This editorial is from this week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review, sent to subscribers on Friday. Subscribe to the newsletter to get this weekly editorial the second it’s finished. The newsletter also includes the biggest stories of the week with a comment on each story.
Crypto
New Crypto Bro PAC Spending Millions on Ads to Defeat Katie Porter in California Senate Race
Whatever remaining cryptocurrency moguls who are not looking at prison time have coalesced around a common enemy in Senate candidate Katie Porter, as money from Ron Conway and Andreessen Horowitz just bought $2 million worth of attack ads against her.
One-time biggest name in cryptocurrency, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, is now headed to prison on fraud charges. Same goes for the former second-name biggest name in cryptocurrency, former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, who will be sentenced in April. But this has not daunted the crypto bro vision in general.
In fact, the New York Times reports that a cryptocurrency-focused political action committee (PAC) has raised a nearly $80 million war chest to influence the 2024 elections, and Politico’s Christopher Cadelago points out that they’ve spent $2 million on a TV ad campaign against Rep. Katie Porter, who’s running for Dianne Feinstein’s former Senate seat.
(As a reminder, it is crunch time in that Senate race. The March 5 primary is just three weeks from today, and only two of the four candidates running will move on to the November 5 election. The crypto PAC wants to make sure Porter is not one of them, with the TV ad seen below.)
The PAC is called Fairshake, and the commercial does not mention that their cause is cryptocurrency, perhaps to avoid association with all of the criminal money laundering in that sector. The ad shows doctored video of Porter’s famed viral whiteboard moments and decries her “claims not to take corporate PAC money,” while showing that she received campaign donations of between $500-$2,900 from a pharmaceutical company executive and a bank president.
These are all still individual donations from an actual human being, not a corporation or a PAC. And never mind the irony of a $2 million ad campaign calling someone out for taking $500-$2,900 contributions from individuals.
Californians aren’t fooled: Shadowy crypto billionaires don’t want a strong voice for consumers in the Senate. They fear people who call out corporate greed, so they’re spending millions on dishonest dark-money ads against me.
Their ads will never stop me from fighting for YOU. https://t.co/reVyV4Ntnn
— Katie Porter (@katieporteroc) February 13, 2024
The Times reports that Fairshake’s $80 million election war chest comes “mostly” from Andreessen Horowitz, Coinbase, and Ripple Labs, all of whom have major stakes in crypto. And Politico adds that our longtime tech industry puppet master Ron Conway is also a major donor. Per the Times, Fairshake has pulled in veteran political lobbying groups Impact Research (Biden 2020 campaign) and Jamestown Associates (Trump 2020 campaign).
What we know: Katie Porter joined other lawmakers including Elizabeth Warren in writing to Texas regulators with concerns about crypto mining and its effects on climate change.
Adam Schiff has received high letter grades from the industry.
Can see where this is headed …
— Christopher Cadelago (@ccadelago) February 12, 2024
So why are the crypto bros out to get Katie Porter? One can only speculate, but Politico’s Cadelago notes that Porter has criticized the industry over environmental concerns over crypto mining. And notably, this is the first major negative TV attack ad campaign against a Democrat in this race. (Schiff’s campaign is running an ad that calls out Republican Steve Garvey for voting for Trump twice.)
For @Slate I wrote about the California Senate campaign of GOP candidate Steve Garvey, who may very well knock out Katie Porter + Barbara Lee on Super Tuesday (basically gifting the seat to Adam Schiff) while running on a platform of empty head no thoughtshttps://t.co/OPjr9Pl7st
— Alex Shultz (@AlexShultz) February 5, 2024
And its desired effect seems to be to knock out Katie Porter in the March 5 primary election. It’s no secret that the leading candidate in that primary, Rep. Adam Schiff, also wants to see Porter knocked out, so he can cakewalk to an easy blue-state November victory over Garvey. Last poll we saw, Garvey and Porter are both tied at 15% for second place, while Schiff is comfortably in first place at 25%.
So Porter, and a gaggle of wealthy crypto investors, have three weeks to break that tie however they can.
Related: Debate for Feinstein’s Senate Seat: Adam Schiff, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee Spar, Steve Garvey Wishy-Washes [SFist]
Image: WASHINGTON, DC – JULY 25: U.S. Rep. Katie Porter (D-CA) speaks during a news conference on Medicare Advantage plans in front of the U.S. Capitol on July 25, 2023 in Washington, DC. Joined by Medicare advocates, Congressional Democrats held a news conference “to call for action to stop wrongful delays and denials in private Medicare Advantage plans, to end to fraudulent overpayments, and to mandate accountability for the worst actors who hurt patients.” (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Crypto
FBI arrests 3 US citizens for plotting to fund ISIS with cryptocurrency
Three US citizens are in federal custody after the FBI arrested them on charges of conspiring to provide material support to ISIS, the designated foreign terrorist organization. The suspects allegedly attempted to use cryptocurrency to purchase weapons, including RPGs and drones, intended for attacks on US servicemembers overseas.
The arrests, carried out on June 5 and 6, mark another instance of law enforcement intercepting crypto-funded terrorism plots before they can materialize. The trio collectively transferred over $2,000 to an individual they believed was affiliated with ISIS, though they were stopped before any weapons purchases went through.
Who was arrested and what they’re accused of
The three defendants are Bisaam Ghafoor, 21, from Leawood, Kansas; Elias Shamsaldeen, 21, from Porterville, California; and Bereen Dzayee, 25, from Lakeside, California. All three face federal charges in the District of Kansas for conspiring to provide material support to terrorism.
According to the Department of Justice complaint, the suspects did more than just move money. They allegedly discussed violent attacks, pledged allegiance to ISIS, and actively sought to acquire military-grade hardware using digital assets. The weapons wish list reportedly included rocket-propelled grenades and drones, with the intended targets being US military personnel stationed abroad.
Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche framed the arrests as evidence of the government’s ongoing commitment to dismantling terrorist networks.
Crypto and terrorism financing: a persistent tension
No specific cryptocurrencies, tokens, or exchanges were identified in connection with the case. In previous terrorism financing cases involving crypto, prosecutors have sometimes named the platforms used, leading to increased regulatory scrutiny on those services.
The modest dollar amount involved, just over $2,000 split among three people, also distinguishes this case from larger-scale terrorism financing operations. The US Treasury’s Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence has previously targeted networks moving hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars in crypto to militant groups.
What this means for crypto investors
The direct market impact of this particular case is effectively zero. The amount of money involved was negligible by any market standard, no specific tokens or platforms were implicated, and the plot was disrupted before it could produce any operational outcome.
Crypto
Bitcoin’s Stumble Looks Graceful Next to Zcash’s Faceplant — Week in Review
Bitcoin capitulated below its 200-week moving average with a big red candle, trading at $62,495 as of Friday morning. Ethereum saw similar blood, and the altcoin sector in general collapsed further, even the outliers that were shining in previous weeks.
Meanwhile, the stock market continued its parabolic ascent, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones all hitting new record levels yet again.
Traditional markets look unstoppable. The S&P 500 is on track for its longest weekly winning streak since 1985. But under the hood, folks like Jim Bianco worry that the entire rally is a one-trick pony. The concentration of money in AI is at historic highs. Space is hot too, led by the imminent SpaceX IPO, with fuel added to the fire by the likes of Fidelity. Even if the current software-focused AI trade cools off, the current trade could pivot heavily towards physical AI – robotics.
There are economic rumblings of discontent. Bernie Sanders has introduced the “American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act,” proposing to confiscate 50% of the equity in leading AI companies. The K-shaped economy is intensifying, with small businesses entirely left out of the recent uptick in hiring, marking the worst job outlook since May 2020. Pimco’s chief investment officer has warned that the first sustained credit default cycle in years has begun.
Against this backdrop, crypto is suffering a severe crisis of faith, tipped over the edge by the one-two punch of Saylor selling Bitcoin and the announcement that Zcash had a 4 year double-spend exploit. Here’s a good overview to understand the Zcash bug. In a bitter twist of fate, Taiki Maeda announced he had rotated heavily into Zcash (ZEC) because Saylor fumbled his thesis.
Sentiment was already low, but this bug and the subsequent ongoing price waterfalls is sending it lower, exacerbated by the divergence with equities. While the Nasdaq 100 hits fresh records fueled by AI, Bitcoin and crypto are cratering.
The on-chain data is ugly. Cycle-top buyers who held through the drawdown are finally capitulating, with Glassnode reporting that aggregated realized losses have spiked to $1.3B/day. Long-term bulls are openly stating they aren’t sure Bitcoin recovers this time, or lamenting the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin while the AI trade minted millionaires. The problems aren’t just price action; fundamental concerns are mounting, as outlined in a viral thread detailing Bitcoin’s current structural issues. Crypto tourists like Brent Johnson are contemplating scenarios where MicroStrategy (MSTR) drops to single-digit support levels.
There are glimmers of hope. DonAlt, the legendary duck, says he will buy “properly” if the weekly candle closes above $71K. That seems all but impossible now, but not in the next couple of weeks. Saifedean Ammous argues that the ultimate backstop remains intact: the narrative that nation-states will buy Bitcoin precisely because it is an asset that cannot be seized by foreign adversaries. The ZEC failure, and a failure all privacy coins suffer currently, strengthens Bitcoin’s primacy as the de facto digital asset store of value.
The altcoin market is faring worse, of course. Delphi Digital declared what we already knew: airdrops don’t work and only create sellers. Builders are exhausted. Algod took to X to voice his frustration with the Bittensor ecosystem, citing unclear conviction and iteration fatigue, while noting that he still holds nearly an ATH amount of TAO but feels his conviction is being seriously tested by a lack of builder incentives.
The old guard of projects are soldiering on. Ryan Sean Adams continues to argue that Ethereum’s value capture mechanism is its use as money—a SoV, MoE, or unit of account. Justin Drake released a long post on the Google quantum computing breakthrough that made many feel Ethereum’s got a great game plan vis-à-vis Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Charles Hoskinson had to clarify that he is not leaving Cardano after ADA dropped 94% back to 2020 levels, prompting critics to beg him to just stop talking.
In a perfect summation of the market’s current feeling, Carl The Moon is officially pivoting to a music career.
Despite the gloom, Hunter Horsley is right: there is a quiet changing of the guard underway in crypto.
The brightest spot is Hyperliquid. HYPE broke all-time highs, proving that tokens can actually perform if they don’t have horrendous tokenomics. Its perpetual volume market share versus centralized exchanges hit 7%. The success even caught the attention of tradfi royalty, with ICE’s Jeff Sprecher noting that it’s bigger than NASDAQ with only 11 people.
But not everyone is convinced. Kyle Samani declared that Hyperliquid is just “Binance 2.0” and will fail due to its centralized technical decisions. This triggered Arthur Hayes to challenge Mr. Samani to a $100k charity wager that HYPE outperforms any top-ten crypto.
Despite this belief in HYPE, Mr. Hayes went from proclaiming “$HYPE to $150”, only to completely dump his HYPE position four days later. In other negative HYPE news, the UK’s FCA published a warning designating Hyperliquid as an unauthorized firm.
Meanwhile in CEX land, Binance announced stock trading on its platform, prompting jokes of being a little late to the party. Coinbase made waves by backing Ethena with open market purchases of ENA.
Perhaps the most fascinating infrastructure shift is the maturity of prediction markets. They’re no longer just for degenerate gambling; they are being actively used for hedging. Rob Hadick notes the sheer volume of teams building sophisticated institutional tooling to place hedging contracts. In a great real-world application, an NYC bar used Kalshi to hedge giving away free drinks if the Knicks win.
Let’s end on some hopium. Chris Perkins pondered whether we might be entering an “alt fundamentals szn” where real product-market fit actually matters. And the hosts of Forward Guidance argued that the massive, concentrated profits currently locked in AI and semis could eventually rotate back to the comparatively starved crypto markets.
-David Sencil
Crypto
From banks to blockchains: US opens new front in Iran sanctions
The US Treasury designated Nobitex alongside Wallex, Bitpin and Ramzinex and sanctioned senior figures connected to Nobitex, including chairman, co-founder and former chief executive Amir Hossein Rad.
According to the Treasury, Nobitex processed more than half of all Iranian digital asset inflows in 2025. Washington also accused it of facilitating transactions linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), sanctions evasion, ransomware activity and the Central Bank of Iran’s access to hundreds of millions of dollars in stablecoins.
The sanctions therefore struck at part of the infrastructure that has allowed Iranian individuals, companies and state-linked actors to access international digital asset markets despite years of financial restrictions.
Crypto vs sanctions
Iran’s interest in cryptocurrency is not difficult to explain. Sanctions have sharply limited access to international banking networks, dollar transactions, trade finance and oil revenues. Digital assets do not eliminate these constraints but can provide alternative channels for moving value across borders.
Cryptocurrencies and stablecoins can help facilitate transactions, preserve value and maintain access to foreign markets. Stablecoins are particularly attractive because they reduce exposure to price volatility while still operating outside traditional correspondent banking networks.
Crypto mining has also become part of Iran’s sanctions-evasion toolkit. By using subsidized electricity to mine Bitcoin, Iran can effectively convert domestic energy resources into a globally transferable digital asset.
The strategy comes with costs. Mining places additional strain on Iran’s electricity grid and has been linked to power shortages and public frustration. Yet for a sanctioned economy, the logic remains compelling: when access to conventional finance is restricted, any mechanism capable of transforming local resources into internationally usable value becomes strategically important.
Hormuz and crypto
Cryptocurrency has also emerged in discussions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints.
Chainalysis reported recently that Iran intended to demand cryptocurrency payments from oil tankers seeking safe passage through the strait during periods of heightened tension. Whether such plans were fully implemented is less important than what they reveal about the potential role of digital assets in future geopolitical confrontations.
For Tehran, cryptocurrency offers several advantages in such scenarios. Payments can move rapidly across borders, avoid some traditional banking restrictions and reduce exposure to frozen accounts or conventional financial controls.
The prospect of crypto-based payments linked to maritime security demonstrates how digital assets could potentially be used not only to move money quietly but also to generate revenue during periods of geopolitical crisis.
The US Treasury has warned of sanctions risks associated with Iranian demands for transit-related payments through the Strait of Hormuz, including payments made through digital assets, fiat currency, offsets, swaps or other arrangements.
Blockchain evasion limits
Despite its advantages, cryptocurrency is not a magic shield against sanctions.
Blockchain transactions often leave traces that can be analyzed by firms such as Chainalysis and Elliptic or by government financial-intelligence agencies.
Once the United States designates a platform such as Nobitex, international exchanges, liquidity providers and counterparties face increased risks if they continue interacting with Iranian-linked wallets. This pushes activity toward smaller, less liquid and often riskier channels.
The sanctions also highlight another vulnerability. Treasury officials noted that Nobitex suffered a major hack in June 2025, underscoring the risks associated with relying on digital financial infrastructure.
Another area of interest is the role of the IRGC, which under Iran’s previous budget law was tasked with exporting roughly 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day—about half of the country’s exports at the time. The organization is also one of Iran’s largest infrastructure contractors.
While available data do not reveal where imported services originated or who ultimately benefited from them, the overlap illustrates the growing importance of non-traditional financial channels within Iran’s sanctioned economy.
Iran is likely to adapt. Activity may shift toward peer-to-peer trading, decentralized platforms, foreign intermediaries, stablecoin networks or new domestic exchanges. Yet each alternative carries costs, whether through reduced liquidity, greater compliance risks or increased exposure to future sanctions.
For Washington, the challenge is sustained enforcement. Sanctioning Nobitex will matter most if it is accompanied by international cooperation, improved blockchain intelligence, pressure on foreign exchanges and clear guidance for shipping firms, insurers and commodity traders.
The United States does not need to stop every Iranian crypto transaction to have an effect. It only needs to make the system more expensive, more traceable, riskier and less attractive for counterparties.
The Nobitex case illustrates how financial warfare has moved from banks to blockchains. Digital assets have given Tehran greater flexibility under sanctions, but they have also created new vulnerabilities.
The more Iran relies on crypto infrastructure, the more that infrastructure becomes part of the sanctions battlefield.
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