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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls

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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent polls


Donald Trump may not win Wisconsin in November as recent polls suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is just ahead in the key swing state.

The former president will appear at a rally in Juneau on Sunday as the Republican looks to appeal to voters in The Badger State with less than one month to go until November’s election.

Wisconsin and its 10 Electoral College votes is one of the battleground states which could determine who wins the neck-and-neck 2024 race overall.

Harris’ clearest path to victory in November is to win the three so-called blue-wall swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, barring any shock results elsewhere. Harris would need to win the one Electoral College vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District in this scenario, with polls suggesting she is on course to do so.

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Trump could win the 2024 election overall by beating Harris in the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and flipping Wisconsin.

Forecasters and polling aggregators suggest that Harris has a slight edge over Trump in Wisconsin, although the race is still too close to call.

Donald Trump speaks at a press conference on October 1, 2024 in Milwaukee. Polls suggest Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in The Badger State.

Jim Vondruska/Getty Images

A recent Marquette Law School poll showed Harris ahead with a 4-point lead over Trump by (52 to 48) among registered and likely voters in a head-to-head matchup.

In a full presidential candidate ballot that included independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (3 percent), Harris had a 5-point lead over Trump among likely voters (49 percent to 44).

The Marquette Law School Poll survey was conducted between September 18 to 26 among 882 registered voters and 798 likely voters. The margin of error for both results is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

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Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaign teams for comment via email.

An ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters also showed Harris as having a 4-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin (52 percent to 48).

The poll was conducted August 29 to September 29, with the results having a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

A Trafalgar group survey of 1,097 likely Wisconsin voters, carried out between September 28-30, showed Trump with a 1-point lead over Harris in the state (47 percent to 46). The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

Elsewhere, a New York Times/Siena College survey said Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin by 49 percent to 47.

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The poll surveyed 680 registered voters in Wisconsin between September 21-30, with the margin of error around 4 percentage points.

The polling average from aggregator 538, formerly FiveThirtyEight, said Harris has a 1.6-point lead over Trump (48.4 percent to 46.8) in Wisconsin as of October 5.

RealClearPolitics’ polling average gives Harris a narrower lead of 0.8 points (49 percent to 48.2).

The forecast model from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill says Harris has a 53 percent chance of winning Wisconsin in November.

President Joe Biden won all three of the blue-wall battlegrounds during his 2020 election victory, beating Trump in Wisconsin by 0.6 points.

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Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Michigan in 2016 by 0.7 points—the first time the state had voted for a Republican candidate since 1984.



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Wisconsin Lottery Pick 3, Pick 4 results for March 22, 2026

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Wisconsin Lottery Pick 3, Pick 4 results for March 22, 2026


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The Wisconsin Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big.

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Here’s a look at March 22, 2026, results for each game:

Winning Pick 3 numbers from March 22 drawing

Midday: 1-7-8

Evening: 4-2-4

Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 4 numbers from March 22 drawing

Midday: 8-9-6-0

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Evening: 1-8-7-4

Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning All or Nothing numbers from March 22 drawing

Midday: 02-03-04-08-09-16-17-18-19-21-22

Evening: 01-02-04-10-11-12-14-18-19-21-22

Check All or Nothing payouts and previous drawings here.

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Winning Badger 5 numbers from March 22 drawing

01-10-20-21-28

Check Badger 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning SuperCash numbers from March 22 drawing

09-16-20-25-29-39, Doubler: N

Check SuperCash payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

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Are you a winner? Here’s how to claim your lottery prize

  • Prizes up to $599: Can be claimed at any Wisconsin Lottery retailer.
  • Prizes from $600 to $199,999: Can be claimed in person at a Lottery Office. By mail, send the signed ticket and a completed claim form available on the Wisconsin Lottery claim page to: Prizes, PO Box 777 Madison, WI 53774.
  • Prizes of $200,000 or more: Must be claimed in person at the Madison Lottery office. Call the Lottery office prior to your visit: 608-261-4916.

Can Wisconsin lottery winners remain anonymous?

No, according to the Wisconsin Lottery. Due to the state’s open records laws, the lottery must, upon request, release the name and city of the winner. Other information about the winner is released only with the winner’s consent.

When are the Wisconsin Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 9:59 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 10:00 p.m. CT on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Super Cash: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Evening): 9 p.m. CT daily.
  • Megabucks: 9:00 p.m. CT on Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Badger 5: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.

That lucky feeling: Peek at the past week’s winning numbers.

Feeling lucky? WI man wins $768 million Powerball jackpot **

WI Lottery history: Top 10 Powerball and Mega Million jackpots

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Wisconsin editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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Wisconsin man arrested in drug and gun bust at girl scout campgrounds

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Wisconsin man arrested in drug and gun bust at girl scout campgrounds


Washington County deputies say a Girl Scouts camp in West Bend, Wisconsin, was the site of a drug and illegal firearms operation uncovered earlier this month.

See Also: Firefighters save cat from third-floor blaze in Fort Pierce

Deputies responded to a domestic violence call at a home on the Camp Silver Brook grounds on March 15 where they located and arrested 48yearold Paul David. David lived at the property with his wife, who is a Girl Scouts employee, and their two children.

According to court documents, investigators found nearly 700 grams of marijuana, nine marijuana plants, psychoactive mushrooms, and 13 guns stored in areas accessible to children.

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Deputies say David is a convicted felon and is prohibited from possessing firearms.

Girl Scouts officials said no scouts were harmed and confirmed the employee has been placed on leave. David has since posted bail, left the campgrounds, and is barred from coming within 1,000 feet of the property.

His next court appearance is scheduled for May.



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Wisconsin’s ‘false spring’ ends, cold weather returns

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Wisconsin’s ‘false spring’ ends, cold weather returns


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Looking past Saturday’s radiant sunshine is a reminder that, no matter how much we love Wisconsin’s early spring warm spells, Wisconsin weather will never love us back.

When the sun goes down, so too will the false spring, according to the National Weather Service.

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The temperature overnight is forecasted to drop to the mid- to upper-30s, with winds up to 30 miles per hour in southeast Wisconsin.

By morning, the high temperature will reach the low-40s, with a 20% chance of light rain and up to 20 mile-per-hour winds.

From there, it will only get colder. Monday will see a brief return to cooler temperatures, with a mid-40 degree high. The prospect of spring may well return March 24, with Tuesday temperatures said to reach the lower 50s.



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