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After the UST Collapse, How Stable Are Stablecoins?

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After the UST Collapse, How Stable Are Stablecoins?

Stablecoins play an vital position within the cryptocurrency market. These tokens, whose worth is usually pegged to an underlying foreign money, are supposed to permit for a straightforward method to alternate digital belongings of worth within the crypto economic system and assist additional adoption of crypto actions.

A number of the hottest stablecoins by market capitalization embrace Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD). There are lots of different stablecoins that additionally maintain an vital place available in the market at this time.

However latest historical past has proven that some stablecoins have their limitations. The cryptocurrency Terra (LUNA), which was one of the vital useful cryptos available in the market, collapsed to close zero on Might 12. LUNA plummeted about 96% in only a 24-hour interval after the community’s stablecoin, TerraUSD (UST), de-pegged from the U.S. greenback and began a uneven descent Might 9, making a crypto financial institution run of kinds throughout which customers had been aggressively promoting off LUNA.

“Folks put an excessive amount of belief into it too early, permitting it to turn into the third-largest stablecoin prematurely,” says Brock Pierce, chairman of the Bitcoin Basis and a number one cryptocurrency investor.

The TerraUSD experiment uncovered weak point within the community and the necessity for enhancements to the decentralized stablecoin infrastructure. Buyers naturally could surprise what this implies for the way forward for stablecoins and their objective to allow extra environment friendly crypto transactions. Right here we check out components which will have contributed to the crash of UST and the place the way forward for stablecoins is likely to be headed:

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  • How do stablecoins work?
  • TerraUSD (UST) crash.
  • How UST’s crash affected the crypto market.
  • The way forward for stablecoins.

How Do Stablecoins Work?

Stablecoins are digital currencies designed to take care of a direct one-to-one peg to a extra secure underlying asset, like a nationwide foreign money. A number of the hottest stablecoins in the marketplace are pegged to the U.S. greenback or a commodity. Given their meant worth stability, stablecoins are used to assist handle the volatility within the crypto market.

The various kinds of stablecoins are labeled in response to their underlying collateral construction, which may be fiat-backed, crypto-backed, commodity-backed or algorithmic.

Stablecoins enable market individuals to maneuver out and in of crypto trades with ease, bettering the usability of risky cryptocurrencies and creating extra liquidity within the crypto market. The direct peg to a extra secure asset permits market individuals to make use of stablecoins when crypto worth swings turn into tough to handle.

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TerraUSD (UST) Crash

TerraUSD (UST) is an algorithmic stablecoin issued and backed via the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem. That signifies that as a substitute of the stablecoin being backed by holdings of U.S. {dollars}, UST maintains its peg to the U.S. greenback via an algorithm that adjustments with provide and demand for an additional cryptocurrency.

“This stablecoin relied on an algorithm that minted new or burned current LUNA to take care of the peg of TerraUSD to the greenback. When TerraUSD traded beneath $1, new LUNA had been minted to buy the stablecoins, and when TerraUSD traded above $1, the stablecoins had been offered and current LUNA tokens had been burned,” explains Walker Holmes, vp of MetaTope.

As TerraUSD’s worth continued to fall, extra LUNA was minted to take care of the peg. “As extra LUNA had been minted, the worth of the asset backing the stablecoin shortly headed towards zero,” Holmes says. The Luna Basis Guard, or LFG, a basis created to help TerraUSD, bought billions of {dollars} in Bitcoin (BTC) reserves to again UST. LFG finally offered some Bitcoin holdings and bought UST to push its worth up.

Though UST was conceived as a decentralized finance answer to take care of its one-to-one peg to the U.S. greenback, the experiment fell brief. “Irrespective of how a lot tech or human capital a protocol has, nothing is invincible,” says Holmes. “Tasks can and can fail.”

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How UST’s Crash Affected the Crypto Market

UST was generally known as one of many world’s largest stablecoins and was fashionable for decentralized finance actions on the Terra community. The Anchor lending and borrowing protocol, which permits customers to purchase UST, lets customers earn as much as 18% in annual share yield, one of many highest yield choices within the crypto market. Many of the deposits on Anchor had been made in UST.

As a result of excessive volatility from the de-pegging of UST to $1, Anchor lately proposed chopping UST yield charges to a mean of 4%. In the meantime, the Terra blockchain has halted the community to provide you with a plan to rebuild. A number of crypto exchanges have even halted buying and selling of LUNA and its stablecoin. Bitcoin additionally noticed a drop in worth after LFG offered off its BTC reserves to prop up UST.

Some crypto merchants are shopping for up LUNA with hopes that it’ll enhance once more, however many are inclined to keep away from a coin that skilled such an enormous latest drop, particularly if that is the place they’ve stored a big portion of their holdings.

Buyers have realized from UST’s crash each that algorithmic stablecoins have structural challenges and that Bitcoin reserves will not be sufficient to assist keep a stablecoin’s peg to $1.

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“That experiment failed, triggering the single-largest value-losing occasion within the historical past of cryptocurrency,” Pierce says, however he famous that the failure holds useful classes for builders. “I imagine that there’s a position for an algorithmic stablecoin sooner or later that isn’t dependent upon legacy monetary infrastructure,” he says.

The Way forward for Stablecoins

In gentle of the UST debacle, buyers could also be questioning how profitable stablecoins shall be of their position of offering liquidity to the crypto market.

Fintech professional Chris Skinner, creator of books together with “Doing Digital: Classes From Leaders,” says the UST crash has triggered buyers to query their belief within the stablecoin construction and what they really feel stablecoins truly are and needs to be. The best way different stablecoins work will even be referred to as into query, he says.

Some crypto market individuals put their religion in these buildings with out trying underneath the hood, Skinner says. Buyers ought to do their analysis and ensure they perceive the chance and publicity concerned, he provides.

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Specialists say the UST crash may truly enhance different stablecoins, resembling USDC and USDT, and assist them develop. “It’ll give a chance for different stablecoins to come back into the image, perhaps some new algorithmic experiments,” says Adil Abdulali, head of portfolio administration for digital asset administration agency Securitize Capital.

Abdulali describes stablecoin competitors as “survival of the fittest,” with tasks that endure getting stronger. “It is an adversarial area that retains developing with new improvements,” he says. The market strikes quick, and people tasks that do not work get swept apart.

“Once you get right into a scenario the place the neighborhood loses its confidence and there is a run on the foreign money, if everybody takes their cash out, then it pulls the rug on {the marketplace}, and that is successfully what’s been taking place with Terra (LUNA),” Skinner says.

For buyers, it is vital to view stablecoins as they might another funding. They should know what they’re entering into, Skinner says: “Do you’re feeling assured that it is one thing that will not lose your funding? And even when you do really feel assured you will not lose your funding, no matter cash you place in there, be ready to lose.”

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The Company Behind the World's Third-Largest Cryptocurrency Just Invested $775 Million in This Little Company Taking on YouTube and AWS | The Motley Fool

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The Company Behind the World's Third-Largest Cryptocurrency Just Invested 5 Million in This Little Company Taking on YouTube and AWS | The Motley Fool

Shares of technology company Rumble (RUM -6.39%) are at 52-week highs as of this writing, having jumped roughly 300% in value since lows set back in January. And much of its leap is thanks to a massive $775 million investment from the investment arm of Tether Limited, the company behind the cryptocurrency stablecoin Tether (USDT -0.04%).

Tether is the third-largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization. As of this writing, the market cap is almost $140 billion, which trails only Bitcoin and Ethereum. But Tether isn’t like these other two cryptocurrencies; it’s a stablecoin.

A stablecoin intends to have a 1-to-1 price correlation with something else. For example, a U.S. dollar stablecoin should always be worth $1. It’s for people who want to explore the world of cryptocurrency without the volatility. Simply explained, they deposit $1 and Tether issues one new stablecoin worth $1.

According to Tether, it had about $125 billion in reserves as of Sept. 30 (its market cap was $119 billion at the time). Most of these reserves are in U.S. Treasury bills. It needs to hold these reserves in case people want to redeem their stablecoins for dollars. But Tether is able to make money for itself with these massive reserves in the meantime.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino recently said it’s on pace to earn $10 billion in net profit in 2024, which is an astounding amount for any company, let alone a cryptocurrency company. And the company doesn’t simply rake in these profits, but rather it invests its money from time to time, which is what it’s doing with Rumble.

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Why the market is excited about Tether’s investment in Rumble

Rumble turned heads when it went public in 2022 because this little company has big ambitions. The company intends to build internet infrastructure that’s free from censorship and it hopes to compete with Alphabet‘s video streaming platform, YouTube; Amazon‘s cloud computing service, AWS; social media platforms; and more.

The problem is that Rumble can’t simply wish all of this into existence — it takes money. And when ambitions are this high, it costs a lot of money to build. Unsurprisingly, the company had a net loss of $116 million in 2023 and has already lost another $102 million in the first three quarters of 2024.

But give Rumble some credit. The chart below shows its outstanding share count with the orange line. Ignore the brief spike shortly after it went public (the accounting of these things can get temporarily distorted upon going public). The chart shows that, to date, management hasn’t been raising money by diluting shareholders with stock offerings. It also hasn’t been taking on debt.

RUM Total Long Term Debt (Quarterly) data by YCharts

To the contrary, Rumble has been funding its growth with cash on hand. And I believe that’s the right move. After all, the company got its cash from its shareholders in the first place. These shareholders expect it to achieve its long-term vision by actually using this cash.

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However, Rumble is still burning cash at a fast pace and investors were getting worried about liquidity. The stock consequently skyrocketed when Tether announced its massive investment because the fears regarding liquidity were alleviated.

There are reasons for optimism with Rumble. In the third quarter of 2024, the company had 67 million monthly active users — that’s nothing to sneeze at. Granted, that’s down from its user base of 71 million in the third quarter of 2022. But it’s a large, engaged user base nonetheless.

The challenge has been growing revenue by getting advertisers to buy into Rumble’s potential. As CEO Chris Pavlovski lamented on the Q3 earnings call, “How much longer can brand advertisers ignore more than half the country?”

Rumble does have a premium subscription service that makes up for lack of interest from advertisers. But ad revenue is still important to the company and Pavlovski’s question is an admission that this is an ongoing headwind for the business. And, unfortunately, it’s impossible to know how much longer it will be before advertising demand picks up.

The good news for Rumble’s shareholders is that however long it is, it now has a longer runway than it had before thanks to the infusion of cash from Tether. While there are still a lot of moving pieces here and more details with the transaction that are worth knowing, the main takeaway is that Rumble has more time than it had before. And when it comes to investing, more time is almost always a good thing.

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John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Jon Quast has positions in Ethereum. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Bitcoin, and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon will face fraud charges in the US | TechCrunch

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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon will face fraud charges in the US | TechCrunch

Do Kwon, the co-founder of collapsed cryptocurrency startup Terraform Labs, will be extradited from Montenegro to the U.S. to face federal fraud charges, as first reported by Bloomberg.

Kwon faces charges in both the U.S. and South Korea; Terraform Labs’ TerraUSD and Luna cryptocurrencies crashed in 2022, causing investors to lose over $40 billion.

Terraform and Kwon were found personally liable for fraud following a civil trial on U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission allegations in April. Terraform agreed to pay $4.5 billion to settle the case with the SEC.

Kwon was arrested in March 2023 at the airport in Podgorica, the Montenegrin capital, while preparing to board a flight to Dubai. It’s unclear when Montenegro plans on releasing Kwon to the U.S. and whether the government’s latest decision supersedes its order in August to extradite Kwon to South Korea.

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Here's a heartwarming holiday crypto story (no, seriously)

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Here's a heartwarming holiday crypto story (no, seriously)

In a true Christmas miracle, a viral crypto stunt actually seems to be doing some good in the world.

Siqi Chen, an investor and startup founder, took to X on Christmas Eve to share a GoFundMe campaign he created to fund research into a rare brain tumor afflicting his 5-year-old daughter. His daughter, Mira, was diagnosed in September with adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma — a benign tumor that is usually not fatal but causes severe side effects. 

Chen said the family is working with Dr. Todd Hankinson at the University of Colorado on treatments to slow the tumor’s growth. Because this cancer is so rare, he said, research is sparse and funding is lacking. “this christmas, i am humbly asking for your help to support dr. hankinson’s research,” he tweeted.

His online fundraiser raised more than $233,000 of its $300,000 goal in two days. But the most heartwarming part had nothing to do with GoFundMe.

Late in the evening on Christmas Day, Chen took to X again — this time in surprise. 

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“uh so some random guy 20 minutes [ago] made a SOL memecoin called $MIRA to help with research fundraising and sent me half the entire supply and it’s now worth like $400K and i literally don’t know what to do,” he wrote.

The memecoin — internet parlance for a cryptocurrency created on a lark, often based on a joke — skyrocketed in value as crypto enthusiasts traded it among themselves. Chen started selling off small portions of his holding Wednesday evening, promising to donate 100% of the proceeds to Hankinson’s laboratory. “CAN SOME PLEASE EXPLAIN HOW THIS MAGIC INTERNET MONEY WORKS I AM LOSING MY MIND,” he wrote less than half an hour after his initial tweet, when the value of his holdings soared to nearly $6 million. 

Chen continued tweeting his disbelief as the value soared to $11 million, then $14.7 million, then $18.8 million. By Thursday morning, he had sold enough of the token to send at least $1 million to Hankinson’s lab, he said. “yi, mira and i are so unbelievably grateful to you all — each and every one of you,” he wrote. “christmas magic was made real this year thanks to all of you. forever grateful.”

Perhaps no one was more surprised than Hankinson, who learned of the memecoin Thursday morning via excited texts from friends and coworkers. “This entire area of the world — Bitcoin and NFTs and stuff — I do not know a single thing about it,” he told The Standard. “So when all this stuff started going on, I was like, ‘What?’” 

Hankinson said he has studied adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma for more than 15 years, and his lab is the only one in North America dedicated to its treatment. He said funding is hard to come by both because the condition is rare — fewer than two in a million people are diagnosed with AC every year — and because it does not grow as aggressively as some other tumors. Still, he said, the side effects can be devastating: stunted growth; vision impairment; and difficulty regulating hunger, thirst, and temperature.

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If the Chen family did contribute $1 million, he said, it would be by far the largest donation the lab has ever received.

“Even if it ends up being a small fraction of what people have talked about, it would still be a complete game changer for the scale on which we can do things and the sophistication with which we do things,” he said. “This would be the most insane Christmas gift our research has ever gotten.”

Hankinson and Chen weren’t the only ones surprised by the use of a memecoin to fund medical research. These trend-based tokens are primarily known as risky, volatile investments — more of a gag than a serious asset. (The creators of a memecoin tied to Hailey Welch, better known as the “Hawk Tuah” Girl, are being sued by investors after its value dropped 95% in a single day.) They are sometimes used in crypto scams known as “rug pulls,” in which founders create a token, convince people to invest in it, then rapidly sell all their holdings.

Chen said repeatedly on Twitter that he was trying to avoid a “rug pull” situation by selling off his holdings in the “MIRA” coin slowly. He said Thursday that he would sell $1,000 worth of the token every 10 minutes until it runs out. Still, the value of the coin has dropped significantly from its overnight high. 

That crash — coupled with the fact that early sellers of the coin likely made a tidy profit — made some observers uneasy. But Chen said he didn’t mind.

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“if you made a lot of money, i’m genuinely happy for you — but please consider donating some of your profits to hankinson lab,” he tweeted. “if you lost a lot of money, i’m very sorry —  but magic internet money is magic internet money.”

Chen is a well-regarded figure in Silicon Valley who founded and sold two startups and worked at several others before his current venture, a finance software company called Runway. Among those responding to his tweets were Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian, Sequoia partner Shaun Maguire, and X CEO Linda Yaccarino.

In a Twitter Space on Wednesday night, Chen explained that his daughter initially presented with a headache, which he and his wife thought little about until they brought her to a pediatrician who suggested an MRI. Doctors have since placed Mira on an arthritis medication that could slow the growth of the tumor, and they are weighing the benefits of surgery. “Our strategy right now is just to try everything we can to buy as much time as possible,” he said.

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