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The dreams broken by Luna, the cryptocurrency that crashed in three days: ‘It seemed like a safe bet’

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The dreams broken by Luna, the cryptocurrency that crashed in three days: ‘It seemed like a safe bet’
Do Kwon, the founding father of Terraform Labs, the creator of Luna.Woohae Cho (Bloomberg)

Till only a few days in the past, D.S. thought that investing in cryptocurrencies was top-of-the-line choices of his life. He had €80,000 ($84,300) price in Luna – double the €40,000 ($42,200) he had invested virtually a 12 months in the past. As we speak, when he opens the appliance to see how a lot of that he has left, the imaginative and prescient is bleak: €4 ($4.22). “It appeared like one of many most secure bets. Even when bitcoin was dropping worth, luna was hitting all-time highs. They have been going to launch numerous initiatives and so they have been backed by funding funds, ”says the 32-year-old Spaniard, who has seen most of his financial savings evaporate in simply three days after the collapse of the digital forex.

His story is repeated internationally. Luna was created by Terraform Labs, which is owned by 30-year-old Do Kwon from South Korea. Up till only a few days in the past, it was thought-about one of many sector’s greatest success tales. Final week, earlier than the collapse, one younger Luna investor described Kwon as a “visionary, the Elon Musk of the longer term.” Tens of hundreds of small-time traders world wide threw their cash into Luna, which was as soon as valued at $18 billion. However opinions about Kwon have modified now as traders come to phrases with their losses. On boards comparable to Reddit, once-enthusiastic backers commiserate over their losses, with some customers expressing suicidal ideas. And now Kwon fears for his security. After the Luna crash, a stranger broke into the premises of Kwon’s residence rang the doorbell, and requested his partner if her husband was at house earlier than operating away from the premises. Kwon’s spouse has reportedly sought police safety.

It’s a disturbing finish to a interval of untrammeled euphoria. When the worth of Luna went from $4 in February 2021 to $60 in the identical month of 2022 – multiplying fifteen-fold in only one 12 months – questions weren’t raised in regards to the sudden spike, as a substitute, it was anticipated to rise much more. Few suspected that every part was about to crumble. “I invested as a result of it was one of many high cryptocurrencies. It was among the many high 10 by market capitalization. I used to be offered on the challenge and the profitability of its stablecoin was unbelievable,” explains one other younger man from Madrid, below the age of 30, who misplaced €5,000 ($5,300).

The stablecoin he’s referring to is TerraUSD or UST. Buyers who deposited UST in “Anchor Protocol,” a lending and borrowing protocol constructed by Terraform Labs, have been provided a secure yield fee of as much as 19.%. In a context, by which few banks give greater than 0% attributable to low-interest charges, this anomaly was not questioned by the profitable traders, who have been blinded by the ability of a brand new expertise that was promising to make them wealthy. However UST misplaced its peg to the US greenback, and that is what despatched Luna, its sister forex, right into a well being spiral. Luna misplaced greater than 90% of its worth in three days, triggering one of many greatest shocks within the crypto sector’s brief historical past. However huge losses don’t all the time act as a deterrent. “I nonetheless suppose that it could flip round and I’ve not offered something. Quite the opposite, I’ve purchased extra. When a man goes out partying and spends €50 [$53] on drinks on one thing that impacts his well being, nobody asks him if he thinks it’s fallacious to throw that cash away. Not less than this doesn’t hurt my physique,” says the 30-year-old from Madrid.

Disappointment

Different Luna traders have utterly misplaced hope in a comeback, which specialists have additionally dominated out. One investor, a 41-year-old physician, who like the remainder of these affected by the crash solely speaks on the situation of anonymity, says that any more he’ll restrict his funding in cryptocurrencies to the 2 largest ones: bitcoin and Ethereum. “I’ve misplaced two months of wage, about €8,000 [$8,500], so it hasn’t modified something for me. My investments are diversified and the share I’ve in cryptocurrencies may be very low, however I feel it’s a blow to the longer term crypto adoption that’s a lot talked about. In the meanwhile I’m going to remain on the sidelines, and I’m solely going to reinvest the income,” he says in a message on Telegram, which has a number of teams of Luna traders.

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Yuvraj Sharma from India is likely one of the few individuals who agreed to offer their full identify. There’s little danger that his family and friends will learn the information, and the $200 he misplaced in Luna has additionally not upended his life. However for the 19-year-old enterprise scholar from Calcutta, it’s extra money than it may appear. “It’s a lot for me as a result of it has value me a variety of effort to get it. It’s two months’ price of wages. I nonetheless hope that one thing will probably be carried out to handle this devastating crash and that I will come out with a minimum of what I invested,” he says. The possibilities of that taking place are near nil. The value of Luna at this time is $0.0002.

Sharma’s case highlights a rising pattern: increasingly younger individuals are investing in cryptocurrencies, with none security internet. The truth that they don’t giant sums to take a position is the one factor that’s stopping them from dropping greater quantities of cash in a sector that they don’t utterly perceive. The query now’s whether or not these younger traders will persevere, and make investments extra once they begin incomes extra, or if that is only a passing pattern that can fade over time.

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The Company Behind the World's Third-Largest Cryptocurrency Just Invested $775 Million in This Little Company Taking on YouTube and AWS | The Motley Fool

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The Company Behind the World's Third-Largest Cryptocurrency Just Invested 5 Million in This Little Company Taking on YouTube and AWS | The Motley Fool

Shares of technology company Rumble (RUM -6.39%) are at 52-week highs as of this writing, having jumped roughly 300% in value since lows set back in January. And much of its leap is thanks to a massive $775 million investment from the investment arm of Tether Limited, the company behind the cryptocurrency stablecoin Tether (USDT -0.04%).

Tether is the third-largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization. As of this writing, the market cap is almost $140 billion, which trails only Bitcoin and Ethereum. But Tether isn’t like these other two cryptocurrencies; it’s a stablecoin.

A stablecoin intends to have a 1-to-1 price correlation with something else. For example, a U.S. dollar stablecoin should always be worth $1. It’s for people who want to explore the world of cryptocurrency without the volatility. Simply explained, they deposit $1 and Tether issues one new stablecoin worth $1.

According to Tether, it had about $125 billion in reserves as of Sept. 30 (its market cap was $119 billion at the time). Most of these reserves are in U.S. Treasury bills. It needs to hold these reserves in case people want to redeem their stablecoins for dollars. But Tether is able to make money for itself with these massive reserves in the meantime.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino recently said it’s on pace to earn $10 billion in net profit in 2024, which is an astounding amount for any company, let alone a cryptocurrency company. And the company doesn’t simply rake in these profits, but rather it invests its money from time to time, which is what it’s doing with Rumble.

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Why the market is excited about Tether’s investment in Rumble

Rumble turned heads when it went public in 2022 because this little company has big ambitions. The company intends to build internet infrastructure that’s free from censorship and it hopes to compete with Alphabet‘s video streaming platform, YouTube; Amazon‘s cloud computing service, AWS; social media platforms; and more.

The problem is that Rumble can’t simply wish all of this into existence — it takes money. And when ambitions are this high, it costs a lot of money to build. Unsurprisingly, the company had a net loss of $116 million in 2023 and has already lost another $102 million in the first three quarters of 2024.

But give Rumble some credit. The chart below shows its outstanding share count with the orange line. Ignore the brief spike shortly after it went public (the accounting of these things can get temporarily distorted upon going public). The chart shows that, to date, management hasn’t been raising money by diluting shareholders with stock offerings. It also hasn’t been taking on debt.

RUM Total Long Term Debt (Quarterly) data by YCharts

To the contrary, Rumble has been funding its growth with cash on hand. And I believe that’s the right move. After all, the company got its cash from its shareholders in the first place. These shareholders expect it to achieve its long-term vision by actually using this cash.

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However, Rumble is still burning cash at a fast pace and investors were getting worried about liquidity. The stock consequently skyrocketed when Tether announced its massive investment because the fears regarding liquidity were alleviated.

There are reasons for optimism with Rumble. In the third quarter of 2024, the company had 67 million monthly active users — that’s nothing to sneeze at. Granted, that’s down from its user base of 71 million in the third quarter of 2022. But it’s a large, engaged user base nonetheless.

The challenge has been growing revenue by getting advertisers to buy into Rumble’s potential. As CEO Chris Pavlovski lamented on the Q3 earnings call, “How much longer can brand advertisers ignore more than half the country?”

Rumble does have a premium subscription service that makes up for lack of interest from advertisers. But ad revenue is still important to the company and Pavlovski’s question is an admission that this is an ongoing headwind for the business. And, unfortunately, it’s impossible to know how much longer it will be before advertising demand picks up.

The good news for Rumble’s shareholders is that however long it is, it now has a longer runway than it had before thanks to the infusion of cash from Tether. While there are still a lot of moving pieces here and more details with the transaction that are worth knowing, the main takeaway is that Rumble has more time than it had before. And when it comes to investing, more time is almost always a good thing.

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John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Jon Quast has positions in Ethereum. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Bitcoin, and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon will face fraud charges in the US | TechCrunch

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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon will face fraud charges in the US | TechCrunch

Do Kwon, the co-founder of collapsed cryptocurrency startup Terraform Labs, will be extradited from Montenegro to the U.S. to face federal fraud charges, as first reported by Bloomberg.

Kwon faces charges in both the U.S. and South Korea; Terraform Labs’ TerraUSD and Luna cryptocurrencies crashed in 2022, causing investors to lose over $40 billion.

Terraform and Kwon were found personally liable for fraud following a civil trial on U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission allegations in April. Terraform agreed to pay $4.5 billion to settle the case with the SEC.

Kwon was arrested in March 2023 at the airport in Podgorica, the Montenegrin capital, while preparing to board a flight to Dubai. It’s unclear when Montenegro plans on releasing Kwon to the U.S. and whether the government’s latest decision supersedes its order in August to extradite Kwon to South Korea.

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Here's a heartwarming holiday crypto story (no, seriously)

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Here's a heartwarming holiday crypto story (no, seriously)

In a true Christmas miracle, a viral crypto stunt actually seems to be doing some good in the world.

Siqi Chen, an investor and startup founder, took to X on Christmas Eve to share a GoFundMe campaign he created to fund research into a rare brain tumor afflicting his 5-year-old daughter. His daughter, Mira, was diagnosed in September with adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma — a benign tumor that is usually not fatal but causes severe side effects. 

Chen said the family is working with Dr. Todd Hankinson at the University of Colorado on treatments to slow the tumor’s growth. Because this cancer is so rare, he said, research is sparse and funding is lacking. “this christmas, i am humbly asking for your help to support dr. hankinson’s research,” he tweeted.

His online fundraiser raised more than $233,000 of its $300,000 goal in two days. But the most heartwarming part had nothing to do with GoFundMe.

Late in the evening on Christmas Day, Chen took to X again — this time in surprise. 

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“uh so some random guy 20 minutes [ago] made a SOL memecoin called $MIRA to help with research fundraising and sent me half the entire supply and it’s now worth like $400K and i literally don’t know what to do,” he wrote.

The memecoin — internet parlance for a cryptocurrency created on a lark, often based on a joke — skyrocketed in value as crypto enthusiasts traded it among themselves. Chen started selling off small portions of his holding Wednesday evening, promising to donate 100% of the proceeds to Hankinson’s laboratory. “CAN SOME PLEASE EXPLAIN HOW THIS MAGIC INTERNET MONEY WORKS I AM LOSING MY MIND,” he wrote less than half an hour after his initial tweet, when the value of his holdings soared to nearly $6 million. 

Chen continued tweeting his disbelief as the value soared to $11 million, then $14.7 million, then $18.8 million. By Thursday morning, he had sold enough of the token to send at least $1 million to Hankinson’s lab, he said. “yi, mira and i are so unbelievably grateful to you all — each and every one of you,” he wrote. “christmas magic was made real this year thanks to all of you. forever grateful.”

Perhaps no one was more surprised than Hankinson, who learned of the memecoin Thursday morning via excited texts from friends and coworkers. “This entire area of the world — Bitcoin and NFTs and stuff — I do not know a single thing about it,” he told The Standard. “So when all this stuff started going on, I was like, ‘What?’” 

Hankinson said he has studied adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma for more than 15 years, and his lab is the only one in North America dedicated to its treatment. He said funding is hard to come by both because the condition is rare — fewer than two in a million people are diagnosed with AC every year — and because it does not grow as aggressively as some other tumors. Still, he said, the side effects can be devastating: stunted growth; vision impairment; and difficulty regulating hunger, thirst, and temperature.

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If the Chen family did contribute $1 million, he said, it would be by far the largest donation the lab has ever received.

“Even if it ends up being a small fraction of what people have talked about, it would still be a complete game changer for the scale on which we can do things and the sophistication with which we do things,” he said. “This would be the most insane Christmas gift our research has ever gotten.”

Hankinson and Chen weren’t the only ones surprised by the use of a memecoin to fund medical research. These trend-based tokens are primarily known as risky, volatile investments — more of a gag than a serious asset. (The creators of a memecoin tied to Hailey Welch, better known as the “Hawk Tuah” Girl, are being sued by investors after its value dropped 95% in a single day.) They are sometimes used in crypto scams known as “rug pulls,” in which founders create a token, convince people to invest in it, then rapidly sell all their holdings.

Chen said repeatedly on Twitter that he was trying to avoid a “rug pull” situation by selling off his holdings in the “MIRA” coin slowly. He said Thursday that he would sell $1,000 worth of the token every 10 minutes until it runs out. Still, the value of the coin has dropped significantly from its overnight high. 

That crash — coupled with the fact that early sellers of the coin likely made a tidy profit — made some observers uneasy. But Chen said he didn’t mind.

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“if you made a lot of money, i’m genuinely happy for you — but please consider donating some of your profits to hankinson lab,” he tweeted. “if you lost a lot of money, i’m very sorry —  but magic internet money is magic internet money.”

Chen is a well-regarded figure in Silicon Valley who founded and sold two startups and worked at several others before his current venture, a finance software company called Runway. Among those responding to his tweets were Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian, Sequoia partner Shaun Maguire, and X CEO Linda Yaccarino.

In a Twitter Space on Wednesday night, Chen explained that his daughter initially presented with a headache, which he and his wife thought little about until they brought her to a pediatrician who suggested an MRI. Doctors have since placed Mira on an arthritis medication that could slow the growth of the tumor, and they are weighing the benefits of surgery. “Our strategy right now is just to try everything we can to buy as much time as possible,” he said.

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