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Kansas, Alabama, UConn top AP Top 25 preseason men’s basketball poll: Key takeaways

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Kansas, Alabama, UConn top AP Top 25 preseason men’s basketball poll: Key takeaways

By Brendan Marks, Justin Williams and Mark Cooper

For the second consecutive season, Kansas will begin the year as the No. 1 team in men’s college basketball. This time, the Jayhawks hope to stay there.

Kansas received 30 of 60 first-place votes to top the preseason AP Top 25 on Monday, putting it narrowly ahead of No. 2 Alabama (14 first-place votes) and two-time defending champion Connecticut, which was ranked third. The Huskies received 11 first-place votes.

Houston (four first-place votes) and Iowa State rounded out the top five. Gonzaga, which received one first-place vote, was sixth, followed by Duke, Baylor, North Carolina and Arizona.

Kansas, which went 23-11 and lost in the second round of the NCAA Tournament last season, returns three starters — Hunter Dickinson, KJ Adams Jr. and Dajuan Harris Jr. — and added a litany of transfers, including former Wisconsin guard AJ Storr, former Alabama guard Rylan Griffen and former South Dakota State guard Zeke Mayo, the Summit League player of the year. It’s the 13th consecutive year Bill Self’s program has begun the season ranked in the top 10, and the fifth time in KU history that it will open the season No. 1. The Jayhawks trail only North Carolina (10), Duke (nine) and UCLA (eight) for the most since preseason rankings began in 1962.

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Five Big 12 teams ranked in the top 10. The SEC led all conferences with nine teams in the Top 25.

Preseason AP men’s Top 25

RANK TEAM CONFERENCE

1

Big 12

2

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SEC

3

Big East

4

Big 12

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5

Big 12

6

West Coast

7

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ACC

8

Big 12

9

ACC

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10

Big 12

11

SEC

12

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SEC

13

SEC

14

Big Ten

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15

Big East

16

SEC

17

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Big Ten

18

Big East

19

SEC

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20

Big 12

21

SEC

22

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Big Ten

23

SEC

24

SEC

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25

Big Ten

Others receiving votes: Illinois 92, St. John’s 91, Xavier 73, Texas Tech 58, Wake Forest 37, Kansas St 30, Michigan State 29, Ohio State 29, Michigan 19, BYU 14, Oregon 12, McNeese State 11, Miami 11, Boise St. 9, Saint Louis 9, Clemson 9, Providence 9, Mississippi State 6, VCU 6, Wisconsin 5, Saint Mary’s 5, Louisville 4, UAB 4, Arkansas Little Rock 3, Grand Canyon 3, Arizona State 2, San Diego State 2, Princeton 2, High Point 1, Maryland 1.

Why Kansas is No. 1

A number of teams have reasonable arguments to be No. 1. Alabama — fresh off its first Final Four appearance in program history — returns All-American guard Mark Sears and added the nation’s second-ranked high school recruiting class. Houston has won 30 games or more three years running, and while point guard Jamal Shead is off to the NBA, the return of forwards Joseph Tugler and Terrance Arceneaux should once again make the Cougars one of America’s deepest teams. Then there’s Gonzaga, which returns four of five starters from last season’s Sweet 16 squad, while also adding multiple new contributors via the transfer portal.

But ultimately, it’s hard to overlook Kansas’ collection of talent, which is why the Jayhawks are a deserving preseason No. 1. Self not only returns a trio of tested starters in Adams, Harris and Dickinson, but went heavy in the transfer portal this spring, too, landing one of the nation’s top transfer classes. Griffen, the former Alabama wing, shot 39.2 percent from 3-point range last season and will be a welcome 3-and-D addition on the perimeter, especially beside relative non-shooters in Adams and Harris. He was No. 7 in The Athletic’s transfer portal rankings. Storr — who led Wisconsin in scoring last season — arrives as another key perimeter piece, and should allow Self a level of lineup versatility he hasn’t had the last two seasons. Then there’s Mayo, whose pull-up shooting will be a boon for a team that sometimes struggled to get a basket last year.

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Add in a pair of top-50 freshmen, and Self has another lineup seemingly built to go the distance. — Brendan Marks, staff writer

UConn’s bid for a 3-peat begins at No. 3


UConn will open the season ranked third. Last year, the Huskies were sixth in the preseason. (Jamie Squire / Getty Images)

Dan Hurley and Connecticut will attempt to do something that no men’s college basketball program has done since John Wooden’s UCLA dynasty: win three consecutive national titles.

The Huskies returned several key pieces last season from Hurley’s first title team in 2022-23, but that’s not the case this year. Four of five starters are gone, and the lone holdover — redshirt junior wing Alex Karaban, who passed on potentially becoming a first-round NBA Draft choice to return to college — will have to assume a much larger role. Still: Hurley’s team has more than earned the benefit of the doubt, which is why UConn opens the year in the top three.

Besides Karaban, UConn has three other rotational players back this season — guards Hassan Diarra and Solomon Ball, plus center Samson Johnson — who will compete for major playing time. But if the Huskies are reasonably going to compete for a third straight title, Hurley will need outsized contributions from Saint Mary’s transfer Aidan Mahaney and five-star freshman Liam McNeeley, arguably his top two additions this offseason. We’ll know a lot about UConn, and its relative chances of three-peating, by the time conference play begins; the Huskies are part of a stacked Maui Invitational field featuring four of the nation’s top 11 teams and then play Texas, Baylor, and Gonzaga all in a row in mid-December. — Marks

Big 12 dominates the top 10

There’s a lot of Big 12 flavor at the top of the poll. The conference has three of the top five and half of the top 10 with Kansas, Houston, Iowa State, Baylor and Arizona. The sixth and final Big 12 team in the Top 25 is Cincinnati at No. 20. It’s the Bearcats’ first appearance in the AP poll since the end of the 2018-19 season, Mick Cronin’s last as head coach of the program.

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The new-look, 16-team league features nine programs that made the NCAA Tournament last season, seven of which are returning members, and has been the top-rated conference four of the past six years, according to KenPom metrics. Kansas is the Big 12’s most recent national champion from the 2021-22 season. — Justin Williams, staff writer

A stacked SEC

Nine of the 16 SEC members appear in the preseason poll, led by Alabama at No. 2. The Crimson Tide are the only SEC school in the top 10, followed by Auburn at No. 11. League newcomer Texas clocks in at No. 19. Arkansas, under new head coach John Calipari, opens at No. 16, while his former school Kentucky and head coach Mark Pope are No. 23. — Williams

No love for mid-majors

There are zero mid-major or traditional non-power programs in the Top 25, with Gonzaga the only ranked team from outside the sport’s five major conferences. The closest is McNeese State, which received 11 votes, followed by Boise State and Saint Louis with nine votes each. McNeese is coming off a 30-4 season under head coach Will Wade in which it set the program’s single-season wins record and claimed the Southland Conference regular season and tournament championships. The Cowboys have never appeared in the Top 25 rankings. — Williams

CJ Moore’s ballot

The Athletic’s CJ Moore is a voter in the AP Top 25 this season.

Here’s how his ballot compared:

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  1. Alabama (actual: No. 2)
  2. Gonzaga (actual: No. 6)
  3. Houston (actual: No. 4)
  4. Kansas (actual: No. 1)
  5. Iowa State (actual: No. 5)
  6. Duke (actual: No. 7)
  7. UConn (actual: No. 3)
  8. Tennessee (actual: No. 12)
  9. Baylor (actual: No. 8)
  10. Arizona (actual: No. 10)
  11. Auburn (actual: No. 11)
  12. Texas A&M (actual: No. 12)
  13. North Carolina (actual: No. 9)
  14. Purdue (actual: No. 14)
  15. Marquette (actual: No. 18)
  16. Florida (actual: No. 21)
  17. Texas Tech (actual: NR)
  18. Michigan (actual: NR)
  19. Indiana (actual: No. 17)
  20. Illinois (actual: NR)
  21. Cincinnati (actual: No. 20)
  22. Xavier (actual: NR)
  23. Kentucky (actual: No. 23)
  24. St. John’s (actual: NR)
  25. UCLA (actual: 22)

(Photo: Chris Gardner / Getty Images)

Culture

Timeline of Tom Brady’s bid to become part-owner of the Las Vegas Raiders

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Timeline of Tom Brady’s bid to become part-owner of the Las Vegas Raiders

Legendary quarterback Tom Brady’s bid to become a minority owner of the Las Vegas Raiders is expected to be approved at the NFL’s fall owners’ meetings in Atlanta on Tuesday, according to a league source. The league’s financial committee will review Brady’s bid, and a vote is expected to receive the necessary 24 votes out of 32 owners to approve the approximately 10 percent stake Brady and his business partner, Tom Wagner, plan to purchase.

Here’s a timeline of Brady’s path to potentially becoming a minority owner of the Raiders.

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January 18, 2020: Brady attended UFC 246 in Las Vegas and was photographed smiling with Raiders owner Mark Davis and then-Raiders executive Marcel Reece. The Raiders were entering their first season in Las Vegas, while Brady was coming off what would be his final season with the New England Patriots. With Brady set to become an unrestricted free agent that March, rumors were swirling he could sign with the Raiders to replace Derek Carr.

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The Raiders considered pursuing Brady, but coach Jon Gruden, who had personnel power, decided against it and stuck with Carr. Brady signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but the Raiders’ flirtation remained significant as Brady’s relationship with Davis deepened.

In an appearance on CBS Sports Radio last year, former Raiders CEO Amy Trask said that Davis has leaned on sportscaster Jim Gray as a “primary adviser” over the years and that, at some point, Gray “facilitated the relationship” between Davis and Brady.

January 14, 2021: Davis agreed to purchase the WNBA’s Las Vegas Aces. He’d been an Aces season ticket holder since 2018 and a fan of the WNBA since play began in 1997.

February 12: 2021: Davis’ purchase of the Aces was formally approved by the WNBA and its owners.

February 1, 2022: Brady announced his retirement from the NFL after 22 seasons at age 44. He won a Super Bowl with the Buccaneers following the 2020 season, but they lost in the divisional round of the playoffs the next season.

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March 13, 2022: Fourty days after announcing his retirement, Brady changed his mind and announced he’d return to play for the Bucs in 2022. He signed a restructured one-year extension in April.

May 10, 2022: Fox Sports announced it signed Brady to a 10-year, $375 million contract to become its lead color commentator for NFL games. The plan was for him to start whenever his playing career concluded.

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May 31, 2022: Brady attended an Aces game in Las Vegas. He caught up with Davis and expressed his admiration for what he and the franchise were building. On the court, the team was thriving and en route to its first WNBA title later that season. The Aces were regularly selling out games and drawing some of the best attendance in the league.

“I think he was just really impressed with how far women’s basketball has come,” Davis told The Athletic last year. “And he was also impressed by the excitement and the enthusiasm of the crowd in Las Vegas.”

Shortly after the game, Brady’s representatives reached out to Davis and asked whether he would be willing to sell a minority stake in the Aces.

“He knew that I was in it, and I think he just felt he wanted to be a part of it,” Davis said. “And so, his people contacted me, and we talked about it, and he became a partner.”

Dec. 28, 2022: Coach Josh McDaniels announced the Raiders were benching Carr. Although Carr had signed a three-year extension with the franchise that April, it included a clause that allowed the Raiders to easily get out of the contract after one season. In benching Carr, McDaniels and general manager Dave Ziegler made it obvious that they planned to move on from the veteran quarterback.

That meant the Raiders needed to find a new starting quarterback. The Raiders viewed Brady as their primary option, according to league sources. As a Patriots assistant coach, McDaniels won six Super Bowls and produced some of the league’s best offenses working alongside Brady in New England. Brady was set to become an unrestricted free agent in March 2023, and there was reason to believe he could look to play elsewhere if he didn’t win another Super Bowl with Tampa Bay.

Jan. 16, 2023: The Bucs were eliminated in the wild-card round of the playoffs in an embarrassing 31-14 loss to the Dallas Cowboys.

Feb. 1, 2023: Brady announced his retirement “for good.” This time, he didn’t go back on the decision.

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March 23, 2023: The Aces formally announced that Brady had reached an agreement with Davis to become a minority owner. Although Brady had passed on the opportunity to play for the Raiders, his relationship with Davis made it a good fit.

“I am very excited to be part of the Las Vegas Aces organization,” Brady said in a statement released by the team. “My love for women’s sports began at a young age when I would tag along to all my older sisters’ games. They were by far the best athletes in our house! … I have always been a huge fan of women’s sports, and I admire the work that the Aces’ players, staff and the WNBA continue to do to grow the sport and empower future generations of athletes. To be able to contribute in any way to that mission as a member of the Aces organization is an incredible honor.”


Tom Brady, WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert and Raiders and Aces owner Mark Davis attend a 2023 WNBA championship banner-raising ceremony before the Aces’ 2024 home opener on May 14. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

May 22, 2023: Davis told ESPN he had come to an agreement with Brady for him to purchase a minority ownership stake in the Raiders.

“We’re excited for Tom to join the Raiders,” Davis told ESPN, “and it’s exciting because he will be just the third player in the history of the National Football League (after George Halas Sr. and Jerry Richardson) to become an owner.”

Oct. 5, 2023: The Washington Post reported that Brady’s bid to become a part-owner of the Raiders had hit a snag. According to the report, there was concern by the other NFL owners about Davis offering Brady a reduced price for a 10 percent stake. When contacted by The Athletic, Davis and Brady’s representation declined to comment.

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Aug. 28, 2024: As Brady prepared to make his broadcasting debut with Fox Sports in Week 1, he learned he’d face extensive restrictions due to his bid to acquire an ownership stake in the Raiders.

Although Brady still hadn’t been formally approved as a minority owner, a league source told The Athletic he would not be allowed key access typical for NFL broadcasters in his role as a Fox analyst. He’s not allowed access to other teams’ facilities and practices and can’t attend broadcast production meetings, which usually include meetings with coaches and players ahead of games. He’s also not allowed to publicly criticize officials or other teams and could be fined or suspended if the league feels he breaks that policy. He also must abide by the league’s gambling and anti-tampering policies and is limited to “strictly social communication” with members of other teams.

A network source told The Athletic that Fox Sports had no concerns about the limitations, and Brady agreed to them.

Oct. 5, 2024: According to the Washington Post, Brady and businessman Tom Wagner, the co-founder of Knighthead Capital Management, increased their financial offer to purchase a 10 percent stake in the Raiders from Davis.

Oct. 15, 2024: The NFL’s fall owners’ meetings take place in Atlanta. If the owners vote on Brady’s bid as expected, he would need 24 of the 32 votes to approve his bid. The bid is expected to be approved, according to league sources.

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If they don’t vote in Atlanta, the next chance will come at the NFL’s next league meeting on Dec. 10-11 in Irving, Texas.

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Tom Brady expected to be approved as Raiders minority owner

The Athletic’s Andrew Marchand, Richard Deitsch, Dianna Russini and Vic Tafur contributed to this report.

(Top photo of Mark Davis and Tom Brady: Ethan Miller / Getty Images)

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NBA predictions: How bottom of the Eastern Conference will play out in 2024-25

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NBA predictions: How bottom of the Eastern Conference will play out in 2024-25

I always like to start my NBA previews at the bottom and work my way up. And when it comes to bottoming out, nobody does it better than the lottery teams in the Eastern Conference. Last season, four East squads lost at least 57 games, and overall, the conference had seven of the league’s 11 worst records.

The Detroit Pistons’ 28-game losing streak took top honors, but Charlotte actually had the league’s worst scoring margin; the Hornets, Washington Wizards and Pistons combined to win fewer games than five NBA teams.

So, yeah, it was bad — and I’m not sure it will get much better in 2024-25. With a loaded draft led by Duke forward Cooper Flagg, several teams have ample motivation to tank for a high lottery pick. A couple spent their offseason leaning into that strategy, notably the Brooklyn Nets, while the Chicago Bulls pivoted less overtly in the same direction. (Connoisseurs of performance-art-level tanking efforts, circle your calendars for April 11: Washington and Chicago face off in the second-to-last game of the season.)

Here’s an interesting side dish: With so many laggards and 10 teams required to advance to the postseason, it’s possible we’ll see a historically bad record qualify for the Play-In. Even if not, the potential is definitely there for five 55-loss teams in this conference, despite the fact that they frequently play one another.

With that said, let’s take a closer look at my bottom seven teams in the East — their projected records, what they’re doing and where they might be headed. (We’ll discuss the rest of the league later this week.)

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15. Washington Wizards (14-68)

I really couldn’t believe my eyes when my first run through projections spat out its results. Washington went 15-67 a year ago, and I sort of figured the Wizards would struggle to improve much upon that this season, but going through the math on my projections was jarring. This roster is bad.

The Wizards traded their best player from a year ago based on my BORD$ formula (Deni Avdjia, in a defensible swap for two firsts and two seconds) and lost starting point guard Tyus Jones to free agency. The best players on the team are Kyle Kuzma and Jordan Poole, I guess, and there’s a decent chance Kuzma is gone by February. And Malcolm Brogdon. And Corey Kispert. And maybe newly signed free agent Jonas Valančiūnas, too.

At least we know Poole won’t be going anywhere, not with the $96 million he’s owed over the next three years. (The contract could escalate even higher, but his incentives for reaching the playoffs or making All-Defense seem safe for the foreseeable future.) Poole will get a chance to rehab his value by playing on the ball this season, hopefully not to the detriment of the other four people hoping to touch it.

Obviously, this is all part of a down-to-the-studs rebuild, a welcome shift in mentality after years of chasing any shiny object that might net the Wizards the eighth seed and an immediate self-congratulatory parade. However, Washington’s failures to move on from Bradley Beal until it was too late have resulted in a more painful reset. This year is likely to be the necessary nadir before Washington can start the long trudge back up the standings.

The Wizards drafted three first-round picks this year, but all three are teenagers — and fairly raw ones. Realistically, they’ll take their lumps while they figure things out. Center Alex Sarr, selected with the second pick, is a potential defensive monster due to his quick feet, fast hands and 7-foot frame, while offensively he shows enough dexterity and ballhandling on the perimeter to provide some hope that there’s a unicorn in there somewhere.

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That said, the 2024 version of Sarr is going to be a clear minus on offense, offering little threat in the post but also not far along enough as a shooter to scare anyone. The low-key swing skill here is his hands — he struggled to snare contested rebounds and catch in traffic last year. He may also play extensively power forward next to Valančiūnas while the Wizards wait for his body to fill out.

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The other youngsters are a similar mix of promise and finger-crossing. Late-lottery pick Bub Carrington — acquired thanks to the Avdija trade — needs to work on his body and defense, but he had a solid summer league and might be the closest thing this team has to a legit sixth man. Late first-rounder Kyshawn George, meanwhile, is a 3-and-D hopeful who likely has a lot of Capital City Go-Go in his immediate future. Carrying over from a year ago, Bilal Coulibaly teased with potential at times but needs to be a more consistent shooter and decision-maker. The Avdija trade likely gives him a chance to start.

Watching the rookies learn while the Wizards get pummeled every night is the best thing that can be said for the Wizards-viewing experience this year. Poole vying with Cam Thomas for the league lead in field goal attempts per minute will offer a certain kind of entertainment, and Valančiūnas shot fake drinking games will be as merry as ever. Otherwise, this year is about player development, asset accumulation and scraping their way to a win total that keeps them out of history books.

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Brooklyn’s Ben Simmons looks up court as he pushes the ball against Boston in February. (Sarah Stier / Getty Images)

14. Brooklyn Nets (21-61)

In the wake of their post Kevin Durant–Kyrie Irving implosion, the Nets are going to be really bad this season. But they also have a direction, one that wasn’t possible before, after regaining access to their own draft picks via the Mikal Bridges trade. That deal made tanking plausible — actually, mandatory — as the Nets can now freely pursue one of the league’s worst three records to maximize their lottery odds. Based on the roster, they have this part under control.

The Nets have just enough veteran talent on hand to lose respectably and avoid being historically terrible, but few of them will remain in the borough beyond the trade deadline. Point guard Dennis Schröder and forwards Bojan Bogdanović and Dorian Finney-Smith are likely spending the first half of the season auditioning for their next employers; Cam Johnson is 28 and signed for two years beyond this one, but he might consider a month-to-month lease as well. And hey, Ben Simmons is here for one last September of back-in-the-gym Instagrams. He’s either a $40-million expiring contract to put into a potential trade or a February buyout.

Re-signed center Nic Claxton is likely the one long-term keeper on the roster, although other young players will audition to be part of the future. Thomas, meanwhile, is likely to lead the team (if not the league) in field goal attempts but will need to generate higher-quality looks — and occasionally even let a teammate shoot — if he wants to be part of the long-term plan.

Deeper down, keep an eye on second-year pro Noah Clowney, who in summer league looked like he may pay long-term dividends after he was drafted as a raw teenager in 2023. Reclamation projects such as Ziaire Williams and Killian Hayes also will get their chances, as will fringe-rotation finds Trendon Watford and Jalen Wilson.

If you’re looking two years ahead and beyond, the Nets will jettison nearly all this roster flotsam except Claxton, Clowney and possibly Johnson. They have three late first-round picks in 2025 in addition to their own, four extra firsts in future seasons and max cap space coming on line next summer. The Nets also are sitting on a $23-million trade exception from the Bridges deal, although it’s likely to go unused until after the season given that they’re already pushing the tax line. (Incentives for Johnson could theoretically put them over in the absence of other moves.)

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All of this will make for an ugly 2024-25, but Brooklyn basketball should get dramatically better from there.

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It’s desperately needed medicine, but that won’t make it easier to swallow. The Hornets are done chasing 39 wins as cheaply as possible and fully embarking on a new, post-Michael Jordan era. Rick Schnall and Gabe Plotkin bought the team from Jordan in 2023 but held off on replacing the Friends of Mike in the front office and changing coaches until this past summer. Jeff Peterson — a veteran of successful rebuilds in Atlanta and Brooklyn — now has the conch in the front office, while Charles Lee replaces Steve Clifford on the sideline.

Now all they have to do is change the players. I kid, but this is not a great situation. Charlotte won 21 games a year ago, and even that was a bit of a miracle: The Hornets were 28th in offense, 29th in defense and last in net margin. Even in the Charmin-soft lower reaches of the East, making the Play-In with this roster seems unlikely.

The Bugs have one All-Star talent in LaMelo Ball, who has appeared in just 58 games over the past two seasons thanks to a series of ankle sprains and has often seemed indifferent (especially on defense) when he’s on the court. Beyond him, there are some solid players but zero star power, unless perhaps promising forward Brandon Miller (13.0 PER as a rookie) erupts in his second season.

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Charlotte does seem to understand its situation, at least, which is more than can be said of some previous iterations of this franchise. This offseason, the Hornets used their cap room not on Gordon Hayward-esque splurges, but to take in salary and talent that other teams unloaded: two seconds from the Denver Nuggets to take Reggie Jackson, a second from the San Antonio Spurs to absorb the unwanted contract guarantee of old friend Devonte’ Graham and three more to take in the necessary outgoing players from New York to complete the Karl-Anthony Towns trade.

Conversely, the only acquisition of note was a reasonable two seconds going outbound to bring in 23-year-old, signed-through-2027 wing Josh Green. Bringing back Miles Bridges likely leaves many holding their noses due to his off-court history, but it leaves Charlotte with a full-strength starting five that won’t be embarrassed. Baby steps.

Those moves aren’t going to shake the foundations of the East, but they’re the first step in a rebuild, one that also must include upping the off-court investment from what’s been one the league’s most frugal franchises.

The biggest variable for the coming year is whether fly-swatting center Mark Williams can come back from a 2023-24 campaign lost to back surgery. Charlotte passed on a top-notch rim-protection prospect in Donovan Clingan on draft night to take a more speculative plunge on French forward Tidjane Salaun, and one wonders how much Williams factored into that. (For what it’s worth: I had Salaun 16th on my board, but I’ve also been told three other teams were ready to take him in the top 10 if Charlotte didn’t.)

Lower on the food chain, Charlotte will likely take teams’ temperatures on solid rotation players such as Grant Williams and Cody Martin to determine their trade market. Also, keep an eye on guards Tre Mann and Vasilije Micić trying to establish their careers after failing to take flight in Oklahoma City. Mann, in particular, might actually be something after playing 28 solid games in Charlotte after the trade; he’s a restricted free agent after the season. Micić is 30 and could be trade bait if he steps forward in his second season on this side of the ocean.

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Looking at the chessboard, Charlotte is pretty asset-dry for a team in this position, owning only two protected firsts in 2027 from Miami and Dallas in addition to its own. (The Hornets technically owe their 2025 first to San Antonio, but it’s top-14 protected and will revert to second-rounders in 2026 and 2027 if, as expected, Charlotte misses the playoffs.)

The cap situation is relatively clean, but meaningful room looks unlikely the next two summers unless they trade Ball. Lee and Peterson will start the long effort of putting their imprint on this team, but even with favorable lottery luck, results might take a while.

12. Chicago Bulls (27-55)

The Bulls finally are doing what they should have when they changed management four years ago: launching a rebuild and lining up with a significantly younger roster for 2024-25.

The bad news is that they’ll likely be worse this year and face a slow slog back uphill, especially with few trade assets coming back in the rebuild and a future first still owed to San Antonio from the initial DeMar DeRozan deal. Nonetheless, this was the only move left on the chessboard after the Bulls’ 2021 asset-spending spree yielded three years of averageness and a roster that was only getting older and more expensive.

Chicago’s overarching plan this summer was the correct strategy, but the execution still felt bumpy. Not extracting a draft pick from Oklahoma City in the Alex Caruso-Josh Giddey trade seemed like a missed opportunity, as the Thunder have a million future picks and weren’t operating from a position of great leverage. The Bulls also dropped five years and $90 million on The Idea of Patrick Williams, something that felt more like a sunk cost fallacy on a player selected fourth in the 2020 draft than an honest valuation of where he is right now as a basketball player.

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That money ended up mattering quite a bit later in the offseason. Among many what-ifs in Chicago is that if the Bulls hadn’t resigned Williams or if their ownership had been willing to pay into the tax, they could have taken in Harrison Barnes and an unprotected 2031 first-round pick swap from the Kings in the DeRozan trade. Instead, that asset went to San Antonio. The Bulls ended up with Chris Duarte, two second-round picks and cash. Yay?

The good news, again, is that there is a direction, and there is some real talent underlying it. Giddey was useless playing off the ball in Oklahoma City, but he’s a capable point forward with a smooth floater game and should get to showcase that skill set far more often with the Bulls.

First-round pick Matas Buzelis can be a high-impact two-way talent if he can up his shooting percentages and add a bit of lower-body strength, and combo guard Coby White has quietly become a very effective offensive player. Two other recent picks, athletic backup forwards Dalen Terry and Julian Phillips, hardly saw daylight last season, but each should get more opportunity.

Zach LaVine and Nikola Vučević are still Bulls, for now, and their contracts may keep them here a while longer. LaVine, at least, can be a major contributor for however long he’s around; he’s just not quite worth what he’s paid. The three years and $138 million remaining on his deal were widely reported to be a barrier to his departure dating back to the middle of last season.

Meanwhile, the baffling three-year, $60 million extension handed to Vučević in the 2023 offseason already looks indefensible. The Bulls backed him up by signing string bean Jalen Smith for three years and $27 million; at least he’s young, but this won’t fix the defensive hole in the middle. If you’re looking for another true five on this roster, two-way Adama Sanogo is the entire list.

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Finally, Lonzo Ball coming back would be a big help, but there’s a big difference between surviving offseason pickup games and being a productive player against NBA starters. It’s an amazing story if he returns and contributes, but we’ll temper our optimism until we see him impacting games that matter.

The badness of the East will likely keep the Bulls in the Play-In race for much of the year, but don’t get too excited: The Bulls owe a top-10 protected pick to San Antonio from the DeRozan trade. That makes it strongly in their interests to land no better than the league’s sixth-worst record and guarantee they keep the pick regardless of how the lottery turns out. In a related story, I’m picking them to finish with the NBA’s sixth-worst record.

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11. Detroit Pistons (28-54)

The good news is that this season should be less embarrassing than last year, or the year before that, or the year before that…

The Pistons haven’t won more than 23 games in a season since before the COVID-19 pandemic. They also haven’t won a playoff game since 2008, with just one winning season in that span.

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In the fifth year of its rebuild from the Andre Drummond “era,” Detroit not only failed to win 30 games for the ninth time since 2008, but also didn’t even get halfway there, setting an NBA record with 28 consecutive losses and hitting midseason at 4-37. Only a heroic 10-29 charge to the finish line saved it from the worst record in NBA history.

The Pistons cleaned house after the season, after the one-year sideline reign of Monty Williams proved disastrous and the four years of the Troy Weaver administration saw zero progress in accumulating either talent or draft capital. Former New Orleans and Brooklyn exec Trajan Langdon took over the front office, while no-nonsense J.B. Bickerstaff is the new head coach.

It will take more than an organizational facelift, however, to get this team on the right path. Years of poor decisions have left Detroit with little star-caliber talent despite annual lottery picks. The closest thing is guard Cade Cunningham, a skilled but not overly athletic player who bore a massive offensive load with near-zero floor spacing a year ago and ground out a 54.6 true shooting percentage on 30 percent usage.

More shooting should make his life easier, but he isn’t Luka Dončić, and the Pistons need to stop using him like he is. He’s their best player, because somebody has to be, but the offseason decision to give him a max extension was more based on hope than results.

In terms of shooting, Detroit added Simone Fontecchio at last year’s trade deadline and Tim Hardaway Jr., Tobias Harris and Malik Beasley in the offseason. Those are legit, meaningful upgrades. It would also help tremendously if 2022 lottery pick Jaden Ivey can turn the corner both as a shooter and a playmaker, as he represents the best possibility of unburdening some of Cunningham’s massive playmaking load.

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The frontcourt should be in better shape with Harris playing the four; while his contact was probably an overpay (two years, $52 million), he solidifies the lineup at its weakest spot and will be tradable money a year from now. He also should push Isaiah Stewart back to his natural center spot after last season’s failed power forward experiment. Beef Stew, the promising Jalen Duren and waiver pickup Paul Reed make for an effective trio, although Stewart may also be trade bait.

In the longer term, the best chance for the Pistons to make genuine progress lies in the development of their two most recent lottery picks. Forward Ausar Thompson is a plus athlete who plays hard, but his shooting is, shall we say, a bit subpar: Last season he achieved the near-impossible feat of having more airballs from 3 (23) than makes (18).

Detroit’s 2024 lottery pick, Ron Holland, is an explosive wing athlete. He was my top-ranked prospect before the draft. However, he will need work on his decision-making and shooting; he’s not anywhere near Thompson’s level of masonry, but how many guys like this can the Pistons play at one time?

On that note, Detroit’s biggest acquisition this summer might not be a player. Shooting coach Fred Vinson — who authored multiple miracles in New Orleans — came over with Langdon from the Pelicans and will have his hands full trying fixes on Thompson, Holland, Ivey and the rest of the gang.


Scottie Barnes argues a call against the Bulls early last season in Chicago. (Michael Reaves / Getty Images)

The Raptors have rather quickly gone from one of the most admired organizations in the league to Team Shrug Emoji. Can they get their mojo back?

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They embarked on rebuilding a year too late and ended up converting Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby into a grab bag of somewhat useful players and a couple of late first-round picks, with one still to come in 2026 from Indiana. The most valuable pick transacted was the one they sent out to acquire Jakob Poeltl from San Antonio. Yeah, not great.

Toronto passed on an opportunity to operate as a cap room team and instead picked up a $23 million option on Bruce Brown and extended a 33-year-old Kelly Olynyk for midlevel exception money. One can see a pathway where that might pay dividends, as the Raptors have enough expiring money and picks for a blockbuster trade if a big name becomes available. The Raptors also likely overreached on a $162.5 million extension for Immanuel Quickley in restricted free agency; he’s a valuable player, but it wasn’t clear against whom they were bidding.

That said, Toronto should be fine in first quarters, because 80 percent of the starting lineup is rock solid. Scottie Barnes made the All-Star team in his third season and is now the face of the franchise, Quickley is a solid two-way player whose lack of pure point guard skill is offset by Barnes’ heavy on-ball usage, and RJ Barrett was fantastic in the second half of last season and again for Canada in the Olympics, though he’s beginning the year injured. (While we’re here: The “BBQ” nickname for the Raptors’ three-best players might be the best thing they have going.)

Up front, Poeltl was an overpay asset-wise and a danger to innocent bystanders from the free-throw line, but he is a solid defensive center with some sneaky utility from the elbows on offense.

After that, it gets iffy fast. Brown seemed a possible fifth starter on paper until he had arthroscopic knee surgery before the season started; he’ll be trying to regain the impact he had in Denver after a rough 2023-24 for the Pacers and Raptors.

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Gradey Dick is a theoretical movement shooter who struggled in his rookie season but might have to start because the other options aren’t even theoretically good. First-round pick JaKobe Walter is a possible 3-and-D guy but out with a shoulder injury and probably at least a year away from helping.

Up front, Olynyk was unplayable in the Olympics. Chris Boucher’s deal is finally expiring, but he’s still around and likely will need to play as the fourth big. Deeper on the bench, if Walter isn’t in the rotation, that probably means either lukewarm meh from Ochai Agbaji and/or cameos from all-glove, no-bat ball-pressure specialist Davion Mitchell. I should note that I’m a card-carrying fan of second-round pick Jonathan Mogbo, but his limited shooting makes him a better fit on rosters with more spacing than this one.

Where does all this leave us? With a roster that’s interesting but not particularly good. The Raptors won’t be overtly terrible in a year when it’s probably beneficial to be terrible, and yet they face an uphill battle to get into the playoffs. Toronto has a good chance of failing upward into the Play-In Tournament, surely adding a sprinkle of excitement to the Canadian spring during their likely one-game postseason. One wonders if that also will be the bar for second-year coach Darko Rajaković, a well-liked figure in the league but one whose first season at the helm was a bumpy ride.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

How Darko Rajaković can change the Raptors in his second year as coach

It’s not really a Play-In Tournament unless the Hawks are involved.

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In a league where everyone is either contending or tanking, the Hawks are looking at a fourth straight season of life in the middle class. In an East with a clear top eight and a dismal bottom six, projecting Atlanta to land ninth feels like one of the safest bets on the board.

The Hawks had a productive offseason though, finally executing the overdue Dejounte Murray trade to break up a pairing with Trae Young that wasn’t working. In the process, they shored up a woeful defense and restocked a barren draft cupboard. Atlanta still won’t have its own pick in the 2025 draft, so nix those Sag for Flagg scenarios, but the Hawks will have the Lakers’ choice and likely Sacramento’s (top-12 protected) too, plus an extra 2027 first.

The Hawks also nabbed an honest-to-goodness wing defender in Dyson Daniels in that trade; while his shooting comes and goes, this stopper role is one the Hawks have unsuccessfully attempted to fill for years now. The 21-year-old Daniels also can take reps at backup point guard if second-year pro Kobe Bufkin proves unready. Either way, the guy finishing games at shooting guard is likely to be Bogdan Bogdanović, who was robbed of the sixth man award a year ago and figures to remain elite in this role for as long as his knees can hold up.

The good news is the Hawks won the draft lottery. The bad news is they won it in 2024, a year with no clear top pick. In some ways, Atlanta seemed to opt for fit over ceiling by selecting French forward Zaccharie Risacher. (How much should we worry that none of the scouts interviewed for this thought the top pick in the draft would be the best player?) However, Risacher is a tall, mobile forward who can defend down on the positional spectrum and has a good basketball IQ; if his shooting holds up, he might be the player Atlanta thought it was getting when it drafted (and then extended) De’Andre Hunter.

Atlanta’s other big offseason decision is extending the best player nobody talks about, forward Jalen Johnson. He blew up as a starter in his third season with 16.0 points and 8.7 rebounds, and at age 22, he should have plentiful opportunity to expand his game with Murray gone. Bookending him with Risacher could make for a pretty imposing forward combo two or three years down the road.

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That hints at another development in Atlanta — this team has become much younger. Daniels and Johnson are 22, Bufkin is 21, Risacher is 19 and Onyeka Okongwu is 23. All of them can guard, which is crucial when building around Young (himself not exactly a grizzled vet at 26). That’s the best hope for fixing last year’s 27th-ranked defense; the Hawks have never finished better than 21st in defensive efficiency in the Young era.

A succession issue at center also looms, where Clint Capela is 30 and on the last year of his deal, and Okongwu hasn’t been good enough to take over as a full-time starter. However, the Hawks are finally in a position where they can use most or all of the $23 million trade exception from the Murray trade on a replacement next summer without going into the tax, even after they pay Johnson. Moving Capela at the trade deadline also is an option, especially if they’re mired in the middle class as expected.

Overall, the Hawks might not win any more games than they did a year ago, but the arrow now points in a much healthier direction. They’re out of luxury tax hell, got 85 cents on the dollar back on the Murray trade and have the makings of a young core to carry them forward. Genuine progress in the standings, however, seems more likely a year from now.

(Top photos of LaMelo Ball and Kyle Kuzma: Patrick Smith, Jared C. Tilton / Getty Images)

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Culture

Zak Brown’s path to McLaren F1 began with ‘Wheel of Fortune’ and some watches

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Zak Brown’s path to McLaren F1 began with ‘Wheel of Fortune’ and some watches

This article is part of our Origin Stories series, an inside look at the backstories of the clubs, drivers, and people fueling the sport.


Zak Brown never grew up expecting to become one of the most powerful figures in Formula One.

He doesn’t come from a racing background, nor does he have a college degree. Motorsport wasn’t even his “first love.” It was baseball. At one point in his career, he was sleeping on an air mattress on the floor of a friend’s sister’s dining room in England, working for £75 a day.

Brown, born in Los Angeles, Calif., but considers himself British given how long he’s lived in the U.K., got his racing start thanks to winning during a Teen Week episode of one of the longest-running game shows on American television and some advice from Mario Andretti.

Now, Brown’s the CEO of McLaren Racing — and one of his teams leads the F1 constructors’ standings for the first time since 2014.

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“I didn’t come from a racing background. I didn’t come from a privileged background. We weren’t poor, but by racing standards, we were poor,” Brown said to The Athletic. “And so I think I’ve been fortunate to get where I am because of a lot of help, a lot of luck, but also a lot of hard work. And I think what I’ve been fortunate to achieve can be replicated by others if you put in the time and effort and have the passion.”


“Wheel of Fortune” started as a daytime game show on NBC in 1975, created by Merv Griffin, who also designed “Jeopardy!”. Chuck Woolery and Susan Stafford were the original host duo before Pat Sajak and Vanna White joined in the early 1980s.

The now-evening game show is similar to the pencil-and-paper guessing game Hangman. Contestants spin a colorful wheel filled with possible prizes, like different cash amounts, and danger placards, such as “Lose A Turn” and “Bankrupt.” They then try to win by correctly guessing, letter-by-letter, what the answer is on the letterboard.

This iconic American show is where Brown began building his motorsports career.

He attended his first F1 race with his family in 1981 and became captivated by the cars, sound and speed. Although he “fell in love with racing,” he had no connections to the F1 world. “It seemed very unachievable,” he said, “and (I) didn’t even know how do you get in racing, where baseball is quite easy, because everybody plays it.”

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His father continued to take him and his brother to local races, but baseball still gripped Brown’s attention until high school, when the sport became more serious. He couldn’t continue playing because he wasn’t attending school very frequently. He said, “You don’t get to stay on the baseball team if you don’t get good grades.”

Around this time, Brown finally had a racing connection: a friend’s family was involved in motorsports. But that world still did not seem attainable. He was still in love with America’s favorite pastime.

In 1984, the big game show came to town. Kids could apply and interview to compete on “Wheel of Fortune” for Teen Week. Brown recalls that around 50 to 75 students from each school came in for “a dummy hangman contest, do a little interview to see if they thought you can handle being on TV, et cetera.” From there, they whittled the number per high school to 15. The top 15 finalists from each high school then underwent more “testing and simulated games,” ending with a waiting period. “We’ll call you. Don’t call us, and we might not call you,” Brown recalls.

As a lifelong fan of the show, Brown eagerly navigated the process (and waiting game). The call came a week later — he had made it. “Wheel of Fortune” brought 20 kids back, taping a whole week of shows in a single day. But there was a twist: only 15 teens could be on the show.

“They need 15 people, but you can get disqualified if you talk to the audience or do something you shouldn’t,” Brown said. “So even though you now know you’re in the top 20 and you’re actually going to go to the recording, you don’t know if you were one of the 15 or one of the five subs.”

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He was one of the 15 contestants and behaved — and he won the first two rounds. “The Smurfs and Wild Bill Hickok, who I had no idea who that was.”

For those familiar with today’s “Wheel of Fortune,” you know the contestants win money or sometimes a vacation. But when Brown played on Teen Week, they selected prizes. A carousel of sorts with prizes would spin, and the contestants were put on the spot to select their winnings.

“They show this big whiteboard, and everything’s listed in the order of cost, and they would knock out what you can’t afford,” Brown said. “And so, as most 13-year-olds, the first thing you do is look at the board and just go, what’s the most expensive thing I can afford? It had to be watches.”

The watches sat around in his house for some time, the intention being to sell them at some point. A motorsports career was so far from his mind that when Sajak asked on the show what he wanted to do, Brown referred back to his favorite sport.

“Baseball player.”

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A few years went by, and the watches still hadn’t been sold.

Brown attended the Long Beach Grand Prix in 1987, and one of his friend’s families happened to know Andretti, who won the F1 world championship in 1978. He met Andretti that race weekend and asked him a question that shaped the next chapter of his life—“How do you get started in racing?”

Andretti’s answer was karting. Inside the race program, there happened to be an advertisement for a kart racing school. Brown went on to sell the watches he won on “Wheel of Fortune” at a pawn shop in Van Nuys, a neighborhood in Los Angeles, Calif. He used that money to pay for the kart racing school and loved it.

Brown began advancing and winning in karting, competing for almost five years in California before making the jump to Europe in 1991, though it was not a permanent move. In 1984, he competed in both British Formula Three and the Formula Opel-Lotus Benelux Series as well as North America’s Toyota Atlantic Series. The following year, he made his Indy Lights debut and launched his own company, Just Marketing Inc.

“When I was racing in Europe, ’91 through ’94, TWA Airlines was my big sponsor. I was kind of getting homesick, and I got a deal to race back in the States. So I went to TWA and said, ‘Hey, I’m out of here. I’m going to go race back in the States.’ And at that point, the sponsorship became very successful for them. So they said, ‘That’s a shame you’re leaving. But you must know all the guys and gals in pit lane. Can you place your sponsorship with someone?’”

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Brown agreed and took a commission after placing the sponsorship. He realized, “Not only should I be chasing sponsorship for myself, but actually, it’s much easier to sell some of the more famous people out there.” Brown had spent years networking and building relationships, and he asked his contacts about expanding their sponsorships to various motorsports series, like IndyCar, NASCAR and F1.

“Because they trusted me and I had credibility, that I knew what I was doing from the racing side, people started going, actually, yeah, we don’t want to sponsor you, Zak, because you’re not famous enough. But if you can go get us in front of Jeff Gordon or Nigel Mansell, we’d be interested. And that’s how the business got started.”

His business grew along with his reputation to get sponsorship deals done. But he needed help. Brown hired his first employee and created the business’s name — Just Marketing Inc. Brown said he didn’t want his name on the company, and he wanted “a little bit of intrigue,” so he opted against including motorsports. To this day, he still calls Just Marketing “kind of a crazy name.”


Zak Brown drove in the Legends Parade during the 2024 Austrian GP weekend. (JOHANN GRODER/APA/AFP via Getty Images)

Brown couldn’t keep pursuing a full-time racing career, though he still hops into a car from time to time and co-founded United Autosports with racing driver Richard Dean in 2009. However, Brown continued to thrive in the business industry as he grew his skills and knowledge of motorsports’ commercial and business worlds. JMI became one of the largest motorsport marketing agencies worldwide when Brown sold a majority of it in 2008. Seventy percent of the company went to Spire Capital and Credit Suisse.

Chime Communications bought JMI in 2013 and brought Brown in as Group CEO for three years, which he said was “about two years and 11 months longer than I would have liked.” The role focused on a variety of sports, but he loves baseball, hockey and racing.

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“I was getting involved in sports that have no passion for me, and I’ve always been driven,” Brown continued. “My work ethic’s always been driven by fun and passion. And so when I was getting involved in other sports that don’t tick that box, I felt like I had a job.”

At the end of 2016, he had a choice — work for F1 or McLaren. He ultimately decided to go with the papaya family, joining in 2017 as its CEO at a time when McLaren was in the midfield (finishing sixth in 2016). He not only helped transform the brand of the F1 team but also took the company to a global level, the most recent chapter being the World Endurance Championship this year.

“It was always my favorite racing team, and I wanted to be not only on the commercial side of the business, which I loved, but I wanted to be on the competitive side of the business,” Brown said. “So that was something that McLaren could offer me, that Formula One as a sanctioning body couldn’t.”

The same characteristics F1 fans see today have been evident throughout each of Brown’s chapters. Passion has been at the core of his work ethic, and he does not shy away from showing excitement like he did at 13 years old while standing on the “Wheel of Fortune” stage.

But to think, the story of a prominent F1 leader started thanks to a multicolored wheel, a Hangman-esque game and watches he sold to a pawn shop.

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Top photo: Clive Mason/Getty Images

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