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Stock market today: Dow hits fresh record, stocks close out strong week as inflation cools

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Stock market today: Dow hits fresh record, stocks close out strong week as inflation cools

Stocks traded mixed on Friday but closed the week on a high as investors embraced an inflation report seen as crucial to the Federal Reserve’s next decision on interest rate cuts.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.3% and finished with a fresh record. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 0.1%, but is coming off a record-high close from the prior session. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) sank about 0.4%.

Despite the mixed trading on Friday, the stock gauges all recorded wins for the week after confidence in the economy returned to the market. The Dow and the S&P added about 0.7%, while the Nasdaq rose 1%.

A solid GDP reading, combined with continued cooling in inflation, has cemented growing conviction that the Fed can nail a “soft landing” as it embarks on a rate-cutting campaign.

The August reading of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the inflation metric favored by the Fed, showed continued cooling in price pressures. The “core” PCE index, which is most closely watched by policymakers, rose 0.1% month over month, lower than Wall Street forecasts.

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The PCE reading appeared to goose up bets on another jumbo-sized rate cut from the Fed next month. More than half of traders — around 52% — now expect a 50 basis point cut.

Read more: What the Fed rate cut means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

Elsewhere, China added to its stream of stimulus measures, boosting markets once again. Mainland stocks scored their biggest weekly win since 2008, and luxury stocks are set for their best week in years as hopes for Chinese demand rise. Meanwhile, shares of Alibaba (BABA, 9988.HK), JD.com (JD, 9618.HK), and Meituan (3690.HK, MPNGY) surged amid the buying spree.

Live13 updates

  • Dow closes with new record

    Mixed trading on Friday still came with weekly wins as all three major gauges were in the green for the week. Investors appeared to welcome the latest inflation report that showed price pressures continuing to sink towards the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.3% or more than 100 points to clinch a record close. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 0.1%, but is only coming down from a fresh record of its own. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) sank about 0.4%, but led the weekly wins overall, gaining 1%, compared to the S&P and the Dow’s 0.6%.

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  • Chip stocks close lower despite earlier gains

    US chip stocks fell Friday after a week of ups and downs. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (^SOX) dropped nearly 1.8%, but remains up 4.3% from last week.

    Micron (MU) fell down around 2.2% after skyrocketing Wednesday on its raised outlook for the upcoming quarter, fueled by AI demand. Micron was the first chipmaker to report financial results this earnings season, and its positive report raised fellow chip stocks such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

    Some negative news for Nvidia (NVDA) came when AI server maker Super Micro Computer (SMCI), one of Nvidia’s biggest customers, saw shares plummet Thursday after reports of a DOJ probe into alleged accounting violations. Bloomberg also reported Friday that the Chinese government is pressuring companies to buy AI chips within its borders rather than from Nvidia. Nvidia fell 2.2%, though analysts said there was no singular reason for the stock’s drop.

    Daniel Newman, CEO of the Futurum Group, noted that semiconductors are a volatile industry. Nvidia stock has also been more volatile since its 10-for-1 stock split in June, Newman noted.

    Bob O’Donnell, founder of TECHnalysis Research, said Nvidia and other chip companies still display strong fundamentals and will likely continue to perform at high levels. Newman noted that there is “strong optimism right now from the top leaders across the industry.”

  • A look at the week ahead

    As a momentous September gives way to October, new jobs numbers will play a huge role in setting expectations for the days ahead.

    The September jobs report, which is scheduled to arrive on Friday, will offer the latest snapshot of the labor market. Should unemployment come in line with expectations, that will likely paint the Fed in a favorable light, as central bankers decided to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Their efforts to ease back a restrictive monetary policy were designed in part to protect a labor market that has cooled somewhat. If, however, jobs numbers come in worse than expected, the data will offer fuel to critics who have argued that the Fed acted too slowly in cutting rates.

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    Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to offer remarks ahead of the jobs report, on Monday, as investors look for signals on the central bank’s next move

    On the corporate front, major names scheduled to report include Nike (NKE), Carnival (CCL) and Constellation Brands (STZ).

    Yahoo Finance’s Brent Sanchez has a graphical breakdown of what to watch next week:

  • Zuckerberg faces deposition in AI copyright lawsuit from Sarah Silverman and other authors

    One of the most important debates sparked over the sudden rise of generative AI tools is whether the process of training large language models using existing artistic works is a new form of copyright infringement.

    An array of authors, media outlets and other creative professionals have sued to stop AI companies from using their content on the internet, arguing that their works are being used without compensation in order to advance a new technology and market opportunities.

    Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg will soon play a direct role in one of the most important lawsuits tackling this subject. Earlier this week a US District Court judge overseeing a suit brought by authors including Sarah Silverman and Ta-Nehisi Coates rejected Meta’s bid to prevent the deposition of Zuckerberg, the Associated Press reported Friday.

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    Meta had tried to block Zuckerberg’s deposition by arguing that he does not have unique knowledge of the company’s AI operations and other Meta employees could provide the same information. Zuckerberg’s participation will likely draw even more attention to the legal matter, similar to his high-profile appearances on Capitol Hill during Congressional hearings on the role of social media in society.

  • New PCE reading supports case for smaller Fed rate cut in November

    Change in core PCE since 2018Change in core PCE since 2018

    Change in core PCE since 2018

    A fresh reading on inflation Friday keeps the Federal Reserve on track to continue cutting interest rates this fall, likely in 25 basis point increments, reports Yahoo Finance’s Jennifer Schonberger.

    The result means that a bigger 50 basis point cut may be hard to justify at the Fed’s next meeting in November, according to some Fed watchers.

    The fact that core inflation year-over-year is holding the level of the last two months, and not dropping, lines up more with a scenario for a smaller cut — lest the job market substantially weaken between now and November.

    “The core year-over-year at 2.7% suggests that another round of 50 basis points needs to come under careful scrutiny unless the labor market suggests weakness,” said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial.

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    The consensus among Fed officials outlined last week is for two more 25 basis point rate cuts in 2024.

    Read more here

  • Proposed Biden Chinese car tech ban could cut US auto sales

    Escalating economic tensions between the US and China could have further ramifications for the domestic auto industry.

    On Friday the Commerce Department said a new proposal from the Biden administration to ban connected vehicles from China and key Chinese software in American cars could eat into US auto sales by more than 250,000 vehicles per year, as well as put pressure on prices to rise, Reuters reported.

    US automakers and other companies selling to American consumers others “may be less competitive in the global market because of the relatively higher prices of their vehicles,” the department said.

    As many as 25,841 fewer vehicles would be sold annually if the rule takes effect, the Commerce Department said, adding that $1.5 billion to $2.3 billion in vehicle inputs from Chinese or Russian companies would also be impacted by the proposal.

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    The proposal would also require that American automakers eventually remove certain Chinese software and hardware from vehicles in the US.

  • Dow rises 250 points in afternoon trading

    Stocks traded mixed on Friday after investors were greeted with a fresh inflation report that showed prices continue to cool. In another economics update, consumer sentiment slightly beat expectations in September, with a reading of 70.1 surpassing the 69.4 that economists had projected.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) ticked just above the flatline after eking out a third record-high close this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.7%, or more than 250 points while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) sank about 0.3%.

  • Stocks trending on Friday

    Here are some of the stocks leading Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers page during morning trading on Friday:

    Costco (COST): Shares of the warehouse retailer sank more than 1% Friday morning after the company posted a mixed fourth-quarter earnings report. Revenue came in at $79.70 billion, falling slightly below the expected $79.96 billion. Meanwhile, US comparable sales, ex-gasoline and currency impacts, were better than analysts were expecting.

    Cassava Sciences (SAVA): Shares of the biopharmaceutical company fell more than 10% after reaching a settlement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission over allegations that it advanced misleading claims about an Alzheimer’s clinical trial. The settlement amounts to over over $40 million

    Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY): The pharmaceutical company rose 3% following news that the FDA approved its schizophrenia drug, making it the first new drug-related approach for patients of the disease in 30 years.

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    Acadia (ACHC): Shares of the behavioral health facilities chain fell roughly 18% Friday after settling with the US Justice Department to resolve allegations it knowingly billed patients for medically unnecessary inpatient behavioral health services. The agreed to pay nearly $20 million.

     

  • Market bets rise for another jumbo rate cut

    The latest encouraging reading of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge has shifted market forecasts for the likelihood of another 50-basis-point interest-rate cut.

    On Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index showed that prices in August increased at a slower pace than expected on a monthly basis. That impacted the debate over the Fed’s next policy rate decision, as central bankers move forward on winding down their tightening cycle.

    After Friday’s inflation release, investors were pricing in a 54% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s November policy meeting. That compares with the 50% chance seen a week ago, per the CME FedWatch Tool.

    If inflation continues to show signs of easing, that will likely pressure Fed officials to accelerate their plans to bring interest rates down, since elevated rates threaten the labor market and may lead to an economic slowdown that officials have thus far avoided.

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  • Costco’s stock slips, but its gold bars are selling like hot cakes

    Costco (COST) is slinging a lot of gold bars as prices for the precious metal continue to surge, report Yahoo Finance’s Brooke DiPalma and Brian Sozzi.

    Sales of gold were up “double digits” in the most recent quarter, the wholesale giant’s CFO Gary Millerchip told analysts on an earnings call Thursday evening. Millerchip added that gold was a “meaningful tailwind” to e-commerce sales in the quarter.

    Costco began selling gold bars in the fall of 2023. Wells Fargo analysts have estimated the company is moving bars worth $100 million to $200 million each month.

    On its website, Costco sells its 1 oz gold bar for $2,679.99. You have to be a member to buy the bullion. It’s also non-refundable, and there’s a limit of five total units per membership.

    Despite the hefty sales of gold, Costco’s bread and butter is still hawking products like, well, bread and butter to cost-conscious shoppers.

    Its fiscal fourth quarter, same-store sales growth came in at 6.9%, compared with estimates of 6.4% on Wall Street. E-commerce sales jumped 19.5%, slightly lower than the 19.63% growth rate analysts projected.

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    Read more here

  • Stocks open higher as inflation measure shows more cooling

    Stocks continued to build positive momentum on Friday morning as investors welcomed another update that showed price pressures easing. The encouraging inflation report spurred market expectations that the Federal Reserve may make another jumbo rate cut at its next policy meeting in November.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.1% after eking out a third record-high close this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) each gained around 0.2%.

  • Intel stock edges up on news of CHIPS Act funding talks, reports of Arm offer

    Intel (INTC) stock rose 1.8% in early trading Friday after the Financial Times reported that the chipmaker and the US government are on track to finalize $8.5 billion in CHIPS Act funding for the company by the end of the year.

    Separately, Bloomberg reported that Arm Holdings (ARM) expressed interest in buying Intel’s product business.

    The potential offer from Arm, the British chip designer with high-profile partners including Google (GOOG) and Apple (APPL), was rebuked by Intel, unnamed sources told Bloomberg.

    Intel has also reportedly been approached by Qualcomm (QCOM) and investment manager Apollo to buy the company in its entirety. Intel shares have climbed on the news over the past week, but are still down more than 50% from the beginning of the year. (Disclosure: Yahoo Finance is owned by Apollo Global Management.)

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    Rival Qualcomm floated a friendly takeover, according to the Wall Street Journal, but such a deal could face blowback from antitrust regulators. Analysts have also cast doubt on whether a Qualcomm takeover would make sense for Qualcomm or Intel financially.

  • Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows prices increased less than Wall Street expected in August

    The latest reading of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge showed prices increased at a slower pace than expected on a monthly basis in August.

    The “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out the cost of food and energy, rose 0.1% from the prior month during August. The reading, which is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, came in below the 0.2% expected by Wall Street and the 0.2% seen in July.

    Over the prior year, prices rose 2.7% in August, matching Wall Street’s expectations and topping the 2.6% rate seen in July.

    Read more here.

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Cheers Financial Taps into AI to Build Credit – Los Angeles Business Journal

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Cheers Financial Taps into AI to Build Credit – Los Angeles Business Journal

A credit-building tool fintech founder Ken Lian built out of personal need just got an artificial intelligence-powered upgrade.

Lian and co-founders Zhen Wang and Qingyi Li recently launched Cheers Financial – a startup run out of Pasadena-based Idealab Inc. which combines fast-tracked credit-building with “immigrant-friendly” onboarding.

“Our mission is really to try to make credit fair to individuals who want to have financial freedom in the U.S.,” Lian said.

After coming to the U.S. as an international student from China in 2008, Lian said he struggled for four years to get a bank’s approval for a credit card. Since 2021, the USC alumnus’ fintech ventures have aimed to break down the hurdles immigrants like him often face in accessing and building credit.

Since its launch in November, Cheers Financial has seen “healthy growth,” Lian said, with thousands using its secured personal loan product to build credit through automated monthly payments. At the end of the 24-month loan period, users get their principal back minus about 12.2% interest.

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“The product is designed to automate the entire flow, so users basically can set and forget it,” Lian said.

Cheers, partnering with Minnesota-based Sunrise Banks, boasts an average 21-point increase in credit scores within a couple of months among its users coming in with “fair” scores from the high 500s to mid-600s.

With help from AI data summary and matching, the company reports to the three major credit bureaus every 15 days – two times as frequent as popular credit-building app Kikoff. Lian hopes to shave that down to seven days.

Cheers is far from Lian, Wang and Li’s first step into alternative financial tools. An earlier venture launched in 2021, Cheese Inc., served a similar goal as an online platform providing credit-building loans alongside other services, including a zero-fee debit card with cash back.

Cheese folded when the company it used as its middle layer, Synapse Financial Technologies, collapsed in April 2024 and locked thousands of users out of their savings.

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For Lian and other fintech founders, Synapse’s fall was a wake-up call to the gaps and risks of digital banking’s status quo. As he geared up for Cheers, Lian knew in-house models and a direct company-to-bank relationship were key.

“That allows us to build a very secure and stable platform for our users,” Lian said.

Despite cooling investment in fintech, Cheers nabbed backing from San Francisco-based Better Tomorrow Ventures’ $140 million fintech fund. Automating base-level processes with AI has given the company a chance to operate at a lower cost, Lian said.

“You don’t need to build everything from the ground up,” Lian said. “You can let AI build the basic part, and then you optimize from that.”

Strong demand from high-quality users who spread the word to friends and relatives has helped, too. Some have even started Cheers accounts before arriving in the U.S., Lian said, to get a head start on building credit.

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How The Narrative Around ConocoPhillips (COP) Is Shifting With New Research And Cash Flow Concerns

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How The Narrative Around ConocoPhillips (COP) Is Shifting With New Research And Cash Flow Concerns
ConocoPhillips’ fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly, moving from about US$112.37 to roughly US$111.48, as recent research blends confidence in the company’s execution and balance sheet with more cautious views on crude pricing and near term cash flow. The core discount rate has been held steady at 6.956%, while modest tweaks to revenue growth assumptions, from 1.92% to 1.69%, reflect tempered expectations around demand and realizations that some firms are flagging. Stay tuned to…
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Africa’s climate finance rules are growing, but they’re weakly enforced – new research

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Africa’s climate finance rules are growing, but they’re weakly enforced – new research

Climate change is no longer just about melting ice or hotter summers. It is also a financial problem. Droughts, floods, storms and heatwaves damage crops, factories and infrastructure. At the same time, the global push to cut greenhouse gas emissions creates risks for countries that depend on oil, gas or coal.

These pressures can destabilise entire financial systems, especially in regions already facing economic fragility. Africa is a prime example.

Although the continent contributes less than 5% of global carbon emissions, it is among the most vulnerable. In Mozambique, repeated cyclones have destroyed homes, roads and farms, forcing banks and insurers to absorb heavy losses. Kenya has experienced severe droughts that hurt agriculture, reducing farmers’ ability to repay loans. In north Africa, heatwaves strain electricity grids and increase water scarcity.

These physical risks are compounded by “transition risks”, like declining revenues from fossil fuel exports or higher borrowing costs as investors worry about climate instability. Together, they make climate governance through financial policies both urgent and complex. Without these policies, financial systems risk being caught off guard by climate shocks and the transition away from fossil fuels.

This is where climate-related financial policies come in. They provide the tools for banks, insurers and regulators to manage risks, support investment in greener sectors and strengthen financial stability.

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Regulators and banks across Africa have started to adopt climate-related financial policies. These range from rules that require banks to consider climate risks, to disclosure standards, green lending guidelines, and green bond frameworks. These tools are being tested in several countries. But their scope and enforcement vary widely across the continent.

My research compiles the first continent-wide database of climate-related financial policies in Africa and examines how differences in these policies – and in how binding they are – affect financial stability and the ability to mobilise private investment for green projects.

A new study I conducted reviewed more than two decades of policies (2000–2025) across African countries. It found stark differences.

South Africa has developed the most comprehensive framework, with policies across all categories. Kenya and Morocco are also active, particularly in disclosure and risk-management rules. In contrast, many countries in central and west Africa have introduced only a few voluntary measures.

Why does this matter? Voluntary rules can help raise awareness and encourage change, but on their own they often do not go far enough. Binding measures, on the other hand, tend to create stronger incentives and steadier progress. So far, however, most African climate-related financial policies remain voluntary. This leaves climate risk as something to consider rather than a firm requirement.

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Uneven landscape

In Africa, the 2015 Paris Agreement marked a clear turning point. Around that time, policy activity increased noticeably, suggesting that international agreements and standards could help create momentum and visibility for climate action. The expansion of climate-related financial policies was also shaped by domestic priorities and by pressure from international investors and development partners.

But since the late 2010s, progress has slowed. Limited resources, overlapping institutional responsibilities and fragmented coordination have made it difficult to sustain the earlier pace of reform.

Looking across the continent, four broad patterns have emerged.

A few countries, such as South Africa, have developed comprehensive frameworks. These include:

  • disclosure rules (requirements for banks and companies to report how climate risks affect them)

  • stress tests (simulations of extreme climate or transition scenarios to see whether banks would remain resilient).

Others, including Kenya and Morocco, are steadily expanding their policy mix, even if institutional capacity is still developing.

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Some, such as Nigeria and Egypt, are moderately active, with a focus on disclosure rules and green bonds. (Those are bonds whose proceeds are earmarked to finance environmentally friendly projects such as renewable energy, clean transport or climate-resilient infrastructure.)

Finally, many countries in central and west Africa have introduced only a limited number of measures, often voluntary in nature.

This uneven landscape has important consequences.

The net effect

In fossil fuel-dependent economies such as South Africa, Egypt and Algeria, the shift away from coal, oil and gas could generate significant transition risks. These include:

  • financial instability, for example when asset values in carbon-intensive sectors fall sharply or credit exposures deteriorate

  • stranded assets, where fossil fuel infrastructure and reserves lose their economic value before the end of their expected life because they can no longer be used or are no longer profitable under stricter climate policies.

Addressing these challenges may require policies that combine investment in new, low-carbon sectors with targeted support for affected workers, communities and households.

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Climate finance affects people directly. When droughts lead to loan defaults, local banks are strained. Insurance companies facing repeated payouts after floods may raise premiums. Pension funds invested in fossil fuels risk devaluations as these assets lose value. Climate-related financial policies therefore matter not only for regulators and markets, but also for jobs, savings, and everyday livelihoods.

At the same time, there are opportunities.

Firstly, expanding access to green bonds and sustainability-linked loans can channel private finance into renewable energy, clean transport, or resilient infrastructure.

Secondly, stronger disclosure rules can improve transparency and investor confidence.

Thirdly, regional harmonisation through common reporting standards, for example, would reduce fragmentation. This would make it easier for Africa to attract global climate finance.

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Looking ahead

International forums such as the UN climate conferences (COP) and the G20 have helped to push this agenda forward, mainly by setting expectations rather than hard rules. These initiatives create pressure and guidance. But they remain soft law. Turning them into binding, enforceable rules still depends on decisions taken by national regulators and governments.

International partners such as the African Development Bank and the African Union could support coordination by promoting continental standards that define what counts as a green investment. Donors and multilateral lenders may also provide technical expertise and financial support to countries with weaker systems, helping them move from voluntary guidelines toward more enforceable rules.

South Africa, already a regional leader, could share its experience with stress testing and green finance frameworks.

Africa also has the potential to position itself as a hub for renewable energy and sustainable finance. With vast solar and wind resources, expanding urban centres, and an increasingly digital financial sector, the continent could leapfrog towards a greener future if investment and regulation advance together.

Success stories in Kenya’s sustainable banking practices and Morocco’s renewable energy expansion show that progress is possible when financial systems adapt.

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What happens next will matter greatly. By expanding and enforcing climate-related financial rules, Africa can reduce its vulnerability to climate shocks while unlocking opportunities in green finance and renewable energy.

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