Connect with us

Lifestyle

Is Spring Break in Houston a #RecessionIndicator?

Published

on

Is Spring Break in Houston a #RecessionIndicator?

It’s Will Smith announcing a new album. It’s “Mamma Mia!” returning to Broadway. It’s the uptick in law school applications.

And it’s absolutely spring breaking in Houston.

In recent weeks, as the finance world has been nervously watching the S&P 500 fall, nonexperts and the chronically online are seeing signs of a possible recession in daily activities and choices. To them, a recession looks like visiting the Asian elephant exhibit at the Houston Zoo nearby instead of traveling to Asia. Or the rising interest in torts law and a decrease in creative movies.

Posts on X and TikTok with the hashtag #recessionindicator are mostly jokes or even cheeky insults about activities seen as cheap. But they also reflect public interest in how pop culture and trends might be affected by economic uncertainty, experts say.

Sequels are an easy target for the label of “recession indicator.” For some, the announcement of a fourth season of “Ted Lasso” or a sequel to “Freaky Friday” signaled that studios were tightening purse strings instead of greenlighting risky, innovative material.

Advertisement

“It is kind of funny to think that Jason Sudeikis is having trouble paying off his third pool, so he’s like, ‘Time to put the mustache back on!’” Rob McRae, 39, a podcast producer, said referring to the actor who plays the show’s title character.

Of course, movies, television shows and albums are pitched and planned well before they are announced, making them lagging indicators of the economy. If anything, the songs and movies released down the line could reflect today’s economic situation.

“We may be booming in two years, but you will see the scarring effects of this,” Kenneth Rogoff, a professor of economics at Harvard, said in an interview. “You’re kind of seeing now decisions that were made a few years ago.”

A better gauge of consumers’ concerns could be their habits. “If you bring liquor to the get-together, are yall taking the remainder of yall liquor at the end?” asked one X user. The question immediately became fodder for the trend and circulated widely. One popular reply was “Yes & even before the recession.”

Professor Rogoff chuckled at the hypothetical, though he found this scenario unlikely (an indication that he has never partied with journalists). But the nugget of truth is that people tend to eat out less and spend less on gifts when they are concerned about a recession.

Advertisement

The #recessionindicator meme is, in many ways, a repackaging of well-known academic theories. Take the “hemline index,” which posits that skirts get longer as the economy slows. Hair length and chocolate sales have also been analyzed as possible reflections of consumer sentiment.

Terry F. Pettijohn II, a professor of psychology at Coastal Carolina University, has spent more than two decades studying how the economy affects people’s decision-making.

“When social and economic times are more difficult, we prefer music that is slower, more romantic, more meaningful lyrics,” Professor Pettijohn said in an interview this month. “And when times are good, we prefer music that is more upbeat, fun, with less meaningful lyrics.”

It is not a perfect system. The top song of 2008 was the dance party anthem “Low” by Flo Rida. Maybe listeners heard “Stock market got low, low, low, low, low, low, low, low”?

Sometimes, even the upbeat music incorporates themes of the moment, such as Timbaland’s 2007 song “The Way I Are,” which starts with the line “I ain’t got no money.”

Advertisement

Today’s music charts are filled with slower, more meaningful songs and ballads, reflecting the economic strain, Professor Pettijohn argued.

He named Billie Eilish’s “Birds of a Feather” and “Wildflower,” as well as “Die With a Smile” by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars, as examples. Indeed, Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars are wildly popular artists and their song might have spent 30 weeks on the Billboard Hot 100 chart regardless of the economic backdrop.

But an overall mood shift has become clearer.

This month, a Doechii song initially released in 2019 landed on the Billboard Hot 100. The title? “Anxiety.” The beat? Sampled from the 2011 hit song “Somebody That I Used to Know.” Well, that’s basically a sequel. #recessionindicator.

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Lifestyle

Is It Time to Trade My Rolex for a Smart Watch?

Published

on

Is It Time to Trade My Rolex for a Smart Watch?

Back in the mists of 2015, I was, shockingly, an early adopter of the Apple watch. (This was when Apple still thought the smartwatch might be a fashion accessory.) Probably less shockingly, I was also an early un-adopter of the Apple watch. I hated the aesthetics of wearing a gadget on my wrist and discovered that it was alarmingly easy to get obsessed with, and distracted by, how many times you stood up in a day. So I know where you are coming from.

Still, as smartwatches have evolved from those early, fruitless attempts to position themselves within the style universe and have become popular as fitness and wellness aids, their popularity has, understandably, grown. Now most of my friends, like yours, wear a fitness band or a smartwatch or an Oura ring, and there is a lot of discussion of not just steps but also sleep patterns, heart rates and blood oxygen levels.

But the thing is, while their smartwatches may perform different tasks on their wrist than traditional watches, they are, in one way at least, exactly the same.

As my colleague (and confirmed watch-o-phile) Jacob Bernstein said, “All watches are in one way or another a flex.” That’s as true for a Rolex as a Patek Philippe as a Swatch as an Apple watch. They are all part of the semiology of the wrist — which is to say, their elemental function is to signal to the world certain key attributes of the wearer.

Like, for example, first stage achievement and aspiration (Rolex) or a certain unapologetic, in-your-face verve (Audemars Piguet) or the “if you know you know” quiet luxury of the inner circle (Patek Philippe). Or, perhaps, a story about a relative who passed on the watch. Or, in the case of the smartwatch, the idea that you put your health and the acquisition of data over all of the above.

Advertisement

Of course you have to factor in whether a timepiece is new or vintage, since each of those choices also says something about connections, connoisseurship and your need for gratification (delayed or immediate). And take into consideration the material involved. Steel has different associations than gold, which has different associations than leather. Just as with smartwatches, the choice of bands and whether you go with Hermès or stainless steel or plastic also makes a difference. But you get the idea.

The point is, whatever style of watch you opt for, you are making a statement about your embrace of a certain value system and approach to the world, and that statement is there for all to see.

Which may be why a lot of people have both a smartwatch and a classic watch (or, depending on their budgets and investment priorities, a whole watch wardrobe). And though there was a time when double watching was shaping up as something of a trend — at one point Prince William wore a classic watch on one wrist and a smartwatch on the other — that now seems more like a choose-the-watch-for-the-moment or a choose-the-watch-for-the-context sort of thing.

Whatever watch you choose, however, the important thing is to be aware that when it comes to what it’s telling, time is the least of the matter.

Every week on Open Thread, Vanessa will answer a reader’s fashion-related question, which you can send to her anytime via email or Twitter. Questions are edited and condensed.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Lifestyle

I worked out with an AI trainer at L.A.’s 'first full-scale AI-powered gym.' Here's how it went

Published

on

I worked out with an AI trainer at L.A.’s 'first full-scale AI-powered gym.' Here's how it went

The genius knows all. It knows my height, my weight, my hydration, my cardio stamina — even, regrettably, my body’s visceral fat percentage. I’m standing on a bioelectrical impedance device — which looks a lot like a scale but with metal handles and metal foot pads — and it’s sending low-grade, painless electrical signals through my hands and feet to measure my muscle, fat and water. The percentages of each are then fed into an AI program.

Welcome to Fred Fitness, which touts itself as L.A.’s “first full-scale AI-powered gym.” You might be wondering: What does that even mean? Mostly that AI-powered software, referred to as Genius, is integrated into every piece of cardio and strength equipment at the gym. Throughout your workout, it functions as an ever-present but imperceptible force, sparking beneath the surface, like a digital mycelium network with an agenda: to help you reach your training goal (whether that’s weight loss, strength building or toning) in the most efficient way possible.

The Santa Monica facility opened in mid-February in an 11,500-square-foot former Patagonia store on 4th Street. Fred Fitness CEO Andre Enzensberger says the gym has about 400 members, who pay $150 a month to be bossed around by an algorithm.

Inside Fred Fitnessm an AI gym in Santa Monica.

(Chiara Alexa / For The Times)

Advertisement

At first glance, Fred Fitness looks like nothing more than a high-end gym in a tony neighborhood. It’s airy and bright, with soaring ceilings, exposed wood rafters and leafy hanging plants. On a recent Wednesday afternoon, it was sparsely populated, with just a few dozen members working out on brand-new, still-gleaming treadmills, bikes and elliptical machines. The strength machines use electric motors to create resistance instead of physical weights, so there’s no clanking. It’s relatively quiet but for the whirring of cardio equipment and a blend of lo-fi and electronic pop music on the sound system. Not exactly “The Matrix.”

But the exercise machines at Fred Fitness are tailored to you. They know members’ names and body analysis data, and they’ve configured personalized workout programs customized to their goals and fitness abilities. They’re also gamified, meaning their screens display a “Pac-Man”-like video game that members “play” by moving the weight during reps and sets. Grab the handles of a seated rowing machine, for example, and pull the weight faster or slower to move your on-screen avatar — a ball — up or down within a maze and “eat” coins as you go. Competitive? The gym keeps track of your scores, if you choose to participate, and displays the information on an app and a wall-mounted monitor to encourage a sense of community.

Our reporter goes to an AI gym.

Fred Fitness an AI gym in Santa Monica.

(Chiara Alexa / For The Times)

Advertisement

“I love it because it’s fun and totally automated,” says Keverton Marinho, a 32-year-old new member. “I just play — I don’t have to think about anything.”

The gamification may be fun, but it’s purposeful too, Enzensberger says.

“It helps members train at the correct speed,” he says. “It regulates time under tension, meaning how fast you push or how slow you release the weight. So your workout is more effective.”

Advertisement
  • Share via

Advertisement

There’s no joining fee at Fred Fitness and the month-to-month membership includes access to certified personal trainers — though not unlimited sessions — who consult with members about their AI-generated training programs. Trainers also wander the gym floor, answering questions and offering corrections when they notice someone’s form is off. That human element is critical, Enzensberger says.

“AI is so big right now, but we’re very proud of the human aspect of our gym — the team — and how we complement the AI precision,” he said.

Before joining, potential members undergo a free full-body assessment from Genius to get a fitness baseline. A “body composition analyzer” breaks down fat and lean muscle mass limb by limb and gives stats about foundational muscle strength, base metabolic rate and hydration levels, among other metrics. That information is then interpreted by the AI. Many gyms offer fitness assessments when you sign up for personal training, and luxury health clubs, such as Equinox and Santa Monica’s Love Life, do in-depth health and fitness testing for new members; but most regular gym memberships don’t include fitness assessments.

After the body composition analysis, which measures your metabolism, a human trainer leads the member-to-be through different exercise circuits on machines that measure their strength, cardio and flexibility. There’s also a series of on-screen questions related to workout goals, exercise experience and preferences.

Advertisement

Genius then assigns the member a “biological age” — different from your chronological age in years. It’s like an overall fitness score, says Fred Fitness general manager Miguel Alvino.

Our reporter goes to an AI gym.

Fred Fitness an AI gym in Santa Monica.

(Chiara Alexa / For The Times)

“It’s a metric we use to give people an idea of where their strength and areas of improvement are compared to their calendar age,” Alvino explains.

From that point on, when you log onto an exercise machine with your wristband, it calls up your personalized training program. The machine then physically adjusts to your height and limb length, raising or lowering its seat and altering the position of its handles according to your body. The AI is also adaptive, utilizing machine learning. So it will evolve with you as you get fitter.

Advertisement

“The machines continue to learn about your capabilities,” Enzensberger says. “And that data is collected and fed into the AI to constantly generate a better training program for you.”

Fred Fitness is the brain child of Andre Enzensberger’s brother, Alfred, who is the president and founder of Munich-based Clever Fit, a fitness franchise with more than 500 locations throughout Europe. Alfred Enzensberger partnered with Philipp Roesch-Schlanderer, CEO of EGYM, a global fitness technology company also based in Munich, in 2023 to create a full AI gym. EGYM wrote Genius, which was deployed in August 2024. They brought in Andre Enzensberger as CEO.

Our reporter goes to an AI gym.

Fred Fitness an AI gym in Santa Monica.

(Chiara Alexa / For The Times)

There are other gyms with smart or AI-powered equipment in Southern California, such as L.A.’s EōS Fitness (with equipment from EGYM) and Smart Fit Method in Orange County. But at Fred Fitness, “Every piece of machinery is tied into the network,” Andre Enzensberger says. “We’re utilizing what the AI system can do on a much larger, fuller scale.”

Advertisement

Los Angeles was the ideal city in which to launch the venture, given its history as a hub for fitness and tech culture, he says. “We wanted to embrace the open-mindedness of the people of Los Angeles. Fred Fitness is groundbreaking and requires people who want to experience training in a new way.”

I enjoyed Genius’ guidance during my workout. The treadmill set itself to a lower speed than I normally run at, though at a higher incline, because Genius knew my exercise goal was strength building, not weight loss. And I loved the gamification element of the weight-lifting machines, even going so far as to laugh out loud mid-rep — though I wonder whether the game would get old over time. But in the end, what keeps me coming back to a gym is the promise of a sauna or steam after my workout. And Fred Fitness, unfortunately, doesn’t provide those amenities, which was disappointing.

But growth is on the horizon. A second Fred Fitness is now underway in downtown Culver City — it’s planning to open in early 2026 — and the company hopes to open four additional facilities within three to five years. The locations under consideration are downtown L.A., West Hollywood and Glendale.

“This is just a modern gym that’s fun to use — and people love it because it takes the guesswork out,” Enzensberger says. “Everything is fully guided.”

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Lifestyle

Primark CEO Resigns After ‘Error of Judgment’

Published

on

Primark CEO Resigns After ‘Error of Judgment’

Paul Marchant, the chief executive of Primark, has resigned “with immediate effect” from his role leading the discount clothing retailer after an allegation about his behavior, the company announced Monday.

Mr. Marchant, who joined Primark in 2009, left after the company hired lawyers to investigate “an allegation made by an individual about his behavior towards her in a social environment,” Associated British Foods, Primark’s parent company, said in a statement.

It said that he cooperated with the inquiry, “acknowledged his error of judgment and accepts that his actions fell below the standards expected by the company.” Mr. Marchant apologized to the individual, the board and others at Primark, according to the statement.

“I am immensely disappointed,” George Weston, the chief executive of Associated British Foods, said in the statement. “We believe that high standards of integrity are essential,” he added.

Primark is a low-cost clothing giant that has become synonymous with a certain type of cheap and expendable fashion. Arthur Ryan, its founder, fought to keep prices down.

Advertisement

Mr. Ryan appointed Mr. Marchant, who had long worked in fashion retail, to be his successor as chief executive. Under Mr. Marchant, Primark flourished.

It has more than 450 stores in 17 countries and employs some 82,000 people. The retailer recorded sales of 9.4 billion pounds ($12.2 billion) for its latest financial year, an increase of 5 percent from the year before.

The retailer, which was founded in Dublin in 1969 and expanded to England in 1973, is now a staple on main streets of cities in the region: Stores in Britain and Ireland account for about half of its sales.

Primark has been making inroads in the United States, which accounts for about 5 percent of its sales. As of January, the company ran 29 stores in the country, and signed 17 leases for future locations.

“Under Paul’s leadership,” the retailer said in an online biography of its executives, “Primark has become a truly international business.” The company noted that Mr. Marchant led an expansion into Europe and the United States, “more than doubling our store footprint since joining.”

Advertisement

The share price of Primark’s parent company fell about 4 percent after the announcement, near its 52-week low.

Primark did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Continue Reading

Trending