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Ohio State vs. Nebraska prediction: Who wins, and why?

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Ohio State vs. Nebraska prediction: Who wins, and why?


Both coming off tough Big Ten losses, Nebraska and No. 4 Ohio State meet in college football’s Week 9 action on Saturday looking for a turnaround. Here’s what you should watch for in this matchup, with our updated prediction for the game.

Ohio State was just 1 point shy of taking out Oregon two weeks ago and needs to be on its A-game against the Cornhuskers with a trip to Penn State coming up after this one.

Nebraska also needs a pick-me-up after getting shellacked on the road against Indiana in a 56-7 decision that drops the team to a 2-2 mark in Big Ten play this season.

What can we expect as the Buckeyes play host to the Cornhuskers in this Big Ten clash?

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Here’s what you should watch for as Ohio State and Nebraska meet in this Week 9 college football matchup, with our updated prediction for the game.

Ohio State vs. Nebraska Predictio

Ohio State vs. Nebraska Prediction / Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images

Ohio State is 1 of 6 teams nationally to average over 500 total yards per game, ranking No. 6 with 503 yards on average, and it places 5th in FBS with 7.53 yards per play.

Nebraska comes into the game ranked 87th in FBS with 370 yards per game on average, and is 88th nationally with 5.54 yards per play.

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State is No. 2 in college football in defensive production, allowing 251.3 yards per game, and is 7th nationally by surrendering 4.37 yards per play to opponents.

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Nebraska ranks 18th in the country in allowing 304.3 yards per game on defense, and is top 25 nationally in letting opponents post 4.87 yards per play.

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State ranks No. 6 nationally in scoring output, putting up 43.5 points per game on average, and its 36 total touchdowns are good for 12th in the country.

Nebraska is No. 88 among 134 FBS teams by scoring 25 points per game, and is 81st nationally with 23 total touchdowns scored on offense.

Edge: Ohio State

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Ohio State is 3rd nationally by allowing opponents to score 11 points per game on average, and is No. 1 in surrendering 66 total points on the year, while its 8 touchdowns allowed are 3rd fewest.

Nebraska is 19th nationally, allowing 17.7 points per game this season, and the 16 touchdowns the defense allowed are the 28th fewest in the country.

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State ranks 15th nationally in third down production, converting 48.61 percent of its chances, amounting to 35 conversions on 72 attempts.

Nebraska is 41st in FBS by moving the chains on 41 of 94 opportunities (43.62 percent).

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Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State has allowed opponents to convert 27 of their 84 third down opportunities for a success rate of 32.14 percent.

Nebraska has surrendered 34 successful third down conversions against 91 attempts (37.36 percent), ranking No. 61 in FBS.

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State is No. 1 nationally in red zone offensive production, scoring points on 100 percent of its 26 opportunities, and its 24 touchdowns are 5th best (92.31 percent).

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Nebraska is just 126th in red zone percentage, but still efficient at 71.43 percent, coming away with points on 20 of 28 chances.

Of those, 16 are touchdowns (57.14 percent).

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State has allowed opponents to score 7 times out of 10 opportunities inside the 20 yard line (70 percent).

And while half of those scores (5) were touchdowns, that’s still the second-fewest in FBS this year.

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Nebraska is 41st nationally by allowing opponents to score 16 times out of 20 chances (80 percent), and 13 of those scores were touchdowns (65 percent).

Edge: Ohio State

Nebraska averaged 0.326 points per play, good for No. 91 nationally, against an Ohio State defense that is No. 4 in FBS by surrendering 0.184 points per play.

And the Cornhuskers average exactly 5 yards per play this season, ranking 96th nationally, while the Buckeyes allow 4.2 yards per play, No. 7 in FBS.

Edge: Ohio State

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Ohio State is No. 6 nationally with an average of 0.644 points per play against a Nebraska defense that is 37th in the country allowing 0.314 points per play.

And the Buckeyes are No. 4 in FBS by averaging 7.5 yards per play, compared to a Cornhuskers defense that is No. 21 in allowing 4.8 yards per play.

Edge: Ohio State

Ohio State is 32.5 points better than its opponents on average this season, a figure boosted by some dominant victories against non-conference teams.

By comparison, Nebraska is averaging around 3.5 points better than its opposition, a number that came down after losing by 49 to Indiana last week.

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Over the last three games, the Buckeyes have been 19.3 points better than opponents, while the Cornhuskers have averaged 8 points worse than their opposition.

In that time, Ohio State has averaged 34.7 points while Nebraska scored 16.3 points over that span.

At home, the Buckeyes are 41.3 points better than opponents, while the Cornhuskers are 15.5 points worse than teams when playing on the road this season.

Ohio State is scoring 48 points per game at home and Nebraska posts 17.5 points on the road.

When playing in the red zone on the road, the Cornhuskers have come away with points on 37.5 percent of their possessions, compared to the Buckeyes at 100 percent when playing at home.

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Most analytical models favor the Buckeyes against the Cornhuskers in this Big Ten clash.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Ohio State comes out ahead in 96.5 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.

That leaves Nebraska as the expected winner in the remaining 3.5 percent of sims.

Ohio State is projected to be 29.7 points better than Nebraska on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

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Ohio State is a 25.5 point favorite against Nebraska, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel set the total at 48.5 points for the game (Over -110, Under -110).

And it set the moneyline odds for Ohio State at -6000 and for Nebraska at +1800 to win outright.

Don’t underestimate the Cornhuskers’ front seven to marginally curtail the Buckeyes’ ability to get whatever they want right away, especially as the latter just lost left tackle Josh Simmons to a season-ending knee injury.

But after the performance of the defense, or lack thereof, last week against the Hoosiers, it’s a safe bet that Ohio State’s blue-chip skill players will eventually take the top off this secondary.

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College Football HQ picks …

When: Sat., Oct. 26
Time: 12 p.m. Eastern
TV: Fox network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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Nebraska

Walt Radcliffe's friends say lobbyist was part of State Capitol’s ‘fabric' • Nebraska Examiner

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Walt Radcliffe's friends say lobbyist was part of State Capitol’s ‘fabric' • Nebraska Examiner


LINCOLN — It was 1979, and a college freshman was searching the State Capitol for lobbyist Walt Radcliffe, who was scheduled to speak to young leaders from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.

Eventually, the freshman, Scott Moore, caught up with Radcliffe, who posed a profane question to the student that was something like, “What the heck am I supposed to say to these kids?”

“I knew right then that this was someone I was going to like,” said Moore, who went on to become a state senator, Nebraska Secretary of State and later, a top executive at Union Pacific.

Stories like that, and many more, circulated across the state as word spread about the death of Radcliffe, 77, on Thursday afternoon.

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Work spanned 10 governors

A Lincoln native whose work spanned 10 governors, Radcliffe was the undisputed dean of the statehouse lobbying corps. He had his own padded bench in the Capitol Rotunda.

His firm, Radcliffe Gilbertson & Brady, annually ranked among the state’s top in annual revenue.

Patrick O’Donnell, the longtime clerk of the Nebraska Legislature, retired at the end of 2022. (Courtesy of the Clerk of the Legislature’s Office)

He also served as a valuable — and engaging — font of institutional knowledge about the Legislature for lawmakers and governors as such knowledge was disappearing due to term limits.

His storytelling was legendary, as were his counsel and history lessons for lawmakers and others.

“He really cared about the institution,” said Patrick O’Donnell, the former clerk of the Legislature and a long-time friend who met Radcliffe in a UNL fraternity. “The Legislature had a big loss today.”

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“Nobody knew the legislative process better than him,” said Lynn Rex, executive director League of Nebraska Municipalities. She said Radcliffe was a mentor to her and many other lobbyists.

Former State Sen. John Stinner, who chaired the budget-writing Appropriations Committee, said Radcliffe once gave him valuable advice on how to tap into a state health care fund to help close a monumental $1 billion shortfall in the budget.

“He was extremely helpful in many instances,” Stinner said. “I’m going to miss him.”

Part of the place

U.S. Rep. Mike Flood, R-Neb., a former speaker of the Legislature, said “people probably think we were too close to Walt as a lobbyist.”

U.S. Rep. Mike Flood of Norfolk speaks to reporters on Sept. 15, 2024. (Zach Wendling/Nebraska Examiner)

“But he was bigger than a lobbyist,” Flood said. “He was just part of the fabric of the Legislature.”

A graduate of UNL and the NU College of Law, Radcliffe liked to point out that he worked only a couple of miles from where he grew up.

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His first jobs at the Capitol were as a legislative page and a proofreader. He later served as an assistant clerk of the Legislature and as legal counsel to the Judiciary and Banking Committees, and as chief legal counsel in the clerk’s office.

Radcliffe’s lobbying career began in 1977 as a partner with former State Sen. David Tews. He purchased the firm a couple of years later, which became Radcliffe and Associates before the latest name change.

He continued to lobby this spring, though his trips to his bench — which for a time had its own Twitter account — became less frequent.

“He was a people person. That job was his lifeblood,” said Korby Gilbertson, a long-time associate at the firm. “We always knew he’d work until he couldn’t, because that’s what he did.”

Known for NU advocacy

His firm long represented the University of Nebraska, fighting for its programs and funding. But Radcliffe also represented liquor, tobacco and gambling clients because, Gilbertson said, he “wasn’t afraid of a good battle.”

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University of Nebraska at Omaha students walk on campus in September 2024. (Cindy Gonzalez/Nebraska Examiner)

In addition, Radcliffe also lobbied free-of-charge for entities opposed to the death penalty, and, his friends said, was genuinely interested in helping the state, and its institutions, do well.

Moore said that Radcliffe’s greatest skill as a lobbyist was his ability to boil down complicated subjects into simple terms. He worked long hours and was a good listener and storyteller, he said, who didn’t seek to “poach” clients from other lobbyists and was very clear where his clients stood.

”He was a man of integrity,” Moore said. “That’s why people respected him, and why he got so many things passed.”

Former Gov. Dave Heineman described Radcliffe as “very professional, very knowledgeable and a very straightforward lobbyist.”

“I enjoyed working with him,” Heineman said.

Petition work got him in trouble

Radcliffe briefly got in trouble in 1986, when he was indicted for hiring and paying petition circulators seeking to get an issue on the statewide ballot to allow a state lottery. But the charge was dismissed on appeal. Paying petition circulators is now legal and commonplace in the state.

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Person signs petition
A Nebraskan signs a petition for a ballot initiative. (Courtesy of Rebecca S. Gratz)

Radcliffe received a liver transplant in 1999, but in recent years battled other health issues. Gilbertson said he entered hospice care on Thursday morning after battling an infection for several days. He died hours later from kidney failure and other health issues.

Flood said he spent many hours in Radcliffe’s office across the street from the Capitol as a young state senator and later as speaker, listening and learning about past lawmakers and speakers.

“It wasn’t like he was telling me what to do in a certain situation, but he’d say, ‘We had this same problem, and this is what a past speaker did,’ and how it worked or didn’t work,” Flood said.

“While he was an advocate, he wanted the Legislature to look good, too.”

Funeral arrangements are pending.

YOU MAKE OUR WORK POSSIBLE.

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Nebraska

Husker Football: NU Lucked Out With The Pinstripe Bowl

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Husker Football: NU Lucked Out With The Pinstripe Bowl


At first, Nebraska playing in a bowl in late December in New York City sounded  like a form of punishment rather than a reward for a successful season.

It’s true, playing in a balmy Florida, Arizona or California might be more appealing.   But consider this:  NU is playing  at noon this Saturday.  That’s great day and time for a college football game.

As a result, I believe a lot of people are going to be able to watch the game. TV viewers aren’t going to care a rip about the cold.  Most football fans think forty degrees is ideal football weather.  

Playing in Florida does have some advantages, but three early bowl games that were played in Florida weren’t seen by many people. Why?

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Bad dates and times.

Boca Raton Bowl (Boca Raton, FL)
Wednesday, December 18th 5:30pm (EST)  
Western Kentucky vs James Madison 

Staffdna Cure Bowl (Orlando, FL)
Friday, December 20th 12:00pm (EST)
Ohio vs Jackson State

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl (Tampa, FL)
Friday December 20th 3:30 pm (EST)
Tulane vs Florida

Raise your hands if you watched any of those games.

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I didn’t think so.

My point is, playing in a cold clime in late December is not necessarily a bad thing.  The Pinstripe Bowl matchup between Nebraska and Boston College should be a TV ratings success.

The Pinstripe Bowl Matchup

To win the game, NU is going to have to:

1.)  Stop the Eagles’ running game and make them one dimensional,

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2.)  Move the chains consistently on offense.

3.)  Be able to pass on BC’s defense (BC is 111th pass defense)

4.)  Win the turnover battle (NU ranks 66th while BC is 21st)

If the Huskers are able to do those things, they will come back to Lincoln with another bowl trophy to add to its collection.

What’s a stake:  Win the game and NU ends the season with a winning record-its first since 2016.  Lose the game and NU limps into ’25 with a 6-7 record. 

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You may contact me at:  HuskerDan@cox.net

MORE: Analytics Preview: Nebraska Football vs. Boston College in the Pinstripe Bowl

MORE: 1962 Co-Captain, Gotham Bowl Veteran Dwain Carlson Joins the Common Fans

MORE: Nebrasketball Beats Oregon State, Wins Diamond Head Classic

MORE: Idaho Transfer Defensive Back Andrew Marshall Commits to Nebraska

MORE: Former NFL Running Back Leonard Fournette Shares Praise for Nebraska Quarterback Dylan Raiola

Stay up to date on all things Huskers by bookmarking Nebraska Cornhuskers On SI, subscribing to HuskerMax on YouTube, and visiting HuskerMax.com daily.



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Nebraska governor to undergo rib surgery after horse-riding incident – Washington Examiner

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Nebraska governor to undergo rib surgery after horse-riding incident – Washington Examiner


Gov. Jim Pillen (R-NE) will undergo a rib fixation procedure on Thursday after a horse bucked him off on Sunday.

Pillen, 68, will need to be under anesthesia while doctors install metal plates to stabilize his seven broken ribs. Lt. Gov. Joe Kelly will take on the role of acting governor during the surgery.

“Based on the Governor’s health profile and active lifestyle, his doctors consider him an ideal candidate for this procedure. Nebraska Medicine has emerged as a national leader in rib fixation operations,” the governor’s office wrote in a statement.

The governor was riding a new horse with his daughter, son-in-law, and granddaughter when he fell. In addition to his rib fractures, he suffered a partially collapsed lung, lacerations on his spleen and kidney, and a minor vertebrae fracture.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“Gov. Pillen remains grateful for the exceptional care he is receiving by the team at Nebraska Medicine and thanks Nebraskans for their outpouring of support to him and his family during this time,” Pillen’s office wrote.

This surgery will result in Pillen remaining in the hospital for a few days following his surgery. He is prepared to continue to work from his hospital bed.

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