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Student Loan Subsidies Could Have Dangerous, Unintended Side Effects

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Student Loan Subsidies Could Have Dangerous, Unintended Side Effects

The centerpiece of the scholar debt-relief plan that President Biden introduced final month is his choice to cancel as much as $20,000 per borrower in federal loans. However the extra far-reaching — and, over time, costlier — factor of the president’s technique is his blueprint for a revamped income-linked reimbursement plan, which might sharply scale back what many debtors pay each month.

It may, nonetheless, have unintended penalties. Unscrupulous colleges, together with for-profit establishments, have lengthy used high-pressure gross sales techniques, or outright fraud and deception, to saddle college students with extra debt than they might ever fairly hope to repay. By providing more-generous academic subsidies, the federal government could also be making a perverse incentive for each colleges and debtors, who may start to pay even much less consideration to the precise price ticket of their training — and taxpayers may very well be left footing extra of the invoice.

“If individuals are taking out the identical or extra quantity of debt and repaying much less of it, then it’s simply taxpayers bearing the brunt of it,” stated Daniel Zibel, the chief counsel on the Nationwide Scholar Authorized Protection Community, an advocacy group.

Consultants are significantly involved about how the brand new subsidies may very well be manipulated by for-profit faculties, a lot of which have a document of persuading folks to tackle excessive debt for levels that usually fail to ship the form of earnings increase the faculties promote.

Sharon Arnold, 44, a first-generation school pupil, enrolled on the College of Phoenix in 2009 as a result of she considered larger training as a pathway out of her $12-an-hour service job. She was drawn in by the college’s on-line applications for working adults and adverts selling its career-placement companies.

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Pell grants and federal loans lined her tuition, however the bachelor’s diploma she earned 4 years later in human companies administration didn’t enhance her job prospects. Although she was reluctant to tackle extra debt, profession counselors urged her to pursue an M.B.A. She stated she was advised that it could enhance her incomes energy, and that the college had partnerships with main employers that gave its graduates hiring desire.

However as soon as once more, her job hunt was fruitless. Ms. Arnold, who lives on the outskirts of Oklahoma Metropolis, now earns $16 an hour working in hospitality and owes the federal government $126,000 in pupil loans greater than a decade after she first enrolled at Phoenix. The debt has prevented her and her husband from being permitted for a mortgage to purchase a home.

Ms. Arnold’s alma mater has lengthy been within the cross hairs of watchdogs for what they’ve stated is a sample of misleading claims. The College of Phoenix has paid greater than $127 million over the past twenty years to settle authorities lawsuits over unlawful techniques, corresponding to tying its recruiters’ pay to the variety of college students they enrolled and working misleading advertising and marketing campaigns that falsely claimed partnerships with large corporations.

The College of Phoenix is on a listing of 150 colleges that the Training Division stated confirmed robust indicators of “substantial misconduct.” (The listing is included in a authorized settlement the division reached in June that can, if finalized, cancel $6 billion in federal pupil mortgage debt for 200,000 debtors, together with Ms. Arnold.) The college is amongst greater than a dozen on that listing which might be nonetheless working. It stays eligible for federal pupil loans, and depends on them for practically all its income.

Andrea Smiley, a spokeswoman for the College of Phoenix, stated the college was “happy with all of our a million graduates, and we make use of a number of pupil help initiatives, together with a tuition value assure, tutorial and profession coaches, profession companies for all times, and 24/7 on-line help, amongst different efforts.”

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She added that the college “adamantly” disagreed with any implication that it has ever acted improperly. The College of Phoenix didn’t touch upon the Biden administration’s mortgage cancellation plan.

Consultants say Mr. Biden’s new plan may enhance colleges’ incentives to saddle college students with unreasonable quantities of debt.

“Debt cancellation and income-driven reimbursement can’t stand alone,” stated Sarah Sattelmeyer, a higher-education mission director on the assume tank New America. “We have to pair this stuff with a very robust accountability construction.”

Previous efforts to rein in poorly performing establishments have been derailed by lobbying, litigation and shifting political tides. The federal government’s most forceful hammer — a regulation put in place through the Obama administration often called the “gainful employment” rule, which threatened to chop off federal help funds to for-profit colleges whose college students earned too little to repay their loans — was scrapped in 2019 by Betsy DeVos, the training secretary beneath President Donald J. Trump.

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The brand new subsidies may additionally make college students much less cautious about taking over excessive debt. The Training Division has not but revealed the small print of Mr. Biden’s new reimbursement plan, however the define the president described final month may rework higher-education financing, particularly for undergraduate levels, by shifting extra of the prices from debtors to taxpayers.

Jason Altmire, chief govt of the Profession Training Schools and Universities, a commerce group that represents for-profit faculties, stated, “As a number of economists have argued, the brand new reimbursement plan may drive up prices throughout all sectors of upper training and incentivize college students to tackle extra debt.” He criticized the Biden administration’s proposal for an income-driven plan, saying that it could “trigger extra confusion and does nothing to cut back school prices.”

Round 45 million folks owe the federal government $1.6 trillion in pupil loans, with the typical steadiness hovering round $37,670. Proper now, debtors who select an income-linked cost plan should sometimes fork over 10 p.c of their discretionary revenue, outlined as all earnings above 150 p.c of the poverty stage.

Mr. Biden needs to boost that ground and shelter earnings of as much as 225 p.c of the poverty stage, slash the reimbursement price for undergraduate loans to five p.c of revenue and cease charging curiosity to debtors who make their month-to-month funds. As with present income-driven plans, any remaining steadiness can be forgiven after at most 20 years of funds.

Collectively, these adjustments will enable hundreds of thousands extra debtors to pay little or nothing on their loans. However no matter goes unpaid will finally be absorbed by the federal government — a dangerous proposition in a system already rife with abuses.

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With what could be billions of {dollars} at stake, colleges accused of misdeeds are extremely motivated to combat again, and chopping off even probably the most egregiously dangerous actors can take years. The federal government depends on unbiased accrediting companies to vouch for a college’s high quality, however colleges that misplaced have their accreditation — a drastic motion supposed to be a demise knell — have generally managed to retain their eligibility for federal funds.

Jonathan Glater, a regulation professor on the College of California, Berkeley, stated that the federal government’s choices for coping with colleges’ misconduct had by no means been “prophylactic — they function after the actual fact.”

“It will be nice,” he added, “to have a regulatory scheme that would truly forestall dangerous conduct, and it’s form of stunning that there’s no more clamoring for that.”

The Training Division stated in a written assertion that the Biden administration “is dedicated to stopping a future pupil debt disaster by holding faculties and universities accountable in the event that they go away college students with mountains of debt or with out good jobs.”

The division stated just lately that it was rebuilding its Federal Scholar Assist unit’s enforcement group — which was dismantled by Ms. DeVos — and that it could extra actively police accreditors.

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That’s a begin, however the company wants to maneuver quicker, stated Aaron Ament, who labored on enforcement points on the Training Division through the Obama administration. Specifically, he want to see the gainful employment rule, which Ms. DeVos rescinded, come again into impact.

“The rule is among the finest front-end accountability measures we’ve got to weed out failing applications,” Mr. Ament stated.

Ms. Arnold, the College of Phoenix graduate, is happy with her levels, however in hindsight, she stated she would by no means have run up a lot debt had she realized how little her research would repay financially. “As laborious as I’ve labored on my training, as many hours as I put in, I additionally needed return on funding,” she stated.

The College of Phoenix needs her again. Final month, it despatched her emails providing a scholarship of as much as $3,000 if she returned to pursue a doctoral diploma. Ms. Arnold declined the provide.

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State Farm seeks major rate hikes for California homeowners and renters

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State Farm seeks major rate hikes for California homeowners and renters

State Farm General is seeking to dramatically increase residential insurance rates for millions of Californians, a move that would deepen the state’s ongoing crisis over housing coverage.

In two filings with the state’s Department of Insurance on Thursday signaling financial trouble for the insurance giant, State Farm disclosed it is seeking a 30% rate increase for homeowners; a 36% increase for condo owners; and a 52% increase for renters.

“State Farm General’s latest rate filings raise serious questions about its financial condition,” Ricardo Lara, California’s insurance commissioner, said in a statement. “This has the potential to affect millions of California consumers and the integrity of our residential property insurance market.”

State Farm did not return requests for comment.

Lara noted that nothing immediately changes for policyholders as a result of the filings. His said his department would use all of its “investigatory tools to get to the bottom of State Farm’s financial situation,” including a rate hearing if necessary, before making a decision on whether to approve the requests.

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That process could take months: The department is averaging 180 days for its reviews, and complex cases can take even longer, according to a department spokesperson.

The department has already approved recent State Farm requests for significant home insurance rate increases, including a 6.9% bump in January 2023 and a 20% hike that went into effect in March.

State Farm’s bid to sharply increase home insurance rates seeks to utilize a little-known and rarely used exception to the state’s usual insurance rate-making formula. Typically, such a move signals that an insurance provider is facing serious financial issues.

In one of the filings, State Farm General said the purpose of its request was to restore its financial condition. “If the variance is denied,” the insurer wrote, “further deterioration of surplus is anticipated.”

California is facing an insurance crisis as climate change and extreme weather contribute to catastrophic fires that have destroyed thousands of homes in recent years.

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In March, State Farm announced that it wouldn’t renew 72,000 property owner policies statewide, joining Farmers, Allstate and other companies in either not writing or limiting new policies, or tightening underwriting standards.

The companies blamed wildfires, inflation that raised reconstruction costs, higher prices for reinsurance they buy to boost their balance sheets and protect themselves from catastrophes, as well as outdated state regulations — claims disputed by some consumer advocates.

As insurers have pulled back from the homeowners market, lawmakers in Sacramento are scrambling to make coverage available and affordable for residents living in high-risk areas.

Times staff writer Laurence Darmiento contributed to this report.

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High interest rates are hurting people. Here's why it's worse for Californians

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High interest rates are hurting people. Here's why it's worse for Californians

By the numbers, the overall U.S. economy may look good, but down at the street level the view is a lot grimmer and grittier.

The surge in interest rates imposed by the Federal Reserve to slow inflation has closed like an acrid cloud over would-be homeowners, car buyers, growing families, and businesses new and old, large and small. It has meant missing opportunities, settling for less — and waiting and waiting and waiting.

It’s not that the average American is underwater. It’s that many feel that they’re struggling more than they anticipated and feel more constricted. In the American Dream, if you work hard, things are supposed to get better. Fairly or not, that may be a big part of why so many voters have expressed unhappiness with President Biden’s handling of the economy.

The cost of borrowing, whether for mortgages, credit cards or car loans, is the highest in more than two decades. And that is weighing especially hard on people in California, where housing, gas and many other things are more expensive than in most other states.

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California’s economy also relies more on interest rate-sensitive sectors such as real estate and high tech, which helps explain why the state has been lagging in job growth and its unemployment rate is the highest in the nation.

Harder to budget

When interest rates rise, savers can earn more on their deposits. But in America’s consumer society, for most people higher rates mean that a lot of things cost a little (or a lot) more. That makes it harder to stretch an individual or family budget. It may mean giving up on the nicer car you had your heart set on, or settling for a smaller house, or a shorter, less glamorous vacation.

And with every uptick in interest rates, which is almost inevitably passed on to customers, some have had to give up on a purchase entirely.

Geovanny Panchame, a creative director at an advertising agency, knows these feelings all too well: He thinks often about what could have been if he and his wife had bought the starter home they were planning for in 2020.

Back then, they had been pre-approved at an interest rate of 3.1% — right around the national average — but were outbid several times. They figured they’d wait a few years to save more money for a nicer place.

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Four years later, the couple are still renting an apartment in Culver City — and now they’re expecting their first child.

Pushing to buy a house and get settled before their son is born in December, they recently made an $885,000 offer for a three-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Inglewood. They plan to put down 10%. At the current average mortgage interest rate of 7%, that would mean a monthly payment of about $5,300 — $1,900 more than if they had an interest rate of 3.1%.

The source of that increase is the Federal Reserve’s power to set basic interest rates, which determines the interest rates for almost everything else in the economy. The Fed’s benchmark rate went up rapidly, from near zero in early 2022 to a generational high of about 5.5%, where it has been for almost a year. The rate has been higher in the past, but after two decades in which it was mostly at rock bottom, most people had gotten used to both very low inflation and low interest rates.

“Clearly, we look back and we probably should have kept going and hopped into something,” Panchame, 39, said. “I’ve been really sacrificing a lot to get to this point to purchase a home and now I just feel like I got here but I didn’t work quick enough because interest rates have gotten the better of me.”

Add property taxes and home insurance, and it’s even more painful for home buyers because those costs have also risen sharply since the COVID-19 pandemic, along with housing prices themselves.

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A typical buyer of a mid-tier home in California, priced at about $785,000 in the spring, was looking at a total housing payment of about $5,900 a month. That’s up from $3,250 in March of 2020 and almost $4,600 in March of 2022, when the Fed began raising interest rates, according to the California Legislative Analyst’s Office.

It wasn’t supposed to work like that: Lifting interest rates as fast and as high as the Fed did, in its effort to curb inflation, should have led to falling home prices.

But that didn’t happen, mainly because relatively few homes came on the market. Most existing homeowners had locked in lower mortgage rates before the surge; selling those houses once interest rates took off would have meant paying higher prices and interest rates on other homes, or bloated rents for apartments.

For most homeowners sitting on the low rates of the past, their financial well-being was further supported by low unemployment and incomes that generally remained on par with inflation or grew a little faster. And many had cushions of savings built up in early phases of the pandemic, thanks partly to government support.

All of which has kept the U.S. economy as a whole humming along, blunting the full effects of higher interest rates.

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“Consumers are doing their job,” said Claire Li, senior analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, though she added that there are now signs of slower spending, evidenced by consumers cutting back on credit card purchases.

Unlike most home loans, credit card interest rates aren’t fixed. And today the average rate has bounced up to almost 22% from 14.6% in 2021, according to Fed data. That’s starting to squeeze more borrowers, adding to their unease.

Rising credit card debt

In California, the 30-day delinquency rate on credit cards is nearing 5% — something not seen since late 2009 around the end of the Great Recession, according to the California Policy Lab at UC Berkeley.

Lower-income and younger borrowers are more prone to falling behind on credit card, auto and other consumer loan payments than those with higher incomes. And it’s these groups that are feeling the effects of higher interest rates the most.

Christian Shorter, a self-employed tech serviceman who lives in Chino, just bought a used Volkswagen Jetta for $21,000. He put down $3,500 and financed the rest over 69 months at an annual interest rate of 24%. His monthly payment is more than $480, and by the end of the loan he will have paid about $15,000 in interest.

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Shorter, 45, said he doesn’t have good credit. He plans to take out a personal loan when interest rates drop and pay off the car debt. “Definitely, definitely, they should lower interest rates,” he said of the Fed.

Between the jump in interest rates and prices of new vehicles, some auto buyers have downgraded to cheaper models. The biggest shift, though, especially in California, has been a move by more buyers to turn to electric vehicles to save on fuel costs, says Joseph Yoon, a consumer analyst at Edmunds, the car research and information firm in Santa Monica.

In May, he said, buyers on average financed about $41,000 on a new vehicle purchase at an interest rate of 7.3% (compared with 4.1% in December 2021). Over 69 months, that translates to a monthly payment of $745.

“For a big part of the population, they’re looking at this car market and saying, ‘I got to wait for something to break,’ like interest rates or dealer incentives,” Yoon said.

For a lot of small-business owners, who drive much of the economy in Los Angeles, they don’t have the luxury of waiting it out. They need funds to survive, or to expand when things are going well.

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But many can’t qualify with traditional commercial lenders, and when they can they’re typically looking at interest rates of 9%; that’s more than double what they were before the Fed’s rate hikes, according to surveys by the National Federation of Independent Business.

One result: More and more people in Southern California are looking for help from lenders such as Brea-based Lendistry, one of the nation’s largest minority-led community development financial institutions.

From January to May, applications were up 21% and the dollar volume of loans rose 33% compared with a year earlier, said Everett Sands, Lendistry’s chief executive. Interest rates on his loans range from 7.5% to 14.5%.

“Business owners, they’re resilient, entrepreneurial, scrappy — they’ll figure out a way,” he said, adding that he sees many doing side jobs like driving for Uber or making Instacart deliveries at night.

Even so, Sands said, the higher borrowing costs inevitably mean less money spent on things like investing in new technology and software and bringing on additional staff, as well as delays in owners growing their businesses.

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“Some of them lose out in progressing forward.”

‘When you put everything on the line, you get desperate.’

— Jurni Rayne, Gritz N Wafflez

Jurni Rayne, 42, started her brunch business, Gritz N Wafflez, as a ghost kitchen in February 2022, preparing food orders for delivery services. She financed that by maxing out her credit cards and getting a merchant cash advance, which is like a payday loan with super high interest rates. Her debts reached $70,000.

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“When you put everything on the line, you get desperate,” said Rayne, a Dallas native who moved to Los Angeles a decade ago and has worked as a manager at California Pizza Kitchen and the Cheesecake Factory. “You don’t care about the interest rate, because it’s something like between passion and insanity.”

She has since paid off all the merchant loans. And her business has seen such strong growth that last year Rayne got out of the ghost kitchen and into a small spot in Pico-Union, starting with just three tables. She now has 17 tables and a staff of 14.

This fall she’ll be moving to a bigger location in Koreatown and has her sights on a second restaurant in South Los Angeles. But she frets that she could have expanded sooner if interest rates had been lower and she’d had more access to financing.

Economists call that an opportunity cost. For Rayne, it’s personal.

“Absolutely, lower interest rates would have helped me,” she said.

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For many others, the wait for lower rates continues without the balm of intermediate success.

Lynn Miller, 60, began looking to buy a home in Orange County about a year ago, hoping to upgrade from her current 1,600-square-foot apartment.

“It’s not bad, it’s just not mine — the dishwasher is crappy, the washing machine is old,” she said of her rental in Corona del Mar. “I’m obviously not going to invest in these appliances. It’s just different not owning your own home.”

It’s been a discouraging process, she said, especially when she inputs her numbers into the mortgage calculators on Zillow and Realtor.com, which churn out estimates based on current interest rates.

“If you look at those monthly payment numbers, it’s shocking,” Miller, a marketing consultant, said. “It’ll get better, but it’s just not better right now.”

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She’s continuing her house search — she’d love to buy a single-family, three-bedroom home with a backyard for a dog — but is holding off for now.

“I’m still waiting because I do think that interest rates are going to go down,” Miller said, although she knows it’s a guessing game. “I could end up waiting a long time.”

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California lawmakers advance tax on Big Tech to help fund news industry

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California lawmakers advance tax on Big Tech to help fund news industry

The California state Senate on Thursday passed legislation aimed at helping the news industry by imposing a new tax on some of the biggest tech companies in the world.

Senate Bill 1327 would tax Amazon, Meta and Google for the data they collect from users and pump the money from this “data extraction mitigation fee” into news organizations by giving them a tax credit for employing full-time journalists.

“Just as we have funded a movie industry tax credit, with no state involvement in content, the same goes for this journalism tax credit,” Sen. Steve Glazer (D-Orinda) said as he presented the bill on the Senate floor, casting it as a measure to protect democracy and a free press.

Its passage comes the same week lawmakers advanced another bill that seeks to resuscitate the local news business, which has suffered from declining revenue as technology changes the way people consume news. Assembly Bill 886 would require digital platforms to pay news outlets a fee when they sell advertising alongside news content.

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Glazer said his bill is meant as a complement to the other measure, adding that he and its author, Assemblymember Buffy Wicks (D-Oakland), plan to work with the companies that could be affected by both bills “in balancing everyone’s interest.”

The legislation passed 27 to 7, with one Republican — Sen. Scott Wilk (R-Santa Clarita) — joining Democrats in support. As a tax increase, it required support from two-thirds of the Senate and now advances to the Assembly.

A Republican who opposed the bill said technology is changing many industries, not just journalism, and that some of the innovations have led to inspiring new ways to consume news, such as through podcasts or nonprofit news outlets.

“These are all new models, and very few people under the age of 50 … even pick up a paper newspaper,” said Sen. Roger Niello (R-Fair Oaks.) “So this is an evolution of the marketplace.”

Opponents of the bill include tech company trade associations Technet, Internet Coalition and Chamber of Progress; the California Chamber of Commerce; and numerous local chambers of commerce.

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Supporters include unions representing journalists, a coalition of online and nonprofit news outlets, and the publishers of several small newspapers.

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