North Dakota

How teleconnections tell us that below normal temperatures are likely for December in North Dakota | Morse Code of Weather

Published

2 years ago

December 1, 2022

How teleconnections tell us that below normal temperatures are likely for December in North Dakota | Morse Code of Weather

BISMARCK, N.D. (KFYR) – Teleconnections all throughout the globe are sometimes used for longer-term climate traits to offer meteorologists clues as to what may occur regionally within the coming weeks and months. They affect how the jet stream strikes all over the world, which is a steering mechanism for storms and separates colder air farther north from hotter air farther south.

Under is an inventory of notable teleconnections, and the 4 highlighted on the high of the listing are situated within the Pacific Ocean. These teleconnections are significantly influential on our climate in the US since climate programs typically transfer west to east — from over the Pacific Ocean to North America.

Notable teleconnections(KFYR)

Most of those teleconnections may be in considered one of two phases, constructive or adverse. Relying on the section of the teleconnection the jet stream will likely be impacted otherwise and there will likely be downstream impacts.

Let’s take a look at the Pacific North American (PNA) teleconnection first. As we begin the month of December, we’re within the adverse section, which favors a ridge of excessive stress over the northern Pacific Ocean permitting the jet stream to generally dip south over the western and central United States. Surges of Arctic air are extra widespread in North Dakota when the PNA is adverse.

Negative PNA phase — Detrimental PNA section(KFYR)

A teleconnection that a few of us is likely to be aware of is El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the place the 2 phases are El Niño and La Niña. We take a look at ocean temperatures within the equatorial Pacific Ocean to find out which section of ENSO we’re in. Because it has been for the previous three years, we’re nonetheless within the La Niña section which often promotes colder than regular temperatures within the Northern Plains throughout the winter months.

One other teleconnection to take a look at within the Pacific Ocean for impacts on our longer-term climate patterns in North Dakota is the Jap Pacific Oscillation (EPO). That is additionally at present within the adverse section, which locations a ridge of excessive stress within the northern Pacific Ocean (much like the adverse section of the PNA) and permits the jet stream to dip south throughout a lot of the US. Surges of Arctic air are extra widespread in North Dakota when the EPO is adverse.

Eastern Pacific Oscillation negative phase — Jap Pacific Oscillation adverse section(KFYR)

A fourth teleconnection within the Pacific Ocean to research is the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), with decadal that means one thing that lasts for a decade or a interval of 10 consecutive years. This oscillation adjustments phases a lot much less often than the EPO or PNA, as an example. The chart under reveals the section of the PDO since 1854, and for the previous a number of years, the PDO has been adverse. Presently, this teleconnection may be very adverse which promotes a jet stream sample that favors colder than regular temperatures within the Northern Plains throughout winter.

Pacific Decadal Oscillation over time(KFYR)

A few different teleconnections to take a look at that aren’t over the Pacific Ocean, however can nonetheless have impacts on North Dakota’s longer-term climate patterns embody the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO). The NAO is at present within the adverse section, which signifies that a blocking excessive stress is current over the northern Atlantic Ocean — close to Greenland — which blocks up the jet stream and permits surges of Arctic air to plunge southward into the central and jap United States. The AO can be at present within the adverse section which signifies that a weaker, meandering jet stream is current across the North Pole, and that jet stream dips farther south, permitting Arctic air to spill into the US.

Negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation — Detrimental section of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation(KFYR)

So these teleconnections, ALL are within the adverse section. Teleconnections can work constructively collectively, that means that for the reason that adverse section of every of those teleconnections favors colder than regular temperatures in North Dakota, having all of them be within the adverse section offers us larger confidence that this December will likely be very chilly.

How chilly? Let’s return and take a look at some previous Decembers the place most or all of those teleconnections had been adverse. The Decembers of 2008, 2010, and 2016 come up as comparisons. In all three of these Decembers, a La Niña was current (as is the case this 12 months) and the Pacific North American teleconnection was within the adverse section. Within the Decembers of 2008 and 2010, the adverse section of the PDO was discovered and in December 2010 the adverse section of the NAO and AO had been current.

What occurred throughout these three Decembers of the previous? They had been all very chilly and really snowy. In truth, the December 2008 snow complete of 33.3″ in Bismarck is a file for all Decembers in record-keeping historical past.

This December could be like the Decembers of 2008, 2010, and 2016 — This December could possibly be just like the Decembers of 2008, 2010, and 2016(KFYR)

The Local weather Prediction Heart agrees that this December will likely be a really chilly one, as HIGH confidence is current that December 2022 will characteristic under regular temperatures in North Dakota. And that prediction is all tied again to world circulations, known as teleconnections, such because the PNA, PDO, EPO, ENSO, NAO, and AO.

December temperature trend — December temperature pattern(KFYR)

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North Dakota

North Dakota delegates react to former President Trump’s RNC speech

Published

2 hours ago

July 19, 2024

Press Room

North Dakota delegates react to former President Trump’s RNC speech

MILWAUKEE (KFYR/KMOT) – The Republican National Convention wrapped up on Thursday with former President Donald Trump accepting the Republican nomination for president.

We got the chance Thursday night to speak with members of the North Dakota delegation. When we spoke to the delegates, they talked about the enthusiasm that former President Trump brought onto the stage just a week after that assassination attempt on his life.

“Well, it was exciting. He told his story in a very frank way. And it sounds like a very unique way he’s done. It’s not like he’s going to tell it that way again,” said Ben Koppelman, delegate.

“His message was amazing is we just got to make this country great again and get back to what we’re good at working hard drilling for oil, just making America great again,” said Mary Graner, delegate.

“Well, it was longer than I thought it was going to be for sure. But, you know, he gets portrayed as the guy that sows division, and he did just the opposite,” said Scott Louser, delegate.

“Amazing. I mean, breathtaking. It was so awesome. You just felt full of hope and gratitude and promise for our country,” said Wendi Baggaley, delegate.

We spoke with more of our delegates about a whole range of topics, and we will have more follow-ups in the coming days.

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North Dakota

ND American Indian Summit celebrates its 10th anniversary

Published

9 hours ago

July 19, 2024

Press Room

ND American Indian Summit celebrates its 10th anniversary

BISMARCK, N.D. (KFYR) – For the last ten years, the North Dakota American Indian Summit has provided information and resources about Native American culture and history for the classroom.

It has also discussed ways to help Native American students work on healing any trauma or improving their mental health to aid their academic success.

According to the National Center for Education Statistics, the Native American graduation rate ten years ago was 60 percent. That year, the North Dakota American Indian Summit was organized by the Department of Public Instruction. The event’s purpose was to educate teachers on how to lead their Native American students to success in school.

”It became obvious that it was critical, for the success of our state, and for the ability for us to fully thrive to our fullest potential as a state, we needed to make sure that every single student in our school system was meeting their fullest potential,” said Kirsten Baesler, state superintendent.

This year Derrick Boles, a motivational speaker, was invited to be one of the keynote speakers at the summit. Boles’ message was about mental health and taking charge of your life. He said he sees similarities between challenges in the Black community to the ones the Native American community faces.

”There’s so much growth that can happen if we can connect people together, from multiple backgrounds,” said Boles. “So having different experiences, different perspectives and just having everybody thinking the same thing is the issue.”

Over the last 10 years, the Native American student graduation rates have increased, from 60 percent in 2014 to 77 percent in 2023.

”Right before the pandemic, our Native American students were graduating at the same rate as all of our overall graduation rate, and so they were in the upper eighties, lower nineties graduation rate,” said Baesler.

The rates decreased again during the COVID-19 lockdown, but Baesler said they have been on the rise.

This year’s summit was focused on strengthening Native American education in science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

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North Dakota

Neil Koenig

Published

17 hours ago

July 18, 2024

Press Room

Neil Koenig, 78, Jamestown, ND, died Wednesday, July 17, 2024 at Jamestown Regional Medical Center in Jamestown.

Neil Nathan Koenig was born in Everett, WA on December 9, 1945 to Edgar and Marjorie (Peyer) Koenig joining brother Larry and sisters Glenda and Kay. In 1946 at the age of 9 months his family returned to ND. They rented in the Robinson area until purchasing a farm north of Robinson. In 1954 a brother, Douglas joined the family. Neil attended the North Merkel #3 Country School through the eighth grade, finishing High School in Robinson, ND. In 1957 their mother passed away. Neil continued working on the family farm.

He married Catherine Mary McDade on July 17, 1965 at Aberdeen, SD. They made their home with his, Dad, Edgar and brother Doug on the recently purchased Louie West/Virgil Koenig farm. On April 28, 1968 a daughter, Georgette Ja was born. In fall of 1969 the farm was sold, Neil continued to work several jobs in the area until employment at a newly built Western Gear Manufacturing Company in Jamestown, ND. Neil was the 4th one hired at Western Gear and continued working through 9 different company name changes at the aerospace plant for 37 years until retiring in March of 2008. Neil, Cathy and Georgette moved to Jamestown, ND on New Years Day of 1971. On March 16, 1972 a son, Brent LeRoy was born.

Neil is survived by his wife Cathy Koenig, Daughter Georgette Koenig and son, Brent Koenig (Marella Presler), his grandchildren Danielle Trapp, Jesse Sailer, Lee Trapp, Cameron Koenig, Jade Koenig, and Keely Wagner, and his great grandchildren Max, Isla, and Greyson. He is also survived by 1 brother Douglas Koenig. 3 sisters-in-law Peggy Kertscher, Jill (Sunil) Misra, June (Dale) Neumiller. As well as many nieces and nephews.

He is preceded in death by his mother, father, 1 brother, 2 sisters, 2 sisters-in-law, 1 brother-in-law, 1 niece, and many close aunts and uncles.

Visitation- 4-7p Sunday at the funeral home

Funeral Service- 11:00 AM Monday, July 22, 2024 at Haut Funeral Home in Jamestown.

Interment- 2:30 PM Monday at Fairview Cemetery- SE of Robinson, ND.

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