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Another California exodus: Dairy cows leave for greener pastures in Texas, Arizona as farms squeezed

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Another California exodus: Dairy cows leave for greener pastures in Texas, Arizona as farms squeezed

Michael Oosten’s grandparents have been dairy farmers within the Netherlands and immigrated to California within the Nineteen Twenties, beginning their very own dairy farm in Paramount in 1945 earlier than relocating to larger farms in Artesia and Bellflower.

Within the early Nineteen Seventies, they moved their farm to Chino, however determined to promote it in 2001 to a trucking firm positioned subsequent to an Amazon warehouse, which was constructed on land comprised of two different dairy farms.

Oosten, who for 18 years has owned Marvo Holsteins dairy farm in Lakeview, which provides milk to Land O’Lakes, stated dairy farming has declined in California for the reason that business’s peak in 2008. The business has been damage by shrinking actual property in Southern California, extra reasonably priced land in different states, rigorous allowing processes and the scarcity of water and different pure sources.

“Economics is the most important driver of farmers leaving to exit of state,” Oosten stated. “Milk pricing tends to be very aggressive in different states; the feed costs are decrease and the regulatory surroundings is best.”

Actual property, specifically, has performed a big position in additional dairies selecting to depart California, he stated.

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Michael Oosten at his household’s dairy farm in Lakeview, Calif.

(Luis Sinco/Los Angeles Occasions)

“As city enlargement got here in and acquired near the farm, builders would are available and purchase the land and convert it into housing or industrial buildings,” he stated. “That’s the development of what’s occurred within the California dairy business. Extra lately within the final 20 years, lots of people have began to maneuver out of state.”

Marvo Holsteins is one in all about 1,200 dairies left in California, a big drop from the roughly 2,100 farms in 2001 and 20,000 farms in 1950, in response to Michael Boccadoro, government director of sustainability nonprofit Dairy Cares.

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Though the variety of dairies within the state has declined by 94% within the final 70 years, farmers have been in a position to make up for the distinction by means of elevated milk manufacturing and improved cow consolation and breeding, Boccadoro stated.

“The concept that we’re constructing new dairies or rising manufacturing in California is a nonstarter,” he stated. “We haven’t constructed a brand new dairy in six to seven years. It’s simply not a great place in case you’re entering into the milk manufacturing enterprise.”

The state went from housing about 1.88 million dairy cows in 2008 to about 1.72 million right this moment — a lower of about 160,000 cows in 14 years, Boccadoro stated. The variety of cows within the state has lowered by about half a p.c to 1% yearly.

As an alternative of staying in California, dairy cows are being shipped to Texas, South Dakota, Arizona, New Mexico, Idaho and Kansas — states not usually identified for his or her dairy manufacturing. Boccadoro stated a shrinking demand for fluid milk and elevated demand for cheese, yogurt, butter, whey protein and different milk-related merchandise have pushed milk manufacturing to the Midwestern states. Demand for dairy has elevated by 200% for the reason that pandemic began in 2020.

Cows pass through a cooling shower after being milked at Marvo Holsteins dairy farm.

Cows move by means of a cooling bathe after being milked at Marvo Holsteins dairy farm in Lakeview, Calif.

(Luis Sinco/Los Angeles Occasions)

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“Traditionally, cows wanted to be near the market as a result of it was a contemporary milk market and milk has a brief shelf lifetime of about two weeks, so there was a variety of milk manufacturing on the West Coast and East Coast,” he stated. “With the brand new merchandise in demand, the dairy sector is seeing milk manufacturing transfer to the center elements of the nation due to the longer shelf lifetime of the merchandise.”

Nearer proximity to new manufacturing websites additionally has pushed cows out of California. Hilmar Cheese Co. opened a facility in Texas, with one other cheese and whey manufacturing plant within the works in Kansas. Final fall, Leprino Meals, one other main dairy manufacturing firm, introduced it was constructing a brand new facility in Lubbock, Texas.

One other massive query plaguing dairy farmers is whether or not they’ll see local weather change laws within the subsequent few years and what results they might have.

In 2016, California lawmakers handed the state’s Brief-Lived Local weather Pollutant Discount legislation, often called SB 1383, setting a 2030 aim to scale back methane emissions from the dairy and livestock industries by 40% beneath 2013 ranges, which quantities to about 9 million metric tons of carbon dioxide. If the California Air Assets Board determines in 2024 that the dairy business isn’t on observe for hitting its goal, it could actually begin implementing laws to restrict emissions.

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Oosten stated potential laws might entail requiring dairies to put in anaerobic digesters — gadgets that management the decomposition of manure and convert methane into clear power — in addition to utilizing feed components to assist scale back methane produced by cows by means of belching.

“There’s that concern in California in that if we begin making mandates and laws, then we begin dropping our incentive funding, we begin dropping our choices and we begin dropping farms,” he stated. “A few of them may exit of enterprise, which might be a travesty for that household. … The opposite factor that’s going to occur is that they’re going to choose up, depart and exit of state. The methane nonetheless will get produced, they don’t need to cope with it over there and that’s the ‘leakage’ that we talked about.”

Anja Raudabaugh, CEO of Western United Dairies, a commerce group that represents nearly all of milk produced in California, agreed that the state is best off from a worldwide local weather perspective if extra dairy farmers keep in California.

Cows are milked by machines while a man looks at one of the devices.

Cows are milked at Marvo Holsteins dairy farm in Lakeview, Calif. The state has a aim of lowering methane emissions from the dairy business.

(Luis Sinco/Los Angeles Occasions)

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“California’s exporting methane to totally different places, which implies processing and manufacturing can be leaving, which was the state’s income supply for offering inexperienced merchandise,” she stated. “It was designed to be a reward system, but when we don’t make them right here in California, they’re undoubtedly going to make them some other place.”

However David Clegern, a spokesperson for the California Air Assets Board, stated environmental laws have little to do with the cow exodus from California as a result of it isn’t even allowed to submit one for approval till 2024.

“Cattle costs are very excessive proper now, and jumped fairly a bit this summer time, so there could also be extra of a market drive there,” Clegernsaid.

Employees members are within the preliminary levels of creating a regulation on methane emissions by talking with neighborhood members and dealing teams, in response to Clegern.

“We gained’t begin till now we have an precise regulation,” he stated. “It takes a pair years to get by means of the general public processes and the legislative and different regulatory assessments. We’ve to verify it’s not interfering with federal laws and it scientifically is smart and it may be performed in an affordable and not-too-expensive manner.”

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Invoice Magavern, coverage director for the Coalition for Clear Air, emphasised the significance of lowering methane, a short-lived local weather pollutant that lasts within the ambiance for about 12 years and has 80 occasions the warming affect of carbon dioxide.

“Along with the local weather change affect, there are additionally main native air pollution impacts from these big manufacturing facility farm operations, together with the methane itself that contributes to smog, which is already well-above authorized ranges within the San Joaquin Valley,” he stated. “The South Coast Air Basin and the San Joaquin Valley Air District are the 2 locations within the nation with the worst air air pollution, and that’s the place California’s dairy business is.”

Magavern expressed skepticism that potential laws are driving cows out of the state.

“I’ve been watching them foyer during the last 20 years and oppose each measure that may get them to scale back the air pollution they’re emitting in California,” he stated. “They’re resisting every part, and now they’re complaining after they’re not even being regulated is tell-tale.”

A close-up of udders being milked by a machine and cow legs.

Cows are milked at Marvo Holsteins dairy farm in Lakeview, Calif.

(Luis Sinco/Los Angeles Occasions)

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In response to a report by the California Air Assets Board launched this spring, the dairy and livestock sector — which accounts for greater than half of the state’s methane emissions — has lowered its annual emissions by simply over half. Dairy farmers should proceed modifying manure administration techniques, lowering livestock populations and utilizing digesters as a way to meet the 2030 aim.

However not everyone seems to be thrilled with the dairy digesters. Genevieve Amsalem, analysis and coverage director of the Central California Environmental Justice Community, stated dairy farms contribute to half of the particulate matter air pollution within the San Joaquin Valley. The digesters, she stated, are creating ammonia, which in flip causes air air pollution and endangers public well being.

“By putting in a dairy digester, you’re utilizing state cash to institutionalize this observe and setting it in stone,” she stated. “That’s an enormous concern that the state is institutionalizing these environmental catastrophes.”

Citing the excessive price of digesters — it takes about $6 million to put in one at a 2,000-cow farm — and the truth that his farms don’t use as a lot water as a result of they home their cows exterior, Oosten stated he’s at present in talks with digester corporations and isn’t against the concept of implementing them. As one of many incentives for lowering methane emissions, the state’s Dairy Digester Analysis & Improvement Program covers a portion of the prices of a digester whereas dairy farmers must pay for the remaining.

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Oosten stated that his farms promote about 30% to 35% of their milking herd, comprised of about 2,500 cows, yearly for beef and that his livestock measurement has been comparatively secure regardless of the consolidation of his household’s farms over time.

“We’re not throwing animals out of the state simply to eliminate them,” he stated. “It’s based mostly on economics and wherever dairies are probably the most worthwhile.”

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State Farm seeks major rate hikes for California homeowners and renters

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State Farm seeks major rate hikes for California homeowners and renters

State Farm General is seeking to dramatically increase residential insurance rates for millions of Californians, a move that would deepen the state’s ongoing crisis over housing coverage.

In two filings with the state’s Department of Insurance on Thursday signaling financial trouble for the insurance giant, State Farm disclosed it is seeking a 30% rate increase for homeowners; a 36% increase for condo owners; and a 52% increase for renters.

“State Farm General’s latest rate filings raise serious questions about its financial condition,” Ricardo Lara, California’s insurance commissioner, said in a statement. “This has the potential to affect millions of California consumers and the integrity of our residential property insurance market.”

State Farm did not return requests for comment.

Lara noted that nothing immediately changes for policyholders as a result of the filings. His said his department would use all of its “investigatory tools to get to the bottom of State Farm’s financial situation,” including a rate hearing if necessary, before making a decision on whether to approve the requests.

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That process could take months: The department is averaging 180 days for its reviews, and complex cases can take even longer, according to a department spokesperson.

The department has already approved recent State Farm requests for significant home insurance rate increases, including a 6.9% bump in January 2023 and a 20% hike that went into effect in March.

State Farm’s bid to sharply increase home insurance rates seeks to utilize a little-known and rarely used exception to the state’s usual insurance rate-making formula. Typically, such a move signals that an insurance provider is facing serious financial issues.

In one of the filings, State Farm General said the purpose of its request was to restore its financial condition. “If the variance is denied,” the insurer wrote, “further deterioration of surplus is anticipated.”

California is facing an insurance crisis as climate change and extreme weather contribute to catastrophic fires that have destroyed thousands of homes in recent years.

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In March, State Farm announced that it wouldn’t renew 72,000 property owner policies statewide, joining Farmers, Allstate and other companies in either not writing or limiting new policies, or tightening underwriting standards.

The companies blamed wildfires, inflation that raised reconstruction costs, higher prices for reinsurance they buy to boost their balance sheets and protect themselves from catastrophes, as well as outdated state regulations — claims disputed by some consumer advocates.

As insurers have pulled back from the homeowners market, lawmakers in Sacramento are scrambling to make coverage available and affordable for residents living in high-risk areas.

Times staff writer Laurence Darmiento contributed to this report.

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High interest rates are hurting people. Here's why it's worse for Californians

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High interest rates are hurting people. Here's why it's worse for Californians

By the numbers, the overall U.S. economy may look good, but down at the street level the view is a lot grimmer and grittier.

The surge in interest rates imposed by the Federal Reserve to slow inflation has closed like an acrid cloud over would-be homeowners, car buyers, growing families, and businesses new and old, large and small. It has meant missing opportunities, settling for less — and waiting and waiting and waiting.

It’s not that the average American is underwater. It’s that many feel that they’re struggling more than they anticipated and feel more constricted. In the American Dream, if you work hard, things are supposed to get better. Fairly or not, that may be a big part of why so many voters have expressed unhappiness with President Biden’s handling of the economy.

The cost of borrowing, whether for mortgages, credit cards or car loans, is the highest in more than two decades. And that is weighing especially hard on people in California, where housing, gas and many other things are more expensive than in most other states.

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California’s economy also relies more on interest rate-sensitive sectors such as real estate and high tech, which helps explain why the state has been lagging in job growth and its unemployment rate is the highest in the nation.

Harder to budget

When interest rates rise, savers can earn more on their deposits. But in America’s consumer society, for most people higher rates mean that a lot of things cost a little (or a lot) more. That makes it harder to stretch an individual or family budget. It may mean giving up on the nicer car you had your heart set on, or settling for a smaller house, or a shorter, less glamorous vacation.

And with every uptick in interest rates, which is almost inevitably passed on to customers, some have had to give up on a purchase entirely.

Geovanny Panchame, a creative director at an advertising agency, knows these feelings all too well: He thinks often about what could have been if he and his wife had bought the starter home they were planning for in 2020.

Back then, they had been pre-approved at an interest rate of 3.1% — right around the national average — but were outbid several times. They figured they’d wait a few years to save more money for a nicer place.

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Four years later, the couple are still renting an apartment in Culver City — and now they’re expecting their first child.

Pushing to buy a house and get settled before their son is born in December, they recently made an $885,000 offer for a three-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Inglewood. They plan to put down 10%. At the current average mortgage interest rate of 7%, that would mean a monthly payment of about $5,300 — $1,900 more than if they had an interest rate of 3.1%.

The source of that increase is the Federal Reserve’s power to set basic interest rates, which determines the interest rates for almost everything else in the economy. The Fed’s benchmark rate went up rapidly, from near zero in early 2022 to a generational high of about 5.5%, where it has been for almost a year. The rate has been higher in the past, but after two decades in which it was mostly at rock bottom, most people had gotten used to both very low inflation and low interest rates.

“Clearly, we look back and we probably should have kept going and hopped into something,” Panchame, 39, said. “I’ve been really sacrificing a lot to get to this point to purchase a home and now I just feel like I got here but I didn’t work quick enough because interest rates have gotten the better of me.”

Add property taxes and home insurance, and it’s even more painful for home buyers because those costs have also risen sharply since the COVID-19 pandemic, along with housing prices themselves.

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A typical buyer of a mid-tier home in California, priced at about $785,000 in the spring, was looking at a total housing payment of about $5,900 a month. That’s up from $3,250 in March of 2020 and almost $4,600 in March of 2022, when the Fed began raising interest rates, according to the California Legislative Analyst’s Office.

It wasn’t supposed to work like that: Lifting interest rates as fast and as high as the Fed did, in its effort to curb inflation, should have led to falling home prices.

But that didn’t happen, mainly because relatively few homes came on the market. Most existing homeowners had locked in lower mortgage rates before the surge; selling those houses once interest rates took off would have meant paying higher prices and interest rates on other homes, or bloated rents for apartments.

For most homeowners sitting on the low rates of the past, their financial well-being was further supported by low unemployment and incomes that generally remained on par with inflation or grew a little faster. And many had cushions of savings built up in early phases of the pandemic, thanks partly to government support.

All of which has kept the U.S. economy as a whole humming along, blunting the full effects of higher interest rates.

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“Consumers are doing their job,” said Claire Li, senior analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, though she added that there are now signs of slower spending, evidenced by consumers cutting back on credit card purchases.

Unlike most home loans, credit card interest rates aren’t fixed. And today the average rate has bounced up to almost 22% from 14.6% in 2021, according to Fed data. That’s starting to squeeze more borrowers, adding to their unease.

Rising credit card debt

In California, the 30-day delinquency rate on credit cards is nearing 5% — something not seen since late 2009 around the end of the Great Recession, according to the California Policy Lab at UC Berkeley.

Lower-income and younger borrowers are more prone to falling behind on credit card, auto and other consumer loan payments than those with higher incomes. And it’s these groups that are feeling the effects of higher interest rates the most.

Christian Shorter, a self-employed tech serviceman who lives in Chino, just bought a used Volkswagen Jetta for $21,000. He put down $3,500 and financed the rest over 69 months at an annual interest rate of 24%. His monthly payment is more than $480, and by the end of the loan he will have paid about $15,000 in interest.

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Shorter, 45, said he doesn’t have good credit. He plans to take out a personal loan when interest rates drop and pay off the car debt. “Definitely, definitely, they should lower interest rates,” he said of the Fed.

Between the jump in interest rates and prices of new vehicles, some auto buyers have downgraded to cheaper models. The biggest shift, though, especially in California, has been a move by more buyers to turn to electric vehicles to save on fuel costs, says Joseph Yoon, a consumer analyst at Edmunds, the car research and information firm in Santa Monica.

In May, he said, buyers on average financed about $41,000 on a new vehicle purchase at an interest rate of 7.3% (compared with 4.1% in December 2021). Over 69 months, that translates to a monthly payment of $745.

“For a big part of the population, they’re looking at this car market and saying, ‘I got to wait for something to break,’ like interest rates or dealer incentives,” Yoon said.

For a lot of small-business owners, who drive much of the economy in Los Angeles, they don’t have the luxury of waiting it out. They need funds to survive, or to expand when things are going well.

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But many can’t qualify with traditional commercial lenders, and when they can they’re typically looking at interest rates of 9%; that’s more than double what they were before the Fed’s rate hikes, according to surveys by the National Federation of Independent Business.

One result: More and more people in Southern California are looking for help from lenders such as Brea-based Lendistry, one of the nation’s largest minority-led community development financial institutions.

From January to May, applications were up 21% and the dollar volume of loans rose 33% compared with a year earlier, said Everett Sands, Lendistry’s chief executive. Interest rates on his loans range from 7.5% to 14.5%.

“Business owners, they’re resilient, entrepreneurial, scrappy — they’ll figure out a way,” he said, adding that he sees many doing side jobs like driving for Uber or making Instacart deliveries at night.

Even so, Sands said, the higher borrowing costs inevitably mean less money spent on things like investing in new technology and software and bringing on additional staff, as well as delays in owners growing their businesses.

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“Some of them lose out in progressing forward.”

‘When you put everything on the line, you get desperate.’

— Jurni Rayne, Gritz N Wafflez

Jurni Rayne, 42, started her brunch business, Gritz N Wafflez, as a ghost kitchen in February 2022, preparing food orders for delivery services. She financed that by maxing out her credit cards and getting a merchant cash advance, which is like a payday loan with super high interest rates. Her debts reached $70,000.

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“When you put everything on the line, you get desperate,” said Rayne, a Dallas native who moved to Los Angeles a decade ago and has worked as a manager at California Pizza Kitchen and the Cheesecake Factory. “You don’t care about the interest rate, because it’s something like between passion and insanity.”

She has since paid off all the merchant loans. And her business has seen such strong growth that last year Rayne got out of the ghost kitchen and into a small spot in Pico-Union, starting with just three tables. She now has 17 tables and a staff of 14.

This fall she’ll be moving to a bigger location in Koreatown and has her sights on a second restaurant in South Los Angeles. But she frets that she could have expanded sooner if interest rates had been lower and she’d had more access to financing.

Economists call that an opportunity cost. For Rayne, it’s personal.

“Absolutely, lower interest rates would have helped me,” she said.

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For many others, the wait for lower rates continues without the balm of intermediate success.

Lynn Miller, 60, began looking to buy a home in Orange County about a year ago, hoping to upgrade from her current 1,600-square-foot apartment.

“It’s not bad, it’s just not mine — the dishwasher is crappy, the washing machine is old,” she said of her rental in Corona del Mar. “I’m obviously not going to invest in these appliances. It’s just different not owning your own home.”

It’s been a discouraging process, she said, especially when she inputs her numbers into the mortgage calculators on Zillow and Realtor.com, which churn out estimates based on current interest rates.

“If you look at those monthly payment numbers, it’s shocking,” Miller, a marketing consultant, said. “It’ll get better, but it’s just not better right now.”

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She’s continuing her house search — she’d love to buy a single-family, three-bedroom home with a backyard for a dog — but is holding off for now.

“I’m still waiting because I do think that interest rates are going to go down,” Miller said, although she knows it’s a guessing game. “I could end up waiting a long time.”

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California lawmakers advance tax on Big Tech to help fund news industry

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California lawmakers advance tax on Big Tech to help fund news industry

The California state Senate on Thursday passed legislation aimed at helping the news industry by imposing a new tax on some of the biggest tech companies in the world.

Senate Bill 1327 would tax Amazon, Meta and Google for the data they collect from users and pump the money from this “data extraction mitigation fee” into news organizations by giving them a tax credit for employing full-time journalists.

“Just as we have funded a movie industry tax credit, with no state involvement in content, the same goes for this journalism tax credit,” Sen. Steve Glazer (D-Orinda) said as he presented the bill on the Senate floor, casting it as a measure to protect democracy and a free press.

Its passage comes the same week lawmakers advanced another bill that seeks to resuscitate the local news business, which has suffered from declining revenue as technology changes the way people consume news. Assembly Bill 886 would require digital platforms to pay news outlets a fee when they sell advertising alongside news content.

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Glazer said his bill is meant as a complement to the other measure, adding that he and its author, Assemblymember Buffy Wicks (D-Oakland), plan to work with the companies that could be affected by both bills “in balancing everyone’s interest.”

The legislation passed 27 to 7, with one Republican — Sen. Scott Wilk (R-Santa Clarita) — joining Democrats in support. As a tax increase, it required support from two-thirds of the Senate and now advances to the Assembly.

A Republican who opposed the bill said technology is changing many industries, not just journalism, and that some of the innovations have led to inspiring new ways to consume news, such as through podcasts or nonprofit news outlets.

“These are all new models, and very few people under the age of 50 … even pick up a paper newspaper,” said Sen. Roger Niello (R-Fair Oaks.) “So this is an evolution of the marketplace.”

Opponents of the bill include tech company trade associations Technet, Internet Coalition and Chamber of Progress; the California Chamber of Commerce; and numerous local chambers of commerce.

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Supporters include unions representing journalists, a coalition of online and nonprofit news outlets, and the publishers of several small newspapers.

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