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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls

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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls


Donald Trump may not win Wisconsin in November as recent polls suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is just ahead in the key swing state.

The former president will appear at a rally in Juneau on Sunday as the Republican looks to appeal to voters in The Badger State with less than one month to go until November’s election.

Wisconsin and its 10 Electoral College votes is one of the battleground states which could determine who wins the neck-and-neck 2024 race overall.

Harris’ clearest path to victory in November is to win the three so-called blue-wall swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, barring any shock results elsewhere. Harris would need to win the one Electoral College vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District in this scenario, with polls suggesting she is on course to do so.

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Trump could win the 2024 election overall by beating Harris in the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and flipping Wisconsin.

Forecasters and polling aggregators suggest that Harris has a slight edge over Trump in Wisconsin, although the race is still too close to call.

Donald Trump speaks at a press conference on October 1, 2024 in Milwaukee. Polls suggest Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in The Badger State.

Jim Vondruska/Getty Images

A recent Marquette Law School poll showed Harris ahead with a 4-point lead over Trump by (52 to 48) among registered and likely voters in a head-to-head matchup.

In a full presidential candidate ballot that included independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (3 percent), Harris had a 5-point lead over Trump among likely voters (49 percent to 44).

The Marquette Law School Poll survey was conducted between September 18 to 26 among 882 registered voters and 798 likely voters. The margin of error for both results is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

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Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaign teams for comment via email.

An ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters also showed Harris as having a 4-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin (52 percent to 48).

The poll was conducted August 29 to September 29, with the results having a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

A Trafalgar group survey of 1,097 likely Wisconsin voters, carried out between September 28-30, showed Trump with a 1-point lead over Harris in the state (47 percent to 46). The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

Elsewhere, a New York Times/Siena College survey said Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin by 49 percent to 47.

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The poll surveyed 680 registered voters in Wisconsin between September 21-30, with the margin of error around 4 percentage points.

The polling average from aggregator 538, formerly FiveThirtyEight, said Harris has a 1.6-point lead over Trump (48.4 percent to 46.8) in Wisconsin as of October 5.

RealClearPolitics’ polling average gives Harris a narrower lead of 0.8 points (49 percent to 48.2).

The forecast model from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill says Harris has a 53 percent chance of winning Wisconsin in November.

President Joe Biden won all three of the blue-wall battlegrounds during his 2020 election victory, beating Trump in Wisconsin by 0.6 points.

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Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Michigan in 2016 by 0.7 points—the first time the state had voted for a Republican candidate since 1984.



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A tornado touched down in Taylor County on April 13, NWS confirms

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A tornado touched down in Taylor County on April 13, NWS confirms


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The National Weather Service station in La Crosse confirmed a tornado touched down in Gilman, a town in Taylor County, Monday evening, April 13.

La Crosse station meteorologist Alex Ferguson said they have not received any potential damage reports yet, but are working with local authorities in the Taylor County to confirm more details about the tornado.

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Speed and severity are usually calculated after the fact based on potential damages, Ferguson said.

There is an enhanced risk of further severe thunderstorms in southwest and east central Wisconsin Tuesday evening, April 14, according to the NWS.



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Texas man charged for producing child pornography using 3 juveniles from Wisconsin

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Texas man charged for producing child pornography using 3 juveniles from Wisconsin


(WLUK) — A Texas man is accused of sex crimes involving Wisconsin minors.

Last week, a federal grand jury indicted 21-year-old Axis Williams from Aransas Pass, Texas, on two counts of production of child pornography.

Court records indicate Williams connected online with three juveniles, all from the Eastern District of Wisconsin. He allegedly coerced the trio to engage in sexually explicit conduct, record it and send him the videos.

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If convicted of either charge, Williams faces a mandatory minimum sentence of 15 years in prison and up to 30 years behind bars.



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70s to storm chances in SE Wisconsin

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70s to storm chances in SE Wisconsin


70s to storm chances in SE Wisconsin

Showers and storms possible this week in SE Wisconsin

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100 YEARS YOUNG. HOW EXCITING. FANTASTIC. WELL, THIS WEEK WE ARE WARMING. TODAY AGAIN SEEING THE 70S, BUT WE’RE STILL KEEPING OUR EYE ON STORM CHANCES THIS WEEK. IT IS GOING TO BE REALLY BUSY NEXT FEW DAYS WITH WEATHERWATCH 12 BETWEEN NOW AND SATURDAY. EVERY SINGLE DAY HAS A CHANCE FOR SOME STORMS AND THERE WILL BE SEVERE CHANCES ON AND OFF AS WE HEAD THROUGH THIS WEEK AS WELL. BUT IF YOU LIKE YESTERDAY, THE GOOD NEWS IS WE DO HAVE MORE 70S IN THE FORECAST. MOST OF THE SEVEN DAY IS WELL ABOVE AVERAGE, BUT LET’S DIVE INTO EXACTLY WHAT WE CAN EXPECT HERE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BECAUSE TODAY, TOMORROW, AND WEDNESDAY ARE ALL BRINGING A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THIS IS A LOOK AT THE SEVERE RISK FOR THE DAY AHEAD. MOST OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN, OUR CENTRAL AND NORTHERN COUNTIES ARE IN THE YELLOW. AND NOTICE NORTHWEST FOND DU LAC COUNTY IS IN THE ORANGE. THAT’S A RISK. THREE OUT OF FIVE. MOST OF US ARE IN A RISK. TWO OUT OF FIVE. FARTHER SOUTH, IT’S A LITTLE BIT LOWER. THE BOTTOM LINE IS MOST OF TODAY WILL BE DRY. WE’RE GOING TO BE WARM BREEZY, ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THIS AFTERNOON. MY BIGGEST PIECE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST RIGHT NOW IS WE HAVE WHAT’S CALLED A CAP WHICH KEEPS STORMS AT BAY. BUT THERE IS A CHANCE THAT WE COULD SEE MAYBE A STRAY STORM GET THROUGH THAT THIS AFTERNOON. AND ANY STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP HAS THE CHANCE TO BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THAT YOU SAW IN THAT LAST GRAPHIC, THOUGH, IS PREDOMINANTLY FOR OVERNIGHT STORM CHANCES. THOSE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OFF TO OUR NORTH AND THEN POSSIBLY DRIFT THIS WAY AND BRING US THE POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY SOME GUSTY WINDS. WE COULD SEE AN EMBEDDED TORNADO IF WE SEE ALL OF THE PIECES OF THAT COME TOGETHER. THERE’S A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW THIS PLAYS OUT. TOMORROW’S RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS A LOT MORE CERTAIN AND A LOT MORE WIDESPREAD. NOTICE RISK THREE OUT OF FIVE FOR ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN TOMORROW. STORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND THE RISK FOR STORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON IS MUCH HIGHER THAN WHAT WE HAVE FOR TODAY. ALL KINDS OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. HAIL AND WIND ARE THE BIGGEST CONCERNS, BUT TORNADIC ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE TOMORROW. THE TIMING MAY ADJUST AND CHANGE. IT MAY BE A LITTLE BIT LATER, BUT TOMORROW IS THE DAY WHERE YOU WANT TO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE WAYS TO GET WATCHES AND WARNINGS TO YOU BEFORE THOSE STORMS. WE’RE GOING TO SEE OUR TEMPERATURES SOAR BACK INTO THE 70S. HERE’S FUTURECAST. THIS IS GOING TO GET US THROUGH TODAY AND TOMORROW. NOTICE AT 1:00 WE’RE DRY AND WE’RE CLOUDY. BUT STORMS TRY TO MOVE IN. THEY STRUGGLE BECAUSE WE DON’T HAVE ENOUGH ENERGY TO GET THROUGH WHAT WE CALL THE KAT. BUT NOTICE OFF TO OUR NORTH BY 6:00 THERE ARE SOME WIDESPREAD STORMS. THOSE THEN TURN INTO A LINE AND TRY TO DRIFT SOUTH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SO THAT’S WHY THERE’S A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS AND SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT. TONIGHT. TOMORROW WE’RE DRY UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AND THEN WE SEE A CHANCE FOR STORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PREDOMINANTLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. HAIL AND MAINLY WIND ARE GOING TO BE THE BIGGEST CONCERN. BUT WITH A REALLY WET FORECAST THAT WE’VE HAD ALREADY THIS MONTH AND A LOT MORE RAIN INTO THE FORECAST, FLOODING IS GOING TO BECOME A CONCERN AS WE SEE MORE ROUNDS OF RAIN AND STORMS ON THE WAY. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK, KEEPING AN EYE ON A CHANCE FOR A FEW SPOTTY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. YOU CAN SEE THOSE DAILY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES ON THE MILD SIDE EVERY DAY WILL HAVE SOME DRY TIME WHERE YOU CAN GET OUTSIDE AND ENJOY THE 70S. WE FINALLY DRY OUT AND COOL DOWN JUST A TOUCH AS WE HEAD TOWARDS SUNDAY. WOW. DEFINITELY THAT INTERESTING TIME OF YEAR. WE HAVE NO 40S OUT THERE. 130 ROGUE. IT’S GOING TO BE WARM. INTERESTING.

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70s to storm chances in SE Wisconsin

Showers and storms possible this week in SE Wisconsin

Updated: 6:19 AM CDT Apr 13, 2026

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Milwaukee will see an on-and-off threat of showers and thunderstorms through much of the workweek. Monday looks mostly dry, with highs reaching the middle to upper 70s. There is a very small chance for storms this afternoon, but any storms that do develop could be strong to severe. Storms are more likely just north of our viewing area this afternoon. They are expected to form into a line which may drift south and impact SE Wisconsin overnight. The line could be strong, with damaging wind being the biggest concern. Temperatures climb back into the 70s Tuesday afternoon, and storms are likely by the late afternoon and evening. Severe storms are possible tomorrow, with all kinds of severe weather possible. Large hail is the biggest concern, but damaging winds and a few tornadoes will also be possible. Storm chances continue into Wednesday, but there is more uncertainty with Wednesday’s severe storm chance. Storm chances stay in the forecast through Saturday, with highs hanging out in the 70s Thursday and Friday. Cooler air moves in for Saturday, bringing highs in the low 60s along with another chance for storms. Conditions should begin drying out by Sunday, with highs in the upper 50s.

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Milwaukee will see an on-and-off threat of showers and thunderstorms through much of the workweek. Monday looks mostly dry, with highs reaching the middle to upper 70s. There is a very small chance for storms this afternoon, but any storms that do develop could be strong to severe. Storms are more likely just north of our viewing area this afternoon. They are expected to form into a line which may drift south and impact SE Wisconsin overnight. The line could be strong, with damaging wind being the biggest concern.

Temperatures climb back into the 70s Tuesday afternoon, and storms are likely by the late afternoon and evening. Severe storms are possible tomorrow, with all kinds of severe weather possible. Large hail is the biggest concern, but damaging winds and a few tornadoes will also be possible.

Storm chances continue into Wednesday, but there is more uncertainty with Wednesday’s severe storm chance.

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Storm chances stay in the forecast through Saturday, with highs hanging out in the 70s Thursday and Friday. Cooler air moves in for Saturday, bringing highs in the low 60s along with another chance for storms. Conditions should begin drying out by Sunday, with highs in the upper 50s.



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