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Marquette Poll: Presidential race is a virtual tie in Wisconsin

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Marquette Poll: Presidential race is a virtual tie in Wisconsin


MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) – The presidential race is a virtual tie here in the battleground state of Wisconsin — as if it weren’t clear enough from having both Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris Republican former president Donald Trump campaigning in the state on the same days Wednesday and Friday.

The Marquette poll released six days before the election says Harris leads Trump 50 to 49 percent among likely voters, a 1-point difference. Harris had a 4-point lead in the previous poll in late September.

Undecided voters were asked if they would vote for at that moment if they had to choose. The results were unchanged, with 50% choosing Harris, 49% choosing Trump, and 5% saying they couldn’t choose.

Third-party votes

Of course there are other candidates from smaller parties on the ballot. When the poll included them, Harris’ lead grew slightly to lead Trump 46 to 44 percent.

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Robert F. Kennedy had support from 5% of respondents, even though he’s no longer in the race, which would more than make up the difference for Trump.

We just reported Tuesday that the U.S. Supreme Court rejected Kennedy’s effort to get off the ballots in Wisconsin and Michigan after withdrawing from the race and endorsing Trump.

The Marquette Law School Poll asked those smaller parties’ supporters who they would vote for if it were only a choice between Trump and Harris.

Their answers indicate Kennedy (We the People Party), Chase Oliver (Libertarian) and Randall Terry (Constitution) might pull votes away from Trump on Election Day.

Jill Stein (Green), Cornel West (independent) and Claudia De la Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation) might be pulling votes away from Harris.

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Early voting

An interesting twist that could decide the November 5 outcome appeared when voters were asked if they’d already voted or how they plan to vote.

Among those voting early, Trump was supported by 52% and Harris by 47%. But among those voting absentee by mail, Harris had a huge advantage, 70% to Trump’s 30%.

Asked who they think will win in November, regardless of who they voted for, 45% of respondents expect Harris will “definitely” or “probably” win compared to 37% who say it will be Trump being sworn in on January 20.

But pollsters noticed an increasing number of respondents who said they “Don’t Know” who will win this race.

Under Wisconsin law, absentee and early in-person voting ballots are not tabulated until Election Day.

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U.S. Senate

The U.S. Senate race is neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin leading Republican businessman Eric Hovde 48% to 45%, with the remaining 7% of voters still undecided.

If voters had to choose at that moment, Baldwin’s lead fell 1 point, leading Hovde 51-49, tightening the statistical tie.

Sampling

The Marquette Law School Poll was conducted October 16-24 and interviewed 834 Wisconsin voters.

36% of respondents identified as Republican, 34% as independent, and 31% as Democrat.

October’s poll has a margin of error of 4.4 points.

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Wisconsin DNR opens 2026 elk season applications March 1, with more Central Zone tags

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Wisconsin DNR opens 2026 elk season applications March 1, with more Central Zone tags


(WLUK) — Applications for Wisconsin’s 2026 elk season open next week.

The DNR says the application period begins Sunday, Mar 1 and will close on Sunday, May 31.

Selected applicants will be notified in early June.

For the third year in a row, there will be increased opportunity to pursue elk within the Central Elk Management Zone (formerly Black River Elk Range), as additional bull elk and antlerless harvest authorizations will be available through the state licensing system. The 2026 elk quota for the Central Elk Management Zone is six bull elk and six antlerless elk, up from a quota of four bull and five antlerless in 2025.

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The Northern Elk Management Zone (formerly Clam Lake Elk Range) quota will be eight bull elk, subject to a 50% declaration by Ojibwe tribes.

During the open application period, applicants will have the choice to submit one bull elk license application and/or one antlerless elk license application, separately. Applicants can apply to any unit grouping with an associated quota for that authorization type (bull or antlerless). The order of drawing will be bull licenses first, followed by antlerless licenses. As a reminder, only one resident elk hunting license can be issued or transferred to a person in their lifetime, regardless of authorization type.

In 2026, there will be one continuous hunting season, opening Saturday, Oct. 17, and continuing through Sunday, Dec. 13, eliminating the split-season structure that was in effect from 2018-2025. This offers elk hunters more opportunities and flexibility to pursue elk in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin residents can submit elk license applications online through the Go Wild license portal or in person at a license sales agent. The application fee is $10 for each of the bull elk and antlerless elk drawings and is limited to one application per person, per authorization type. The DNR recommends that all applicants check and update their contact information to ensure contact with successful applicants.

For each application fee, $7 goes directly to elk management, monitoring and research. These funds also enhance elk habitat, which benefits elk and many other wildlife. If selected in the drawing, an elk hunting license costs $49.

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Before obtaining an elk hunting license, all selected hunters must participate in a Wisconsin elk hunter education course. The class covers Wisconsin elk history, hunting regulations, biology, behavior and scouting/hunting techniques.



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Winter transition will bring spring swings to Northeast Wisconsin

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Winter transition will bring spring swings to Northeast Wisconsin


(WLUK) — Snow remains deep across parts of the Northwoods and the Upper Peninsula, even though much of Northeast Wisconsin has seen notable snow-melting heading toward spring.

It’s connected to a shift in Pacific climate patterns.

As of Thursday, 75.1% of the Northern Great Lakes area was covered by snow. Snow depth across the Northwoods and the U.P. ranges from 20 to 30 inches, with areas along and north of Highway 8 in Wisconsin at about 20 inches.

But farther south, significant snowmelt has occurred over the last few weeks across Northeast Wisconsin and the southern half of the state.

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Looking ahead, an ENSO-neutral spring is looking likely, meaning Pacific Ocean temperatures are not notably above or below average. Conditions tend to be more normal and seasonal, though that does not guarantee typical weather.

La Niña occurs when the Pacific Ocean has below-average temperatures across the central and east-central portions of the equatorial region. El Niño is the opposite, with warmer ocean temperatures in those regions. Those shifts influence weather across the United States and globally.

In Wisconsin, a La Niña spring is usually colder and wetter, while an El Niño spring brings warmer and drier conditions. During a neutral period, neither El Niño nor La Niña is in control and weather can swing either direction.

Despite the snowpack up north, the 2026 spring outlook from Green Bay’s National Weather Service leans toward a low flood risk, because ongoing drought in parts of the state is helping to absorb snowmelt.

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Dry conditions are also raising fire concerns in several parts of the country. Low snowfall in states out west is increasing wildfire concerns, and those areas are already experiencing drought. Wildfire activity can increase quickly if above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation continue into spring. About half of the lower 48 states are in drought this week — an increase of 16% since January.



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Watch live: Vance travels to Wisconsin to sell Trump agenda

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Watch live: Vance travels to Wisconsin to sell Trump agenda


Vice President Vance is traveling to Wisconsin on Thursday, the latest stop in the Trump administration’s tour to sell President Trump’s domestic and economic agenda ahead of the November midterm elections. Vance, after visiting a machining facility, will give remarks in Plover, Wis. His comments come just over a day after Trump gave a record-long…



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