Crypto
Can I Buy a Bitcoin Spot ETF in The UK?
There’s an exchange-traded fund (ETF) for everything these days.
Now there are even more.
Yesterday the US Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the sale of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to the spot price of Bitcoin. It’s a move that tops off years of wrangling over how viable cryptocurrency investing actually is – not to mention the manipulability of markets themselves. For now, it looks like Bitcoin trading is getting another tailwind, though for how long isn’t clear.
This latest development originates in the US, where cryptocurrencies have rarely been out of the headlines in the past two years – for both good and bad reasons.
But can UK investors get involved too? See our FAQ below for more information.
Can I Buy The New US Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the UK?
The short answer to this question is no.
Though fans of cryptocurrency may see this latest US news as a landmark step, UK counterparts may be waiting some time before similar developments in Blighty.
AJ Bell’s head of investment analysis Laith Khalaf says anyone trying to make the case to the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) that things have changed and that now is the right time to fall in line with the US may well have a difficult time.
“Even with the SEC approval, it isn’t a slam dunk that we will get one over here because the UK regulator may not approve their sale,” he says.
“US ETFs are not available for sale in the UK because they don’t issue a Key Investor Document, so fund groups would need to launch funds specifically for the European or UK market. In 2021 the FCA banned the sale of exchange-traded notes containing ‘unregulated transferable cryptoassets’. These contained really complex whizzy derivatives and financial engineering to gain exposure to the asset class.
“At the time [the FCA said] crypto had no inherent value, was wildly volatile, rife with financial crime, and didn’t fulfil a financial planning need for investors. It’s difficult to make a case that any of that has changed.”
Why Can Europeans Invest in Crypto ETFs and I Can’t?
The simple answer is the rules differ in each country.
Countries like Switzerland, Germany and France have a more advanced regulatory framework for crypto adoption. Last year the first European Bitcoin spot ETF listed in Amsterdam. The UK regulator has taken a decidedly more cautious approach.
Will UK Cryptocurrency Regulation Change Now?
We’ll save you the politics, but suffice to say the FCA is in something of a bind over the current direction of political travel in the UK (an almost-desperate impetus for economic growth and technological innovation) and its own statutory mandate to protect consumers.
Sometimes it feels as though the regulator is trying to put a tick in each box, one after another. In recent years, however, cryptocurrency has been the exception.
That comes despite talk in central government and even the Bank of England of a shift to a digital currency monikered as “Britcoin”.
For his part, Khalaf reckons the regulator is walking a tightrope on this issue.
“The UK regulatory landscape is shifting, with crypto activities being brought under the supervision of the FCA, so this may pave the way for crypto ETFs at some point in the future,” he says.
“If or when that might happen is anyone’s guess. The FCA is walking a bit of a tightrope here between keeping consumers safe and the government’s ambition to make the UK a global hub for cryptoasset technologies. Bitcoin has endured a number of scandals and huge price volatility, but large investment groups are clearly still interested in packaging it into a tradeable product for punters.
“This is presumably because there would be large consumer demand for Bitcoin ETFs, but sometimes you should be careful what you wish for. It’s hard to make a case that crypto fulfils a genuine financial planning need that can’t be met by other assets, but it definitely does open up investors to the possibility of very heavy losses.”
How Can I Get Exposure to Bitcoin?
Even if you cannot yet buy a Bitcoin spot ETF in the manner now approved by the SEC, there are a number of ways to get exposure to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
This article does not constitute advice to attempt to do so, and readers are reminded they do so at their own risk, and may incur substantial – if not comprehensive – losses.
One option is to buy Bitcoin itself from an FCA-regulated trading platform. At the time of writing, the price of a single Bitcoin is up 1.13% to $47,199 (£37,199).
For those feeling somewhat more cautious, you can gain exposure to cryptocurrencies by buying the shares of companies themselves involved or exposed to cryptocurrency mining. Nvidia (NVDA) is one example, but payment companies like Paypal (PYPL) and Block (SQ) would be others.
What’s The Difference Between a Bitcoin ETF and a Bitcoin Spot ETF?
If you want to understand how cryptocurrency investing works, it’s important to know the difference between products directly linked to cryptocurrency prices, and those with a more secondary exposure.
That is essentially the difference between spot price ETFs and broader exchange-traded products exposed to cryptocurrency.
“The primary difference between a spot ETF and other crypto ETFs is in the assets they hold and how they attract their value,” says Monika Calay, director of passive research strategies at Morningstar.
“A spot ETF like the recently-approved spot Bitcoin ETF primarily holds the actual cryptocurrency itself such as Bitcoin. It physically owns and stores Bitcoin, and the ETF’s value is directly tied to the real-time price of Bitcoin.
“When you invest in a Bitcoin spot ETF you’re essentially owning a share of the cryptocurrency itself, and its performance closely mirrors the price of that cryptocurrency – minus fees and costs.”
But that’s not the only way of doing it. Other ETFs will invest in cryptocurrency-related instruments, such as futures, contracts, futures, options, or shares of companies related to the cryptocurrency industry 0 see above.
“Compared to these structures, spot Bitcoin ETFs are an immediate improvement in purity of Bitcoin exposure,” Calay says.
Has Cryptocurrency Investing Just Gotten Safer?
Purer? Maybe. Safer? No.
Morningstar Investment Management, which is Morningstar’s professional portfolio investing business, remains extremely cautious on cryptocurrencies.
“What started as a pool of ‘early adopters’ has morphed into a growing group of ‘quick profit traders’,” it said in 2021.
“This motive is innately understandable yet fraught with danger.”
That house view has not changed.
Crypto
Arthur Hayes Bets $2.2 Million on SYN, Backing Hypercall to Challenge Deribit
Key Takeaways
A $2.2 Million Vote of Confidence
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder and former chief executive of derivatives exchange BitMEX, has placed a fresh bet on the Hyperliquid ecosystem, buying roughly $2.2 million of synapse (SYN) and publicly endorsing the project behind an onchain options exchange.
The purchase, made on June 29 through over-the-counter trading firm Flowdesk, totaled about 6.16 million SYN tokens. Hayes, not one to keep quiet, subsequently took to X and commented:
“I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by $SYN, is that challenger. Let’s see if they can cook.”
Hypercall is an onchain options trading protocol built on Hyperliquid’s HyperEVM, the smart-contract layer of the fast-growing Hyperliquid network. The platform lets users trade options, with positions tradeable around the clock and risk capped at the premium a trader pays. Moreover, it has been developed by the team behind Synapse, whose SYN token is the asset Hayes bought.
A Run-Up in SYN
The endorsement landed on a token that was already on a tear as SYN surged more than tenfold in June, and Hayes’s purchase and public backing added fuel, with Synapse’s market capitalization climbing toward the $55 million to $60 million range and daily trading volume running above $95 million in the wake of his comments.
Hayes commands an unusually large following among crypto traders, both for his market essays and his willingness to put capital behind his theses. Not only that, he has become one of the most closely watched voices in the Hyperliquid orbit, repeatedly championing the network’s HYPE token, at one point setting a $150 price target, though his wallet activity has not always matched his rhetoric.
Bitcoin.com News reported recently that a wallet linked to Hayes sold HYPE near $54 before buying back in at a higher price, a sequence that drew attention to the gap between his public calls and his trades.
Targeting Deribit’s Turf
Deribit has been the dominant venue for crypto options, a corner of the market long underserved by decentralized platforms because options are harder to build onchain than simple spot or perpetual-futures trading. By putting forth Hypercall as a credible challenger, Hayes is betting that Hyperliquid’s infrastructure can finally support a decentralized options market at scale and that SYN is the way to gain exposure to that bet.
That said, an endorsement and a price spike are not the same as trading volume, open interest, and users, the metrics that ultimately decide whether an options DEX can pressure an incumbent like Deribit. For the time being, Hayes and his $2.2 million bet have put a considerable megaphone behind the idea and the next thing to look out for is whether Hypercall can convert the hype and capital into durable trading activity before the attention inadvertently fades.
Crypto
Elizabeth Warren Says US Enemies Exploiting Crypto To ‘Move Billions’ After Iran Reportedly Uses CoinEx T
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) expressed concerns on Sunday over the potential misuse of cryptocurrencies by America’s adversaries.
Warren Says Crypto Legislation Will Make The Problem Worse
Warren cited a Wall Street Journal report on X detailing how Iran-affiliated entities moved billions in transactions through CoinEx, a cryptocurrency exchange that withdrew from the U.S. after a 2023 lawsuit.
“More evidence that our adversaries exploit crypto to move billions,” the senior lawmaker said.
Warren argued that the cryptocurrency legislation, i.e., the Clarity Act, would make the problem “worse” by creating new loopholes and urged Congress to strengthen the bill before passage.
CoinEx Serving As A Conduit?
The WSJ report noted that CoinEx has played a “growing role” in connecting Iran’s cryptocurrency operations to the global markets, with wallets hosted by the exchange moving more than $3.84 billion over the last 7 years.
The wallets received hacked cryptocurrency that originated with Iran’s Central Bank and were used to transact directly with accounts U.S. officials have since linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the report said.
In 2023, CoinEx was sued by New York Attorney General Letitia James for allegedly conducting business without proper registration in the state of New York.
The exchange didn’t immediately return Benzinga’s request for comment.
Iran Using Crypto To Bypass Sanctions?
Warren has repeatedly flagged concerns that cryptocurrency exchanges are helping move money into and out of Iran.
Nobitex has been under increased scrutiny from U.S. regulators and policymakers for its continued operations during wartime. The platform reportedly handles about 70% of Iran’s cryptocurrency activity and claims to serve roughly 11 million users.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo Courtesy: Bryan J. Scrafford on Shutterstock.com
Crypto
Prediction Market Traders Give Bitcoin 76% Odds of Hitting $50K Before $100K
Key Takeaways
- Kalshi traders assign a 76% probability that bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000, up 35% in recent weeks.
- Polymarket’s $45M annual bitcoin market prices a 64% chance BTC falls to $50,000 or lower before Dec. 31, 2026.
- Kalshi’s $10.3M timeline market gives bitcoin only a 14% chance of crossing $100,000 before January 2027.
Bearish Consensus Builds Across Platforms
The largest signal comes from Kalshi, where a market asking “Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?” now shows a 76% probability favoring the downside. That figure represents a 35% increase in probability in recent weeks. The contract has drawn $54,516 in total trading volume and resolves based on the CF Real-Time Index, using a 60-second average to confirm which threshold is crossed first. If neither is reached by Dec. 31, 2026, the market defaults to “No.”
The result: a strong majority of active traders on Kalshi believe bitcoin tests $50,000 before it sees six figures again.
June Price Range Looks Tight
On Polymarket, a market focused on bitcoin’s June 2026 price range has pulled in $30.3 million in trading volume. With bitcoin trading near $60,000 on Sunday, the crowd gives a 33% chance the price drops to or below $57,500 this month, versus a 29% chance of reaching $62,500 or above. Targets at $67,500 or higher carry odds of 1% or less. A drop to $55,000 carries a 7% probability.
The range reflects a market pricing limited upside in the near term and real downside risk through June 30.
$100K Timeline Looks Distant
Kalshi’s “When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?” market, which has accumulated $10.3 million in trading volume, shows traders see almost no chance of a near-term recovery. The odds of bitcoin crossing $100,000 before July 2026 are below 1%. Before October 2026, those odds sit at 6%. Even extending the window to January 2027 only brings the probability to 14%.
Polymarket’s companion market, “When will bitcoin hit $150k?”, paints a similar picture. With $26.9 million in total volume, traders give the $150,000 milestone less than a 1% chance of being reached by June 30. The year-end December 2026 window carries just 5% odds.
2026 Annual Targets Show Wide Range
Polymarket’s largest active bitcoin market, asking “What price will bitcoin hit in 2026?”, has drawn $45 million in trading volume. It tracks price milestones from Nov. 24, 2025, through Dec. 31, 2026, using Binance’s 1-minute candle data on the BTC/ USDT pair.
Current crowd pricing shows:
- $55,000 or lower: 78% probability
- $50,000 or lower: 64% probability
- $70,000: 67% probability
- $75,000: 50% probability
- $80,000: 36% probability
- $90,000: 20% probability
- $100,000: 10% probability
- $160,000 and above: 1% to 2% probability
The data reflects a market that expects bitcoin to both dip below current levels and potentially recover to the $70,000 range within the year, while viewing anything above $90,000 as a long shot.
$57,500 Floor Gets Priced In
Kalshi’s “How low will BTC get in June?” market has logged $1.7 million in volume. Traders are pricing a 32% chance bitcoin’s trimmed mean price falls below $57,500 before June 30. The odds drop sharply for deeper cuts: 7% for a close below $55,000, and 2% for a move below $52,500.
What the Data Shows
Prediction markets aggregate real money from traders willing to back their views with capital. The consistency across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering several separate contracts and more than $75 million in combined volume, points to a cohesive view: Bitcoin faces meaningful near-term downside, the $100,000 level is not expected to be reclaimed in 2026 by most prediction marketplace participants, and the floor around $50,000 to $55,000 is being actively priced as a realistic outcome before year-end.
At the time of writing, bitcoin was trading near $59,500, down roughly 31.5% from the high of the tracking period on the year’s largest Polymarket contract.
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