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Nvidia investors should've sold the stock a month ago, strategist says

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Nvidia investors should've sold the stock a month ago, strategist says

One Nvidia (NVDA) bear warned the time has come for investors to sell.

Nvidia failed to meet sky-high expectations when it reported its fiscal second quarter earnings on Wednesday. Nvidia reported profits and revenue that topped forecasts but not by as much as investors hoped, delivering its smallest earnings beat in the last six quarters.

Nvidia stock fell 6% on Wednesday evening in reaction to the results and continued to slide 4% lower on Thursday afternoon. Year to date, the stock remains up nearly 140%.

When asked when it might be time to sell, David Bahnsen, chief investment officer of Bahnsen Group, said, “About a month ago. Two months ago. Today. Tomorrow.”

“People are paying for perfection,” Bahnsen added (video above). “You’re buying Nvidia banking on there being another investor who’s a bigger sucker than you are.”

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The warning from Bahnsen comes as the stock has rallied 1,000% from its October 2022 lows. His call is based on one data point: Nvidia’s price-to-earnings ratio, which sits just above 56 after earnings but neared 80 in July.

He offered a reminder that a company and its stock are not the same thing.

“This is not me bashing on Nvidia,” Bahnsen said. “This is a success story. I’m commenting on the valuation — that when you start paying those prices, the risk-reward skew becomes very unattractive.”

Still, it’s a risk that the 89% of analysts with a Buy rating on the stock are willing to take. The stock has zero Sell ratings, which is understandable considering Nvidia posted $30 billion in revenue in the second quarter, a 122% increase over the same period last year.

Nvidia’s future depends in part on other Big Tech companies. Hyperscalers Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), and Amazon (AMZN) are responsible for 40% of Nvidia’s revenue, according to Bloomberg estimates.

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Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai indicated on the company’s earnings call this quarter that the company’s spending on artificial intelligence would not slow down. “The one way I think about it is when you go through a curve like this, the risk of underinvesting is dramatically greater than the risk of overinvesting for us,” Pichai said.

TAIPEI, TAIWAN - 2023/05/29: Nvidia president and CEO Jensen Huang enters the stage while waving to the audience at a keynote presentation at COMPUTEX. The COMPUTEX 2023 runs from 30 May to 02 June 2023 and gathers over 1,000 exhibitors from 26 different countries with 3000 booths to display their latest products and to sign orders with foreign buyers. (Photo by Walid Berrazeg/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Nvidia president and CEO Jensen Huang waves to the audience at a keynote presentation at COMPUTEX. (Walid Berrazeg/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) (SOPA Images via Getty Images)

Alphabet’s investment in AI, which represents a significant portion of Nvidia’s revenue, could be a bullish signal to come. But those business fundamentals aren’t the only focus.

“The estimates for next year and the year after that are starting to get way, way out of control,” D.A. Davidson managing director Gil Luria told Yahoo Finance.

The next big question for investors is whether the Street’s reaction to Nvidia results this quarter will be enough to dampen earnings expectations heading into Q3.

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For Bahnsen, it may already be too late.

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Islanders encouraged to check car finance deals

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Islanders encouraged to check car finance deals
The FCA said firms are expected to pay £7.5bn to people who took out eligible motor finance deals, with the administrative cost of the scheme predicted to reach £1.6bn [PA Media]

Motorists in Jersey have been urged to check car finance deals after millions of drivers were mis-sold motor finance agreements and are set to receive compensation later this year.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) set out its proposal for a redress scheme, costing lenders £9.1bn, last week – it’s estimated 12.1 million motor finance deals will meet the criteria.

The Jersey Consumer Council has encouraged anyone who thinks they might have been mis-sold car finance to contact the dealership or finance company who sold it.

It has created downloadable template letters for people to use to investigate potential commission issues in their agreements.

Pay-outs are expected to total an average of around £829 per person in compensation.

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It said the letters, which can be sent to both car dealers and finance, would allow “consumers to take the first formal step in establishing how their finance was arranged”.

It said it was intended to help those affected find out whether commission was paid on their motor finance and whether that commission may have influenced the interest rate or terms of the loan.

Claims can be made for any car finance taken out after 2010.

The Consumer Council said in Jersey as with the UK, some arrangements allowed dealers to increase the interest rate offered to a customer in order to earn a higher commission, a practice that had since attracted regulatory and legal scrutiny.

It said the key issue was “transparency”.

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“Borrowers should have been clearly told whether commission was being paid, how it was calculated, and whether it could affect the cost of their borrowing.”

The council said the letters were designed to be straightforward, and request written confirmation of whether discretionary or flat commission arrangements applied, or whether there were exclusive relationships between dealers and finance companies.

It added if commission arrangements did apply and were not disclosed, the letters allow customers to raise a formal complaint.

If firms were unable to confirm the position, the correspondence could also operate as a data subject access request, requiring companies to provide relevant records under Jersey’s data protection law.

It said once people received either a rejection letter, or no reply within three months, they could raise the issue with the Channel Islands Financial Ombudsman.

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Follow BBC Jersey on X and Facebook. Send your story ideas to channel.islands@bbc.co.uk.

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What falling wage growth says about where the U.S. economy is heading

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What falling wage growth says about where the U.S. economy is heading

Americans are getting smaller pay raises while tariffs and higher gas prices are threatening to make everything more expensive.

Translation: The affordability problem isn’t improving.

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New government data released Friday showed non-supervisory workers getting a 3.4% pay raise on average hourly earnings over the last year. That’s the slowest pace of wage gains since 2021, and a downshift from the last two years, when pay bumps were closer to 4%.

The slowdown comes as economists worry about rising inflation, with the Iran war choking off oil tankers and pushing gas prices up over $1 per gallon in just a month, to a national average of $4.09 on Friday.

As diesel costs break $5.50 a gallon (compared to just $3.89 a month ago), retailers and grocers are now contending with higher transportation costs. Amazon said Thursday it will begin charging sellers a 3.5% “fuel and logistics-related surcharge” beginning on April 17.

Airlines like United and JetBlue are raising bag fees in an effort to offset sky-high jet fuel costs. The International Air Transport Association says the price of jet fuel is up 104% in the past month.

“With the recent uptick in inflation driven by energy prices, real wage growth is likely to decelerate further, putting increased pressure on consumers,” said Thrivent’s chief financial and investment officer, David Royal.

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For now, Americans are still seeing their earnings rise at a faster pace than the increase in price tags at the store. As pay rose by 3.4%, the most recent inflation data showed prices rising by 2.4% year-over-year.

Wage gains for non-supervisory employees — a category that includes roughly four out of every five non-farm workers — have been outpacing price increases since March 2023, when post-pandemic inflation finally began to cool.

But the concern is that the story could change soon. Because of the bump from oil prices, Navy Federal Credit Union Chief Economist Heather Long said it’s possible inflation could pace at 4% this month.

“Four percent is above that 3.5 percent annual wage gain, and that’s where you see a lot of squeeze on workers, particularly middle-class and moderate-income workers,” Long said.

Warning signs are flashing that slowing wage growth could ripple beyond the gas station and prices at the grocery store. Higher mortgage rates now have some worried about icing out even more potential homebuyers.

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The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose from 5.99% at the start of the war to 6.45% on April 3, according to Mortgage News Daily. The rise is due in part to concerns that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates to tamp down on war-driven inflation.

“With choppy job growth, weaker labor-force attachment and rising uncertainty, many households — especially renters and first-time buyers — could become more cautious as weaker inflation-adjusted wages erode recent affordability improvements,” said Zillow senior economist Orphe Divounguy.

If wages can’t keep up with rising costs across the board, it’s likely that affordability will become a larger issue than it already was prior to the war. An NBC News poll conducted during the first week of the war with Iran found that, for a plurality of respondents, inflation and the cost of living was the most important issue facing the country.

Economists feel the same way.

Responding to a question from NBC News at a March 18 news conference, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted that “real” wage gains — a measure of wages adjusted for inflation — need to be positive in order for Americans to feel better about affordability.

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“it will take some years of positive real earning gains for people to feel good again, we think. But you’re right — when you talk to people, they do feel squeezed,” Powell said.

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Focus Wealth Management Appoints Henry Kim as Chief Financial Officer and Head of Compliance

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Focus Wealth Management Appoints Henry Kim as Chief Financial Officer and Head of Compliance

TORONTO, April 4, 2026 /CNW/ – Focus Wealth Management is pleased to announce that Henry Kim has joined the firm as Chief Financial Officer and Head of Compliance. In his new role, Mr. Kim will oversee the firm’s finance, governance, and compliance functions, further strengthening operational and investment processes across the organization.

Henry Kim, Focus Wealth Management (CNW Group/Focus Wealth Management)

Mr. Kim previously served as Chief Financial Officer of the University Pension Plan of Ontario and as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Compliance Officer at CGOV Asset Management. He also held the role of Director, Investment Finance at CPP Investments and began his career in Assurance and Advisory Services at Deloitte & Touche.

“Henry’s expertise in finance and governance makes him an invaluable addition to our leadership team,” said Greg Thompson, Executive Chairman. “His appointment strengthens our operational and compliance framework while supporting our mission to deliver aligned, long-term investment outcomes for our clients.”

Mr. Kim holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from the University of Western Ontario and an MBA from the University of Toronto. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant and serves on the Board of Directors of Lumenus Mental Health, Development and Community Services as Chair of the Finance and Audit Committee and Treasurer.

Focus Wealth Management is a privately owned and independently operated firm located in Toronto.

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Focus Wealth Management (CNW Group/Focus Wealth Management)
Focus Wealth Management (CNW Group/Focus Wealth Management)
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View original content to download multimedia: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/April2026/04/c7403.html

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