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Cryptocurrency animal spirits are back big time

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Cryptocurrency animal spirits are back big time

The growing excitement in the cryptocurrency world hinges on hopes of the imminent approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

Around a dozen asset managers including BlackRock, Fidelity, Invesco, Franklin Templeton and VanEck have applied to offer ETFs that hold spot bitcoin. The SEC, which faces a Wednesday deadline to approve some of the applications, has rejected prior applications, citing a lack of surveillance for fraud and manipulation in bitcoin markets.

However, a federal appeals court last year criticised the SEC’s reasoning for denying an application to list a bitcoin spot ETF as “arbitrary and capricious”. And this reprimand has sparked hopes that the regulator will be forced to abandon its previous stance and give its blessing to such products.

Bitcoin advocates argue the new funds will attract tens of billions of dollars from investors who were previously wary of owning the cryptocurrency, pushing its price, and that of other digital currencies, sharply higher.

They argue that SEC approval for spot bitcoin ETFs will finally take crypto into the mainstream, allowing fund managers and more traditional market participants to allocate a percentage of their portfolio to this new asset class.

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And retail investors also find it more appealing to invest in the digital currency, because of the low fees on proposed bitcoin ETFs.

According to regulatory filings, BlackRock, the world’s largest fund manager, is proposing to charge customers just 0.2 per cent of the net asset value of its fund for the first year or until its ETF hits $US5 billion, before rising to 0.2 per cent.

More broadly, bitcoin enthusiasts argue that the appeal of cryptocurrencies is spreading.

Argentina’s new libertarian government, which faces an economic crisis with soaring inflation and a collapsing currency, has signalled that it will accept financial contracts settled in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. And El Salvador is offering expedited citizenship to foreigners who make “donations” to government social and economic development programs.

But bitcoin has a long path to respectability. Years of software development and investments have failed to catapult blockchain networks into mainstream finance, while the primary use of cryptocurrencies – beyond trading – is still hacking, theft, and money laundering.

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Crypto

Fixing BTC’s Quantum Issue Tops All Bitcoin Development Priorities, Says Willy Woo

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Fixing BTC’s Quantum Issue Tops All Bitcoin Development Priorities, Says Willy Woo
Quantum risk is emerging as a decisive hurdle for bitcoin’s institutional future as sovereign investors weigh long-term resilience, pushing gold and BTC into sharper focus amid debt cycles, macro uncertainty, and geopolitical realignment, according to on-chain analyst Willy Woo.
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Strategy buys even more Bitcoin—$264 million of it—even as Bitcoin slumps to $87,000. | Fortune

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Strategy buys even more Bitcoin—4 million of it—even as Bitcoin slumps to ,000. | Fortune

Despite the current downturn for crypto, Strategy added even more Bitcoin to its collection. The company bought more than 2,900 Bitcoin last week, bringing its total to over 712,000, according to an X post by cofounder Michael Saylor. The move follows a more than $2 billion purchase earlier this month. 

Strategy is the first and biggest digital asset treasury, or a type of company that acquires and holds on to large amounts of crypto. Saylor’s company began investing in Bitcoin in 2020 and now holds more than 3% of the total supply. This business model has confronted major challenges in the past few months, as the largest cryptocurrency has plummeted since its all-time high in October. Bitcoin is worth about $87,000, down about 31% since then, according to Binance. 

One analyst views Saylor’s purchase as expected, considering the company’s business strategy, which is to continually amass Bitcoin on the theory it will appreciate in the long term, and to time purchases to coincide with market dips.

“It’s not surprising for me to see that they’re really aggressively continuing to purchase [Bitcoin]”, said Nathan Schmidt, an analyst at CFRA Research. “It is certainly the playbook for them these days.” 

Bitcoin’s fall from its all-time high of about $126,000 in October was caused in part by a flash crash in the fall, where crypto traders lost more than $19 billion in their positions. Misfortunes for digital assets have only continued this calendar year. The sector dipped as tensions mounted between the U.S. and Europe over Greenland. In addition, major regulatory legislation, referred to as the Clarity Act, has stalled as major figures in the crypto industry spar over its details. 

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The major cryptocurrency isn’t the only one to suffer losses, as altcoins are down as well. Ethereum is down 30% in the last three months to its current price of $2,899, and Solana is down more than 38% to its price of about $124, according to Binance.

Crypto’s dip has led to disastrous returns for digital asset treasuries like Strategy. Saylor’s company stock is down about 64% since July to its current price of about $160. 

Schmidt, the analyst from CFRA Research, argues that the biggest risk to Strategy is long-term declines in the value of Bitcoin. He says that the company could survive such a dip in the next few years because of its liquidity, but that over time the company would be in trouble. 

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Markets Front-Run New Fed Chair: Pro-Crypto Blackrock Executive Gains Dominant Odds

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Markets Front-Run New Fed Chair: Pro-Crypto Blackrock Executive Gains Dominant Odds
Prediction markets are coalescing around Blackrock executive Rick Rieder as the leading contender to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, spotlighting a potential Federal Reserve shift shaped by pro-crypto, pro-bitcoin views and evolving monetary expectations.
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