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Assassination attempt on Trump roils American politics on eve of GOP convention

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Assassination attempt on Trump roils American politics on eve of GOP convention
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CHICAGO — A would-be assassin is plunging the already tense American political climate into full-blown hysteria as the chaos from bullets flying at former President Donald Trump’s political rally in a Pennsylvania field spread throughout the 2024 electoral landscape.

The historic moment of shocking political violence has put the country on edge heading into the Republican National Convention, which begins Monday in Milwaukee and has morphed from a routine political ritual into a landmark event for a deeply divided nation.

Bloodied from a bullet he said pierced his ear, Trump was rushed off the stage by Secret Service agents Saturday in Butler, Pa. “It is incredible that such an act can take place in our country,” Trump posted on social media soon after the incident.

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Now, a political system that already was strained to the breaking point must grapple with the fallout from a rifle shot that came perilously close to killing the GOP presidential candidate. President Joe Biden, Trump’s Democratic opponent, condemned the violent act.

“We cannot allow for this to be happening, we cannot be like this,” said Biden, who for the last two-plus weeks has faced mounting calls to exit the 2024 race due to his age and who spoke with Trump after the shooting.

Trump called for national unity in a social media post early Sunday morning. “In this moment, it is more important than ever that we stand United, and show our True Character as Americans, remaining Strong and Determined, and not allowing Evil to Win,” he wrote.

That message was echoed by political leaders in both parties as prayers and message of support for Trump provided a rare bipartisan rallying cry.

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Yet the horror of what happened to Trump also provoked deep anger and outrage, as shock quickly turned to blame, which began to fly before the shooter and any potential motive had been identified. The FBI identified early Sunday that 20-year-old Pennsylvania resident Thomas Matthew Crooks is the individual who fired at Trump.

Crooks killed one rallygoer and injured two others before being killed by the Secret Service.

Already seen as a persecuted figure by many in his party, Trump again was cast as a man whose critics will stop at nothing to keep him from public office.

Such sentiments seem certain to feature prominently at the convention this week as aggrieved supporters vent their frustrations among thousands of Trump’s faithful followers.

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“First they tried to silence him. Then they tried to imprison him. Now they try to kill him,” Florida U.S. Rep. Cory Mills wrote on X.

A top Trump campaign aide and a leading candidate to be his running mate both said rhetoric from Biden and Democrats contributed to the climate that led to the shooting.

“Leftist activists, Democrat donors and now even (Biden) have made disgusting remarks and descriptions of shooting Donald Trump,” Trump senior adviser Chris LaCivita said on X. “It’s high time they be held accountable for it, the best way is through the ballot box.”

LaCivita seemed to be referring to comments Biden made to donors recently saying “it’s time to put Trump in a bullseye.”

Ohio U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance, who is speaking at the convention and on Trump’s short list of potential VP candidates, said Biden’s campaign has portrayed Trump as “an authoritarian fascist who must be stopped at all costs.”

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“That rhetoric led directly to President Trump’s attempted assassination,” Vance added.

Other Republicans seized on those comments to criticize Biden.

U.S. Rep. Mike Collins shared Biden’s “bullseye” remarks on X and said “Joe Biden sent the orders.”

Democrats have long accused Trump of stoking political violence, from suggesting his supporters should treat rally protesters roughly to inciting the deadly mob that stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 to try and stop the certification of Biden’s victory.

Now the message is being thrown back at Trump’s opponents in the heat of an already explosive campaign that has seen a remarkable whiplash of events, from Trump’s 34 felony convictions to Biden’s disastrous debate performance and now the most high-profile political assassination attempt since a gunman shot President Ronald Reagan in 1981.

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The fraught moment is rife with fears of more violence.

“This is not a normal election year and this incident will only escalate the tension in America,” said Jennifer Mercieca, a Texas A&M University professor of communications and journalism and author of a book on Trump’s rhetoric. “The fear is that this act of violence will trigger more suspicion between Americans and more acts of violence.”

Amid the heated rhetoric, some across the political spectrum are urging calm.

U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson said on the Today Show Sunday that “we’ve got to turn the temperature down in this country.”

“We need leaders of all parties, on both sides, to call that out and make sure that happens so that we can go forward and maintain our free society that we all are blessed to have,” Johnson said.

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Former Democratic U.S. Rep. Rick Boucher told USA TODAY the shooting should be “a moment for national introspection about the level of vitriolic rhetoric that characterizes many campaigns.”

“Candidates and some aspects of the news media should take this opportunity to step back and consider how to express political differences in a more constructive and less threatening manner,” Boucher added.

Shannon Bow O’Brien, a University of Texas professor who focuses on American politics, the presidency and political history, said “this sort of political violence deserves to be treated seriously and not as a way to lob cheap shots.”

Yet after nearly paying the ultimate price for his political crusade, Trump has moved ever closer to martyr status and the anger stoked by his travails is especially raw now heading into the convention.

Among the prominent speakers at the RNC is media personality Tucker Carlson, who predicted that someone would try to kill Trump.

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“If you begin with criticism, then you go to protest, then you go to impeachment, now you go to indictment and none of them work. What’s next? Graph it out, man. We’re speeding towards assassination, obviously,” Carlson said in an interview last year. “… They have decided — permanent Washington, both parties have decided — that there’s something about Trump that’s so threatening to them, they just can’t have him.”

A convention that already was expected to be extremely reverential of Trump could become something even more emotional and intense for the former president, who emerged from the shooting bloodied but defiant and rallying the party around him. Even before he was rushed off stage Saturday, Trump’s instinct was to project strength.

Surrounded by Secret Service officers, Trump raised his fist and yelled “Fight! Fight! Fight!”

Darren Samuelsohn contributed to this report

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After the assassination attempt, Trump gets a string of wins : Consider This from NPR

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After the assassination attempt, Trump gets a string of wins : Consider This from NPR

A man wears a mask of Donald Trump in front of the Alto Lee Adams Sr. U.S. Courthouse in Florida on February 12.

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A man wears a mask of Donald Trump in front of the Alto Lee Adams Sr. U.S. Courthouse in Florida on February 12.

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On Monday, Donald Trump became the official presidential nominee of the GOP at the Republican National Convention in Wisconsin.

Within hours of the opening gavel, we also learned who his running mate will be: Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance.

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And Trump himself is receiving hearty encouragement from attendees and speakers in Milwaukee, as he recovers from an assassination attempt at a campaign rally on Saturday.

While one branch of the Justice Department continues the investigation into the motive of the man who fired the shots, on Monday morning a federal judge made another stunning announcement: Judge Aileen Cannon, a Trump appointee, dismissed the entire federal case against the former president involving his handling of classified documents.

The documents in question include top secret materials the former president kept after his term in office. He also allegedly hid those materials from federal investigators.

Cannon’s ruling gives Trump a significant legal victory on the first day of the RNC.

Consider This host Ailsa Chang spoke with NPR Justice Correspondent Carrie Johnson about the legal issues in the ruling and its implications.

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You’re reading the Consider This newsletter, which unpacks one major news story each day. Subscribe here to get it delivered to your inbox, and listen to more from the Consider This podcast.

Delegates are seen on the floor during the first day of the 2024 Republican National Convention.

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A surprise end to the classified documents case

Judge Cannon says the special counsel in this case, Jack Smith, was appointed unconstitutionally, and he lacked the power to bring this prosecution. Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Smith back in 2022, but Judge Cannon says that only Congress or the president have that authority. She also says the way the special counsel has been funded is improper.

Judge Cannon’s opinion cited a recent writing by conservative Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas in a different case against Trump. There, Justice Thomas basically invited Trump and lower courts to take up this issue of the power of the special counsel — which kind of paved the way for this opinion today.

Jesse Panuccio is a former Justice Department official in the Trump administration. He says Cannon wrote a serious opinion and was right to question the special counsel’s authority:

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“Mr. Smith is a private citizen who has not been vetted by the United States Senate, not been appointed by the president, exercising the full power of a United States attorney, which is vast — which is the power to prosecute and imprison people, in this case the former president.”

Johnson says the practical effect of the judge’s ruling is to throw out the whole case, not just against Trump but also his co-defendants — his aides at the Mar-a-Lago resort.

But the Justice Department has the power to appeal, and Johnson says there’s good reason to think it will. Judge Cannon has been reversed by a conservative appeals court already in this case.

Many other federal courts that have considered this issue — under the appointments clause of the U.S. Constitution — have all sided with the Justice Department.

Trump cheered the move and called for the dismissal of the other three criminal cases against him. He falsely claimed all of these prosecutions are coordinated political attacks and election interference by his opponent, President Joe Biden.But two of the cases are handled by state authorities — and the other two are overseen by the Justice Department, which says Biden has had no involvement.

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A staffer displays Trump signs on the floor during the first day of the 2024 Republican National Convention.

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Where Trump stands legally

Johnson says if other courts follow this reasoning from Judge Cannon, it could mean both federal cases against Trump — the Florida case and the one in Washington over January 6th — are over. But it also has implications for the way the Justice Department has investigated sensitive allegations against political figures since the Nixon era. Lawyer Matthew Seligman says what’s at stake is every prosecution brought by a special counsel:

“The Department of Justice as an institution has an overwhelming interest in defending the constitutionality and lawfulness of special counsels in general. Not just because of the January 6th case, but because there have been dozens of these special counsels and special prosecutors over the last decades.”

The classified documents prosecution of Trump had been considered the strongest of the four cases against the former president. The bulk of the case in Florida relates to behavior by Trump after he left the White House, allegedly taking secret documents to his Florida resort, storing them in bathrooms and ballrooms where any guests could wander in and then refusing to hand over the papers when the Justice Department asked — even after the FBI searched the property.

Former prosecutors said that was as close to an open-and-shut case as the DOJ might get. Now, Johnson says at best there will be a lot more delay:

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“And if Trump regains the White House, he could direct his attorney general to drop any appeal and bury this case for good.”

This episode was produced by Brianna Scott and Kai McNamee. It was edited by Patrick Jarenwattananon. Our executive producer is Sami Yenigun.

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Election 2024 Polls: Minnesota

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Election 2024 Polls: Minnesota

About our polling averages

Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll represents likely voters, and whether other polls have shifted since a poll was conducted.

We also evaluate whether each pollster: Has a track record of accuracy in recent electionsIs a member of a professional polling organizationConducts probability-based sampling

These elements factor into how much weight each poll gets in the average. And we consider pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria to be “select pollsters,” so long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Read more about our methodology.

The Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena College. Those polls are included in the averages. Follow Times/Siena polling here.

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Sources: Polling averages by The New York Times. Individual polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.

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Donald Trump picks Ohio senator JD Vance as 2024 running mate

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Donald Trump picks Ohio senator JD Vance as 2024 running mate

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Donald Trump has picked Senator JD Vance as his running mate, elevating a former US marine who grew up poor in a move that could help the former president win votes across the crucial swing states of the industrial Midwest.

Trump announced Vance, the junior US senator from Ohio, as his vice-presidential pick on the first day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, and just two days after a gunman attempted to assassinate him.

Trump confirmed his pick in a post on his Truth Social platform on Monday afternoon, saying “after lengthy deliberation and thought, and considering the tremendous talents of many others”, he had decided Vance was the “person best suited to assume the position of vice-president”.

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Vance, who once described Trump as an “idiot” and said he was a “never Trump guy”, has been among the former president’s most ardent supporters in recent years and one of his most fluent surrogates on the campaign trail.

The announcement ended months of speculation and completed the Republican party’s 2024 ticket with less than four months to go until November’s election. Trump leads his Democratic rival, President Joe Biden, in most national and swing state polls.

Trump’s decision marks a meteoric rise for Vance, who was elected to the Senate for the first time just two years ago. If Trump, 78, wins another term, Vance, 39, will be just a heartbeat away from the presidency. The vice-president is the first person in the presidential line of succession.

Vance first came to national prominence in 2016 with the publication of Hillbilly Elegy, his memoir about growing up in white, working-class America surrounded by substance abuse. The US Marine Corps veteran and Yale Law School graduate worked in venture capital before turning to politics.

Soon after Trump’s announcement, Biden issued a call for donations to his campaign, posting on X: “Here’s the deal about JD Vance. He talks a big game about working people. But now, he and Trump want to raise taxes on middle-class families while pushing more tax cuts for the rich.”

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Trump suggested on Monday that Vance’s background would help him appeal to voters in the industrial Midwest. He said in his social media post that his running mate would be “strongly focused on the people he fought so brilliantly for, the American Workers and Farmers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Minnesota, and far beyond”.

Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are seen as critical battleground states for Trump to win if he is to secure another four years as president.

Scott Reed, a veteran Republican strategist, praised the pick, saying: “Vance will help Trump climb the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — and win the White House.”

Within minutes of Trump’s post, his campaign published a 60-second advertisement featuring the Ohio senator and the branding “Trump-Vance 2024”.

Vance’s brand of populist politics has earned him plaudits from the Republican base and Trump. But it has also ruffled feathers among more traditional Republicans who bristle at his isolationist foreign policy views — the senator has long opposed more US aid for Ukraine — and embrace of a higher minimum wage, trade protectionism and more aggressive antitrust enforcement.

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“Wall Street will be begging for the return of Lina Khan after two months of the Trump-Vance administration,” said one New York dealmaker, reacting to the news.

GOP consultant Ken Spain said Vance “proudly represents the ascendant blue-collar wing of the GOP that is sceptical of business”, adding: “He’s not a counterweight to Trump aimed at ‘balancing out’ the ticket. He’s a potential heir apparent.”

Trump had delayed making an announcement until the last possible minute, in a drawn-out process that he likened to a “highly sophisticated version of The Apprentice”, his one-time reality television franchise. As recently as last week, he had said he was still weighing “four or five” possible running mates.

Trump famously fell out with his former vice-president, Mike Pence, after the January 6 2021 attack on the US Capitol, when a mob of the then-president’s supporters threatened Pence for his decision to certify the results of the 2020 presidential election, confirming Biden’s victory.

Pence has not endorsed Trump’s latest bid for the White House, but at the weekend said he was praying for his former boss’s “full recovery” after the shooting at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania.

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Additional reporting by James Fontanella-Khan in New York and Alex Rogers in Washington

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