Crypto
Cryptocurrency experiences largest-ever liquidation day, options market warns Bitcoin could drop to $95,000
The cryptocurrency market is facing a more severe test. Data from the options market shows that investors are heavily betting on Bitcoin’s further decline toward $95,000, while Ethereum is confronting a critical test at the $3,600 level.
After experiencing a record-breaking wave of liquidations last Friday, investors in the options market are preparing for potential further volatility and declines in Bitcoin and Ethereum by actively positioning protective measures against a new round of potential sharp drops.
Market participants noted that panic selling and liquidity shortages caused severe volatility, leading to over USD 19 billion worth of leveraged positions being forcefully liquidated in the cryptocurrency sector last Friday.
Cryptocurrency analysts stated that this was the largest collapse within a 24-hour period in market history, nine times the scale of the February 2025 crash and 19 times larger than both the March 2020 crash and the November 2022 FTX collapse event.
Bitcoin fell as low as USD 104,782.88 between October 10 and 11, after reaching an all-time high above USD 126,000 on October 6. The second-largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum, dropped 12.2% last Friday to a low of USD 3,436.29.
Altcoins suffered even more significant setbacks: HYPE (-54%), DOGE (-62%), and AVAX (-70%) all experienced substantial pullbacks, followed by partial recoveries but still recorded considerable losses.
However, Trump softened his tariff rhetoric over the weekend, stating that ‘everything will be fine.’ This helped fuel a rebound in cryptocurrencies.
“We saw volatility spike across the board last Friday, not only in short-term options but also in long-term ones. Market sentiment on short-term volatility indicates growing concerns about downside risks,” said Sean Dawson, Director of Research at Derive.xyz in Canberra.
Data from the cryptocurrency options trading platform Derive.xyz shows that traders are heavily purchasing ‘put options’ for Bitcoin and Ethereum, signaling that the market is hedging against potential downside risks.
Dawson pointed out that in the Bitcoin market, there has been a significant volume of put options being purchased with strike prices of $115,000 and $95,000, set to expire on October 31. Meanwhile, call options with a strike price of $125,000 expiring on October 17 have sharply shifted from being predominantly bought to predominantly sold, indicating a short-term shift towards pessimism in the market.
Nick Forster, co-founder of Derive.xyz, stated that in the Ethereum market, traders are focusing on options with strike prices of $4,000 (expiring on October 31) and $3,600 (expiring on October 17). He also observed substantial buying of put options with a strike price of $2,600 expiring on December 26. He noted that these strike prices suggest bearish sentiment is persisting into the year-end.
Despite the sharp decline, Willy Woo, a top on-chain analyst with over a million followers on the X platform, pointed out that the flow of funds among Bitcoin investors remains robust, which could be why it outperformed expectations amid the stock market slump. In contrast, he observed a significant drop in Ethereum’s fund flows, while Solana continued to weaken. He believes capital from altcoins may be rotating into Bitcoin rather than exiting the cryptocurrency ecosystem altogether.
Altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) are generally considered high-risk, high-reward investments. While some altcoins have indeed delivered substantial returns, many projects ultimately fail or lose liquidity. On the other hand, Bitcoin is widely regarded as a ‘blue-chip’ crypto asset and is commonly held by institutions.
“The good news is that this crash has cleared excessive leverage and temporarily reset market risks,” said Nic Puckrin, cryptocurrency analyst and co-founder of Coin Bureau. “However, Bitcoin now faces another tough battle: it must break through key resistance levels to achieve meaningful new all-time highs this year.”
Crypto
Crypto mogul Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years in prison over $40B ‘epic fraud’
Do Kwon, the South Korean cryptocurrency entrepreneur behind two digital currencies that lost an estimated $40 billion in 2022, was sentenced on Thursday to 15 years in prison for for what a judge called an “epic fraud.”
U.S. District Judge Paul A. Engelmayer, who handed down the sentence, sharply rebuked Kwon for repeatedly lying to everyday investors who trusted him with their life savings.
“This was a fraud on an epic, generational scale. In the history of federal prosecutions, there are few frauds that have caused as much harm as you have, Mr. Kwon,” Engelmayer said during a hearing in Manhattan federal court.
Kwon, 34, who co-founded Singapore-based Terraform Labs and developed the TerraUSD and Luna currencies, previously pleaded guilty and admitted to misleading investors about a coin that was supposed to maintain a steady price during periods of crypto market volatility.
He is one of several cryptocurrency moguls to face federal charges after a slump in digital token prices in 2022 prompted the collapse of a number of companies.
Dressed in yellow prison garb, Kwon addressed the court and apologized to his victims, including the hundreds who submitted letters to the court describing the harm they had suffered.
“All of their stories were harrowing and reminded me again of the great losses that I’ve caused. I want to tell these victims that I am sorry,” Kwon said.
Ayyildiz Attila, one of the hundreds of victims who submitted letters to the court, said he lost between $400,000 and $500,000 in the collapse.
“My savings, my future, and the results of years of sacrifice disappeared. I struggled to keep up with payments and responsibilities, and everything I had worked forwas erased,” Attila said.
Kwon’s lawyer Sean Hecker said in an email after the sentencing that Kwon spoke from the heart, expressed genuine remorse and will continue his efforts to make amends.
US Attorney Jay Clayton in Manhattan said in a statement following the hearing that Kwon devised elaborate schemes to inflate the value of his cryptocurrencies and fled accountability when his crimes caught up to him.
Prosecutors had asked for a sentence of at least 12 years in prison, saying the crash of Kwon’s Terra cryptocurrency caused billions of dollars in losses and triggered a cascade of crises in the crypto market.
Kwon’s lawyers had asked that he be sentenced to no more than five years so he can return to South Korea to face criminal charges.
Prosecutors charged Kwon in January with nine criminal counts for securities fraud, wire fraud, commodities fraud and money laundering conspiracy.
Kwon was accused of misleading investors in 2021 about TerraUSD, a so-called stablecoin designed to maintain a value of $1. Prosecutors alleged that when TerraUSD slipped below its $1 peg in May 2021, Kwon told investors a computer algorithm known as “Terra Protocol” had restored the coin’s value.
Instead, Kwon arranged for a high-frequency trading firm to secretly buy millions of dollars of the token to artificially prop up its price, according to charging documents.
Kwon pleaded guilty in August to two counts, conspiracy to defraud and wire fraud, and apologized in court for his conduct.
“I made false and misleading statements about why it regained its peg by failing to disclose a trading firm’s role in restoring that peg,” Kwon said at the time. “What I did was wrong.”
Kwon agreed in 2024 to pay $80 million as a civil fine and be banned from crypto transactions as part of a $4.55 billion settlement he and Terraform reached with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
He also faces charges in South Korea. As part of his plea deal, prosecutors will not oppose Kwon’s potential application to be transferred abroad after serving half his US sentence.
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