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How Michigan, final 12 contenders fit into College Football Playoff hierarchy (all possible scenarios)

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How Michigan, final 12 contenders fit into College Football Playoff hierarchy (all possible scenarios)


ANN ARBOR, Mich.Michigan is amongst a dozen groups that also have lifelike Faculty Soccer Playoff hopes, and after a weekend of upsets and widespread chaos, a clearer hierarchy throughout the playoff race is beginning to take form.

READ: Why new Faculty Soccer Playoff rankings nonetheless don’t look good for Michigan-Ohio State loser

Two groups misplaced for the second time and dropped out of playoff competition Saturday: Alabama and Illinois. However there was an surprising complication: LSU immediately has a heartbeat.

So whereas the sphere dropped from 19 to 13 final week, this week, it was solely trimmed down by one.

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Listed here are the remaining contenders:

  • ACC: Clemson, North Carolina

  • Huge 12: TCU

  • Huge Ten: Michigan, Ohio State

  • Pac-12: Oregon, UCLA, USC

  • SEC: Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee

The up to date hierarchy record primarily based on all remaining doable outcomes has additionally shrunk, since Clemson and Tennessee now not have undefeated outcomes to think about. Let’s dive in!

How this works

NOTE: In case you’ve learn the breakdowns from the final two weeks (obtainable right here and right here), you possibly can skip this part. It’s only a refresher on how this works for the newcomers.

Right here’s the way you learn this record: Begin from the highest merchandise and work your means down. If a staff finishes the season with one of many listed outcomes, then that staff will earn the highest unclaimed playoff spot. If no staff meets the precise qualification for that final result, skip it and transfer to the following.

Proceed in that method till you’ve stuffed all 4 spots.

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For instance: No. 1 on this hierarchy is “undefeated SEC champion.” In different phrases, if any staff finishes this season as an undefeated SEC champ, that staff will occupy the No. 1 spot within the ultimate Faculty Soccer Playoff rankings.

The No. 2 merchandise on this record is “undefeated Huge Ten champion.” If there’s an undefeated Huge Ten champ on the finish of the 12 months, that staff would be the No. 2 total seed IF there may be additionally an undefeated SEC champ. If there isn’t an undefeated SEC champ, then that undefeated Huge Ten staff assumes the No. 1 total spot.

If there isn’t a 13-0 Huge Ten staff, you then transfer onto merchandise No. 3 on the record, and so forth.

The highest 4 outcomes on the record that really occur will decide the 4 groups that make the playoff.

So if “11-1 Michigan” is 14th on the record, so as to make the playoff, it will want three or fewer of the highest 13 doable outcomes to truly occur.

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1. Undefeated SEC champion

Attainable groups: Georgia

The lone undefeated staff within the SEC has risen to No. 1 within the CFP ballot, and it’ll stay there barring a loss.

The defending champs have taken down two present top-six groups by a mixed 60 factors and have earned this prime spot, so long as they don’t slip up within the subsequent 4 weeks.

2. Undefeated Huge Ten champion

Attainable groups: Michigan, Ohio State

If Georgia does drop a sport between now and the ultimate rankings, then the most definitely staff to complete atop the rankings is the winner of Michigan vs. Ohio State.

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Two video games separate us from the Nov. 26 showdown in Columbus, but when each groups maintain enterprise, it can arrange some of the impactful common season video games of the 12 months. The winner will lock up a playoff spot whereas the loser sweats for eight days.

3. One-loss SEC champion

Attainable groups: Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee

Tennessee doesn’t actually belong on this class as a result of Georgia must lose to each Mississippi State and Kentucky for the Volunteers to even make the SEC title sport. However it’s nonetheless mathematically doable.

If the Huge Ten champion isn’t unbeaten, any of those three groups would take the No. 1 seed with a 12-1 report. Despite the fact that Ole Miss is presently all the best way down at No. 11 within the CFP ballot, wins over Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi State, and Georgia (or Tennessee, technically), could be sufficient to propel the Rebels to a top-two seed.

4. One-loss Huge Ten champion

Attainable groups: Michigan, Ohio State

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If Michigan or Ohio State lose within the subsequent two weeks, a win in The Recreation and a Huge Ten championship could be greater than sufficient to make up for it and earn the No. 2 seed.

Sure, I feel this staff would even get slight precedence over an undefeated TCU, primarily based on the best way the Huge 12 has performed out. However it’s shut.

5. Undefeated Huge 12 champion

Attainable groups: TCU

Final week, I put undefeated TCU forward of one-loss Huge Ten champion on this record. I nonetheless assume the Horned Frogs are assured a spot in the event that they end unbeaten, however it will probably be No. 3.

Apart from TCU, each single staff within the Huge 12 has at the very least three losses. It’s the deepest league within the nation, however that parity has penalties within the rankings.

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Within the theoretical state of affairs the place TCU is undefeated, it will have two ranked wins at most, and probably fewer. Texas would have earned a fourth loss this week, and whoever finishes second behind TCU would get its fourth loss within the Huge 12 title sport.

However, both Michigan or Ohio State would have a top-10 win over the opposite, in addition to a win over (presently No. 14) Penn State.

This committee has proved it doesn’t actually care about losses so long as a staff has high quality wins. Notre Dame is within the prime 25 with house losses to Marshall and Stanford. LSU is No. 7 regardless of dropping by 27 factors to Tennessee and dropping a sport to three-loss Florida State.

6. One-loss loser of SEC title sport

Attainable groups: Georgia

This one’s fairly easy: If Georgia goes into the SEC Championship Recreation with a 12-0 report and loses to both LSU or Ole Miss, it can nonetheless be assured a spot within the playoff.

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The wins over Tennessee and Oregon in the course of the common season would maintain Georgia ranked over each of these groups, and solely the Huge Ten champion or an undefeated TCU could be ranked forward.

7. Tennessee finishes 11-1

Seeing this down at No. 7 may alarm Tennessee followers at a look, however in actuality, it means the Volunteers are a digital playoff lock in the event that they win out.

Of the six outcomes above, not more than 4 can truly occur on the similar time. For instance, solely two of those three can occur: “undefeated SEC champion,” “one-loss SEC champion,” and “one-loss loser of SEC title sport.” These are all listed individually as a result of the ensuing CFP seed could be completely different for every, however there clearly can’t be an undefeated SEC champ and a one-loss SEC champ.

Likewise, there can’t be an undefeated Huge Ten champion and a one-loss Huge Ten champion. So, in my view, that leaves only one state of affairs during which Tennessee will get disregarded of the playoff: TCU goes undefeated, Ole Miss goes 12-1 and wins the SEC, and Georgia goes 12-1 with a loss to Ole Miss within the SEC Championship Recreation.

In that state of affairs, the Huge Ten champion would be a part of TCU, Ole Miss, and Georgia within the playoff. Tennessee would end fifth.

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8. One-loss loser of Huge Ten title sport

Attainable groups: Michigan, Ohio State

If the winner of the Michigan-Ohio State sport goes into Indianapolis and loses the convention title to the West Division consultant, it ought to nonetheless be safely within the subject.

The nightmare state of affairs is that if Ole Miss wins the SEC and Georgia and Tennessee are each sitting there with one loss. Then, all three SEC groups may get the nod above a one-loss non-champ within the Huge Ten. An undefeated TCU may then bump that Huge Ten runner-up to No. 5.

9. One-loss Pac-12 champion

Attainable groups: Oregon, UCLA, USC

The Pac-12 is in nice place to place a staff within the playoff for the primary time since Washington in 2016.

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No. 6 Oregon is positioned better of the three, however No. 8 USC and No. 12 UCLA will make massive strikes within the coming weeks in the event that they proceed to win.

I personally don’t see the Week 1 sport between Oregon and Georgia coming into play if the Geese win the Pac-12. It’s been three months since that 46-point beatdown, and Oregon is clearly a a lot improved staff.

10. One-loss Huge 12 champion

Attainable groups: TCU

Even when TCU slips up at Texas or Baylor the following two weeks, it can stay within the playoff image because of the Huge 12 Championship Recreation.

The Horned Frogs have a two-game lead within the convention standings with three weeks to go, so it will take a monumental collapse to not end within the prime two.

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Say, theoretically, TCU finishes 12-1 with a regular-season loss to Texas or Baylor that was avenged within the SEC title sport. Whereas I feel the Pac-12 winner would nonetheless get desire, TCU could be lurking if that staff and/or Tennessee completed with two losses.

11. One-loss ACC champion

Attainable groups: Clemson, North Carolina

The committee doesn’t love North Carolina (No. 15, behind 4 groups with two losses), but it surely certain admires Clemson (No. 10 regardless of a 21-point loss to Notre Dame).

Except each the Pac-12 and Huge 12 champions have a number of losses, the ACC is the Energy 5 convention most definitely to be disregarded of the playoff this season.

12. SEC champion LSU

The outrage can be deafening if two-loss LSU will get into the playoff, but it surely’s completely doable, and anybody who thinks in any other case is in denial.

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The committee is already laying the groundwork to maneuver LSU into the highest 4 if the chips fall into place. The Tigers are ranked forward of 5 one-loss Energy 5 groups, and in the event that they go on to beat Georgia, the highest staff within the nation, to win the perfect convention within the nation, the flood gates will burst open.

SEC bias is actual. Despite the fact that it’s constantly the perfect convention within the sport, the committee usually goes too far in rewarding SEC wins and dismissing SEC losses.

However that’s the fact of the state of affairs, and if LSU has crushed Georgia, Alabama, and Ole Miss, it can completely be in consideration.

One complication for LSU is that it might’t, beneath any circumstances, be ranked forward of a one-loss Tennessee staff due to the one-sided head-to-head consequence. Meaning if LSU will get into the playoff, it can probably be as a 3rd SEC participant, alongside the Vols and Georgia.

13. One-loss loser of Huge 12 title sport

Attainable groups: TCU

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The committee’s preliminary skepticism of TCU mixed with the shortage of one other extremely ranked staff within the Huge 12 may come again to hang-out the Horned Frogs if their lone loss comes on convention championship weekend.

TCU would nonetheless be alive, however it will be relying on each the ACC and Pac-12 to supply multiple-loss champions.

It’s ironic that TCU could be in a significantly better spot dropping to Texas or Baylor within the common season and beating them on a impartial subject than vice versa, however that’s the best way committees of the previous have operated.

14. Michigan or Ohio State end 11-1

Clemson isn’t going to complete undefeated. That’s good for the Huge Ten. Alabama gained’t be within the playoff. That’s additionally good for the Huge Ten.

And but, the possibility of two Huge Ten groups making the playoff nonetheless seems very slim.

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The Maryland and Illinois losses this weekend damage Michigan as a result of wins over these groups will now not be thought of overly spectacular. Meaning a loss on Nov. 26 would depart each Michigan and Ohio State with only one nice win: Penn State.

Tennessee can have a greater one-loss resume. The Pac-12 champion will probably have a greater one-loss resume. Clemson gained’t have a greater one-loss resume, however the committee will reward it for a convention title.

The Huge Ten will all the time have a number of groups within the playoff when it expands to 12. However earlier than then, it’s not prone to occur.

15. Ole Miss finishes 11-1

If Ole Miss and LSU each win out, the Rebels can be left at house on convention championship weekend due to the head-to-head loss.

Dwelling wins over Kentucky and Alabama would offer a lift to the resume, however because of a 25-point loss and 7 unhealthy groups on the schedule, it will take whole chaos for Ole Miss to make the playoff on this state of affairs.

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Michigan State engineering prof, student design helmet inserts to help drown out crowd noise for QBs

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Michigan State engineering prof, student design helmet inserts to help drown out crowd noise for QBs


EAST LANSING, Mich. — The sight was a common one for Andrew Kolpacki. For many a Sunday, he would watch NFL games on TV and see quarterbacks putting their hands on their helmets, desperately trying to hear the play call from the sideline or booth as tens of thousands of fans screamed at the tops of their lungs.

When the NCAA’s playing rules oversight committee this past spring approved the use of coach-to-player helmet communications in games for the 2024 season, Kolpacki, Michigan State’s head football equipment manager, knew the Spartans’ QBs and linebackers were going to have a problem.

“There had to be some sort of solution,” he said.

As it turns out, there was. And it was right across the street.

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Kolpacki reached out to Tamara Reid Bush, a mechanical engineering professor who not only heads the school’s Biomechanical Design Research Laboratory but also is a football season ticket-holder.

Kolpacki “showed me some photos and said that other teams had just put duct tape inside the (earhole), and he asked me, ‘Do you think we can do anything better than duct tape,?” Bush said. “And I said, ‘Oh, absolutely.’”

Bush and Rylie DuBois, a sophomore biosystems engineering major and undergraduate research assistant at the lab, set out to produce earhole inserts made from polylactic acid, a bio-based plastic, using a 3D printer. Part of the challenge was accounting for the earhole sizes and shapes that vary depending on helmet style.

Once the season got underway with a Friday night home game against Florida Atlantic on Aug. 30, the helmets of starting quarterback Aidan Chiles and linebacker Jordan Turner were outfitted with the inserts, which helped mitigate crowd noise.

DuBois attended the game, sitting in the student section.

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“I felt such a strong sense of accomplishment and pride,” DuBois said. “And I told all my friends around me about how I designed what they were wearing on the field.”

All told, Bush and DuBois have produced around 180 sets of the inserts, a number that grew in part due to the variety of helmet designs and colors that are available to be worn by Spartan players any given Saturday. Plus, the engineering folks have been fine-tuning their design throughout the season.

Dozens of Bowl Subdivision programs are doing something similar. In many cases, they’re getting 3D-printed earhole covers from XO Armor Technologies, which provides on-site, on-demand 3D printing of athletic wearables.

The Auburn, Alabama-based company has donated its version of the earhole covers to the equipment managers of programs ranging from Georgia and Clemson to Boise State and Arizona State in the hope the schools would consider doing business with XO Armor in the future, said Jeff Klosterman, vice president of business development.

XO Armor first was approached by the Houston Texans at the end of last season about creating something to assist quarterback C.J. Stroud in better hearing play calls delivered to his helmet during road games. XO Armor worked on a solution and had completed one when it received another inquiry: Ohio State, which had heard Michigan State was moving forward with helmet inserts, wondered if XO Armor had anything in the works.

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“We kind of just did this as a one-off favor to the Texans and honestly didn’t forecast it becoming our viral moment in college football,” Klosterman said. “We’ve now got about 60 teams across college football and the NFL wearing our sound-deadening earhole covers every weekend.”

The rules state that only one player for each team is permitted to be in communication with coaches while on the field. For the Spartans, it’s typically Chiles on offense and Turner on defense. Turner prefers to have an insert in both earholes, but Chiles has asked that the insert be used in only one on his helmet.

Chiles “likes to be able to feel like he has some sort of outward exposure,” Kolpacki said.

Exposure is something the sophomore signal-caller from Long Beach, California, had in away games against Michigan and Oregon this season. Michigan Stadium welcomed 110,000-plus fans for the Oct. 26 matchup between the in-state rivals. And while just under 60,000 packed Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon, for the Ducks’ 31-10 win over Michigan State three weeks earlier, it was plenty loud. “The Big Ten has some pretty impressive venues,” Kolpacki said.

“It can be just deafening,” he said. “That’s what those fans are there for is to create havoc and make it difficult for coaches to get a play call off.”

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Something that is a bit easier to handle thanks to Bush and her team. She called the inserts a “win-win-win” for everyone.

“It’s exciting for me to work with athletics and the football team,” she said. “I think it’s really exciting for our students as well to take what they’ve learned and develop and design something and see it being used and executed.”

___

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Former Michigan 4-star QB commit chooses new Big Ten school

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Former Michigan 4-star QB commit chooses new Big Ten school


Amid Michigan’s widely reported pursuit of Belleville 2025 five-star quarterback Bryce Underwood, Fort Myers (Fla.) Bishop Verot four-star signal-caller Carter Smith backed off his verbal pledge to the Wolverines on Oct. 30.

Michigan secured a commitment from Underwood on Thursday, flipping him from LSU, while Smith also has found a new home.

The No. 164 overall prospect nationally, per the 247Sports Composite rankings, announced Sunday night on social media his intention to play at Wisconsin.

“I’ve talked to a lot of coaches in such a short time and have made many amazing relationships,” Smith wrote in a first-person story in the News-Press. “I am extremely grateful for all the opportunities that were offered to me. With that being said, I decided to commit to the University of Wisconsin.

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“I fell in love with everything that they had to offer: an electric fan base, an incredible coaching staff, and a great education. I could not have gotten more lucky! Go Badgers!”

Smith was one of the first players to join Michigan’s 2025 class, committing in November 2023 when Jim Harbaugh was still the coach. He took a visit to Ann Arbor for the Wolverines’ showdown against Michigan State on Oct. 26, but shortly after, Michigan’s full-court press to try and land Underwood, the No. 1 recruit in the country, became highly publicized.

“He felt extremely disappointed in how they handled everything,” Smith’s father, Dan Smith, told ESPN.

After reopening his recruitment, Carter, the Gatorade Player of the Year in Florida in 2023, received interest from a handful of schools and took an official visit to Wisconsin on Nov. 15 against No. 1 Oregon. He becomes the highest-ranked prospect in the Badgers’ class and is the second former Michigan pledge to choose Wisconsin in the past week. Palatine (Ill.) four-star defensive lineman flipped his commitment on Wednesday.

Michigan turning its attention to Underwood during a season where the offense has largely been inept signals a shift in recruiting under first-year head coach Sherrone Moore. Multiple outlets have reported that Underwood is set to earn a name, image, likeness package in the millions when he is expected to ink his letter of intent during the early signing period Dec. 4-6.

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The state recorder holder in passing and total touchdowns is the second No. 1 overall recruit Michigan has landed in the online rankings era.



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Central Michigan coaching job profile: Pluses, minuses and candidates to replace Jim McElwain

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Central Michigan coaching job profile: Pluses, minuses and candidates to replace Jim McElwain


The Central Michigan job is open. Head coach Jim McElwain announced he will retire at the end of the season, coming off a win against rival Western Michigan last week.

McElwain is 33-35 in six seasons leading the Chippewas. They reached the MAC championship game in his first season in 2019 and posted a 9-4 season in 2021 capped by a Sun Bowl win against Washington State, but CMU is in the midst of a third consecutive losing season.

So how good is the Central Michigan job? What names could get in the mix? Based on conversations with industry sources, here is a report card for the job and the potential candidates to watch.

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Recent history/tradition: C+

CMU has historically been one of the better teams in the MAC, winning the conference three times from 2006 to ’09 and reaching 11 bowls in 16 years from 2006 to ’21. Brian Kelly and Butch Jones both parlayed successful runs with the Chips into the Cincinnati job. But there have been just two winning seasons in the last seven years. McElwain found some success but never consistency.

On-field outlook: D+

The roster is in desperate need of playmakers. CMU doesn’t have a top-15 passer or receiver in the MAC, and leading rusher Marion Lukes is a senior. The defense has some bright spots in junior linebacker Jordan Kwiatkowski and defensive lineman Jason Williams. For what it’s worth, CMU ranks seventh in the conference per 247Sports’ Team Talent Composite ratings, which are based on high school recruiting rankings.

Money matters: C

McElwain’s $1 million salary was near the top of the MAC but may not be enough to hire a Power 4 coordinator. CMU was fourth in the MAC in football spending in 2022, according to Sportico’s most recent numbers. The $22 million Chippewa Champions Center, an end zone facility with new meeting rooms, locker rooms, a weight room and more, opened in 2020. CMU also has an indoor practice field, making this altogether one of the better setups in the MAC.

University stability: C+

The school just got a new president in Neil MacKinnon, and athletic director Amy Folan has been there since 2020 after nearly two decades at Texas. School support for football has generally been strong. But the school is also dealing with its potential role in the Connor Stalions sign-stealing scandal at Michigan. The NCAA investigation is ongoing, but ESPN confirmed the NCAA believes Stalions was on the CMU sideline for a game against Michigan State in 2023. McElwain has said he knew nothing about it, but CMU quarterbacks coach Jake Kostner, who is close with Stalions, resigned earlier this season. It’s unclear what potential penalties CMU could face and how McElwain’s retirement could impact that.

Coach pool: C-

Notre Dame quarterbacks coach Gino Guidugli coached at CMU from 2010 to ’16. The former Cincinnati offensive coordinator is expected to get Power 4 offensive coordinator looks in this cycle and has done a good job with Riley Leonard at Notre Dame this season.

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Kansas co-offensive coordinator Jim Zebrowski spent 2017 to 2020 in the MAC at Buffalo, and he has developed quarterbacks like Tyree Jackson, Jason Bean and Jalon Daniels. Zebrowski has head coaching experience at Division III Lakeland, going 28-12 in four seasons and reaching the playoffs for the first time in program history.

Illinois defensive backs coach Corey Parker is a Detroit native who previously coached at Toledo and played at Eastern Michigan. He helped develop cornerback Quinyon Mitchell into a two-time All-American and first-round NFL Draft pick. He was a Michigan high school coach from 2006 to ’21 and was a regional director in the Michigan High School Coaches Association. This year, he has played a big role in Illinois’ 8-3 start.

Ole Miss wide receivers coach George McDonald is an Indiana native and has MAC experience at Northern Illinois and Western Michigan, where he coached Greg Jennings. McDonald spent the previous three years at Illinois and works with an Ole Miss offense that sits fourth nationally in scoring.

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receivers coach Zach Azzanni is a CMU alum who coached with the Chips from 2007 to ’09. He recruited Antonio Brown and Eric Fisher to the school during a dominant period under Jones. He has also coached at Florida, Tennessee and Wisconsin and has been in the NFL since 2017. His receivers have played a big role in the Steelers’ 8-3 start this season.

Houston offensive coordinator Kevin Barbay was a CMU assistant from 2019 to ’21, including as offensive coordinator during the nine-win 2021 season. He has since been the offensive coordinator at Appalachian State, Mississippi State and Houston.

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Wisconsin outside linebackers coach Matt Mitchell was the head coach at Division II Grand Valley State in Michigan from 2010 to ’22, with four top-five finishes. He has spent the last two years in Madison.

Butler head coach Mike Uremovich is 18-8 in three seasons at the Indiana FCS program, including 9-2 this year. He previously coached at Northern Illinois for seven seasons over three stints, so he has MAC experience. The Indiana native has spent almost his entire career in the Midwest.

Michigan defensive line coach Lou Esposito has coached in the state since 2010, including seven years as a Western Michigan assistant. Despite the Wolverines’ struggles this year, Esposito’s defensive line has been a strong point, ranking 21st in yards per carry allowed. Esposito has also coached at Division II Ferris State, and he went 6-5 as NAIA Davenport’s head coach in 2016.

Iowa special teams coordinator LeVar Woods has done a good job with the Hawkeyes, where he played and has spent his entire coaching career, a member of Kirk Ferentz’s staff since 2008. Punter Tory Taylor was one of the best in NCAA history, and people around Iowa believe Woods could be ready to take on a bigger job.

Stony Brook head coach Billy Cosh inherited an 0-10 program this year and has the Seawolves at 8-4 and ranked in the FCS top 25. Cosh was previously the offensive coordinator at Western Michigan and Richmond.

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Minnesota co-offensive coordinator Greg Harbaugh (no relation to Jim) is a Western Michigan alum and former coach there. He’s been with the Gophers since 2022 and was promoted to co-OC the next year, and the Gophers are going to a third consecutive bowl game.

Overall grade: C

The expectations are rightfully high in Mt. Pleasant. The facility setup and pay is pretty good relative to the MAC, too. But the roster needs an overhaul, and the big success of the somewhat recent past is getting further away.

(Photo: Rey Del Rio / Getty Images)



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