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Is this normal? California is facing its 12th atmospheric river this winter following a historic drought | CNN

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Is this normal? California is facing its 12th atmospheric river this winter following a historic drought | CNN



CNN
 — 

California is bracing for one more highly effective, atmospheric river storm this week, persevering with the onslaught of main climate whiplash after a yearslong, historic megadrought.

Many welcomed this winter’s heavy rain and snow because it was so desperately wanted to replenish the state’s severely drained reservoirs and depleted groundwater.

However the storms saved coming. California is now going through its twelfth important atmospheric river because the parade of sturdy storms started in late December.

“That is an unusually excessive variety of storms this winter in California,” mentioned Daniel Swain, local weather scientist on the College of California at Los Angeles. “Regardless of the way you slice it, regardless of the way you make these formal definitions, that is unusually many.”

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Figuring out find out how to rely atmospheric rivers is an ongoing dialog within the scientific neighborhood.

Whereas Swain mentioned California has seen 12 important atmospheric rivers to date this season, Chad Hecht, a meteorologist with the Heart for Western Climate and Water Extremes (CW3E) at Scripps Establishment of Oceanography, mentioned the middle has tallied of 29 to date, together with some weaker methods and methods that solely clipped California. Six of the storms fell into the class of what Hecht described as extreme or excessive.

“These numbers are seemingly larger than plenty of the numbers you might be seeing from information shops as a result of their standards for an atmospheric river is probably going stricter and considers the impacts that they bring about,” Hecht mentioned. “There are [also] cases when an atmospheric river is primarily concentrating on the Pacific Northwest, however clips the far northwestern parts of California, say Del Norte County, with weak circumstances.”

Weak and low-end reasonable storms are usually much less impactful and primarily convey useful precipitation to the state, he mentioned. In the meantime, the high-end atmospheric rivers are the large rain and snow producers, which result in extra extreme impacts.

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Drivers barrel into standing water on Interstate 101 in San Francisco on January 4.

Hecht mentioned this 12 months has already outpaced the state’s common annual variety of atmospheric rivers. Lots of them got here in a fast collection of storms in early January.

“We usually refer to those successive sorts of atmospheric rivers as ‘AR households,’” Hecht informed CNN. “Whereas AR households should not all that unusual, we don’t see them yearly and the stretch of 9 we had across the flip of the New 12 months was a extra lively household than we usually see.”

Whereas the barrage of rain and snow has alleviated the drought, the storms have additionally been harmful and lethal.

An atmospheric river is sort of a conveyor belt of moisture that originates over the tropical water of the Pacific Ocean. They will carry greater than 20 occasions the quantity of water the Mississippi River does, however as vapor. As these storms pummeled the state in fast succession, the soil turned over-saturated and weak to flooding and mudslides.

California is facing its 12th atmospheric river this year, following a historic drought. This week's storm is funneling moisture into California from the central Pacific Ocean.

It’s unclear how the local weather disaster could possibly be taking part in a task within the variety of storms that hit the West Coast. However local weather scientists have linked the local weather disaster to a rise within the quantity of moisture the ambiance holds, which means storms — equivalent to hurricanes and atmospheric rivers which are impacting the West Coast now — will be capable to convey extra moisture inland than it could with out local weather change, which in flip results in a rise in rainfall charges and flash flooding.

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Swain mentioned this week’s storm shall be one other occasion that may quickly strengthen and will even come near what’s often known as a “bomb cyclone” — a storm that quickly intensifies at a fee of no less than 24 millibars of stress in 24 hours. The storm is anticipated to have an effect on a big space of the California coast, from the San Francisco Bay Space to Southern California.

“This [storm] goes to convey an entire litany of issues which are in all probability better than we had initially anticipated just a few days in the past,” Swain mentioned. “Frankly, even widespread reasonable rain at this level goes to exacerbate flood circumstances in some locations — so not one of the best information.”

Vehicles and homes in floodwaters in Pajaro, California, on March 11. Residents were forced to evacuate in the middle of the night after flood water broke through the Pajaro Levee.

Regardless of these hazards, Swain mentioned that California is fortunate to have some breaks in between the storm cycles. And forecasters with the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported final week that they count on the West’s spigot of rain and snow will seemingly flip off come April.

“As a lot as people really feel prefer it’s been an unrelenting winter, we even have gotten some no less than weeklong breaks and, in some instances, multi-weeklong breaks in between these sequences,” he mentioned. “Had we had this winter and the whole lot that occurred back-to-back with none breaks throughout the storm cycles in any respect, the extent of flooding and the extent of harm in California could be dramatically larger.”

The storms have additionally erased the dire impacts of the drought, notably obligatory water cuts in elements of the state.

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In response to the most recent US Drought Monitor, extreme drought now solely covers 8% of the state, with simply over a 3rd of the state remaining in some degree of drought — the bottom quantity in almost three years.

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Live news: SingPost shares slump after CEO fired over handling of whistleblower report

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Live news: SingPost shares slump after CEO fired over handling of whistleblower report

While the holiday spirit will dominate the news agenda, there are notable developments to watch across the world, as the three defining themes of 2024 — elections, war and inflation — continue to hum in the background.

On Tuesday, Moldova’s pro-EU president-elect Maia Sandu will attend her inauguration. Her narrow election victory in October, despite alleged Russian meddling in the process, will set the former Soviet country on a path to EU membership.

Maia Sandu © Dumitru Doru/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Georgia, on the other hand, will on Sunday swear in Mikheil Kavelashvili to the presidency, a pro-Russian firebrand and Croatia will hold a first-round presidential vote on Sunday.

On Monday, Mozambique’s top court is set to give a verdict on the country’s disputed election in October, while Albanian opposition parties block roads demanding Prime Minister Edi Rama’s resignation

Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda will deliver a speech on Christmas Day. Economists will pore over his words for clues on how president-elect Donald Trump’s tariffs will affect the pace and trajectory of monetary policy.

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UK third-quarter GDP figures will be out on Monday, after months of disappointing economic releases for chancellor Rachel Reeves.

Read more in The Week Ahead

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Who is Sebastian Zapeta? Guatemala migrant set a woman on fire on New York City subway

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Who is Sebastian Zapeta? Guatemala migrant set a woman on fire on New York City subway

A Guatemala migrant has been arrested for allegedly setting a woman on fire and burned to death on a subway train in Brooklyn, New York, early Sunday morning. The incident occurred at the Stillwell Avenue Subway station in Coney Island around 7:30 a.m.

NYPD apprehends suspect after deadly subway attack; community rallies for justice.(Mario Nawfal)

The suspect, identified as 33-year-old Sebastin Zapeta, is believed to have entered the US from Guatemala approximately a year ago. It remains unclear whether he entered the country legally or illegally.

During a press conference Sunday evening, New York Police Department (NYPD) officials, including Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch, explained, “As the train pulled into the station, the suspect calmly walked up to the victim. The female victim was in a seated position.”

ALSO READ| German Christmas market attack suspect enjoyed beer and ate shrimp hours before killing spree: ‘He was always on…’

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“The suspect used what we believe to be a lighter to ignite the victim’s clothing, which became fully engulfed in a matter of seconds.”

Officers on patrol at the station were alerted to the situation by the smell and sight of smoke. While responding at the scene, they discovered a person inside the train car fully engulfed in flames. The fire was extinguished with assistance from an MTA employee using a fire extinguisher. The victim was pronounced dead at the scene.

Elon Musk and Mayor Eric Adams condemns subway attack

Zapeta remained at the scene after the incident. He was found seated on a bench outside the train car. Body-worn cameras worn by responding officers captured clear footage of the suspect. Tisch noted, “Body-worn cameras on the responding officers produced a clear and detailed look at the killer.”

Following the release of the suspect’s description and photographs to the public, three high school students recognized the man and called 911. Transit officers confirmed the description and located the suspect on a moving train. The train was stopped at the next station, where officers boarded, identified the man, and arrested him without further incident.

ALSO READ| Can Elon Musk become US president? Donald Trump big remarks amid raging debate

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New York City Mayor Eric Adams expressed his condolences to the victim’s family, calling the attack a “senseless killing.”

“Grateful to the young New Yorkers and transit officers who stepped up to help our NYPD make a quick arrest following this morning’s heinous and deadly subway attack. This type of depraved behaviour has no place in our subways, and we are committed to working hard to ensure there is swift justice for all victims of violent crime.”

Tesla boss Elon Musk also took to X (formerly Twitter) to express his frustration. “Enough is enough,” he posted, along with the Guatemala migrant’s subway CCTV shot.

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Trump names Treasury adviser from first term to chair economic panel

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Trump names Treasury adviser from first term to chair economic panel

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Donald Trump has tapped Stephen Miran, an economist who served during his first term, to chair his Council of Economic Advisers.

With the nomination, the president-elect is seeking to elevate to a White House economic post not only a critic of Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell but one who has accused the Biden administration of manipulating the economy and “usurping” the central bank’s role.

“Steve will work with the rest of my Economic Team to deliver a Great Economic Boom that lifts up all Americans,” Trump said in a statement on Sunday.

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Miran was a senior adviser for economic policy at the Treasury department in the first Trump administration.

Currently a senior strategist at hedge fund Hudson Bay Capital Management, he said he was honoured. “I look forward to working to help implement the President’s policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!” he posted on X.

The White House Council of Economic Advisers is a three-person group that advises the president on economic policy.

Trump has threatened US trading partners, vowing to impose sweeping tariffs, including 25 per cent levies on goods from Mexico and Canada and 10 per cent on China’s imports, on his first day in office.

On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to impose blanket levies of 20 per cent on all US imports, as well as tariffs of 60 per cent on those from China, suggesting his second-term policies could be more protectionist and disruptive to the global economy and markets than his first.

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The president-elect has also pledged to renew tax cuts he enacted during his first spell in the White House.

Earlier this year, Miran co-wrote a paper accusing Biden’s Treasury department of manipulating the economy during the election, arguing the government’s dependence on short-term debt amounted to “stealth quantitative easing and impedes the Fed’s ability to fight inflation.

“By adjusting the maturity profile of its debt issuance, Treasury is dynamically managing financial conditions and, through them, the economy, usurping core functions of the Federal Reserve”, he wrote with economist Nouriel Roubini.

“We dub this novel tool ‘activist Treasury issuance,’ or ATI. By manipulating the amount of interest-rate risk owned by investors, ATI works through the same channels as the Fed’s quantitative easing programs.”

In FT Alphaville last year, Miran co-authored a piece warning against the perils of a two-tier bond market, which “would impair Treasuries’ ability to serve as risk-free collateral underpinning the global financial system” and bring to the US the chaos of a defaulting emerging economy.

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Miran has also hit out at Powell for urging more aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus in October 2020, about a month before that year’s election, to aid the economic recovery amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

“Powell was wrong politically and economically when he urged Congress to ‘go big’ on fiscal stimulus in October of 2020, on the eve of a Presidential election, suggesting that voters favour Democrats’ $3 trillion proposals over Republicans’ $500 billion”, Miran wrote on X in September. “We know what happened next.”

Miran must be confirmed by the US Senate.

Last month, Trump named Kevin Hassett as chair of the National Economic Council.

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