because people who are used to buying organic avocados would move to buy conventional ones, “that in turn increases the demand and would make prices rise more for that category.”

Matthew Dillon, co-CEO of the Organic Trade Association, says those in the organic food industry are looking at diversifying their supply chains away from Mexico, but there’s a three-year transition period required for farmers to switch from producing conventional to organic produce.

“Supply chains are not incredibly elastic in organic. It takes more time to pivot and change when there’s a supply chain disruption. And tariffs are in some ways a form of supply chain disruption for a company, because it creates unpredictable pricing,” he says.

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Together with grocery prices that have gone up more than 26% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump’s plans for tariffs on Mexico, along with mass deportations, could create “a perfect storm of high inflationary pressure on the organic sector,” Dillon says.

Furthermore, retaliatory tariffs from Mexico could have their own impacts.

Avocado producers face uncertainty as Trump’s return looms

Avocados in boxes are pictured at a packing plant in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023.

Avocados in boxes are pictured at a packing plant in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023.

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Aside from the threat of tariffs, the avocado industry has other challenges to deal with: climate change presents several problems, and avocados require a large amount of water to grow. Meanwhile, environmentalists say some avocado growers are cutting down forests to plant avocados.

Producers also face extortion from criminal gangs in Mexico.

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And now with Trump’s tariff threats, producers are left to wonder about their next steps.

“Producers, they react to market fundamentals,” Ribera says. For example, people can foresee how bad weather in Mexico would affect avocado prices. Producers and retailers will adjust to higher and lower demand.

“The issue with a tariff is it’s not a market fundamental — it’s a policy. It’s a political move,” he says. “It could happen or it could not happen, or it could be increased or it could be decreased, you know. So it’s hard for the whole supply chain to adjust.”

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