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Amid Fresh Wave of U.K. Strikes, Support for Many Walkouts Remains High

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Amid Fresh Wave of U.K. Strikes, Support for Many Walkouts Remains High

The winter vacation season throughout most of Britain ends on Tuesday, however the return to work for tens of millions of Britons comes on the identical day as yet one more prepare strike, promising a commute as unpredictable because the nation’s more and more erratic rail community.

Britain begins the brand new 12 months simply because it ended the outdated one, in the course of a wave of labor unrest that has concerned as many as 1.5 million staff up to now, concentrated within the public sector and previously state-owned companies. Nurses in England, Northern Eire and Wales walked out twice final month; ambulance crews have staged their largest work stoppage in many years; and border brokers, postal workers and rubbish collectors have taken related motion in a “winter of discontent.”

With wages lagging galloping inflation, many, together with nurses, plan to cease work once more this month, main some British information shops to boost fears of a de facto basic strike that would deliver the nation to a grinding halt.

But whereas months of disruption have eroded some sympathy for rail staff, with the general public roughly cut up over prepare strikes, assist for well being staff, whose tireless efforts throughout the coronavirus pandemic had been extensively lauded as heroic, stays buoyant.

“January would be the take a look at: Will the British public shift?” mentioned Steven Fielding, an emeritus professor of political historical past on the College of Nottingham. He added that whereas additional rail strikes may immediate a long-predicted backlash in opposition to the unions, “It’s outstanding how a lot it hasn’t occurred.”

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That isn’t for need of effort by Britain’s conservative tabloids. One newspaper nicknamed Mick Lynch, the combative chief of a rail union, “The Grinch,” accusing him of wrecking Christmas, spoiling workplace events and hampering household reunions. Within the metropolis of Bristol, one pub canceled a rail staff’ Christmas celebration in retaliation for strikes thought to have damage the hospitality commerce.

However on the whole, assist for the strikers has stayed robust, based on a YouGov opinion ballot final month, which confirmed 66 p.c of respondents supported putting nurses and 28 p.c opposed them, 58 favoring firefighters with 33 in opposition to, and 43 p.c in favor of rail staff with 49 opposed. One other ballot, by Savanta ComRes, discovered the identical share in assist of additional rail strikes, however solely 36 p.c opposed.

Even many Britons who assist the governing Conservative Get together say they consider that well being staff have a case, a mirrored image each of the recognition of the nation’s Nationwide Well being Service and issues about its potential to deal with large pressures. And, underscoring a rising sense of malaise, one other ballot recorded a majority agreeing with the assertion that “nothing in Britain works anymore.”

That will pose a problem for Britain’s prime minister, Rishi Sunak, who insists that agreeing to raises may embed inflation, which he sees as the actual enemy of working folks. As a substitute, he guarantees new, and as but unspecified, legal guidelines to limit labor unrest, whereas critics of commerce unions argue rail staff are risking their futures as commuters avoid a community already affected by the expansion of working from dwelling.

“It’s tough for everyone as a result of inflation is the place it’s, and one of the best ways to assist them and everybody else within the nation is for us to get a grip and cut back inflation as rapidly as doable,” Mr. Sunak advised a parliamentary committee in December, when requested concerning the plight of putting staff.

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Information experiences recommend that an settlement to finish the rolling sequence of rail strikes may very well be shut, however regardless of holding the purse strings over the employers of rail workers, the federal government has resisted direct involvement in negotiations.

The wave of strikes comes amid Britain’s cost-of-living disaster and follows years of constrained public spending, and unions say they’re responding to a decade of neglect of significant providers.

“I believe the truth that this comes after 10 to 12 years of austerity has affected the general public temper and is perhaps what’s serving to the unions and their members to not lose public assist,” mentioned Peter Kellner, a polling skilled. “The proof up to now is that public opinion hasn’t materially shifted. I don’t see any explicit motive why it ought to, particularly with the well being service,” he added.

At King’s Cross Station in London final week, there have been actually indicators of annoyance amongst commuters on the disrupted providers.

“More often than not my prepare is canceled or delayed,” mentioned Daisy Smith, an airline employee from London who was ready to journey to York, about two hours north of the capital. “It’s ridiculous that they’re on strike.”

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However Ms. Smith mentioned she sympathized with the strikers, believed they deserved a pay rise and was pissed off by the standoff. “The federal government must do one thing about it,” she mentioned, including that the dispute had been allowed to fester for months.

Andrew Allonby, a public-sector employee who was touring dwelling to Newcastle, in northeast England, mentioned he, too, supported the strikers.

“I do know there isn’t any cash round, however there has received to be a line,” he mentioned, referring to experiences that some well being staff had been counting on donated groceries. “Nurses having to go to meals banks is ridiculous.”

Public sympathy is being pushed by a widespread feeling that the well being system is understaffed and overwhelmed. One senior physician made headlines by warning that as many as 500 sufferers per week may very well be dying due to lengthy delays in emergency rooms throughout the nation. And on Monday the vice chairman of the Royal Faculty of Emergency Drugs mentioned many emergency departments had been in a state of disaster.

Pay ranges for nurses are really helpful by an impartial physique whose suggestion of a 4.3 p.c improve, issued earlier than a lot of final 12 months’s inflation was evident, had been accepted by the federal government.

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That’s effectively wanting the 19 p.c demanded by nurses, however ministers have refused to budge, pointing to a 3 p.c annual increase for nurses in 2021, when the pay of many others was frozen for the 12 months.

Britain’s well being secretary, Steve Barclay, raised hackles final month by saying that putting ambulance unions had made a “acutely aware option to inflict hurt on sufferers” — a press release described by Sharon Graham, basic secretary of the union Unite, as a “blatant lie.”

Mark Serwotka, basic secretary of the Public and Business Companies Union, advised the broadcaster Sky Information, “We’ve got had 10 years the place our pay has not saved tempo with inflation.” He added that 40,000 authorities workers members used meals banks and that 45,000 of them had been so poor they needed to declare welfare funds.

Daybreak Poole, a putting border pressure officer at London’s Heathrow Worldwide Airport and consultant of the union, mentioned that rising meals and vitality prices, mixed with a hike in mortgage rates of interest, had been the ultimate straw for already-struggling workers.

“We’ve got had folks promoting homes to downsize or struggling to pay the lease,” she mentioned.

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Mr. Sunak’s powerful stance is a bet. If the strikes collapse, that would construct his fame as a frontrunner in a position to stand agency and administer powerful measures to stabilize the financial system. It may additionally bolster his management inside a fractious Conservative Get together, the place standing as much as commerce unions is related to former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, who got here to energy in 1979 after labor unrest often known as the winter of discontent and confronted down putting miners.

Mrs. Thatcher, nevertheless, ready for her standoff with the miners, guaranteeing that coal shares had been excessive and confronting them at a time when unions had been extensively seen as too highly effective.

In contrast, at this time’s unions seem like extra in sync with the favored temper, analysts say, as a result of Britons know that effectively earlier than the strikes, their railways had been unreliable and their well being service was creaking below acute stress.

“The argument that ‘We’re on strike to save lots of the Nationwide Well being Service,’ which is what the nurses have been saying, resonates with what folks know from their very own expertise,” mentioned Professor Fielding.

Mr. Kellner, the polling skilled, mentioned he believed that the federal government ought to separate the nurses and ambulance crews from different strikers.

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“So long as the well being staff are on strike, the opposite unions have some extent of canopy,” he mentioned. “If in a month’s time we’re the place we at the moment are, with nothing settled, I believe the federal government might be in a very dangerous place.”

Within the meantime, rail vacationers should resolve whether or not to even attempt to head to the workplace this week. As one rail operator warned: “Until Jan. 8, only travel by train if absolutely necessary.

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Washed Out's new music video was created with AI. Is it a watershed moment for Sora?

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Washed Out's new music video was created with AI. Is it a watershed moment for Sora?

“The Hardest Part,” a new song from indie pop artist Washed Out, is all about love lost, among the most human of themes.

But ironically, to illustrate the tune’s sense of longing, the musician turned to something far less flesh-and-blood: artificial intelligence.

With Thursday’s release of “The Hardest Part,” Macon, Ga.-based Washed Out, whose real name is Ernest Greene, has the first collaboration between a major music artist and filmmaker on a music video using OpenAI’s Sora text-to-video technology, according to the singer-songwriter’s record label Sub Pop.

The roughly four-minute video, directed by Paul Trillo, speedily zooms the viewer through key elements of a couple’s life. The audience sees the characters — a red-haired woman and a dark-haired man — go from making out and smoking in a 1980s high school to getting married and having a child. “Don’t you cry, it’s all right now,” Greene croons. “The hardest part is that you can’t go back.”

The couple aren’t played by real actors. They’re created entirely digitally through Sora’s AI.

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The video could mark the beginning of a potentially groundbreaking trend of using AI in video production.

“I think where we are now — that’s about to explode, and so I look forward to being able to incorporate some of this brand-new technology and seeing how that informs what I can come up with,” Greene said in an interview. “So, if that’s pioneering, I would love to be part of that.”

“The Hardest Part” — the lead single from Greene’s new self-produced album, “Notes From a Quiet Life,” set for release on June 28 — is the longest music video made through Sora technology so far. The program creates short clips based on written text prompts. This enabled Trillo to build scenes in a way that would’ve been many times more expensive with actual actors, sets and locations.

“Not having the limitations of budget and having to travel to different locations, I was able to explore all these different, alternate outcomes of this couple’s life,” Trillo said.

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Trillo is one of the creatives who has early access to Sora, which is not yet publicly available. OpenAI unveiled Sora in February and has been testing the system with directors and meeting with Hollywood executives and producers. It’s working out kinks and trying to address intellectual property concerns.

The innovations in AI have been hugely controversial in many corners, including in the music industry, which has been plagued by the use of “deepfakes,” or video and audio that falsely uses an artist’s image or voice. Musicians and others have pushed for legislation to combat such misleading creations, and talent agencies are working with tech startups to clamp down on unauthorized digital mimicry.

The introduction of Sora — coming from the same company that created the text-based AI model ChatGPT — raised concerns within Hollywood and elsewhere about its potentially devastating impact on jobs and production. Still, it inspired excitement among some creatives for the ways it could help them achieve their vision onscreen without being constrained by special effects budgets and travel limitations.

Both Greene and Trillo said they were able to do more with Sora than they would have with real-life sets on their budget. Sub Pop did not disclose the costs for the video. The music artist did not pay OpenAI to use the tech for the music video.

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The two men had explored other ideas, including hiring dancers, and filming in a location that resembled the green hills in the art for Greene’s new album, but that proved difficult because of time and financial constraints. So Trillo suggested experimenting with Sora.

Greene, whose music TV audiences may recognize from the theme song of the satirical sketch comedy show “Portlandia,” was hesitant at first.

“I feel like with my music and most of the videos I’ve made over the years, it always starts from like a real emotional, sincere place,” Greene said, noting that many of the examples of AI video he’d seen existed in the dreaded “uncanny valley,” human-like but eerily artificial.

Nonetheless, Greene was willing to experiment. So Trillo tried out different concepts to see what would work in the video. Using the technology, he could explore all the various outcomes of the couple’s life across multiple locations by creating elaborate text-based prompts. He completed the video in about six weeks, editing together about 55 clips in the video from the roughly 700 that he generated using Sora.

“With this, there was no editing myself,” Trillo said. “I was really able to just try things and so that organically creates a different kind of story because of that, being able to throw so much at the wall and see what sticks.”

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To generate usable clips, Greene needed to write prompts with enough specific details about not just the image itself but the shot angles and movements of the characters. “We zoom through the bubble it pops and we zoom through the bubblegum and enter an open football field,” Trillo wrote as part of his prompt for one brief snippet of video. “The scene is moving rapidly, showing a front perspective, showing the students getting bigger and faster.”

The final music video for “The Hardest Part” shows several locations, including a high school, a grocery store, rolling hills, a hallway with billowing white sheets and fire burning through the walls.

Ernest Greene, known as music artist "Washed Out," will have a new album, "Notes From a Quiet Life," released on June 28.

Ernest Greene, known as music artist “Washed Out,” will have a new album coming out at June 28.

(Ernest Greene)

There were some limitations. Sometimes Trillo would have an idea and Sora would nail it. Other times, it would create something chaotic and unusable. The videos would come out with inconsistencies, which Trillo would sometimes choose to just overlook. The characters look a little different from clip to clip, as does the couple’s child.

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Part of the video’s artsy charm is its dreamlike state — recollections of a couple’s life that illustrate the murkiness of human memory.

“You have to know where to pick your battles with it,” Trillo said of Sora. “You kind of have to relinquish a bit of your free will in working with this thing and you kind of have to accept the nature of how chaotic it is.”

“I was certainly blown away with just how far he could take it in piecing a story together,” Greene said.

Both Greene and Trillo said they see AI as potentially opening more opportunities for people to push the music video art form forward. Music videos are a logical medium in which to play around with AI, because they’re usually short and cost much less to make than feature films and television episodes.

However, Trillo said, it’s important to him that this is not used as a new main method for creation but rather another tool in the tool belt.

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“A lot of music videos just don’t have the budgets to really dream big,” Trillo said. “I think AI can help the music industry in terms of creating things that even Ernest could dream of that maybe he wouldn’t have dared to dream before.”

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Boeing faces critical launch Monday ferrying astronauts to the International Space Station

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Boeing faces critical launch Monday ferrying astronauts to the International Space Station

Ferrying astronauts to the International Space Station has almost become routine — but not for Boeing and not on Monday, when after years of delay it’s finally set to launch two crew members to the orbiting platform on a critical test flight.

The Arlington, Va.-based aerospace giant was awarded a $4.2-billion contract in 2014 to build and operate a spacecraft to service the station, while El Segundo rival Space X received $2.6 billion to do the same.

Both were given out under NASA’s Commercial Crew Program, established to have American companies taxi astronauts to the station.

The stakes are particulary high for Boeing. Since 2020, SpaceX completed its crewed test flight and has ferried eight operations crews to the base — while Boeing has managed only two unmanned flights, including one that docked remotely in May of last year.

Boeing has long-standing and historic ties to the aerospace industry in Southern California — the Apollo command and service modules were built at North American Aviation’s plant in Downey. Its current operations include a satellite facility in El Segundo.

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Boeing’s new Starliner capsule was scheduled to launch with a crew last summer, but a problem was discovered with its parachute system and the use of flammable tape in the craft, a mile of which was removed. It was just the most recent of several delays.

Starliner, with crew members strapped in, is set to blast off at 7:34 p.m. Pacific time at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. If the weather doesn’t cooperate or other minor issues arise, it could fly the next day or later in the week.

After the delays and a reported $1.5 billion in cost overruns the company had to absorb, analysts say it’s critical that the mission goes well. That’s especially true, given Boeing’s already battered reputation, after two crashes of its 737 Max 8 jets and a door plug that blew out of a 737 Max 9 flight this year on its way to Ontario International Airport in San Bernardino County.

“It’s very important for [Boeing’s] desire to be relevant to NASA, relevant to manned space flight and for confidence internally to turn around and execute a program that’s had problems,” said Ken Herbert, a Boeing analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “This could be a big win for Boeing, if they can successfully pull this off, just in light of all the bad news they get from every other part of the business.”

The capsule is designed to be reused 10 times, similar to SpaceX’s Dragon Capsule that services the station. It will be launched from an Atlas V rocket, a reliable workhorse built by the United Launch Alliance, a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin. Starliner should take about 26 hours to reach the station, which orbits at roughly 17,500 mph.

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The flight plan calls for NASA astronauts Barry Wilmore and Sunita Williams to spend a minimum of eight days testing the docked Starliner capsule, before returning to Earth as soon as May 15. Unlike SpaceX’s capsule, which splashes down on water, Starliner will deploy giant air bags and touch down on land in one of four possible locations in the Southwest — a system the Russian space program has used since its inception. Edwards Air Force Base in Kern County is a contingency landing zone.

Assuming the flight is a success, Boeing would be cleared to fly Starliner on regular flights carrying cargo and astronauts, where it would stay docked for six months and provide NASA with a second, redundant American craft to reach the station, a longtime goal. The 15-feet-in-diameter capsule, shaped like a Hershey’s Kiss, can carry up to seven astronauts without cargo or fewer with it.

NASA Administrator Bill Nelson expressed confidence in the flight despite problems Boeing has experienced with its commercial aircraft.

“Understand that anytime you fly in space, it’s risky business, but we don’t fly, until we — NASA — are satisfied that it is as safe as possible,” he told The Times.

A Boeing spokesperson declined to respond to requests for comment.

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Mark Nappi, the manager of Boeing’s Commercial Crew Program, said at a news conference Friday, “I have never felt readier on any mission that I have ever participated in. … We are where we are supposed to be at this point.”

NASA contracted with SpaceX and Boeing after being forced to rely solely on the Russian space program to resupply and send crews to the station after the space shuttle program ended in 2011.

A longer-term issue for Boeing is that it has taken so long to certify Starliner that it might only service the station for its contracted six missions before the lab is sent back to Earth in 2031 in a controlled descent, where it will burn up in the atmosphere. Initially assembled in 1988, it is now the size of a football field and some pieces are expected to land in the far reaches of the ocean.

NASA wants to focus its resources on planned missions to the moon and deep space through its Artemis program, and the Russians aren’t interested either, said aerospace analyst Marco Caceres of Teal Group.

“The Russians have certainly expressed their desire not to continue their presence for no more than another 10 years,” he said.

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While the station includes modules from multiple countries, NASA and the Russian program were its primary constructors, including a core power module the Russians sent up on the very first launch.

There have been nearly 4,000 scientific studies conducted on the station and now NASA is funding and supporting the development of commercial space stations where it can lease space to conduct science as needed. That includes Orbital Reef, a planned station by Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin aerospace company.

NASA expects that Boeing and SpaceX will service those stations, and Boeing has said it has plans to launch Starliner to ferry astronauts to the station, which is still in its early development stages. Nappi said Friday that the company will “have time to make those decisions.”

Even if the Starliner flight goes flawlessly, NASA will continue to send astronauts to the space station on Russia’s Soyuz craft, given the country’s key role in building and continuing to operate the station.

Nelson said that aside from Russia’s operational role, it is important for the two space programs to maintain good relations despite tensions over the war in Ukraine, noting that each country has personnel embedded in the other’s mission control operations. He recalled how that relationship began when an Apollo capsule docked with a Russian Soyuz craft in a historic test project started amid the Cold War.

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“This cooperation in space has been going in genuine success ever since Gen. Tom Stafford and Gen. Alexei Leonov came across that threshold docked in space in 1975,” he said. “There has been no evidence we have any problem. It is steady as you go.”

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Meta now has an AI chatbot. Experts say get ready for more AI-powered social media

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Meta now has an AI chatbot. Experts say get ready for more AI-powered social media

When you use Facebook Messenger these days, a new prompt greets you with this come-on: “Ask Meta AI anything.”

You may have opened the app to send a text to a pal, but Meta’s new artificial-intelligence-powered chatbot is tempting you with encyclopedic knowledge that‘s just a few keystrokes away.

Meta, the parent company of Facebook, has planted its home-grown chatbot on its Whatsapp and Instagram services. Now, billions of internet users can open one of these free social media platforms and draw on Meta AI’s services as a dictionary, guidebook, counselor or illustrator, among many other tasks it can perform — although not always reliably or infalliably.

“Our goal is to build the world’s leading AI and make it available to everyone,” said Mark Zuckerberg, the chief executive officer at Meta, as he announced the chatbot’s launch two weeks ago. “We believe that meta AI is now the most intelligent AI assistant that you can freely use.”

As Meta’s moves suggest, generative AI is making its way into social media. TikTok has an engineering team focused on developing large language models that can recognize and generate text, and they’re hiring writers and reporters who can annotate and improve the performance of these AI models. On Instagram’s help page it states, “Meta may use [user] messages to train the AI model, helping make the AIs better.”

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TikTok and Meta did not respond to a request for comment, but AI experts said social media users can expect to see more of this technology influencing their experience — for better or possibly worse.

Part of the reason social media apps are investing in AI is that they want to become “stickier” for consumers, said Ethan Mollick, professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania who teaches entrepreneurship and innovation. Apps like Instagram try to keep users on their platforms for as long as possible because captive attention generates ad revenue, he said.

At Meta’s first-quarter earnings call, Zuckerberg said it would take some time for the company to turn a profit from its investments in the chatbot and other uses of AI, but it has already seen the technology influencing user experiences across its platforms.

“Right now, about 30% of the posts on Facebook feed are delivered by our AI recommendation system,” Zuckerberg said, referring to the behind-the-scenes technology that shapes what Facebook users see. “And for the first time ever, more than 50% of the content people see on Instagram is now AI recommended.”

In the future AI won’t just personalize user experiences, said Jaime Sevilla, who directs Epoch, a research institute that studies AI technology trends. In fall 2022, millions of users were enraptured by Lensa’s AI capabilities as it generated whimsical portraits from selfies. Expect to see more of this, Sevilla said.

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“I think you’re gonna end up seeing entirely AI-generated people who post AI-generated music and stuff,” he said. “We might live in a world where the part that humans play in social media is a small part of the whole thing.”

Mollick, author of the book “Co-intelligence: Living and Working with AI,” said these chatbots are already producing some of what people read online. “AI is increasingly driving lots of communication online,” he said. “[But] we don’t actually know how much AI writing is out there.”

Sevilla said generative AI probably won’t supplant the digital town square created by social media. People crave the authenticity of their interactions with friends and family online, he said, and social media companies need to preserve a balance between that and AI-generated content and targeted advertising.

Although AI can help consumers find more useful products in the daily lives, there’s also a dark side to the technology’s allure that can teeter into coercion, Sevilla said.

“The systems are gonna be pretty good at persuasion,” he said. A study just published by AI researchers at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne found that GPT-4 was 81.7% more effective than a human at convincing someone in a debate to agree. While the study has yet to be peer reviewed, Sevilla said that the findings were worrisome.

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“That is concerning that [AI] might like significantly expand the capacity of scammers to engage with many victims and to perpetrate more and more fraud,” he added.

Sevilla said policymakers should be aware of AI’s dangers in spreading misinformation as the United States heads into another politically charged voting season this fall. Other experts warn that it’s not if, but how AI might play a role in influencing democratic systems across the world.

Bindu Reddy, CEO and co-founder of Abacus.AI, said the solution is a little more nuanced than banning AI on our social media platforms — bad actors were spreading hate and misinformation online well before AI entered the equation. For example, human rights advocates criticized Facebook in 2017 for failing to filter out online hate speech that fueled the Rohingya genocide in Myanmar.

In Reddy’s experience, AI has been good at detecting things such as bias and pornography on online platforms. She’s been using AI for content moderation since 2016, when she released an anonymous social network app called Candid that relied on natural language processing to detect misinformation.

Regulators should prohibit people from using AI to create deepfakes of real people, Reddy said. But she’s critical of laws like the European Union’s sweeping restrictions on the development of AI. In her view it’s dangerous for the U.S. to be caught behind competing countries, such as China and Saudi Arabia, that are pouring billions of dollars into developing AI technology.

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So far the Biden administration has published a “Blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights” that offers suggestions for the safeguards that the public should have, including protections for data privacy and against algorithmic discrimination. It isn’t enforceable, though it hints at legislation that may come.

Sevilla acknowledged that AI moderators can be trained to have a company’s biases, leading to some views being censored. But human moderators have shown political biases too.

For example, in 2021 The Times reported on complaints that pro-Palestinian content was made hard to find across Facebook and Instagram. And conservative critics accused Twitter of political bias in 2020 because it blocked links to a New York Post story about the contents of Hunter Biden’s laptop.

“We can actually study like what kind of biases [AI] reflects,” Sevilla said.

Still, he said, AI could become so effective that it could powerfully oppress free speech.

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“What happens when all that is in your timeline conforms perfectly to the company guidelines?” Sevilla said. “Is that the kind of social media you want to be to be consuming?”

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