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This Preeminent Cryptocurrency Will Soar Nearly 2,200% in 5 Years, According to One of Wall Street's Most Famous Money Managers | The Motley Fool

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This Preeminent Cryptocurrency Will Soar Nearly 2,200% in 5 Years, According to One of Wall Street's Most Famous Money Managers | The Motley Fool

A lofty prognostication from a well-known fund manager appears to have little chance of coming to fruition.

On Wall Street, optimism is something of the norm. Even though historical data tells us that not every stock is going to increase in value over the long run, there’s a wide disparity among analysts between positive and negative ratings. Whereas 56% of all analyst ratings are the equivalent of “buy” on S&P 500 companies, according to Barron’s, just 6% of all ratings fell on the sell side of the equation for S&P 500 companies, as of February.

These ratings, while not always accurate, typically offer investors a baseline of how institutional investors and analysts view their company and/or America’s most-influential businesses.

But every so often, an issued price target by an analyst or financial pundit is so far above and beyond the current price of a security that it’ll stop investors in their tracks.

Image source: Getty Images.

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A little over five weeks ago, one of Wall Street’s most famous money managers issued a report that, in the most bullish case scenario, called for the world’s most preeminent cryptocurrency to soar by nearly 2,200% come 2030. While this report was littered with a half-dozen reasons to expect this “digital gold” to skyrocket over the next five years, I believe it’s far likelier this digital currency will lose half (or more) of its value rather than tack on another 2,200%.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood goes full bull on Bitcoin

Following the five-week COVID-19 crash in 2020, Ark Invest’s CEO and Chief Investment Officer Cathie Wood made a name for herself on Wall Street. Wood’s penchant for buying highly innovative companies and game-changing cryptocurrencies led to eye-popping returns in 2020 for Ark’s flagship fund, the Ark Innovation ETF.

While some of Wood’s prognostications have been lofty, perhaps nothing tops her firm’s recently updated forecast for the world’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC -1.35%).

Previously, Wood had forecast a bull-case scenario of $1.5 million per token by 2027. But due to various factors, she now believes Bitcoin can ascend to $2.4 million in five years, which would represent upside of almost 2,200% as of this writing in the late evening of May 29, 2025.

Ark Invest’s extensive report lists six variables that, under the right circumstances, can send Bitcoin to the moon:

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  1. An increase in institutional investment, which will be facilitated through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
  2. Bitcoin being nimbler than physical gold makes it a more easily transferable and convenient store of value.
  3. Investors in emerging markets will seek out Bitcoin as a way to protect their money against the effects of inflation and currency devaluation.
  4. More foreign nations purchase or hold Bitcoin via a strategic reserve.
  5. Additional public companies choose to use their cash to purchase and hold Bitcoin as their asset reserves.
  6. Demand for Bitcoin-driven, on-chain financial services grows and begins to replace legacy financial services.

While there’s no denying that Bitcoin has proved skeptics wrong for more than a decade, there are counterarguments to be made to Wood’s bullish thesis that make her $2.4 million price target by 2030 seem outlandish.

A visibly worried person looking at a rapidly rising then plunging cryptocurrency chart on a tablet.

Image source: Getty Images.

Bitcoin to $50,000 is more likely than $2.4 million by 2030

For example, one of the leading reasons to buy Bitcoin is that it’s a perceived hedge against inflation. With U.S. money supply growing on an almost constant basis for more than 150 years and Bitcoin’s token supply capped at 21 million, it’s viewed as a naturally scarcer asset.

But this isn’t entirely accurate. While it might be easier to transfer Bitcoin digitally between users than it is to exchange physical gold, the latter is a tangibly limited resource. Though we haven’t mined all the gold in existence, we can’t create more gold than currently exists on planet Earth. The same can’t be said for Bitcoin, which is limited solely by lines of computer code and developer consensus. While it’s unlikely that consensus will be reached to increase the supply of Bitcoin, the probability of it happening isn’t 0%. Therefore, Bitcoin’s scarcity is a false perception.

I believe Cathie Wood is also incorrect in her assumption that emerging markets will seek out the world’s leading digital currency to protect against inflation and currency devaluation.

In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to officially adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. The government purchased Bitcoin, as well as encouraged citizens to utilize this digital gold to pay for everyday items. Less than four years later, the country’s real-world Bitcoin experiment has failed. Few of its citizens adopted the currency for practical use, and the inherent volatility in Bitcoin ran the risk of compromising El Salvador’s financial stability.

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To build on this point, Bitcoin’s first-mover competitive advantages are now effectively gone. While it’s still the largest (by market value) and most well-known digital currency, Bitcoin’s network is nowhere close to the fastest or the cheapest. A number of other popular blockchain projects can accomplish the on-chain financial services Wood speaks of far more efficiently than Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Price data by YCharts. The above chart doesn’t go back further than June 13, 2014.

Lastly, it’s important to recognize the role investor sentiment and historical cycles play in an asset class that’s not driven by much in the way of traditional fundamentals. Despite Bitcoin leaving the benchmark S&P 500 in the dust on a total return basis, cryptocurrencies are also known for their steep and long-winded bear markets.

Over the last 15 years, Bitcoin has endured around a half-dozen declines of 50% or greater. This includes losing 99% of its value in June 2011, an 83% swoon following the Mt. Gox scandal in April 2013, an 84% tumble during the 2017 to 2018 crypto winter, and the loss of 75% of its value between November 2021 and December 2022. It can take years to recoup these emotion-driven moves lower in crypto’s digital gold.

History suggests it’s far more likely Bitcoin will shed more than half of its value and head to $50,000 (or considerably lower) than it is that Cathie Wood’s moonshot price target will prove accurate come 2030.

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Crypto

Unmasking the Cryptocurrency Phishing Crisis – OneSafe Blog

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Unmasking the Cryptocurrency Phishing Crisis – OneSafe Blog

What if I told you that a single case could encapsulate the chaotic vulnerabilities of the cryptocurrency world? Enter Ronald Spektor, a figure now infamous for allegedly masterminding a phishing operation that siphoned away a staggering $16 million from naive Coinbase users. The fallout from this scheme plunges deep into the unsettling implications of trust in an era dominated by digital currencies—a stark reminder that the promise of crypto can quickly turn into a nightmare if we’re not careful.

The Dark Art of Cryptocurrency Phishing

Phishing has morphed into a sophisticated form of cybercrime, particularly within the cryptocurrency realm. Spektor’s alleged tactics involved posing as a trusted agent from Coinbase, using clever manipulation to lure unsuspecting users into handing over their hard-won crypto assets. The sheer audacity of exploiting trust is what amplifies the horror.

Picture this: victims, believing they’re engaging with legitimate support personnel, unwittingly become pawns in a malicious game. Spektor’s strategy revolved around deceptive communications that felt alarmingly real—a blend of phone calls and texts designed to strip away defenses. This situation underscores a grim reality: even the latest breakthroughs in blockchain technology cannot entirely shield users from the ploys of manipulative attackers. With reports indicating a relentless rise in account takeovers, the FBI urges continuous vigilance against such deceptions.

Emotional Toll on Victims

Beyond the dollar signs lies emotional wreckage. Victims of Spektor’s alleged scheme endured more than financial losses; their trust was shattered. The narrative here is compelling: years of labor invested in cryptocurrency can vanish in moments of misplaced faith. The ramifications are staggering—over 5,100 reported cases of account takeover fraud in 2025 alone, with losses soaring over $262 million. These numbers highlight a chilling truth—cybercriminals are thriving, particularly preying on those who lack the savvy to spot danger ahead.

A Glimmer of Hope Amid Regulatory Scrutiny

The escalating tide of cryptocurrency fraud thrusts platforms like Coinbase into the spotlight, facing mounting scrutiny over their security measures. As they work closely with law enforcement to reclaim stolen assets, tough questions about their safety protocols emerge. To navigate the ever-shifting landscape of crypto, exchanges must elevate their defensive stances in alignment with groundbreaking technologies.

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Regulatory institutions are now taking an active role—pursuing comprehensive strategies to halt the proliferation of scams. This proactive approach extends beyond transaction verification; it’s also about nurturing user awareness and education. Financial institutions are encouraged to enhance protective measures for cryptocurrency users, crafting clearer guidelines to prevent fraud and restoring trust in tumultuous waters.

Innovative Approaches to Security

With evolving threats in the industry, experts call for a paradigm shift that prioritizes cybersecurity education alongside robust frameworks. Imagine harnessing real-time, AI-enhanced phishing detection mechanisms, especially for nascent Web3 startups. The key to protection? Cultivating a culture of awareness where users become savvy enough to recognize telltale signs and verify any critical communication through trusted sources, a necessity in an age where impersonation reigns.

The Road Ahead: A Call to Action

Spektor’s story serves as more than an isolated cautionary tale; it echoes a broader, systemic vulnerability interwoven within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. As technology advances, so do the methods of cybercriminals, reinforcing a critical insight: human error remains the weak link in this chain.

As we steer into the future, it is imperative that both investors and regulators understand and prioritize the safeguarding of security protocols across all platforms. To thrive, cryptocurrency exchanges must harmonize user-friendly transactions with unwavering security measures, crafting an environment where criminal operations struggle to take root.

Conclusion

The saga of Ronald Spektor signals an urgent call to arms against the pervasive threats encircling the cryptocurrency landscape. Strengthening security protocols and empowering an enlightened user base are not just advisable; they’re essential for survival. By championing vigilance and investing in advanced technological defenses, we stand a better chance of shielding investors and stabilizing the innovative yet fragile cryptocurrency market. As we confront the shadows cast by cybercrime, let us resolve to forge a more secure financial future that empowers rather than exploits.

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Crypto

USDC Enters Intuit’s Core Products With Circle Partnership as Stablecoins Move Mainstream

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USDC Enters Intuit’s Core Products With Circle Partnership as Stablecoins Move Mainstream
USDC is moving deeper into mainstream finance as Intuit partners with Circle to embed stablecoin payments across its platforms, expanding always-on, lower-cost digital money movement for consumers, small businesses, and global transactions.
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Crypto

Report: North Korean hackers stole a record $2.02B in crypto in 2025 – UPI.com

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Report: North Korean hackers stole a record .02B in crypto in 2025 – UPI.com
North Korean hackers accounted for a record $2.02 billion in global cryptocurrency thefts in 2025, which accounted for most of the $3.4 billion stolen this year, according to an industry report released on Thursday. Photo by John Angelillo/UPI | License Photo

Dec. 18 (UPI) — North Korea topped its own world record for cryptocurrency theft with a $2.02 billion haul in 2025, which accounted for about 60% of the world’s $3.4 billion in crypto thefts.

North Korea’s stolen crypto this year totaled $720 million and is 51% more than North Korea’s then-record $1.3 billion take in 2024. It raises to $6.75 billion its total in cryptocurrency thefts in recent years, according to a report released on Thursday by blockchain data provider Chainalysis.

Much of this year’s stolen cryptocurrency occurred when hackers working for North Korea’s hacking team in February pilfered some $1.5 billion worth of mostly ethereum cryptocurrency from Dubai-based exchange Bybit, NBC News reported.

The $1.5 billion Bybit theft set a world record for the most stolen in a single incident.

The North Korean hackers operate from the relative safety of a nation that mostly is closed to the outside world.

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“It’s very difficult to stop, because there’s an asymmetry where they’re in general so cut off from the world and such a rogue state,” Matt Pearl, Center for Strategic and International Studies’ director of its Strategic Technologies Program, told NBC News.

North Korean hackers managed to steal more cryptocurrency this year despite carrying out fewer attacks, often with the help of IT workers within cryptocurrency services providers or through the use of impersonation tactics that target crypto executives, Chainalysis reported.

Once the cryptocurrencies are stolen online, North Korea’s hackers prefer to launder the proceeds through money laundering services that use the Chinese language, according to Chainalysis.

They also use bridge services and mixing protocols and take about 45 days to launder their stolen cryptocurrency after a particular theft.

A similar report in October by blockchain analytics firm Elliptic said North Korean hackers conducted more than 30 hacking attacks to steal its record $2.02 billion in crypto with three months left in the year.

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In addition to the Bybit theft, North Korean hackers also are blamed for stealing $14 million from nine accounts on the WOO X crypto exchange in July and $1.2 million from the blockchain funding site Seedify in September, among many other thefts.

About 40% of the proceeds from the cryptocurrency thefts are used to fund North Korea’s nuclear arms and other weapons development efforts.

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