Crypto
What the heck is going on with Bitcoin? | Column
Two important occasions dominated information channels over the past week. One was the affirmation, together with the photographs, of the existence of a supermassive black gap, Sagittarius A*, within the heart of our galaxy, the Milky Approach.
The second story was an identical black gap: a crypto black gap within the heart of the cryptocurrency universe.
An enormous fall within the worth of Bitcoin beneath $30,000, down about 60% from its excessive of November of final yr and the stablecoin Luna dropping greater than 98% of worth, shook the foundations of the crypto funding universe.
This isn’t the primary time {that a} bubble — fueled by the speculative need of constructing fast cash driving on usually much less understood expertise — unraveled.
One of many first technology-led bubbles, the “railway mania” in Nice Britain within the 1840s, was pushed by over-optimistic hypothesis and deadly assumptions about technology-centric worth creation. These classes have lengthy been forgotten.
Extra just lately, now we have fading recollections of the dot.com increase — and subsequent bust — that led to round 75% drop in NASDAQ in 2000 and worn out over $1.7 trillion in worth.
There is perhaps some vital cues with these previous bubbles and the present crypto fluctuation.
Individuals are likely to make two assumptions about digital companies together with cryptocurrencies. The primary assumption is that digital belongings have limitless provide, and that is appropriate.
Nonetheless, the second assumption, that these belongings turn into unconditionally useful, is wrong. The lacking hyperlink is the financial legislation that demand is pushed by worth creation, and costs of belongings reminiscent of crypto belongings will be sustained solely by a tug-of-war between value-driven demand and scarce provides.
Therein lies the rub: sustainable financial worth of recent expertise is barely attainable when all of the foundational pillars are constructed. Members within the new enterprise ecosystems, whether or not they’re people or corporations, can function solely when belief, security, and worth are all current. Only one or two is just not sufficient.
To stop the autumn into the lure of “limitless” provide of an asset, the creators of Bitcoin restricted the availability to 21 million cash. Nonetheless, any asset should have both intrinsic financial worth or characterize belongings which have financial worth. The cryptocurrency phenomenon relies on repudiating the connection between the worth of the cryptocurrency with the worth of the underlying asset, if any.
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The disconnect between worth and worth is a trademark of all monetary bubbles. The costs of recent technology-based services are pushed by greed, worry and (oftentimes) a lack of know-how of the real-world software layer. And the worth of those services is pushed solely by the real-world functions.
Identical to the crypto phenomenon, the dot-com bubble was pushed by lacking out the enterprise layer of ecommerce.
For all issues monetary, the deep foundations of belief, security, and actual financial worth are required. The value of Bitcoin (or any cryptocurrency for that matter) may go as much as Pluto, however with out an underlying financial worth, it could very nicely go all the way down to zero.
The dot-com companies, mortgage-backed securities, and cryptocurrencies are all makes an attempt to create financial worth by creating new enterprise fashions that resolve among the current frictions.
The speculators who drove the dot-com bubble offered a lot wanted capital for dangerous innovation. After the mud from the dot-com crash settled, the businesses that thrived from the dot-com revolution have been those that offered actual companies and merchandise. The speculators paved the way in which for the value-generators.
At present, the cryptocurrency universe is predominantly pushed by speculators. They’re, maybe unknowingly, the angel traders in new crypto enterprise fashions offering liquidity for crypto innovation. They’re paving the way in which for brand spanking new protocols (multi-signature, for instance), new ecosystems (reminiscent of NFT marketplaces), new strategies (zero-knowledge proofs), and new cost networks.
The worth-generators within the crypto markets are watching, experimenting, and doubling all the way down to seize the worth of blockchain-based applied sciences and enterprise fashions. The latest shake down of the cryptocurrency markets is known as a shake-up of the speculative risk-takers and a reckoning of the gamblers.
The worth-generators are working behind the scenes and sometimes away from the limelight, constructing services on high of safety tokens, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and secure cash. Crypto speculators are the true angel traders taking large threat to create the ‘web of worth switch’ on high of the prevailing web of knowledge switch.
The physicists guarantee us that Sagittarius A* is extremely unlikely to swallow up the remainder of our galaxy.
Allow us to stay hopeful that the pure speculation-fueled crypto black gap on the heart of the cryptocurrency universe is not going to devour the universe of the financial value-generators of crypto.
Shivendu Shivendu is a College of South Florida Muma Faculty of Enterprise affiliate professor who teaches programs associated to fintech, the economics of knowledge techniques, blockchain expertise and IT technique. Kiran Garimella can also be an affiliate professor in USF’s enterprise college, a tutorial scholar who additionally has a few years’ company expertise associated to synthetic intelligence, blockchain, and data techniques.
Crypto
Should You Forget Bitcoin and Buy Solana Instead? | The Motley Fool
Bitcoin‘s (BTC -0.48%) price hit an all-time high of $103,332 on Dec. 4. Four main catalysts drove it to that point: the approvals of its first spot price ETFs in January; its latest halving in April, which cuts its rewards for mining in half every four years; interest rate cuts; and President-elect Trump’s crypto-friendly policies.
Bitcoin’s price has pulled back to about $97,000 as of this writing, but it remains up more than 120% over the past 12 months. With a market capitalization of $1.93 trillion, it’s the world’s top cryptocurrency and seventh most valuable asset.
Bitcoin is still a solid long-term play on the cryptocurrency market, but it might have less upside potential than its smaller coins. Could one of those tokens be Solana (SOL -0.99%), which trades at about $190 with a market cap of $90 billion?
What sets Solana apart from Bitcoin?
Solana’s tokens are validated with the proof of stake (PoS) method, which doesn’t require any tokens to be digitally mined. That approach is faster and more energy efficient than the proof of work (PoW) mining mechanism used by Bitcoin.
PoW blockchains are only used for mining more tokens. PoS blockchains support smart contracts, which can be used to develop decentralized apps (dApps), games, non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other crypto assets. PoS tokens can also be “staked,” or locked up, on the blockchain for a period of time to earn interest-like rewards.
Bitcoin’s value is often defined by its scarcity. It has a maximum supply of 21 million tokens, and nearly 20 million of them have already been mined. The last Bitcoin is expected to be mined in 2140, which makes it somewhat comparable to gold or silver.
Solana and other PoS tokens are usually valued by the speed of their blockchains and the growth of their developer ecosystems. Solana has a current supply of nearly 591 million tokens and no maximum supply, but it’s set to reduce its annual inflation rate, currently at 4.83%, by 15% every “epoch year,” which amounts to 450-630 days.
What sets Solana apart from other PoS tokens?
Solana is often overshadowed by Ethereum (ETH -1.34%), the world’s second largest cryptocurrency and top PoS blockchain. Ethereum has its own native token, Ether, but many other smaller PoS tokens, including Shiba Inu, Polygon, and Render, run on its blockchain. It’s easier to directly launch a new token on Ethereum’s blockchain than to build one from scratch, but these tokens are ultimately constrained by Ethereum’s speed limitations.
Solana is a newer PoS blockchain that accelerates its transactions with its own proof-of-history (PoH) mechanism. That upgrade already enables Solana’s blockchain to process transactions roughly 46 times faster than Ethereum, but it’s only achieved less than 2% of its theoretical max speed so far.
Solana’s high-speed blockchain has attracted a lot of developers and partners. It’s been used to develop meme coins such as BONK and WIF, and it powers decentralized exchanges including Jupiter and Orca. It supports stablecoin transactions for Visa, PayPal, and Circle, and it’s integrated its Solana Pay payment protocol into Shopify‘s platform.
Solana even launched its own Android smartphone for Web3 apps, the Saga Phone, in 2023. It’s still a niche gadget, but it sports its own dApps Store as an alternative to Alphabet‘s Google Play Store.
But over the past two years, Solana dealt with network congestion problems, spam transactions, and security failures. One of its top investors was also the failed crypto exchange FTX, which hastily liquidated its tokens at a discount to pay off its creditors. All of those challenges, along with rising interest rates, drove its price below $10 in December 2022.
What’s next for Solana?
Solana’s price has already soared nearly 19 times from its all-time low, but it could head even higher as it resolves its network issues, it laps FTX’s big sale, and interest rates gradually decline. Several big crypto firms, including Grayscale, Bitwise, and VanEck, have also recently filed for the approvals of Solana spot price ETFs.
Those ETF approvals could stabilize Solana’s price while bringing in more retail and institutional investors. They would also probably mark its transition from a smaller altcoin to a “blue chip” cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin and Ether.
But is Solana a viable alternative to Bitcoin?
Solana is an interesting alternative to Ether, but it’s not a viable replacement for Bitcoin yet. Solana might be a good investment if you believe it can keep increasing its speed, expanding its ecosystem, and gaining new ETF approvals. However, it’s still an inflationary token that’s much harder to value than Bitcoin.
It could be smart to invest in both Bitcoin and Solana, but investors should be aware of their differences. Bitcoin can be considered a digital alternative to gold, but Solana’s value will be defined by its transaction speeds and developer appeal.
Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Leo Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Bitcoin, Ethereum, PayPal, Render Token, Shopify, Solana, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2027 $42.50 calls on PayPal and short December 2024 $70 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Crypto
How Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency made a strong comeback in 2024
As the year 2024 ends, here is a look at the performance of cryptocurrency, especially bitcoin, that turned fortune of the investors within days
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Crypto was not much known to a common man or small scale investors till the digital currencies in the basket, including the oldest and most-traded – bitcoin, broke all records to touch a new life-time high especially after Donald Trump’s win in the November 5, 2024 US Presidential election.
But before understanding about a strong comeback, let us understand what cryptocurrency is.
Cryptocurrency is a virtual or digital currency and is not in a physical coin or bill based. It can be used to buy goods and services and all the transactions take place online.
Cryptocurrency runs on the system of cryptography.
However, before 2024, crypto was just a fringe sideshow for the investing public. Now, crypto assets like bitcoin can now be owned and traded by Americans like a stock.
What gave more boost to cryptocurrency is the assurance of major legislative changes by the incoming administration in Washington to support the industry.
Investors who were holding bitcoin are up 130 per cent since the beginning of the year as the price of the largest cryptocurrency broke all records and surged past $100,000 following Trump’s triumph in November 2024 presidential elections. As per Coinmarketcap, the market value of all crypto rose by nearly $1.7 trillion.
Another factor that helped crypto surge was the US SEC approving Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs earlier in the year. Following this financial giants including BlackRock and Fidelity significantly increased their crypto investments.
It was because of this, bitcoin rallied earlier in the year too as it witnessed massive demand from newly launched spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Also, enhanced blockchain infrastructure, with improved scalability and security features, attracted a host of new users.
Crypto’s upward movement began around the US Presidential election, when Trump promised to establish a crypto presidential advisory committee to draft robust regulations, enable individuals to mine bitcoin, allow self-custody of digital assets, and reduce government oversight.
He also proposed the idea of a strategic bitcoin reserve to position the US as the dominant “Bitcoin superpower.” The US President also proposed leveraging bitcoin reserves to reduce the US’ national debt.
Most of us associate with bitcoin when we hear about cryptocurrency, however, Pepe – a token inspired by the meme frog – emerged as the top performer with a market capatilisation surpassing $5 billion.
Pepe soared by a staggering 1,570.7 per cent, reaching a market cap of $9 billion.
Similarly, SUI, the native token for the Sui blockchain, posted a remarkable 509 per cent gain. According to Forbes report, Dogecoin, a favorite among meme coin enthusiasts and promoted by Elon Musk, surged 333.1 per cent.
Meme coins including Dogecoin and Shiba Inu were among the major contributors to the expansion of the crypto market in 2024.
After a well performing 2024, market participants are positive about the cryptocurrency prospects for 2025 as the Trump-led administration returns to the White House.
Most of the analysts and experts see bitcoin to reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.
Crypto
China’s new forex rules require banks to tighten scrutiny on crypto trades
The rules, applicable to local banks across mainland China, also require them to track such activities based on the identity of the institutions and individuals involved, source of funds and trading frequency, among other factors.
In addition, banks are required to put in place risk-control measures that cover those entities and restrict provision of certain services to them, the regulator said.
The latest rules reflect how Beijing continues to exercise draconian regulation to root out commercial cryptocurrency activities, such as bitcoin trading and mining, as the digital asset is considered a threat to the country’s financial stability.
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