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Fed independence faces a ‘showdown’ between Trump & the market

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Fed independence faces a ‘showdown’ between Trump & the market

00:00 Speaker A

I also want to ask about what’s going on with economic data and the Federal Reserve, guys. Um, Ed, what are you hearing there in D.C.? Right? There is now some reporting out there that Kevin Hassett is kind of the front-runner to potentially take Jay Powell’s place at the Federal Reserve. What are you hearing and what’s the kind of vibe in Washington around this decision?

00:43 Ed

So, Julie, the way I’d view this is that President Trump always loves competition. You know, he came to some of his most recent national prominence by having the Apprentice show. And so, my expectation is that President Trump is going to keep multiple people in the running. Kevin Hassett certainly is in there. Kevin Warsh is in there. I’d put Christopher Waller, who’s already on the Fed board, as well as Treasury Secretary Bessant. I’m watching to see if there’s an opening on the Fed. If a governor steps down, like Michael Barr, now that he’s no longer vice chair for supervision, does one of these individuals get onto the board? I’m also watching for Waller as there are rate decisions here in July and September. Is there going to be a dissent? You generally don’t see dissents among Fed governors, but as you’re auditioning for that role, showing that you would be much more dovish is something that President Trump is going to be looking for and could move him up the list of potential Fed chairs come May of next year.

02:26 Speaker A

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Yeah, I think the Apprentice Federal Reserve edition is something that no one asked for, uh, guys. I don’t know, Dory, like, in terms of market reaction to all of this, um, you know, we’ve seen rates kind of remain range-bound here as we get numbers like CPI yesterday and PPI today. But do you think at some point that this competition is going to start to really come to bear in the bond market?

03:25 Dory

Uh, yeah, I think we have a showdown coming. Uh, most people in the marketplace want to preserve the independence of the Fed, and when I say that, I mean that both ways, not just from Trump’s standpoint, but from the Fed’s standpoint. I’ve always said the Fed is, in my mind, Powell being a little political in some of his rate cuts early last year. Having said that, the market has always anticipated for the last couple of years anyway, uh, more rate cuts than actually should have happened or did happen. And I think we’re falling into that trap, and so is Trump as well. I’m kind of a wait-and-see kind of guy right now. I do think the next Fed chair is going to be one of those type of interviews, hey, I’m Donald Trump and I believe this, and if you believe this, I’d like to have you as Fed chair. That points to Hassett being the, uh, being, being there. And, uh, I think that’s going to get some criticism from the market. I think we need that independence. We need good independent valuation. Uh, and, and, you know, I think cutting too soon, soon could be, uh, extremely dangerous when we all know that our deficit is out of control, our debt is out of control, and we don’t want to become a Venezuela.

Finance

Where in California are people feeling the most financial distress?

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Where in California are people feeling the most financial distress?

Inland California’s relative affordability cannot always relieve financial stress.

My spreadsheet reviewed a WalletHub ranking of financial distress for the residents of 100 U.S. cities, including 17 in California. The analysis compared local credit scores, late bill payments, bankruptcy filings and online searches for debt or loans to quantify where individuals had the largest money challenges.

When California cities were divided into three geographic regions – Southern California, the Bay Area, and anything inland – the most challenges were often found far from the coast.

The average national ranking of the six inland cities was 39th worst for distress, the most troubled grade among the state’s slices.

Bakersfield received the inland region’s worst score, ranking No. 24 highest nationally for financial distress. That was followed by Sacramento (30th), San Bernardino (39th), Stockton (43rd), Fresno (45th), and Riverside (52nd).

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Southern California’s seven cities overall fared better, with an average national ranking of 56th largest financial problems.

However, Los Angeles had the state’s ugliest grade, ranking fifth-worst nationally for monetary distress. Then came San Diego at 22nd-worst, then Long Beach (48th), Irvine (70th), Anaheim (71st), Santa Ana (85th), and Chula Vista (89th).

Monetary challenges were limited in the Bay Area. Its four cities average rank was 69th worst nationally.

San Jose had the region’s most distressed finances, with a No. 50 worst ranking. That was followed by Oakland (69th), San Francisco (72nd), and Fremont (83rd).

The results remind us that inland California’s affordability – it’s home to the state’s cheapest housing, for example – doesn’t fully compensate for wages that typically decline the farther one works from the Pacific Ocean.

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A peek inside the scorecard’s grades shows where trouble exists within California.

Credit scores were the lowest inland, with little difference elsewhere. Late payments were also more common inland. Tardy bills were most difficult to find in Northern California.

Bankruptcy problems also were bubbling inland, but grew the slowest in Southern California. And worrisome online searches were more frequent inland, while varying only slightly closer to the Pacific.

Note: Across the state’s 17 cities in the study, the No. 53 average rank is a middle-of-the-pack grade on the 100-city national scale for monetary woes.

Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at jlansner@scng.com

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Why Chime Financial Stock Surged Nearly 14% Higher Today | The Motley Fool

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Why Chime Financial Stock Surged Nearly 14% Higher Today | The Motley Fool

The up-and-coming fintech scored a pair of fourth-quarter beats.

Diversified fintech Chime Financial (CHYM +12.88%) was playing a satisfying tune to investors on Thursday. The company’s stock flew almost 14% higher that trading session, thanks mostly to a fourth quarter that featured notably higher-than-expected revenue guidance.

Sweet music

Chime published its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results just after market close on Wednesday. For the former period, the company’s revenue was $596 million, bettering the same quarter of 2024 by 25%. The company’s strongest revenue stream, payments, rose 17% to $396 million. Its take from platform-related activity rose more precipitously, advancing 47% to $200 million.

Image source: Getty Images.

Meanwhile, Chime’s net loss under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) more than doubled. It was $45 million, or $0.12 per share, compared with a fourth-quarter 2024 deficit of $19.6 million.

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On average, analysts tracking the stock were modeling revenue below $578 million and a deeper bottom-line loss of $0.20 per share.

In its earnings release, Chime pointed to the take-up of its Chime Card as a particular catalyst for growth. Regarding the product, the company said, “Among new member cohorts, over half are adopting Chime Card, and those members are putting over 70% of their Chime spend on the product, which earns materially higher take rates compared to debit.”

Chime Financial Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(12.88%) $2.72

Current Price

$23.83

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Double-digit growth expected

Chime management proffered revenue and non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) guidance for full-year 2026. The company expects to post a top line of $627 million to $637 million, which would represent at least 21% growth over the 2024 result. Adjusted EBITDA should be $380 million to $400 million. No net income forecasts were provided in the earnings release.

It isn’t easy to find a niche in the financial industry, which is crowded with companies offering every imaginable type of service to clients. Yet Chime seems to be achieving that, as the Chime Card is clearly a hit among the company’s target demographic of clientele underserved by mainstream banks. This growth stock is definitely worth considering as a buy.

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How young athletes are learning to manage money from name, image, likeness deals

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How young athletes are learning to manage money from name, image, likeness deals

ROCHESTER, N.Y. — Student athletes are now earning real money thanks to name, image, likeness deals — but with that opportunity comes the need for financial preparation.

Noah Collins Howard and Dayshawn Preston are two high school juniors with Division I offers on the table. Both are chasing their dreams on the field, and both are navigating something brand new off of it — their finances.

“When it comes to NIL, some people just want the money, and they just spend it immediately. Well, you’ve got to know how to take care of your money. And again, you need to know how to grow it because you don’t want to just spend it,” said Collins Howard.


What You Need To Know

  • High school athletes with Division I prospects are learning to manage NIL money before they even reach college
  • Glory2Glory Sports Agency and Advantage Federal Credit Union have partnered to give young athletes access to financial literacy tools and credit-building resources
  • Financial experts warn that starting money habits early is key to long-term stability for student athletes entering the NIL era


Preston said the experience has already been eye-opening.

“It’s very important. Especially my first time having my own card and bank account — so that’s super exciting,” Preston said.

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For many young athletes, the money comes before the knowledge. That’s where Glory2Glory Sports Agency in Rochester comes in — helping athletes prepare for life outside of sports.

“College sports is now pro sports. These kids are going from one extreme to the other financially, and it’s important for them to have the tools necessary to navigate that massive shift,” said Antoine Hyman, CEO of Glory2Glory Sports Agency.

Through their Students for Change program, athletes get access to student checking accounts, financial literacy courses and credit-building tools — all through a partnership with Advantage Federal Credit Union.

“It’s never too early to start. We have youth accounts, student checking accounts — they were all designed specifically for students and the youth,” said Diane Miller, VP of marketing and PR at Advantage Federal Credit Union.

The goal goes beyond what’s in their pocket today. It’s about building habits that will protect them for life.

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“If you don’t start young, you’re always catching up. The younger you start them, the better off they’re going to be on that financial path,” added Nihada Donohew, executive vice president of Advantage Federal Credit Union.

For these athletes, having the right support system makes all the difference.

“It’s really great to have a support system around you. Help you get local deals with the local shops,” Preston added.

Collins-Howard said the program has given him a broader perspective beyond just the game.

“It gives me a better understanding of how to take care of myself and prepare myself for the future of giving back to the community,” Collins-Howard said.

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“These high school kids need someone to legitimately advocate their skills, their character and help them pick the right space. Everything has changed now,” Hyman added.

NIL opened the door. Programs like this one make sure these athletes walk through it — with a plan.

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