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Two big homebuilders missed Wall Street estimates on a key metric — here's why

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Two big homebuilders missed Wall Street estimates on a key metric — here's why

Housing demand has been hard to forecast even as mortgage rates have declined. Just take a look at homebuilders’ quarterly results so far this earnings season.

Two of America’s largest homebuilders, Lennar (LEN) and KB Home (KBH), reported third quarter net new home orders that have fallen short of Wall Street expectations.

Net new orders represent the number of new sales contracts that have been finalized and signed by buyers minus customer home order cancellations booked for the period. Investors and analysts pay close attention to this figure because its a leading indicator for homebuilders on housing activity.

Lennar, the nation’s second-largest homebuilder, said last month that its net new orders for the quarterly period ending Aug. 31 rose 4.7% from the prior year to 20,587. That fell short of analysts’ forecasts of 20,827 orders, per Bloomberg data.

Homebuilder KB Home also reported in September that net orders for the period ending Aug. 31 were a disappointment. The builder said orders fell 0.4% from the prior year to 3,085, lower than analysts’ estimates of 3,345 orders.

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Part of the reason for the misses is that it’s been hard to determine how much recent mortgage rate movements would affect buyer demand. Mortgage rates have stayed stuck between 6% and 7% this year. And in June, rates were toggling just above or below 7%.

Read more: When will mortgage rates go down? A look at 2024 and 2025.

“Maybe shame on us for not modeling it more clearly, but June and July were clearly challenging months,” John Lovallo, senior equity research analyst at UBS, told Yahoo Finance in an interview.

From a buyer’s perspective, “there was uncertainty about where rates were going. There was uncertainty about where the economy and the Fed were going, and there was growing uncertainty about the election,” Lovallo added.

Two of America’s largest homebuilders Lennar (LEN) and KB Home (KBH) reported third quarter earnings that fell short of expectations for home orders, a revealing sign to what others could report.(Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

The uncertainty doesn’t appear to be going away despite the Federal Reserve’s jumbo interest rate cut in September. Mortgage rates had already been on the decline as investors had bet on a rate reduction ahead.

It’s unclear how much they’ll fall. Data from Freddie Mac shows the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped by 20 basis points to 6.32% last week. This marks the biggest week-over-week increase since April.

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Read more: Is this a good time to buy a house?

Goldman Sachs revised its year-end forecasts in early October for 30-year conforming mortgage rates, lowering them to 6% for this year and 6.05% for 2025, down from the previous estimates of 6.5% and 6.1%.

The firm’s strategists said in the note that there’s “limited room” for major declines. They think “the decline in mortgage rates has largely run its course.”

Lovallo warned that it’s highly likely that the other homebuilders will report misses on Q3 net orders due to rate volatility this summer. More builders are gearing up to report quarterly earnings in the next few weeks with PulteGroup (PHM) and NVR (NVR) reporting on Oct. 22 and DR Horton (DHI) on Oct. 29.

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Dani Romero is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @daniromerotv.

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Finance

New global framework launched to help financial firms make transition plans

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New global framework launched to help financial firms make transition plans

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The International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO) has published a new framework aimed at helping financial institutions make credible plans to work towards the net zero transition.

The new voluntary standard for sustainable finance – ISO 32212 – includes guidelines for strategic transition planning by banking, insurance and investment institutions.

“The requirements and recommendations are designed to enable financial institutions to develop and maintain transition planning objectives and targets that advance the temperature and resilience goals of the Paris Agreement, and establish robust policies and processes to integrate these into their financial activities,” the ISO said.

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ISO said the framework encourages institutions to assess climate-related impacts and dependencies associated with their activities, and to develop objectives and targets to better manage risks and opportunities. It includes guidelines on monitoring and reporting internally and externally, and on establishing guardrails and controls to ensure transition planning is credible.

A new report shows that the world’s biggest banks increased their funding to fossil fuel companies by 8% in 2025, although some, particularly in Europe, are cutting financing due to climate risk concerns and regulation.

The UK’s national standards agency, the BSI, welcomed the new ISO framework, noting that it had input from a broad coalition including representatives of finance sector organisations and experts from national standards bodies from around the world. 

“The framework will help institutions move from ambition to implementation through transparent and credible transition planning. We encourage financial institutions worldwide to pick up the standard, benefit their businesses and support the global adoption of credible transition planning,” said Scott Steedman, BSI director general of standards.

The BSI said research shows that 91% of UK businesses want help to accelerate their transition, with a focus on financial incentives and practical, skills-based guidance.

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Sara Hall, co-executive director at advocacy group Positive Money, welcomed the new standards but said regulation had to be made binding, especially given the departure of many US banks from voluntary initiatives like the Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA) since Donald Trump became US President.

“Private financial institutions are not changing their behaviour at the scale or speed necessary to meet global climate targets,” Hall said. 

Any measures short of mandatory simply won’t cut it. That’s why binding regulation and supervisory standards enforced by central banks and financial regulators at the national level, with penalisation for transgression, are vital to drive transition”.

The European Union has removed the obligation for companies to adopt a climate transition plan under revisions to the corporate sustainability due diligence directive (CSDDD). However, companies still need to submit a transition plan under the corporate sustainability reporting directive (CSRD).

Only 41% of EU banks had published their transition plans in 2024, despite being required to do so, while very few have a Paris-aligned pathway, according to a report from Finance Watch.

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This page was last updated June 12, 2026

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Emma Thomasson is a British journalist, consultant and trainer based in Berlin. She is an expert in economics, politics, business and technology. She previously worked for Reuters as a correspondent and bureau chief in Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, South Africa and the UK.

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Some motorists who pay monthly for insurance ‘charged annual rates close to 30%’

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Some motorists who pay monthly for insurance ‘charged annual rates close to 30%’

Some motorists are continuing to pay high interest rates when spreading the cost of their car insurance, according to analysis by Which?

The consumer group said some firms are charging annual percentage rates (APRs) comparable to expensive credit cards.

Some firms are still charging APRs of close to 30% on monthly motor insurance payments, Which? said.

Which? said it had found that between February and March 2026, several firms were charging APRs above 25% and some were charging as much as 29.9%.

It said that paying monthly is often the only realistic option for households facing financial pressure, creating a “poverty premium”.

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Two years ago, some firms were charging rates above 35% APR, according to Which?

It said that while some providers have lowered their rates since then, it believes that progress has been too slow.

Which? said that between February and March, it attempted to contact 61 car insurance brands, asking about the representative APRs charged to their customers who pay monthly.

Some 48 responded with their rates, or said they did not charge extra for paying in instalments

Rocio Concha, director of policy and advocacy at Which? said: “Millions of motorists rely on monthly payments to afford essential car insurance cover, yet many are still being charged interest rates comparable to an expensive credit card.”

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A spokesperson for the Association of British Insurers (ABI) said: “The industry recognises that many households are under financial pressure, and it understands why spreading the cost of cover is essential for many motorists.

Premium finance is widely used across the market with charges that can differ between insurers and by product.

“Our members remain committed to improving outcomes, and this includes being open about the fact that providing this service involves genuine operational costs – including keeping cover in place for a period even when payments are delayed or missed.

“Our premium finance principles make clear that any charges must be fair, transparent, and reflective of the costs incurred by insurers. The FCA’s (Financial Conduct Authority’s) own market study found that premium finance can deliver fair value for consumers and that the overall cost of premium finance has fallen since 2022.”

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Why Your Idle Cash Is Losing Value and How to Secure Much Higher Yields in 2026

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Why Your Idle Cash Is Losing Value and How to Secure Much Higher Yields in 2026

Cash accounts are having a moment, thanks to the decent interest rates they now pay, at long last. But selecting one can be a daunting task given the profusion of choices —from money market accounts to money market mutual funds to a small clutch of newly hatched money market exchange-traded funds.

The term money market has become a catch-all description for a variety of interest-bearing products that follow different rules. The offerings also vary in yield, ease of accessibility and, to a small degree, levels of safety. “In some respects, money market has become more of a marketing term than a technical term,” says Ted Rossman of Bankrate, a website that evaluates bank products. “There’s a lot of confusion about this.”

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