Crypto
3 Reasons Bitcoin Could Outperform XRP (Ripple) and Ethereum Over the Next Year | The Motley Fool
The dominant cryptocurrency could find a lot of new buyers in this investment environment.
When it comes to cryptocurrency, one name stands out above the crowd: Bitcoin (BTC -0.28%). The original cryptocurrency accounts for roughly 63% of the entire crypto market cap.
However, Bitcoin is so big that it doesn’t always produce the best returns. More recently, XRP (XRP -0.51%) has gotten a lot of attention as regulatory pressure eases on the company, and its utility has gotten a major boost from several advancements from Ripple. Meanwhile, Ether (ETH 0.33%) is often seen as the backbone of DeFi, with its smart contract blockchain doing most of the heavy lifting in the industry.
While there’s a case to be made for either to outperform Bitcoin, I think Bitcoin will ultimately outperform amid the current environment. Here are three reasons why investors should consider the king of cryptos.
Image source: Getty Images.
1. The flight to quality
President Donald Trump has quickly and aggressively enacted wide-reaching tariffs on just about everything imported into the United States since taking office in January. Not only has he announced massive potential tariffs on imports, he’s also paused them, said he will carve out exceptions, and unpaused certain tariffs.
All of this leads to massive amounts of uncertainty in the market. It’s hard to know what to do with your money if the playing field could completely change tomorrow.
When markets are uncertain, they sell off riskier assets. That’s certainly true of the entire cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin hasn’t been immune.
However, of all the cryptocurrencies investors could buy, Bitcoin is the highest-quality investment. It has significant institutional backing and a lot of big stakeholders, and the U.S. government now holds Bitcoin as part of its strategic cryptocurrency reserve. Investors selling risky altcoins are likely to move their money to Bitcoin.
As such, it’s no surprise that Bitcoin has held up better than either XRP or Ethereum in the last few months. I expect that will continue to be the case as long as the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain.
2. Investors pulling money out of the U.S. markets
Since Trump’s tariff announcement, we’ve seen both U.S. stocks and U.S. debt decline in value. That’s not typically how it works. Remember, investors usually move from risky assets (stocks) to safer assets (Treasuries). However, the decline in Treasuries suggests investors are completely abandoning U.S. markets instead of shifting from risky assets to safer assets.
Those investors will be looking for a safe asset to buy. Foreign debt could be an option; gold is another, but Bitcoin presents an interesting case as well. That’s particularly true as a result of a second-order effect from the mass exodus from U.S. securities. The U.S. dollar has grown significantly weaker in the last few weeks.
The U.S. Dollar Index has fallen more than 10% since Trump took office in January. The dollar weakened considerably after the tariffs were announced on April 2, and it failed to bounce back after Trump announced a pause on those tariffs. When the U.S. dollar weakens, it typically results in higher pricing for Bitcoin.
3. Inflation could push the price higher
Bitcoin is seen as a hedge against inflation. Most economists agree the tariffs will be inflationary.
That only makes sense. An escalating trade war with taxes on every import, from manufacturing equipment to parts to final products, will have a huge impact on the final price of goods. Combine that with the weakening U.S. dollar, and we’ll see massive inflationary pressure.
Since Bitcoin has a fixed supply, a dollar that can buy less will theoretically apply to Bitcoin as well. That means the price of Bitcoin will go up.
The economics of Bitcoin don’t exist in a vacuum, though. The three factors outlined here, all fallout from Trump’s tariffs, point to Bitcoin performing relatively well compared to other cryptocurrencies and other assets in general. The longer the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, the longer the trade war goes on, the more money we’ll see flow into Bitcoin compared to other cryptocurrencies. As such, investors may see Bitcoin’s dominance of the market extend even further over the coming months.
Adam Levy has positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Crypto
SEC Turns to Public for Crucial Feedback on Cryptocurrency Trading – OneSafe Blog
The cryptocurrency landscape is at a crossroads, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is making waves with a bold departure from its usual tactics. Instead of relying solely on enforcement, the SEC is actively soliciting insights from the public on how cryptocurrencies should be traded on regulated exchanges. Guided by the vision of SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, this initiative seeks to clarify regulations surrounding digital assets and find that delicate balance between encouraging innovation and safeguarding investor interests. The contributions from individuals and industry players may not just influence policy; they could redefine the entire cryptocurrency regulatory framework in the United States.
Decoding the SEC’s Inquiry into Cryptocurrencies
This inquiry delves into the complexities of distinguishing between security and non-security cryptocurrencies on national exchanges, a shift from the agency’s historically punitive approach. By inviting dialogue, the SEC aims to cultivate a regulatory environment that truly reflects the unique traits of digital assets while reinforcing essential investor protections. This represents a significant step forward in wrestling with the often opaque and tumultuous world of cryptocurrency regulation.
The Stakeholder Dialogue: A Window of Opportunity
Commissioner Peirce’s call for feedback opens a channel for industry voices to share their on-the-ground realities and the hurdles they encounter in cryptocurrency trading. Key issues up for discussion include how to navigate risk management for mixed trading pairs, developing tailored protections for investors in the digital realm, and refining the technical requirements for clearing and settlement. By fostering this collaborative atmosphere, the SEC could pave the way for a regulatory framework that resonates more closely with the actual practices in cryptocurrency trading—ultimately benefiting both investors and market participants.
Reshaping Cryptocurrency Trade Frameworks
Should this new regulatory approach be implemented thoughtfully, the ramifications could be profound, potentially transforming the very infrastructure of cryptocurrency trading. The establishment of legitimacy could usher in increased institutional investment, as clearer guidelines around custody and security standards surface to protect investors. This clarity is crucial in fostering an ecosystem where cryptocurrencies gain acceptance among traditional financial institutions, steering the sector away from a history marked by enforcement-driven stagnation that has stifled innovation.
Balancing Privacy and Regulatory Oversight
Conversations between SEC officials and leaders from the cryptocurrency sphere indicate the urgent need to balance the imperatives of privacy with the demands of regulatory oversight. With blockchain activities expanding at an unprecedented rate, Commissioner Peirce has signaled the necessity for a recalibration in how we surveil financial transactions. As she aptly puts it, there’s a clear challenge: how do we maintain financial privacy while enhancing oversight in an ever-evolving digital landscape? This dialogue underscores the complexities that lie ahead, where the push for tighter regulation must not compromise individual privacy rights.
What Does the Future Hold for U.S. Cryptocurrency Markets?
This inquiry arrives at a time of exponential growth in global cryptocurrency trading volumes, making the SEC’s timing absolutely critical. If the U.S. fails to establish clear regulatory frameworks, it risks trailing behind the rest of the world. The insights gathered during this public feedback period will play a pivotal role in how the U.S. cryptocurrency market navigates the competitive pressures of a global arena. With meaningful contributions from industry stakeholders, the SEC has the chance to formulate rules that not only ensure investor safety but also stimulate creativity and growth in the cryptocurrency sector.
Conclusion: Seizing a Moment for Transformation
The SEC’s initiative to gather public insights on cryptocurrency trading represents a unique turning point for the entire ecosystem. By fostering open dialogue, there’s potential for the regulatory landscape to evolve into one that champions innovation while fiercely protecting investors. The outcome will depend on the active engagement of diverse voices in the market, ultimately crafting a balanced and robust framework that meets the distinctive challenges posed by cryptocurrency trading. As this critical process unfolds, the onus is on stakeholders to step forward, shaping a future where U.S. cryptocurrency markets can thrive upon a global stage.
Crypto
Crypto Tax Pressure Reaches Congress as Lawmakers Face Urgent Push to Rewrite Federal Rules
Crypto
Cryptocurrency becomes trendy holiday gift option
PHOENIX (AZFamily) — Cryptocurrency is appearing on more holiday wish lists as gift-givers look for alternatives to traditional presents.
A new survey from the National Cryptocurrency Association and PayPal shows 24% of Americans have given or are considering giving cryptocurrency this holiday season.
The survey also found that 17% of consumers would rather receive cryptocurrency than a gift card, and 31% of Americans believe crypto gifts are less likely to go unused than gift cards.
“It’s actually a trending holiday gift, especially compared to gift cards,” said Ali Tager, a spokesperson for the NCA. “We know crypto is becoming increasingly mainstream.”
Tager said people like receiving cryptocurrency because it has the potential to increase in value.
“There’s so much you can do with this technology and it’s still in its early days,” she said.
Financial advisor Angelica Prescod said there are other investment options to consider for gift-giving.
“One of them is just gifting people something simple. Maybe some shares of some stocks that you may already have, that you are gifting over, or you can give them the cash to do so and open up their own account and feel involved in the process,” Prescod said. “For most folks [cryptocurrency] is not really the go to.”
Gift-givers can also contribute to 529 plans for college and other education expenses.
“It’s that gift that potentially can keep on giving,” Prescod said.
For those still interested in giving cryptocurrency, experts recommend doing research first.
“Like with everything, anywhere, you always want to do your research. You want to make sure to verify your sources. You never want to take financial advice from strangers or click on random links that you receive,” Tager said.
The National Cryptocurrency Association offers a crypto simulator that helps users learn how to choose an exchange, set up a wallet, and send and receive cryptocurrency without spending real money.
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