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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls

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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls


Donald Trump may not win Wisconsin in November as recent polls suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is just ahead in the key swing state.

The former president will appear at a rally in Juneau on Sunday as the Republican looks to appeal to voters in The Badger State with less than one month to go until November’s election.

Wisconsin and its 10 Electoral College votes is one of the battleground states which could determine who wins the neck-and-neck 2024 race overall.

Harris’ clearest path to victory in November is to win the three so-called blue-wall swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, barring any shock results elsewhere. Harris would need to win the one Electoral College vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District in this scenario, with polls suggesting she is on course to do so.

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Trump could win the 2024 election overall by beating Harris in the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and flipping Wisconsin.

Forecasters and polling aggregators suggest that Harris has a slight edge over Trump in Wisconsin, although the race is still too close to call.

Donald Trump speaks at a press conference on October 1, 2024 in Milwaukee. Polls suggest Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in The Badger State.

Jim Vondruska/Getty Images

A recent Marquette Law School poll showed Harris ahead with a 4-point lead over Trump by (52 to 48) among registered and likely voters in a head-to-head matchup.

In a full presidential candidate ballot that included independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (3 percent), Harris had a 5-point lead over Trump among likely voters (49 percent to 44).

The Marquette Law School Poll survey was conducted between September 18 to 26 among 882 registered voters and 798 likely voters. The margin of error for both results is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

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Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaign teams for comment via email.

An ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters also showed Harris as having a 4-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin (52 percent to 48).

The poll was conducted August 29 to September 29, with the results having a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

A Trafalgar group survey of 1,097 likely Wisconsin voters, carried out between September 28-30, showed Trump with a 1-point lead over Harris in the state (47 percent to 46). The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

Elsewhere, a New York Times/Siena College survey said Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin by 49 percent to 47.

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The poll surveyed 680 registered voters in Wisconsin between September 21-30, with the margin of error around 4 percentage points.

The polling average from aggregator 538, formerly FiveThirtyEight, said Harris has a 1.6-point lead over Trump (48.4 percent to 46.8) in Wisconsin as of October 5.

RealClearPolitics’ polling average gives Harris a narrower lead of 0.8 points (49 percent to 48.2).

The forecast model from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill says Harris has a 53 percent chance of winning Wisconsin in November.

President Joe Biden won all three of the blue-wall battlegrounds during his 2020 election victory, beating Trump in Wisconsin by 0.6 points.

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Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Michigan in 2016 by 0.7 points—the first time the state had voted for a Republican candidate since 1984.



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Wisconsin Lottery Mega Millions, Pick 3 results for Feb. 27, 2026

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Wisconsin Lottery Mega Millions, Pick 3 results for Feb. 27, 2026


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The Wisconsin Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big.

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Here’s a look at Feb. 27, 2026, results for each game:

Winning Mega Millions numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

11-18-39-43-67, Mega Ball: 23

Check Mega Millions payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 3 numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

Midday: 6-6-3

Evening: 9-7-8

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Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 4 numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

Midday: 6-4-5-0

Evening: 1-9-8-8

Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning All or Nothing numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

Midday: 01-02-03-09-11-12-13-15-16-17-19

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Evening: 03-05-06-07-08-12-14-15-16-17-22

Check All or Nothing payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Badger 5 numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

08-10-11-21-25

Check Badger 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning SuperCash numbers from Feb. 27 drawing

06-21-22-26-27-30, Doubler: N

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Check SuperCash payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

Are you a winner? Here’s how to claim your lottery prize

  • Prizes up to $599: Can be claimed at any Wisconsin Lottery retailer.
  • Prizes from $600 to $199,999: Can be claimed in person at a Lottery Office. By mail, send the signed ticket and a completed claim form available on the Wisconsin Lottery claim page to: Prizes, PO Box 777 Madison, WI 53774.
  • Prizes of $200,000 or more: Must be claimed in person at the Madison Lottery office. Call the Lottery office prior to your visit: 608-261-4916.

Can Wisconsin lottery winners remain anonymous?

No, according to the Wisconsin Lottery. Due to the state’s open records laws, the lottery must, upon request, release the name and city of the winner. Other information about the winner is released only with the winner’s consent.

When are the Wisconsin Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 9:59 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 10:00 p.m. CT on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Super Cash: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Evening): 9 p.m. CT daily.
  • Megabucks: 9:00 p.m. CT on Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Badger 5: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.

That lucky feeling: Peek at the past week’s winning numbers.

Feeling lucky? WI man wins $768 million Powerball jackpot **

WI Lottery history: Top 10 Powerball and Mega Million jackpots

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Wisconsin editor. You can send feedback using this form.

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Wisconsin DNR opens 2026 elk season applications March 1, with more Central Zone tags

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Wisconsin DNR opens 2026 elk season applications March 1, with more Central Zone tags


(WLUK) — Applications for Wisconsin’s 2026 elk season open next week.

The DNR says the application period begins Sunday, Mar 1 and will close on Sunday, May 31.

Selected applicants will be notified in early June.

For the third year in a row, there will be increased opportunity to pursue elk within the Central Elk Management Zone (formerly Black River Elk Range), as additional bull elk and antlerless harvest authorizations will be available through the state licensing system. The 2026 elk quota for the Central Elk Management Zone is six bull elk and six antlerless elk, up from a quota of four bull and five antlerless in 2025.

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The Northern Elk Management Zone (formerly Clam Lake Elk Range) quota will be eight bull elk, subject to a 50% declaration by Ojibwe tribes.

During the open application period, applicants will have the choice to submit one bull elk license application and/or one antlerless elk license application, separately. Applicants can apply to any unit grouping with an associated quota for that authorization type (bull or antlerless). The order of drawing will be bull licenses first, followed by antlerless licenses. As a reminder, only one resident elk hunting license can be issued or transferred to a person in their lifetime, regardless of authorization type.

In 2026, there will be one continuous hunting season, opening Saturday, Oct. 17, and continuing through Sunday, Dec. 13, eliminating the split-season structure that was in effect from 2018-2025. This offers elk hunters more opportunities and flexibility to pursue elk in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin residents can submit elk license applications online through the Go Wild license portal or in person at a license sales agent. The application fee is $10 for each of the bull elk and antlerless elk drawings and is limited to one application per person, per authorization type. The DNR recommends that all applicants check and update their contact information to ensure contact with successful applicants.

For each application fee, $7 goes directly to elk management, monitoring and research. These funds also enhance elk habitat, which benefits elk and many other wildlife. If selected in the drawing, an elk hunting license costs $49.

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Before obtaining an elk hunting license, all selected hunters must participate in a Wisconsin elk hunter education course. The class covers Wisconsin elk history, hunting regulations, biology, behavior and scouting/hunting techniques.



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Winter transition will bring spring swings to Northeast Wisconsin

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Winter transition will bring spring swings to Northeast Wisconsin


(WLUK) — Snow remains deep across parts of the Northwoods and the Upper Peninsula, even though much of Northeast Wisconsin has seen notable snow-melting heading toward spring.

It’s connected to a shift in Pacific climate patterns.

As of Thursday, 75.1% of the Northern Great Lakes area was covered by snow. Snow depth across the Northwoods and the U.P. ranges from 20 to 30 inches, with areas along and north of Highway 8 in Wisconsin at about 20 inches.

But farther south, significant snowmelt has occurred over the last few weeks across Northeast Wisconsin and the southern half of the state.

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Looking ahead, an ENSO-neutral spring is looking likely, meaning Pacific Ocean temperatures are not notably above or below average. Conditions tend to be more normal and seasonal, though that does not guarantee typical weather.

La Niña occurs when the Pacific Ocean has below-average temperatures across the central and east-central portions of the equatorial region. El Niño is the opposite, with warmer ocean temperatures in those regions. Those shifts influence weather across the United States and globally.

In Wisconsin, a La Niña spring is usually colder and wetter, while an El Niño spring brings warmer and drier conditions. During a neutral period, neither El Niño nor La Niña is in control and weather can swing either direction.

Despite the snowpack up north, the 2026 spring outlook from Green Bay’s National Weather Service leans toward a low flood risk, because ongoing drought in parts of the state is helping to absorb snowmelt.

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Dry conditions are also raising fire concerns in several parts of the country. Low snowfall in states out west is increasing wildfire concerns, and those areas are already experiencing drought. Wildfire activity can increase quickly if above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation continue into spring. About half of the lower 48 states are in drought this week — an increase of 16% since January.



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