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New regulator pledges transparency as China works to prevent investor exodus

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New regulator pledges transparency as China works to prevent investor exodus

China’s new financial regulator has made fresh pledges to increase regulatory transparency, stability and predictability, the latest of several attempts to restore investor confidence following a stock meltdown and high-profile personnel changes.

The country will benchmark its financial policies against international rules and reduce restrictive measures to make itself more open and integrated with the global market, the Communist Party’s newly created Central Financial Commission (CFC) said in an article published by People’s Daily, the party’s press organ, on Tuesday.

“[We’ll] strengthen the interconnection of domestic and overseas financial markets and better facilitate cross-border investment and financing,” the commission said in its article, which detailed how to make China a “financial superpower”.

These signals are being sent at a time when foreign investors, including greenfield capital and portfolio holders, are hesitant to decide their next move and worried over the future of China’s policy choices.

The world’s second-biggest economy achieved 5.2 per cent gross domestic product growth in 2023, but market sentiment has remained low thanks to a protracted property industry slump, beleaguered employment figures and ballooning debts held by local governments.

Foreign investors have turned to other markets in the past year amid these factors and heightened geopolitical tensions, pushing the country’s annual net receipt of foreign direct investment (FDI) to a 30-year low in 2023.

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‘We play with our money, so are careful’: is China uninvestable or invaluable?

According to data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Sunday, direct investment liabilities – a measure of both FDI inflows and outflows – rose by US$33 billion last year over 2022. This was a drop of 82 per cent year on year, and the lowest annual level for the investment metric since 1993.

However, Wang Chunying, a spokesperson for the forex regulator, said the foreign inflow of securities investment in China improved in the fourth quarter of 2023, with net inflow reaching a two-year high.

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Hong Kong stock market falls below 15,000 level, its lowest in 15 months

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Hong Kong stock market falls below 15,000 level, its lowest in 15 months

“This shows more foreign capital comes to China to invest in business and allocate renminbi assets”, she said in a statement, adding that China’s balance of payments will stabilise in 2024 as “both the internal and external environments will generally improve”.

China’s CSI 300 stock index, the benchmark index covering leading stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen, lost about 11 per cent in 2023 as investor confidence waned.

The gauge rose more than 1 per cent on Monday and 0.2 per cent on Tuesday, following a long Lunar New Year holiday that saw stronger-than-expected consumer spending led by tourism and cinema sales.

China’s middle class seek safe haven for wealth amid economic slowdown

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While committing to more openness and transparency, the CFC vowed to make Shanghai more competitive and influential as an international financial centre and consolidate the status of Hong Kong.

It also emphasised the importance of “high-level security”, pledging to keep all financial activities under control.

Officials should “identify, warn against, expose and handle risks as early as possible, and prevent small things from becoming magnified and big things from blowing up”, said the commission in the article.

Beijing sees managing financial risks as critical for China’s future development, as stability is being tested by government debt loads, widespread corruption and financial services that are lagging behind the country’s rapid advances in technology and manufacturing.

Preventing and resolving financial risks was termed an “eternal theme” for the Chinese government by President Xi Jinping at the twice-a-decade central financial work conference in October.
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Consumer confidence plunges among younger adults

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Consumer confidence plunges among younger adults

Consumer confidence has plunged among traditionally optimistic younger adults amid fears for their personal finances and the wider economy, figures show.

GfK’s long-running Consumer Confidence Index remained unchanged at an overall score of minus 23 in June.

However, the analyst said this was was “misleading as, beneath the surface, there are new signs that confidence is weakening”.

Source: GfK

Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said: “The biggest fall this month is among those aged 16 to 29, traditionally one of the most optimistic groups.

“Here confidence has dropped 11 points over the past month to minus two, the lowest level seen for two years, driven by large falls in views on both their own personal finances and the wider economy.

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“More broadly, there are now no demographic groups with a positive confidence score, including higher-income households earning £50,000 or more, who have slipped back into negative territory as of June.

“Confidence remains subdued and vulnerable to further economic or political uncertainty.”

Sourve: GfK
Sourve: GfK

Overall, confidence in personal finances over the coming year remained flat at minus two, four points lower than this time last year.

The measures of both personal finances and the economy over the previous 12 months were both slightly down, by two points and three points respectively, “reflecting the sense that things have been extremely tough over the last year for so many”, GfK said.

The only measure to increase was expectations for the wider economy over the next 12 months, up two points to minus 36 but still eight points below this time last year.

The major purchase index, an indicator of confidence in buying big ticket items, remained at minus 20, four points lower than June last year.

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How US-Iran peace deal will affect our cost of living

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How US-Iran peace deal will affect our cost of living

“Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!” said Donald Trump on social media after he announced the signing of an interim peace deal with Iran on Sunday. Under the agreement – which Iran acknowledged included a 60-day negotiating period for a final deal – the president said that following retrieval of mines, there would be a “toll free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz.

But many of the finer details remain “unclear”, said The Guardian. There are questions over the “exact timing of the reopening of the maritime route, who will oversee safe passage and whether any conditions will be applied”.

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Hong Kong graduates prefer careers in finance, survey finds

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Hong Kong graduates prefer careers in finance, survey finds
Hong Kong graduates believe the city’s finance industry is its most attractive and stable sector, making them more optimistic about career opportunities than their global peers, according to a study by the CFA Institute, which trains investment managers.

The US-based institute’s “2026 Graduate Outlook Survey”, released on Wednesday, found that 71 per cent of Hong Kong graduates rated their career prospects between eight and 10 out of 10. The global average for that level of optimism was 59 per cent.

The graduates’ view of careers in finance reflected “both the sector’s resilience and Hong Kong’s continued strength as an international financial centre, which ranks third worldwide and first in Asia-Pacific”, the institute said in a statement.

The findings also indicated that young people were confident about Hong Kong’s role as an international financial centre, resilient amid global uncertainties, and strategically focused on improving skills, it said.

That confidence was “deeply grounded”, it said, with nearly 90 per cent believing they had the skills to succeed and clearly understood what employers were looking for, notwithstanding the wider adoption of artificial intelligence in the city.

“Rather than viewing AI as a threat, 38 per cent of Hong Kong graduates believe it has no negative impact on their job hunting, and 37 per cent believe it makes securing a job easier,” the institute said. “Three quarters are already actively using AI tools in their job applications, demonstrating a proactive, tool-first mindset.”

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