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Why is crypto crashing? A Q&A on bitcoin, luna and other falling cryptocurrencies

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Why is crypto crashing? A Q&A on bitcoin, luna and other falling cryptocurrencies

The cryptocurrency market is seeing one in all its worst selloffs since a market rally in 2020, sparking panic amongst buyers and elevating questions on why crypto costs have been more and more delicate to gyrations within the inventory market.

Particularly, stablecoins are within the highlight. That kind of cryptocurrency is meant to, as its title suggests, have a steady worth as a result of the tokens are pegged to the worth of a foreign money such because the U.S. greenback or a commodity akin to gold, offering relative insulation from excessive volatility.

Even stablecoins have crashed. What’s behind all this? What’s forward for the crypto market? We talked to finance and funding specialists for a broad overview.

Why are bitcoin and different cryptocurrencies crashing?

Market specialists say two foremost elements are driving the current stoop within the cryptocurrency market: strikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve to fight excessive inflation and stabilize markets, and the implosion of terraUSD, a kind of so-called stablecoin.

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  1. Macro-econ: To clarify the primary issue, let’s begin with some macroeconomics. In early 2020, the Fed reduce rates of interest, or the price of borrowing, to handle the pandemic-driven financial stoop, primarily pumping more cash into households and companies.

    The consequence down the road was inflation rising to the very best stage in 4 many years. One other consequence: ample liquidity drove costs up throughout most asset lessons, together with conventional inventory markets and cryptocurrency markets, as merchants invested their cash anticipating stronger returns.

    Rising costs imply financial ache for individuals — as our incomes aren’t, for essentially the most half, rising in tandem with costs — they usually threaten financial progress extra broadly. For harm management, earlier this month the Fed raised rates of interest by 50 foundation factors, or half a share level, the largest improve in about twenty years. The Fed can be within the technique of lowering the cash provide to additional curb inflation creep and can proceed to hike charges sooner or later.

    Excessive inflation and, in flip, rate of interest hikes make buyers nervous as a result of they’ll crimp enterprise progress and have an effect on firm earnings, to allow them to encourage sell-offs. The Customary & Poor’s 500 and Nasdaq inventory indexes have fallen greater than 20% because the starting of the 12 months. In the meantime, the market cap of the cryptocurrency market has greater than halved from its peak of round $3 billion in November to $1.3 billion now, in line with information gathered by CoinGecko, which analyzes the digital foreign money market.

    The value of bitcoin dropped beneath $30,000 earlier this week, for the primary time since July. Bitcoin is the world’s largest buying and selling cryptocurrency and accounts for greater than 40% of the market.

  2. TerraUSD: What’s actually caught the attention of crypto watchers now’s terraUSD, identified by its record title as UST, and its impact on its sister token, luna.

    These are two cryptocurrencies created by the Terra community, a blockchain undertaking developed in South Korea.

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What are luna and UST cryptos?

Stablecoins, together with terraUSD and luna, have been touted as a category of crypto asset that, because the title suggests, supplied extra stability throughout market volatility.

The worth of the UST token is pegged to the U.S. greenback, which signifies that always the worth of 1 UST ought to be $1. If the worth plunges beneath a greenback then the coin could possibly be “burned” and exchanged for a greenback’s price of luna.

Luna began buying and selling in Could 2019 at roughly $3 and touched an all-time excessive of round $116 in April, in line with CoinGecko information, at a time when most different large-cap cryptocurrencies have been falling.

Earlier this week, UST broke the peg towards the greenback and, for the primary time, the worth of 1 UST fell to lower than a greenback — it crashed to lower than 30 cents.

What occurred to luna? Why is {that a} huge deal?

As the value of UST crashed, giant luna holders cashed out, inflicting the provision of luna tokens to leap, and its value to crash. Luna misplaced 99% of its worth Thursday.

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In keeping with Bloomberg Intelligence, luna’s sharp worth decline seemed just like the worst day for a monetary product ever seen and it prompted cryptocurrency exchanges to delist the coin, bringing its commerce to a halt as there was no liquidity out there.

A doable motive for the severity of this crash is the actual pricing construction of the UST token, mentioned Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA, a overseas alternate platform.

The UST operates in a different way from different stablecoins, akin to tether, that are backed by a government-backed foreign money or industrial papers. It’s an algorithm-based stablecoin and makes use of an advanced methodology, with the assistance of luna, to make sure its worth is maintained towards the greenback.

“Most stablecoins will maintain precise belongings to operate however the algorithmic resolution that UST had was unable to deal with the market volatility that we’re seeing throughout the bond markets. This led to a widespread panic promoting,” Moya mentioned.

Whereas terraUSD’s value slumped to as little as 30 cents, the value of luna got here crashing right down to $0.00001655, from round $81 earlier this week. Terraform Labs mentioned on Thursday night that it halted the blockchain behind the cryptocurrencies and can “provide you with a plan to reconstitute it.”

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The Fed lately flagged issues associated to stablecoins in its biannual monetary stability report, saying that the quickly rising sector, which constitutes roughly 15% of the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization, is susceptible to runs and its dangers might spill into conventional markets.

Is the crypto market now shifting extra just like the inventory market?

The cryptocurrency market, just like the inventory market, has been seeing declines for months. It peaked in November, and with aggressive liquidity tightening alerts by the Fed, all asset markets have since seen a correction.

Market specialists notice that the correlation between conventional markets and the cryptocurrency market might be at an all-time excessive: If one plunges, the opposite will probably observe swimsuit or vice versa.

Sylvia Jablonski, chief govt and chief funding officer of Defiance ETFs, mentioned the correlation with the Nasdaq is at 0.82, up from historic ranges of beneath 0.5 (on a scale of 0 to 1). In comparable phrases, each conventional and inventory markets are shifting in comparable instructions greater than ever, so there’s a spillover impact in investor sentiment.

Consultants are observing a stronger correlation between cryptocurrency and tech shares, which have been among the many hardest-hit shares within the current market stoop.

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I believed crypto was a hedge towards inflation?

Some cryptocurrencies, significantly market large bitcoin, have been touted as belongings whose worth would maintain over time, which implies they might be an excellent hedge towards inflation.

However as inflation has surged, bitcoin’s value greater than halved, making it much less enticing for buyers throughout excessive spells of elevated costs.

Caleb Franzen, senior market analyst at Cubic Analytics, an enormous information analytics agency, mentioned he thinks bitcoin will proceed to behave as an inflationary hedge over an extended time frame. Some modeling initiatives that bitcoin’s worth might drop to a spread of $19,000 to $21,000 within the brief time period, he mentioned, however within the longer span of 5 to 10 years, it might show to be an excellent hedge.

What occurs subsequent?

Is crypto headed for a Lehman second? (Lehman Bros. is the massive funding financial institution that went underneath in 2008 and was a participant within the monetary disaster.)

“Not but. You’ll be able to by no means say by no means, particularly in cryptocurrency,” OANDA’s Moya mentioned. “Although there are potential catalysts, there doesn’t appear to be a scientific danger.”

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Franzen believes {that a} substantial rise within the worth of bitcoin could possibly be a precursor to an increase in inflation as occurred between March 2020 and November 2021.

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Companies keep slashing jobs. How worried should workers be about AI replacing them?

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Companies keep slashing jobs. How worried should workers be about AI replacing them?

Tech companies that are cutting jobs and leaning more on artificial intelligence are also disrupting themselves.

Amazon’s Chief Executive Andy Jassy said last month that he expects the e-commerce giant will shrink its workforce as employees “get efficiency gains from using AI extensively.”

At Salesforce, a software company that helps businesses manage customer relationships, Chief Executive Marc Benioff said last week that AI is already doing 30% to 50% of the company’s work.

Other tech leaders have chimed in. Earlier this year, Anthropic, an AI startup, flashed a big warning: AI could wipe out more than half of all entry-level white-collar jobs in the next one to five years.

Ready or not, AI is reshaping, displacing and creating new roles as technology’s impact on the job market ripples across multiple sectors. The AI frenzy has fueled anxiety from workers who fear their jobs could be automated. Roughly half of U.S. workers are worried about how AI may be used in the workplace in the future, and few think AI will lead to more job opportunities in the long run, according to a Pew Research Center report.

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The heightened fear comes as major tech companies, such as Microsoft, Intel, Amazon and Meta cut workers, push for more efficiency and promote their AI tools. Tech companies have rolled out AI-powered features that can generate code, analyze data, develop apps and help complete other tedious tasks.

“AI isn’t just taking jobs. It’s really rewriting the rule book on what work even looks like right now,” said Robert Lucido, senior director of strategic advisory at Magnit, a company based in Folsom, Calif., that helps tech giants and other businesses manage contractors, freelancers and other contingent workers.

Disruption debated

Exactly how big of a disruption AI will have on the job market is still being debated. Executives for OpenAI, the maker of popular chatbot ChatGPT, have pushed back against the prediction that a massive white-collar job bloodbath is coming.

“I do totally get not just the anxiety, but that there is going to be real pain here, in many cases,” said Sam Altman, chief executive of OpenAI, at an interview with “Hard Fork,” the tech podcast from the New York Times. ”In many more cases, though, I think we will find that the world is significantly underemployed. The world wants way more code than can get written right now.”

As new economic policies, including those around tariffs, create more unease among businesses, companies are reining in costs while also being pickier about whom they hire.

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“They’re trying to find what we call the purple unicorns rather than someone that they can ramp up and train,” Lucido said.

Before the 2022 launch of ChatGPT — a chatbot that can generate text, images, code and more —tech companies were already using AI to curate posts, flag offensive content and power virtual assistants. But the popularity and apparent superpowers of ChatGPT set off a fierce competition among tech companies to release even more powerful generative AI tools. They’re racing ahead, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers, facilities that house computing equipment such as servers used to process the trove of information needed to train and maintain AI systems.

Economists and consultants have been trying to figure out how AI will affect engineers, lawyers, analysts and other professions. Some say the change won’t happen as soon as some tech executives expect.

“There have been many claims about new technologies displacing jobs, and although such displacement has occurred in the past, it tends to take longer than technologists typically expect,” economists for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said in a February report.

AI can help develop, test and write code, provide financial advice and sift through legal documents. The bureau, though, still projects that employment of software developers, financial advisors, aerospace engineers and lawyers will grow faster than the average for all occupations from 2023 to 2033. Companies will still need software developers to build AI tools for businesses or maintain AI systems.

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Worker bots

Tech executives have touted AI’s ability to write code. Meta Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg has said that he thinks AI will be able to write code like a mid-level engineer in 2025. And Microsoft Chief Executive Satya Nadella has said that as much as 30% of the company’s code is written by AI.

Other roles could grow more slowly or shrink because of AI. The Bureau of Labor Statistics expects employment of paralegals and legal assistants to grow slower than the average for all occupations while roles for credit analysts, claims adjusters and insurance appraisers to decrease.

McKinsey Global Institute, the business and economics research arm of the global management consulting firm McKinsey & Co., predicts that by 2030 “activities that account for up to 30 percent of hours currently worked across the US economy could be automated.”

The institute expects that demand for science, technology, engineering and mathematics roles will grow in the United States and Europe but shrink for customer service and office support.

“A large part of that work involves skills, which are routine, predictable and can be easily done by machines,” said Anu Madgavkar, a partner with the McKinsey Global Institute.

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Although generative AI fuels the potential for automation to eliminate jobs, AI can also enhance technical, creative, legal and business roles, the report said. There will be a lot of “noise and volatility” in hiring data, Madgavkar said, but what will separate the “winners and losers” is how people rethink their work flows and jobs themselves.

Tech companies have announced 74,716 cuts from January to May, up 35% from the same period last year, according to a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a firm that offers job search and career transition coaching.

Tech companies say they’re reducing jobs for various reasons.

Autodesk, which makes software used by architects, designers and engineers, slashed 9% of its workforce, or 1,350 positions, this year. The San Francisco company cited geopolitical and macroeconomic factors along with its efforts to invest more heavily in AI as reasons for the cuts, according to a regulatory filing.

Other companies such as Oakland fintech company Block, which trimmed 8% of its workforce in March, told employees that the cuts were strategic not because they’re “replacing folks with AI.”

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Diana Colella, executive vice president, entertainment and media solutions at Autodesk, said that it’s scary when people don’t know what their job will look like in a year. Still, she doesn’t think AI will replace humans or creativity but rather act as an assistant.

Companies are looking for more AI expertise. Autodesk found that mentions of AI in U.S. job listings surged in 2025 and some of the fastest-growing roles include AI engineer, AI content creator and AI solutions architect. The company partnered with analytics firm GlobalData to examine nearly 3 million job postings over two years across industries such as architecture, engineering and entertainment.

Workers have adapted to technology before. When the job of a door-to-door encyclopedia salesman was disrupted because of the rise of online search, those workers pivoted to selling other products, Colella said.

“The skills are still key and important,” she said. “They just might be used for a different product or a different service.”

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Why Kroger is closing 60 stores: 'One hit after another'

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Why Kroger is closing 60 stores: 'One hit after another'

After a series of setbacks, Kroger’s recent decision to close 60 locations nationwide is the latest sign of distress for the grocer that operates more than 300 stores in California.

Kroger, the parent company of Ralphs and Food 4 Less, is reducing its footprint after the resignation of its chief executive and a failed merger with competing grocery giant Albertsons. The company faces a lawsuit related to the merger and also has been struggling with labor unrest.

Employees had been threatening to strike until the company reached a tentative agreement with the United Food and Commercial Workers union this week.

Based in Cincinnati, Kroger also owns Harris Teeter, King Soopers and Dillons. The company operates more than 2,700 stores under different brands across the country and offers fresh goods, some household items and pharmacy services.

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“Instead of popping champagne and toasting to their merger, Kroger is instead just enduring one hit after another,” said Jeff Wells, lead editor at the trade publication Grocery Dive. “They’re still a pretty stable business, but they’re facing a lot in terms of challenges.”

Impending closures

Kroger announced late last month in its quarterly earnings report that it plans to close 60 stores over the next 18 months. The company did not disclose which locations would be shut down.

“We’re simplifying our business and reviewing areas that will not be meaningful to our future growth,” interim Chief Executive Ronald Sargent said in an earnings call. “Today, not all of our stores are delivering the sustainable results we need.”

Kroger temporarily paused routine store closures while the Albertsons merger was pending, Sargent said. The company normally closes about 30 stores per year, Melius Research analyst Jacob Aiken-Phillips said.

The company is on track to complete 30 major store projects this year and expects to accelerate store openings in 2026, Sargent said on the earnings call.

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Competitive market

Kroger is under increasing pressure from competitors, experts said, some of which offer a wider range of items and convenient one-stop shops.

“Kroger faces this intensely competitive field in the grocery industry,” Wells said. “From Walmart to Costco to Whole Foods and Sprouts Farmers Market, everybody in the industry is kind of gunning for them.”

The Albertsons merger would have given Kroger the scale to compete with giants such as Walmart and Amazon, Aiken-Phillips said.

“After the merger failed, they had to reexamine their strategy and focus on how they can grow and compete without that scale,” he said. “That’s the major challenge right now.”

Kroger relies on pharmacy services, advertising and e-commerce for additional revenue, experts said. Although the company grew its e-commerce business 15% in the first quarter of this year, the business remains unprofitable.

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A chief executive shuffle

Former Kroger CEO Rodney McMullen stepped down in March after an investigation into his personal conduct, the company announced. Sargent was appointed chairman of the board of directors and interim CEO.

Kroger did not share details of the investigation into McMullen. His “personal conduct, while unrelated to the business, was inconsistent with Kroger’s Policy on Business Ethics,” the company’s statement said.

“When he resigned, it threw a wrench in progressing the company because now you need a new leader to come in,” Aiken-Phillips said.

A failed merger

In 2022, Kroger agreed to buy Albertsons for $24.6 billion, a sale that would have been the largest supermarket merger in U.S. history.

The Federal Trade Commission, California and several other states sued to stop the merger, arguing that it would hobble competition in many parts of the country, leaving customers at the mercy of a newly formed behemoth and driving up prices. Kroger and Albertsons collectively own about 5,000 grocery stores.

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In late 2024, Albertsons scrapped the deal after a federal judge in Oregon issued a preliminary injunction in the case. The high-stakes court battle centered on concerns that the megamerger would add to the financial woes of consumers who have grappled with the rising cost of food.

Albertsons also sued Kroger, claiming that the grocer didn’t do enough to win over regulators. Kroger has since countersued.

Ongoing labor unrest

In June, grocery workers at Albertsons and Kroger — numbering about 45,000 — voted to authorize a strike to protest what they called unfair labor practices. A walkout would have caused a major disruption for two of the nation’s largest grocery chains during the busiest season of the year.

The United Food and Commercial Workers union announced Thursday that it reached a tentative agreement with the two companies that would allow them to avoid a strike. The union will vote on whether to approve the agreement July 9-11.

“Following an intense 40 plus hour bargaining session that began on Friday morning, we’ve secured an agreement that addresses our priorities,” the union said in a statement.

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The agreement includes higher wages, improved pension plans as well as health and welfare improvements, the union said. Kroger did not respond to requests for comment.

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See How Trump’s Big Bill Could Affect Your Taxes, Health Care and Other Finances

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See How Trump’s Big Bill Could Affect Your Taxes, Health Care and Other Finances

Congressional Republicans just passed President Trump’s sprawling domestic policy bill that extends and expands tax cuts, while slashing Medicaid, food benefits and clean energy initiatives to pay for them — but only partly. The bill favors the wealthy, and low-income Americans stand to lose the most.

What could the bill mean for your pocketbook? Answer these questions to learn more about the individual impacts of the wide-ranging legislation. (Your answers are not tracked by The Times.)

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Jump to a section:

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At the heart of the bill is a roughly $4 trillion tax cut that extends the cuts Republicans passed in 2017. Without this extension, most Americans would see a tax increase.

These tax cuts come at a cost. According to the Congressional Budget Office, the bill adds $3.3 trillion to the national debt over the next decade.

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Do you pay federal income taxes?

Do you take the standard tax deduction?

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Are you 65 or older?

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Do you live in a high-tax state like California or New York?

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Are you a tipped worker?

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Do you receive overtime pay?

Do you plan to buy a car?

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Do you pay interest on a mortgage?

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Have you experienced a big loss because of a storm, fire or other disasters?

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Do you donate to charity?

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Do you earn more than $500,000 a year?

Do you own a business?

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Do you own or are you considering buying firearms?

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Are you a whaling captain or a fisher living in Alaska?

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Despite reducing or eliminating certain safety net programs, the Trump administration has been exploring several options to encourage Americans to have more children, including tax cuts and other investments.

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Do you have children?

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Are you planning to have a baby soon?

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Do you intend to adopt a child?

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Will you inherit wealth or business worth $15 million or more soon?

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To offset some of the tax cuts, the bill makes steep cuts to health care and food assistance benefits for low-income Americans.

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Are you on Medicaid?

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Do you use food stamps?

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Do you have health insurance under Obamacare?

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Do you have a health savings account, or want one?

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The bill adds limits to student loan borrowing and makes changes to financial aid eligibility and uses.

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Have you already taken or will soon take out federal loans for college?

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Do you plan to borrow money for your child’s college education?

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Do you hope to borrow money for graduate school?

Do you have a 529 savings account?

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Are you filling out the FAFSA?

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Do you plan to apply for a Pell Grant?

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Do you or your children attend a university with a large endowment?

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The bill rolls back tax credits for clean energy, a policy Mr. Trump campaigned on.

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Are you planning to make energy-efficient home improvements?

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Do you want to buy an electric or a plug-in hybrid vehicle?

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The bill has prioritized additional funding for immigration enforcement, and specifically includes collecting more fees from certain noncitizens.

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Are you a noncitizen without a green card?

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Are you an immigrant who sends money abroad to friends or family?

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Your results

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1.

Preserve existing tax brackets

2.

Extend and increase standard tax deduction

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3.

Increase tax deductions for seniors

4.

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Increase cap on state and local tax deductions

5.

Add tax deduction for income from tips

6.

Add tax deduction for overtime income

7.

Add tax deduction on auto loan interest

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8.

Preserve limit on mortgage interest deduction

9.

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Preserve restrictions on loss deduction

10.

Add tax deduction for donating to charity

11.

Extend alternative minimum tax exemption

12.

Increase tax deductions for pass-through businesses

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13.

Eliminate a tax on silencers and certain firearms

14.

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Add tax breaks for Alaskan whalers and fishers

15.

Increase child tax credit, with tightened rules

16.

Deposit $1,000 into a “Trump account” for newborns

17.

Make adoption tax credit refundable

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18.

Extend and increase estate tax exemption

19.

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Add work requirements for Medicaid

20.

Add work requirements for food stamps

21.

Tighten Obamacare rules

22.

Expand HSA access to more people

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23.

Eliminate tax credits for low-emissions electricity sources

24.

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Eliminate tax credits for clean energy vehicles

25.

Restructure student loan repayment programs

26.

Limit Parent PLUS loan amounts

27.

Limit graduate school loan amounts

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28.

Expand eligible 529 expenses

29.

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Remove some assets from financial aid calculations

30.

Change eligiblity rules for Pell Grants

31.

Increase taxes on university endowments

32.

Add and increase immigration fees

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33.

Add a tax on money sent abroad

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