Finance
Today's pound, gold and oil prices in focus: commodity and currency check, 8 October
The pound dropped by about 0.1% against the US dollar on Tuesday, at 1.30, the lowest value in more than three weeks. The slip reflects a shift in investor sentiment, with traders paring back their bets on sterling in favour of the safe-haven US currency.
This trend has been bolstered by robust US economic data and hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, contrasting sharply with the dovish stance expressed by Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey.
Investor unease is further exacerbated by the upcoming government budget announcement later this month, raising concerns about potential tax hikes and spending cuts.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB), which gauges the dollar’s strength against six major currencies, has extended its winning streak for six consecutive trading days, surpassing the 102 mark.
Read more: FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks decline across Europe as UK borrowing costs escalate
Looking ahead, investors will focus on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September, set to be released on Thursday. This inflation data is expected to shed light on the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate decisions in November.
Sterling was also lower against the euro (GBPEUR=X) in early trading, slipping 0.1% to €1.19.
Gold prices have slipped for the fifth consecutive day, hitting an over one-week low during early European trading on Tuesday, edging closer to the critical $2,630 support level.
At the time of writing, spot gold was down 0.3% at $2,635.43 per ounce, while US gold futures slipped 0.4% to $2,656.50.
This downward trend is largely attributed to diminishing expectations for a substantial interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November, which has undermined demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
Despite this decline, gold’s downside remains somewhat cushioned by a modest weakening of the US dollar, which typically supports USD-denominated commodities.
Read more: Chancellor Reeves urged to change fiscal rules in budget to unlock £57bn
Geopolitical tensions, particularly ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, may also provide some support for gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets. However, many traders are likely to adopt a cautious stance, refraining from making aggressive directional bets ahead of the upcoming release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday.
In addition, key economic indicators such as the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Producer Price Index (PPI), scheduled for release on Thursday and Friday respectively, are expected to influence short-term dollar dynamics and offer new momentum for gold prices.
Oil prices have slipped after hitting a six-week high but are still hovering around the $80 mark amid escalating fears over the conflict in the Middle East.
Brent crude futures dropped 1.5% to $76.69 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) crude fell 1.9% to $75.68 per barrel during early European trading.
Brent has been rising since Israel decided to take military actions against Hamas in Gaza, as well as tensions with Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen, all of which are linked to Iran. Since the attack on Israel on October 7 2023, these developments have served as catalysts for rising oil prices.
However, in recent weeks, the market had experienced some stability amid concerns about weakened global demand, particularly from China, and the potential risks of further disruptions to shipping in the oil-rich region.
Read more: Stocks to watch ahead of the October budget
But further gains in crude were held back by the dollar, as expectations of smaller US interest rate cuts boosted the greenback.
Traders were also watching for the reopening of Chinese markets after a week-long holiday, as the world’s biggest oil importer announced a slew of major stimulus measures.
Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was lower at the open, losing 1.2%% to 8,202 points. For more details check our live coverage here.
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Finance
This Is the Best Thing to Do With Your 2026 Military Pay Raise
Editor’s note: This is the fourth installment of New Year, New You, a weeklong look at your financial health headed into 2026.
The military’s regularly occurring pay raises provide an opportunity that many civilians only dream of. Not only do the annual percentage increases troops receive each January provide frequent chances to rebalance financial priorities — savings vs. current standard of living — so do time-in-service increases for every two years of military service, not to mention promotions.
Two experts in military pay and personal finance — a retired admiral and a retired general, each at the head of their respective military mutual aid associations — advised taking a similarly predictable approach to managing each new raise:
Cut it in half.
In one variation of the strategy, a service member simply adds to their savings: whatever it is they prioritize. In the other, consistent increases in retirement contributions soon add up to a desirable threshold.
Rainy Day Fund
The active military’s 3.8% pay raise in 2026 came in a percentage point higher than retirees and disabled veterans received, meaning troops “should be able to afford the market basket of goods that the average American is afforded,” said Michael Meese, a retired Army brigadier general and president of Armed Forces Mutual.
While the veterans’ lower rate relies exclusively on the rate of inflation, Congress has the option to offer more; and in doing so is making up for recent years when the pay raise didn’t keep up with unusually high inflation, Meese said.
“So this is helping us catch up a little bit.”
He also speculated that the government shutdown “upset a lot of people” and that widespread support of the 3.8% raise across party lines and in both houses of Congress showed “that it has confidence in the military and wants to take care of the military and restore government credibility with service men and women,” Meese said.
His suggestion for managing pay raises:
“If you’ve been living already without the pay raise and now you see this pay raise, if you can,” Meese advised, “I always said … you should save half and spend half,” Meese said. “That way, you don’t instantly increase your spending habits just because you see more money at the end of the month.”
A service member who makes only $1,000 every two weeks, for example, gets another $38 every two weeks starting this month. Put $19 into savings, and you can put the other $19 toward “beer and pizza or whatever you’re going to do,” Meese said.
“That way you’re putting money away for a rainy day,” he said — to help prepare for a vacation, for example, “so you’re not putting those on a credit card.” If you set aside only $25 more per pay period, “at the end of the year, you’ve got an extra $300 in there, and that may be great for Christmas vacation or Christmas presents or something like that.”
Retirement Strategy
Brian Luther, retired rear admiral and the president and chief executive officer of Navy Mutual, recognizes that “personal finance is personal” — in other words, “every situation is different.” Nevertheless, he insists that “everyone should have a plan” that includes:
- What your cash flow is
- Where your money is going
- Where you need to go in the future
But even if you don’t know a lot of those details, Luther said, the most important thing:
Luther also advised an approach based on cutting the 3.8% pay raise in half, keeping half for expenses and putting the other half into the Thrift Savings Plan. Then “that pay will work for you until you need it in retirement,” Luther said. With every subsequent increase, put half into the TSP until you’re setting aside a full 15% of your pay.
For a relatively young service member, “Once you hit 15%, and [with] the 5% match from the government, that’s enough for your future,” Luther said.
Previously in this series:
Part 1: 2026 Guide to Pay and Allowances for Military Service Members, Veterans and Retirees
Part 2: Understanding All the Deductions on Your 2026 Military Leave and Earnings Statements
Part 3: Should You Let the Military Set Aside Allotments from Your Pay?
Get the Latest Financial Tips
Whether you’re trying to balance your budget, build up your credit, select a good life insurance program or are gearing up for a home purchase, Military.com has you covered. Subscribe to Military.com and get the latest military benefit updates and tips delivered straight to your inbox.
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