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Hurricane Helene tracker: Storm forecast to make landfall in Florida at Category 4 strength with 'catastrophic' storm surge

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Hurricane Helene tracker: Storm forecast to make landfall in Florida at Category 4 strength with 'catastrophic' storm surge

Hurricane Helene is now forecast to make landfall along Florida’s Gulf Coast on Thursday evening at Category 4 strength, the National Hurricane Center said on Wednesday evening.

The storm is expected to bring “catastrophic and deadly storm surge” to a large portion of Florida and the Southeast, meteorologists warned. The storm surge could reach as high as 20 feet.

The governors of Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina declared states of emergency ahead of Helene’s arrival. The Tampa International Airport announced that it will suspend operations on Thursday.

Multiple counties in Florida issued mandatory evacuation orders for people in low-lying areas. Residents in the storm’s potential path have been told to prepare for up to a week without electricity.

“It’s a big, big storm,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said at a press briefing Wednesday. “Many people will lose power … be prepared for that.”

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Heavy rain from Helene falls in Cancun, Mexico, on Tuesday. (Elizabeth Ruiz/AFP via Getty Images)

Heavy rain from Helene falls in Cancun, Mexico, on Tuesday. (Elizabeth Ruiz/AFP via Getty Images)

According to the NHC’s 5 p.m. ET advisory, Helene — with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph — was located about 460 miles southwest of Tampa, Fla., and was moving north at 12 mph.

The storm is expected to rapidly intensify and come ashore in Florida’s Big Bend region with winds of 130 mph, forecasters said.

 A satellite image of Helene as it makes its way toward Florida. (NOAA) A satellite image of Helene as it makes its way toward Florida. (NOAA)

A satellite image of Helene as it makes its way toward Florida. (NOAA)

In addition to high winds, the storm will threaten millions of residents along the Gulf Coast with heavy rainfall, as well as the possibility of tornadoes. Before it heads up into the Gulf of Mexico, Helene will bring heavy rain to portions of the western Caribbean, potentially mudslides and flooding across western Cuba. The system will also pose the threat of inland flooding across several U.S. states.

“Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected across portions of Florida, the Southeast, southern Appalachians, and the Tennessee Valley Wednesday through Friday,” the National Hurricane Center said.

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There is the potential for life-threatening storm surge along the entire Florida peninsula, the weather service warned.

A peak storm surge of up to 20 feet is possible along portions of Florida’s Gulf Coast.

People fill sandbags in Pinellas Park, Fla., on Wednesday ahead of Helene. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)People fill sandbags in Pinellas Park, Fla., on Wednesday ahead of Helene. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

People fill sandbags in Pinellas Park, Fla., on Wednesday ahead of Helene. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

DeSantis expanded a state of emergency on Tuesday to 61 counties ahead of the storm. Helene is expected to make landfall near the Big Bend region of the Florida panhandle, which was pummeled by Hurricane Debby earlier this season.

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The declaration allows the state to execute its Comprehensive Emergency Management plan, allowing the use of resources for any logistical, rescue or evacuation operations.

“Now is the time to make an emergency plan, know your evacuation zone, and be as prepared as possible for the storm,” DeSantis said in a post on X.

Many cities and counties in Florida opened designated sites for residents to fill sandbags ahead of the storm.

(Know Your Zone)(Know Your Zone)

(Know Your Zone)

Officials urged people in low-lying areas to consult a website outlining evacuation zones, and to heed evacuation orders. Mandatory evacuations were issued in 14 counties, including Pinellas and Hillsborough, as of midday Wednesday.

The University of Tampa, which is in one of the zones under mandatory evacuation orders in Hillsborough County, said it was working evacuate all residential buildings on its campus.

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The Tampa Bay Bay Times reported that many grocery stores in the Tampa area sold out of water Tuesday as hurricane shoppers stocked up on supplies.

As of 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday, a hurricane warning was in effect for:

  • Anclote River to Mexico Beach, Florida

  • Cabo Catoche to Tulum, Mexico

A “hurricane warning” means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. It is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated arrival of tropical-storm-force winds.

A hurricane watch was in effect for:

  • Pinar del Río Province, Cuba

  • Englewood to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay

A “hurricane watch” means hurricane conditions are possible within the watch areas. It is usually issued 48 hours before the hurricane is anticipated to hit.

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A tropical storm warning was in effect for:

  • Dry Tortugas

  • All of the Florida Keys

  • The west coast of Florida from Flamingo to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay

  • West of Mexico Beach to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line

  • Lake Okeechobee

  • Rio Lagartos to Tulum, Mexico

  • Cuban provinces of Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth

A “tropical storm warning” means that tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning areas within the next 36 hours.

A storm surge watch was in effect for:

A “storm surge watch” indicates the possibility of life-threatening flooding, such as rising water moving inland from the coast.

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Alessandro Michele’s Valentino Vision

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Alessandro Michele’s Valentino Vision
After a historic turn at Gucci, Alessandro Michele’s next move was the subject of intense industry speculation. Now, the superstar creative director and BoF 500 member has returned to fashion with a new vision for the storied Roman couture house Valentino.
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Video: Why Oakland Is Saying Goodbye to Pro Baseball

The Major League Baseball team the Athletics played their final games this week in the Oakland Coliseum, which has been their home base in California for the past half-century. They’re expected to relocate to Las Vegas for 2028 at the whim of their billionaire owner, John Fisher, and in the meantime play in a minor-league ballpark in Sacramento. Jack Nicas of The New York Times explains how the plan to build a stadium in Las Vegas is driven by a single factor — money — and what it’s meant to Oakland.

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Where to get free trees in Los Angeles and Orange counties

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Where to get free trees in Los Angeles and Orange counties

Once upon a time — well, in 1928, actually — the city of Los Angeles took the progressive step of opening the Commonwealth Nursery in Griffith Park, which over the next 50 years grew millions of trees and plants — many propagated from native seeds — for the city’s parks and public buildings.

The nursery closed in the mid-1970s and fell into disrepair, but now the city and its partners are trying to resurrect at least a portion of it to grow native trees for Los Angeles residents to plant for free in their yards.

For more than 50 years, Los Angeles’ historic Commonwealth Nursery in Griffith Park grew millions of plants for the city’s parks and public spaces, but the 12-acre nursery fell into disrepair after it closed in the mid-1970s, as this ruined greenhouse overrun with vines attests.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

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The Commonwealth Nursery project, led by the city’s nonprofit contractor City Plants, and its staffing partner, the LA Conservation Corps, is just one piece of a much larger regional campaign by utilities and municipalities to increase the urban canopy of trees around greater Los Angeles, bringing beauty, shade and energy savings to city neighborhoods while expanding habitat for birds, insects and other wildlife.

That campaign involves planting trees in parkways and along streets. Many jurisdictions are also providing free trees to residents to plant in their yards, along with instructions and other support.

An old, long wood greenhouse with its roof partially caved in by a large eucalyptus branch.

One of the old greenhouses at Commonwealth Nursery, with its roof partially caved in by a large fallen eucalyptus branch.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

The program doesn’t just beautify treeless neighborhoods, said arborist Carlos Campero, executive director of the City Plants program; it also reduces energy use. A strategically planted deciduous tree can cool a house during the hottest months, reducing air-conditioning needs, and provide warmth from the sun in the winter, when it drops its leaves, to reduce heating costs as well. City Plants offers an online tool to help residents find the best location for planting trees on their property to maximize their energy savings.

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That buy-in makes all the difference in encouraging property owners to plant more trees, said Matthew Wells, public landscape manager for the city of Santa Monica, which began its tree giveaway program as an experiment in 2023.

The response was so enthusiastic, Wells said, that the city has more than doubled the number of trees it plans to give away this fall and next spring, from 150 to 400, and once again, it’s including fruit trees and smaller trees that can live on a balcony, because so many of the city’s residents are renters who live in small spaces.

City Plants native tree nursery fills a small corner of the Commonwealth Nursery's empty terraced growing areas.

City Plants’ fledgling native plant nursery fills a small corner of the Commonwealth Nursery’s terraced — and mostly unused — growing areas.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

Like other jurisdictions, Santa Monica provides lots of instructions to help ensure the trees survive. “For many people, this might be the first tree they’ve ever planted, so we want them to know how to look after it,” Wells said. “We don’t want it to be like, ‘Somebody gave me a goldfish and I killed it within a month. And I’ve never had a pet again.’”

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Most jurisdictions, including the city of Los Angeles, are getting their giveaway yard trees from wholesale nurseries. But nursery manager Amanda Bashir Chaves said City Plants is trying to increase its native tree offerings by collecting seeds (with permission) from Griffith Park and other locations and then raising those plants in a small section of the Commonwealth Nursery — a project it hopes can expand with time.

The 12-acre nursery grew more than 500,000 plants the first year it opened in 1928, according to a history by the Friends of Griffith Park, and between 1 million to 2 million plants annually after that, while providing jobs for some 45 people. An acre-sized lath house provided shade for tender seedlings, and an innovative rainwater collection system provided water for irrigation six months of the year. Acres of terraced growing areas and multiple greenhouses produced many native plants grown from seed collected around the park such as sumacs, ceanothus, yellow-blooming flannel bush, manzanitas, barberries, monkeyflowers, Catalina cherry, toyon and coffeeberry.

A smiling woman, Amanda Bashir Chaves, holds up a potted California buckeye sapling with bright green leaves.

Nursery manager Amanda Bashir Chaves holds up a native California buckeye sapling she grew from seed at the City Plants’ Commonwealth Nursery.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

A young burgandy-haired woman, Gia Hernandez, plants seeds with a young man in a khaki shirt, Lorenzo Chavez.

LA Conservation Corps workers Gia Hernandez, in the orange vest, and Lorenzo Chavez planting Cleveland sage seeds at the Commonwealth Nursery.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

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“In one planting bed alone, 75,000 coast live oaks were growing from locally collected acorns, a sight which astonished and amazed the 500 park employees who attended the nursery’s official grand opening in 1928,” according to the history.

It all came to an end after the passage of Proposition 13 in 1978, which limited property taxes to 1% of assessed values and more than halved property tax revenues overnight. “Budget cuts made supporting the facility and its staff untenable,” according to the history, “and as a result, the nursery fell into great disrepair.”

Today, the greenhouses are overgrown with leftover plants, their roofs smashed by giant fallen eucalyptus branches. It’s not clear what will happen to those ruined greenhouses, but Chaves and Campero hope their nursery can expand to grow large native shrubs like toyon and lemonade berry, as well as some of the non-invasive, non-native trees offered to residents, in the large unused terraced growing areas at the site, Chaves said.

More plants could mean more jobs for the LA Conservation Corps, which contracts with the city to grow and distribute trees under the City Plants program, Chaves said. So far, Chaves has been running the nursery herself, with the assistance of two Conservation Corps members, Lorenzo Chavez and Gia Hernandez, who help with the time-consuming work of planting seeds and separating seedlings into their own pots.

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How to get a free tree

In almost all cases, you must be a customer of the utility and/or resident of the municipality. Some entities, like City Plants, offer trees throughout the year, depending on availability.

Others have giveaways timed to specific dates or events. Southern California Edison, for instance, offers free trees to some customers through a partnership with the Arbor Day Foundation’s Community Canopy and Energy-Saving Trees programs. Trees go quickly, but you can join SCE’s wait list or subscribe to the foundation’s newsletter to be informed of upcoming giveaways in other locations, said program manager Kristen Bousquet.

Some utilities, such as the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, offer rebates on electric bills to customers who purchase trees.

Tall narrow pots of endangered Southern California black walnut seedlings and Engelmann oak seedlings.

The LA Conservation Corps, which contracts with City Plants to grow native trees at Commonwealth Nursery, is growing some endangered varieties as well, such as Southern California black walnut seedlings, left, and Engelmann oak seedlings.

(Jeanette Marantos / Los Angeles Times)

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Note, too, that while Los Angeles County and several municipalities may not provide free yard trees — the county spends almost all of its $20 million budget for trees on trimming or otherwise maintaining its 170,000 street trees, said Deputy Director of Transportation Steve Burger — they will take requests to add trees to parkways in front of homes. If you live in a county-maintained neighborhood, you can fill out an online form to request that Los Angeles County Public Works plant a parkway tree.

If you don’t see your jurisdiction, contact your local municipality or power provider to find out if they offer a free yard tree program.

Tree giveaway programs

Anaheim TreePower Residential Program is a partnership between Anaheim Public Utilities and Anaheim Community Services that provides up to six free trees to be delivered to the homes of utilities customers, who can choose their trees from a catalog of nearly 50 species. Customers must sign a planting agreement and work with a TreePower representative to find the best location on their property for their trees. Customers may also purchase up to three 5-gallon trees from the nursery of their choice and get a $20 rebate per tree. The mature height of rebate trees cannot exceed 25 feet.

Altadena Heritage Committee is offering one free 15-gallon tree for residents who place a request by Oct. 15. Pickup is on Nov. 16. Five species are available: Western sycamore, Chinese flame tree, California pepper, pink trumpet tree and pink dawn chitalpa.

Burbank Water & Power, in partnership with the Arbor Day Foundation, provides up to three free trees for Burbank residents and 20 trees for Burbank businesses.

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Glendale Water & Power Tree Power offers customers up to three free shade trees on a first-come-first-served basis (single family homes only). Customers can call the city’s arborist at (818) 957-4425 to participate or fill out a form online. Trees will be delivered with stakes, ties, arbor guards and an instructional DVD on tree planting and maintenance.

Grow Monrovia, a nonprofit community nursery and gardens on the grounds of the Maryknoll Sisters retirement home, is providing free oak saplings to residents of Foothills communities from Pasadena to Glendora on Oct. 7, 16, 21 and 28. Giveaway events start at 5 p.m. except on Oct. 16, when the event begins at 10 a.m.; events will feature presentations about the benefits of oak trees and how to care for them. Grow Monrovia offers tree giveaways and planting activities throughout the year.

Long Beach Tree Planting Program provides Long Beach residents with a free tree for their parkway area only (the strip of ground between the sidewalk and the curb). Wait times are typically two months or longer, and tree planting is paused between July and September due to the heat. Residents can request a tree from a list of nearly 50 available species.

Los Angeles City Plants provides up to seven free shade trees for city residents through this partnership between the city and the LA Conservation Corps. Residents can choose from a list of about 30 water-efficient species. City Plants offers regular tree giveaway events (sign up to be notified about upcoming events); you can also order trees online and have them delivered. Free trees are available for schools, businesses and apartment owners as well. Unsure whether you live in the city limits? Enter your address on the website to confirm eligibility. City Plants plants street trees in parkways at the request of residents or neighborhoods, but due to high demand, has temporarily paused that part of its program until it can complete earlier requests.

Los Angeles County does not provide free yard trees but does accept requests from county residents to plant street trees in the parkways in front of their homes.

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Metropolitan Water District of Southern California offers rebates — applied to customer utility bills — of $100 per tree for up to five trees for customers who remove their turf lawns and plant trees as part of their new landscape plans.

Pasadena Water & Power Shade Trees Rebate offers a $25 rebate on shade trees purchased by utility customers for residential yards or businesses, and an extra $5 rebate if the trees were purchased in Pasadena. Trees must be at least 2-gallon size and be planted in the ground along the south- and/or west-facing walls of your home or business. Participants must purchase trees from the utility’s approved list of more than 30 species. Residents in the utility’s income-qualified bill payment assistance program get an additional $25 bonus per tree. Customers are limited to 10 trees every five years.

Santa Monica began a free tree giveaway for residents last year with 150 fruit and shade trees, which were quickly snatched up. This fall, winter and spring the city plans to increase its overall offerings to 400 trees, including trees that can be grown in containers, according to Public Landscape Manager Matthew Wells. Tree varieties include Eureka lemon, pink guava, Golden Delicious apple, coast live oak, olive, crape myrtle, California sycamore, desert willow and torrey pines. For giveaway details, follow Santa Monica on Instagram or visit the city’s events page.

Torrance residents can request that the city plant a street tree in the parkway in front of their home. The city plants an average of 400 street trees a year in its parkways, according to the website.

TreePeople is working with multiple jurisdictions in Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino counties to plant more trees, and periodically offers free tree giveaways to residents of those communities, such as the 200 fruit trees it is offering Pacoima residents from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. Oct. 12 at El Nido Farmer’s Market. Check TreePeople’s calendar or sign up for a newsletter to find out about upcoming events.

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